• 제목/요약/키워드: growth prediction

검색결과 916건 처리시간 0.023초

되풀이 균열 선단 열림 변위를 이용한 피로 균열 열림 거동 예측을 위한 유한 요소 해석 (Finite Element Analysis for the Prediction of Fatigue Crack Opening Behavior Using Cyclic Crack Tip Opening Displacement)

  • 최현창
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제30권11호
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    • pp.1455-1460
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    • 2006
  • The relationship between fatigue crack growth behavior and cyclic crack tip opening displacement is studied. An elastic-plastic finite element analysis (FEA) is performed to examine the growth behavior of fatigue crack, where the contact elements are used in the mesh of the crack tip area. We investigate the relationship between the reversed plastic zone size and the changes of the cyclic crack tip opening displacement along the crack growth. We investigate the effect of the element size when predict fatigue crack opening behavior using the cyclic crack tip opening displacement obtained from FEA. The cyclic crack tip opening displacement is related to fatigue crack opening behavior.

복수 표면피로균열의 성장합체거동과 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 (Fatigue Crack Growth, Coalescence Behavior and Its Simulation on Multi-Surface Cracks)

  • 서창민;황남성;박명규
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.716-728
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, fatigue tests were carried out to study the behavior of growth and coalescence of multi-surface cracks which were initiated at the semi-circular surface notches, and a simulation program was developed to predict their growth and coalescence behavior. By comparing the experimental result with those of the simulation based on SPC(surface point connection), ASME and BSI(British Standards Institution) conditions, we tried to enhance the reliance and integrity of structures. This shows that the simulation result has utility for fatigue life prediction.

균열 형상비 변화에 따른 단일표면파로균열의 성장특성과 수명예측 (Growth Characteristics and Life Prediction of Single Surface Fatigue Crack with the Variation of crack Configuration Ratios)

  • 서창민;서덕영;정정수
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 1993
  • This work has been investigated the ralationship between single surface crack length and crack depth have influence on the fatigue life. The simulation based on experimental results of 2.25 Cr-1Mo steel at various crack configuration ratios has enabled successful prediction of fatigue life at room temperature. The effect of crack depth should be considered for predicting fatigue crack growth rates as well as that of surface crack length. It is also shwn that the crack growth mechanisms are in good agreement with expreimental data according to the interaction of crack length and crack depth.

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표면균열의 피로성장거동연구 -인장 반복 하중하에서의 균열형상비 예측- (A Study on the Fatigue Growth Behavior of Surface Cracks -Prediction of Crack Aspect Ratio under the Constant Amplitude Tension Fatigue Loads-)

  • 최용식;양원호;김재원
    • 오토저널
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 1990
  • The fatigue growth behavior of surface cracks cannot be adequately predicted solely by stress intensity factor analysis. This is caused by different plastic deformation due to variations in the stress field triaxiality along the crack tip. Therefore, a new model which accounts for the crack closure phenomenon is proposed in this paper to predict the fatigue crack growth patterns for surface cracks. Fatigue tests were performed to develop the new model for the prediction and to assess the accuracy of the analysis. The predicted crack growth behavior for PMMA and Aluminum alloy 7075-T6 materials agreed well with the experimental data.

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A methodology for remaining life prediction of concrete structural components accounting for tension softening effect

  • Murthy, A. Rama Chandra;Palani, G.S.;Iyer, Nagesh R.;Gopinath, Smitha
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.261-277
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents methodologies for remaining life prediction of plain concrete structural components considering tension softening effect. Non-linear fracture mechanics principles (NLFM) have been used for crack growth analysis and remaining life prediction. Various tension softening models such as linear, bi-linear, tri-linear, exponential and power curve have been presented with appropriate expressions. A methodology to account for tension softening effects in the computation of SIF and remaining life prediction of concrete structural components has been presented. The tension softening effects has been represented by using any one of the models mentioned above. Numerical studies have been conducted on three point bending concrete structural component under constant amplitude loading. Remaining life has been predicted for different loading cases and for various tension softening models. The predicted values have been compared with the corresponding experimental observations. It is observed that the predicted life using bi-linear model and power curve model is in close agreement with the experimental values. Parametric studies on remaining life prediction have also been conducted by using modified bilinear model. A suitable value for constant of modified bilinear model is suggested based on parametric studies.

