• 한국정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보시스템학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.316-335
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• 2004

This paper builds a system dynamics model analyzing first mover effect and growth strategy of online retailer, a major segment of B2C e-commerce. The dynamic model in this paper is calibrated to the online book market and Yes24.com as major test cases. The model consists of eight key value chain sectors. Five of these(Users, Site Operations, Human Resources, Financial Accounting, and Fundraising) are internal to the company, and three others(Market, Financial Market, and Relative Performance) are external to the company. With the model, this paper suggests research propositions representing positive feedback loops and negative feedback loops that lead to corporate growth and limits to growth according to dynamic causal relationships among eight key value chain sectors, and simulate these propositions.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.283-304
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• 2004

Evaluating the sources of economic output is obviously important, and numerous attempts have been made to judge the impact of many different factors on economic output. It is widely accepted that high-technology(HT) is one of the important factors in economic output. This paper empirically explores the impacts of HT exports on economic output using a cross-county analysis based on data from 89 countries for the year 1988-2000. To this end, several versions of the neoclassical growth models, explicitly including HT exports, are estimated. Subject to the appropriate caveats, the results provide further support for several key conclusions of the former studies - investment in physical capital, population growth, and the human capital are important in accounting fer economic output across countries. More importantly, it is concluded that HT exports significantly contribute to economic output. Interestingly, the conclusion is valid f3r developing countries, but not far developed countries.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.151-162
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• 2019

The paper examines the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) between 1993 and 2015. The investigation is based on the influence of growth and economic absorptive capability determinants such as human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality. The methodological analysis uses a multivariate framework accounting capital stock, labor stock, FDI, human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality in regression of the Vector Autoregressive model. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen Cointegration test, and Granger Causality test were applied as parts of the econometric time-series analysis approach. The empirical results demonstrate the positive effects of FDI and trade openness, and the negative effects of human capital and institutional quality on the economic growth of the Lao PDR over the 1993 to 2015 period. The findings confirm that trade openness complemented by a sufficient level of infrastructure, education, quality institutions, and transparency significantly influence economic growth and attract more FDI. Research results lend credence to the need for the Lao PDR's government to focus on improving its economic absorptive capability and economic competitiveness regionally and globally by improving wealth and resource management strategies, as failure to take this course of action could lead to the Dutch Disease effects.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권9호
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• pp.179-189
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• 2020

The paper empirically examines the bank-specific determinants of loan growth in the Vietnamese banking system for the period from 2007 to 2019. We approach the CAMELS framework and employ the dynamic panel regression to determine the effects of each CAMELS factor on bank lending. To ensure the robustness of results, we also use alternative definitions of the variables and different specifications with and without full sets of CAMELS components. With these settings, we display multiple important results. (i) We find that a large capital buffer tends to boost bank lending expansion faster. (ii) High asset quality might positively contribute to high loan growth; in other words, banks subject to high credit risk are discouraged from making loans. (iii) Less efficiently managed banks are more likely to adopt an aggressive lending strategy, highlighting the moral hazard incentives of Vietnamese banks. (iv) More profitable banks with excellent competitive advantages could expand their lending activities to a larger extent. (v) Liquidity is positively related to the loan growth of banks. (vi) Perceived interest rate risk tends to suppress loan growth since interest-rate-sensitive banks might be concerned about the adverse effects of unpredictable adverse changes in interest rates in the future.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권11호
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• pp.699-705
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• 2020

This study aims to examine the antecedent factors of debt policy on the influence of firm growth on firm value. There was a total of 19 companies involved accounting for 95 observational data from a population of 169 companies listed on the Kompas 100 Index of the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018. The data were analyzed through descriptive statistics, classic assumption tests, multiple regression, and hypothesis testing. The results prove that the firm growth, proxied by asset growth or sales growth, did not have a significant influence on the debt policy. Further, there was no significant influence of debt policy on firm value when using debt ratio and also dividend policy as a control variable. In contrast, there was a positive and significant influence on the firm value when using debt to equity ratio proxy, both with or without using the control variable. Therefore, the debt policy was not proven as an antecedent on the influence of firm growth on firm value. This finding implies that there was a tendency for the company management to adopt the policy, which would increase the debt ratio to increase the investors' confidence in the stock market and investors neglect the company's dividend policy.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권10호
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• pp.201-210
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• 2020

