• Title/Summary/Keyword: guidance models

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A Consensus Technique for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction over the Western North Pacific (북서태평양 태풍 강도 예측 컨센서스 기법)

  • Oh, Youjung;Moon, Il-Ju;Lee, Woojeong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2018
  • In this study, a new consensus technique for predicting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity in the western North Pacific was developed. The most important feature of the present consensus model is to select and combine the guidance numerical models with the best performance in the previous years based on various evaluation criteria and averaging methods. Specifically, the performance of the guidance models was evaluated using both the mean absolute error and the correlation coefficient for each forecast lead time, and the number of the numerical models used for the consensus model was not fixed. In averaging multiple models, both simple and weighted methods are used. These approaches are important because that the performance of the available guidance models differs according to forecast lead time and is changing every year. In particular, this study develops both a multi-consensus model (M-CON), which constructs the best consensus models with the lowest error for each forecast lead time, and a single best consensus model (S-CON) having the lowest 72-hour cumulative mean error, through on training process. The evaluation results of the selected consensus models for the training and forecast periods reveal that the M-CON and S-CON outperform the individual best-performance guidance models. In particular, the M-CON showed the best overall performance, having advantages in the early stages of prediction. This study finally suggests that forecaster needs to use the latest evaluation results of the guidance models every year rather than rely on the well-known accuracy of models for a long time to reduce prediction error.

The closed-form solution and its approximation of the optimal guidance law (최적유도법칙의 closed-form 해와 근사식)

  • 탁민제;박봉규;선병찬;황인석;조항주;송택렬
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.572-577
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, the optimal homing guidance problem is investigated for the general missile/target models described in the state-space. The closed-form solution of the optimal guidance law derived, and its asymptotic properties are studied as the time-to-go goes to infinity or zero. Futhermore, several approximate solutions of the optimal guidance law are suggested for real-time applications.

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Servicing Photographs for Route Guidance in Navigation Systems

  • Sung Kyung Bok;Yoo Jae Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.72-76
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    • 2004
  • For successful route guidance, navigation systems should provide to users more realistic and actual information such as photographs than those in either 2-dimensional and 3-dimensional models. In this paper, we propose a method for servicing photographs for route guidance in navigation systems. The method includes how to acquire photographs with the most successful view for the guidance, how to construct link information among them and navigational map data, and how to provide the images to users efficiently.

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Estimation of Flash Flood Guidance considering Uncertainty of Rainfall-Runoff Model (강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려한 돌발홍수기준)

  • Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2010
  • The flash flood is characterized as flood leading to damage by heavy rainfall occurred in steep slope and impervious area with short duration. Flash flood occurs when rainfall exceeds Flash Flood Guidance(FFG). So, the accurate estimation of FFG will be helpful in flash flood forecasting and warning system. Say, if we can reduce the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff relationship, FFG can be estimated more accurately. However, since the rainfall-runoff models have their own parameter characteristics, the uncertainty of FFG will depend upon the selection of rainfall-runoff model. This study used four rainfall-runoff models of HEC-HMS model, Storage Function model, SSARR model and TANK model for the estimation of models' uncertainties by using Monte Carlo simulation. Then, we derived the confidence limits of rainfall-runoff relationship by four models on 95%-confidence level.

Trajectory Guidance and Control for a Small UAV

  • Sato, Yoichi;Yamasaki, Takeshi;Takano, Hiroyuki;Baba, Yoriaki
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.137-144
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this paper is to present trajectory guidance and control system with a dynamic inversion for a small unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). The UAV model is expressed by fixed-mass rigid-body six-degree-of-freedom equations of motion, which include the detailed aerodynamic coefficients, the engine model and the actuator models that have lags and limits. A trajectory is generated from the given waypoints using cubic spline functions of a flight distance. The commanded values of an angle of attack, a sideslip angle, a bank angle and a thrust, are calculated from guidance forces to trace the flight trajectory. To adapt various waypoint locations, a proportional navigation is combined with the guidance system. By the decision logic, appropriate guidance law is selected. The flight control system to achieve the commands is designed using a dynamic inversion approach. For a dynamic inversion controller we use the two-timescale assumption that separates the fast dynamics, involving the angular rates of the aircraft, from the slow dynamics, which include angle of attack, sideslip angle, and bank angle. Some numerical simulations are conducted to see the performance of the proposed guidance and control system.