인공부식재의 피로강도평가와 통계학적 수명예측에 관한 연구 (Life Prediction and Fatigue Strength Evaluation for Surface Corrosion Materials)

  • 권재도;진영준;장순식
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제16권8호
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    • pp.1503-1512
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    • 1992
  • 본 연구에서는 열화평가 및 수명예측에 있어서 가장 중요한 문제로 대두되는 기계구조물의 사용시간과 부식 정도에 대한 관계 곡선을 규명하기 위하여 실험실의 가혹 환경하에서 부식을 시키면서 표면을 측정한 데이터로 통계적인 파라메타(parame- ter)를 추정하여, 인공부식시킨 부식재로 피로 강도를 평가하고, 또 부식된 구조물의 잔존수명을 예측할 수 있는 하나의 방법을 제시하고저 한다.

Prediction of Larix kaempferi Stand Growth in Gangwon, Korea, Using Machine Learning Algorithms

  • Hyo-Bin Ji;Jin-Woo Park;Jung-Kee Choi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we sought to compare and evaluate the accuracy and predictive performance of machine learning algorithms for estimating the growth of individual Larix kaempferi trees in Gangwon Province, Korea. We employed linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM algorithms to predict tree growth using monitoring data organized based on different thinning intensities. Furthermore, we compared and evaluated the goodness-of-fit of these models using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results revealed that XGBoost provided the highest goodness-of-fit, with an R2 value of 0.62 across all thinning intensities, while also yielding the lowest values for MAE and RMSE, thereby indicating the best model fit. When predicting the growth volume of individual trees after 3 years using the XGBoost model, the agreement was exceptionally high, reaching approximately 97% for all stand sites in accordance with the different thinning intensities. Notably, in non-thinned plots, the predicted volumes were approximately 2.1 m3 lower than the actual volumes; however, the agreement remained highly accurate at approximately 99.5%. These findings will contribute to the development of growth prediction models for individual trees using machine learning algorithms.

생육도일온도에 따른 고추의 생육 및 수량 예측 모델 개발 (Development of Prediction Growth and Yield Models by Growing Degree Days in Hot Pepper)

  • 김성겸;이진형;이희주;이상규;문보흠;안세웅;이희수
    • 생물환경조절학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.424-430
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 고추의 생육특성인 초장, 엽면적, 생체중, 건물중을 조사하였고, 기상요인에 따른 수량 예측 모델개발을 위하여 수행되었다. 생육도일온도에 따른 고추의 생체중, 건물중, 초장 및 엽면적에 대한 생장 모델(시그모이드 곡선)을 개발하였다. 고추는 정식 후 50일전후로 초장, 엽면적, 생체중 및 건물중이 지수 함수적으로 증가하였으며, 140일 이후에는 생장요인들이 평행을 이루었다. 그리고 생육도일온도에 따른 고추의 생장을 분석 한 결과 지수 함수적으로 생장이 늘어나는 시점의 GDD는 1,000였다. 고추의 건물중에 대한 상대생장 속도를 계산하는 식은 RGR $(dry\;weight)=0.0562+0.0004{\times}DAT-0.00000557{\times}DAT^2$ 였다. 수확한 적과의 생체중과 건물중으로 고추의 단수를 구하였을 때, 정식 후 112일에 1,3871kg/10a였고, 건고추의 단수는 정식 후 112일에 291kg/10a이였다. 고추 작황예측 프로그램 개발을 위해서는 고추의 생산성에 관여하는 주요요인을 분석하고, 실시간으로 계측한 생육 및 기상자료를 기반으로 하여 생육모델을 보정 및 검증해야 할 것이다.

수산기업의 부실화 요인 및 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry)

  • 이윤원;장창익;홍재범
    • 한국수산경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수산경영학회 2007년도 추계학술발표회 및 심포지엄
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    • pp.167-184
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    • 2007
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut-down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t-test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non-distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990$\sim$1993), period 2(1994$\sim$1997), period 3(1998$\sim$2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub-samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub-sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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수산기업의 부실화 요인과 그 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry)

  • 장창익;이윤원;홍재범
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut - down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t - test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non - distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990 - 1993), period 2(1994 - 1997), period 3(1998 - 2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub - samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub - sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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