Knowledge-guided artificial intelligence technologies for decoding complex multiomics interactions in cells

  • Lee, Dohoon;Kim, Sun
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.65 no.5
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    • pp.239-249
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    • 2022
  • Cells survive and proliferate through complex interactions among diverse molecules across multiomics layers. Conventional experimental approaches for identifying these interactions have built a firm foundation for molecular biology, but their scalability is gradually becoming inadequate compared to the rapid accumulation of multiomics data measured by high-throughput technologies. Therefore, the need for data-driven computational modeling of interactions within cells has been highlighted in recent years. The complexity of multiomics interactions is primarily due to their nonlinearity. That is, their accurate modeling requires intricate conditional dependencies, synergies, or antagonisms between considered genes or proteins, which retard experimental validations. Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, including deep learning models, are optimal choices for handling complex nonlinear relationships between features that are scalable and produce large amounts of data. Thus, they have great potential for modeling multiomics interactions. Although there exist many AI-driven models for computational biology applications, relatively few explicitly incorporate the prior knowledge within model architectures or training procedures. Such guidance of models by domain knowledge will greatly reduce the amount of data needed to train models and constrain their vast expressive powers to focus on the biologically relevant space. Therefore, it can enhance a model's interpretability, reduce spurious interactions, and prove its validity and utility. Thus, to facilitate further development of knowledge-guided AI technologies for the modeling of multiomics interactions, here we review representative bioinformatics applications of deep learning models for multiomics interactions developed to date by categorizing them by guidance mode.

Guidance Law for Vision-Based Automatic Landing of UAV

  • Min, Byoung-Mun;Tahk, Min-Jea;Shim, Hyun-Chul David;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a guidance law for vision-based automatic landing of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is proposed. Automatic landing is a challenging but crucial capability for UAVs to achieve a fully autonomous flight. In an autonomous landing maneuver of UAVs, the decision of where to landing and the generation of guidance command to achieve a successful landing are very significant problem. This paper is focused on the design of guidance law applicable to automatic landing problem of fixed-wing UAV and rotary-wing UAV, simultaneously. The proposed guidance law generates acceleration command as a control input which derived from a specified time-to-go ($t_go$) polynomial function. The coefficient of $t_go$-polynomial function are determined to satisfy some terminal constraints. Nonlinear simulation results using a fixed-wing and rotary-wing UAV models are presented.

New Guidance Filter Structure for Homing Missiles with Strapdown IIR Seeker

  • Kim, Tae-Hun;Kim, Jong-Han;Kim, Philsung
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.757-766
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    • 2017
  • For implementing the proportional navigation guidance law on passive homing missiles equipped with strapdown imaging infrared seekers, the line-of-sight angles and rates with respect to the inertial frame should be estimated by carefully handling the parasitic instability effect due to the seeker's latency. By introducing a new state vector representation along with the Pade approximation for compensating the time-delay of the seeker, this paper proposes a new guidance filter structure, stochastic dynamic models and measurement equations, in three-dimensional homing problem. Then, it derives the line-of-sight angle and rate estimator in general two-dimensional engagement by applying the extended Kalman filter to the proposed structure. The estimation performance and the characteristics of the proposed filter were evaluated via a series of numerical experiments.

Validations of Typhoon Intensity Guidance Models in the Western North Pacific (북서태평양 태풍 강도 가이던스 모델 성능평가)

  • Oh, You-Jung;Moon, Il-Ju;Kim, Sung-Hun;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2016
  • Eleven Tropical Cyclone (TC) intensity guidance models in the western North Pacific have been validated over 2008~2014 based on various analysis methods according to the lead time of forecast, year, month, intensity, rapid intensity change, track, and geographical area with an additional focus on TCs that influenced the Korean peninsula. From the evaluation using mean absolute error and correlation coefficients for maximum wind speed forecasts up to 72 h, we found that the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model (HWRF) outperforms all others overall although the Global Forecast System (GFS), the Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System of Japan Meteorological Agency (TEPS), and the Korean version of Weather and Weather Research and Forecasting model (KWRF) also shows a good performance in some lead times of forecast. In particular, HWRF shows the highest performance in predicting the intensity of strong TCs above Category 3, which may be attributed to its highest spatial resolution (~3 km). The Navy Operational Global Prediction Model (NOGAPS) and GFS were the most improved model during 2008~2014. For initial intensity error, two Japanese models, Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model (JGSM) and TEPS, had the smallest error. In track forecast, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and recent GFS model outperformed others. The present results has significant implications for providing basic information for operational forecasters as well as developing ensemble or consensus prediction systems.

Evaluation of the Intensity Predictability of the Numerical Models for Typhoons in 2013 (2013년 태풍에 대한 수치모델들의 강도 예측성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Seon;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong;Byun, Kun-Young;Kim, Jiyoung;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.419-432
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    • 2014
  • An assessment of typhoon intensity predictability of numerical models was conducted to develop the typhoon intensity forecast guidance comparing with the RSMC-Tokyo best track data. Root mean square error, box plot analysis and time series of wind speed comparison were performed to evaluate the each model error level. One of noticeable fact is that all models have a trend of error increase as typhoon becomes stronger and the Global Forecast System showed the best performance among the models. In the detailed analysis in two typhoon cases [Danas (1324) and Haiyan (1330)], GFS showed good performance in maximum wind speed and intensity trend in the best track, however it could not simulate well the rapid intensity increasing period. On the other hand, ECMWF and Hurricane-WRF overestimated the typhoon intensity but simulated track trend well.