This study aimed to analyze the influence of the industrial growth and the effect on government tax potential of the South Sulawesi Province. The growth of the tax object affects government tax potential of South Sulawesi Province. Environmental resources affect government tax potential of the province. The study used multiple linear regressions on primary data. The population consisted of all officers and staff involved in regional work units. Revenue Service area in South Sulawesi Province counts 630 employees. The sampling method is purposive sampling random carried out based on specific objectives. The respondent qualifications are taken from the Technical Implementation Unit Office and the Department of Revenue. The number of respondents is 96 from the Head of UPTD and three of them are related with tax Section Chief Officer. The results showed that industrial growth has a significant and positive effect on the potential increase in tax of South Sulawesi. Growth in tax object significantly affects the potential increasing tax of South Sulawesi. Environmental resources significantly affect the potential Increase in tax. Practical recommendations for local government is to enhance tax potential, reduce bureaucracy in industrial licensing, and facilitate local farmers to get involved in economic contributions.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권7호
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• pp.31-42
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• 2021

This study aims to determine the relation between the real sector and the financial sector in underdeveloped areas in Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. To facilitate understanding of these linkages, researchers use the logic of credit channel mechanism of monetary policy, financial intermediation, as well as supply leading and demand following theories. The research variables include economic growth, inflation, liquidity, and NPL at the provincial level, with a data sample from 2008 to 2019. This research uses VAR/VECM as the analysis tools. The findings of the long-term analysis in East Nusa Tenggara show there is a phenomenon of cost-push inflation as well as the negative relation between inflation and economic growth. The impact of liquidity on inflation is positive, while the impact of economic growth on inflation is negative. Meanwhile, in West Nusa Tenggara, the impact of economic growth on inflation is positive. On the other hand, the impact of liquidity and NPL on inflation and economic growth is negative. In conclusion, generally, the economy in West Nusa Tenggara is better than the East Nusa Tenggara. The key to improving the economy of Nusa Tenggara is by improving its liquidity. This can be done by increasing the volume of public savings to increase bank credit capacity.

• 벤처창업연구
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.173-188
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• 2023

본 연구는 예비유니콘 선정기업을 대상으로 선정시점에 대한 이익조정을 분석하였다. 경영자는 예비 유니콘기업에 선정되면 최대 200억원에 달하는 금융지원을 받을 수 있어 이익조정의 유인이 생긴다. 경영자에게 이익조정의 동기에는 자본시장과 관련된 동기가 있는데 회계정보는 투자자와 재무분석가에게 이용이 되고 기업의 이익은 기업가치에 영향을 주고 있다. 따라서 회계 이익을 상향으로 조정하면 기업가치가 상향되어 투자조건이 유리하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 이익의 질은 대체적인 발생액 예측모형을 이용하여 추정된 재량적 발생액 중에서 Dechow et al.(1995)에 의한 수정 Jones모형 및 Kothari et al.(2005)에 의한 성과대응모형으로 측정하였다. 선정기업과 동일시장에서 경쟁할 것을 예상되는 유사한 대응기업을 구성하여 재량적발생액을 상호 비교하여 연구가설을 검증하고 선정기업만을 대상으로 심사년도와 심사년도 이후를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 예비유니콘 선정기업이 대응기업과 비교하여 이익조정이 높은 것으로 나타나서 회계 이익의 질에 부정적인 영향을 주는 것을 알 수 있었다. 그리고 선행연구에서와 다르게 선정후에도 이익의 질이 낮은 것으로 나타나서 예비유니콘 선정기업은 선정 후에도 경영자의 이익조정의 유인이 계속 지속되는 것을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통해 예비유니콘 선정기업은 기업의 내부 성장보다는 기업의 외형 성장을 통해 시장에서의 가치를 인정받아서 외부 투자자로부터 유리한 조건의 투자를 유치하기 위한 경영자에게 이익조정의 유인이 지속되고 있는 것으로 분석되었으며 향후 예비유니콘 선정평가에서 회계 이익의 질에 대한 검토가 필요한 것을 제시할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 시사점은 경영자의 이익조정 유인이 결국 투자자나 채권자로 하여금 회계정보의 신뢰성을 판단하는데 저해가 되고 있어 이러한 경영자의 이익조정에 대한 것을 감안하여 예비유니콘기업 선정평가에 있어서 회계정보의 투명성과 신뢰성을 높이는 K-유니콘 프로젝트의 정책대안으로 재량적발생액을 통한 이익의 질에 대한 평가를 반영하여 이익조정을 예방할 것을 시사하고 있다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.167-198
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• 2011

최근 우리나라는 2020년 Business-As-Usual(BAU) 대비 30%를 감축하는 탄소배출 감축안을 목표로 설정하였다. 탄소배출 감축목표 달성의 한 방편으로 탄소배출권 거래제가 논의되고 있는 상황이지만, 탄소배출권 거래제를 실시하기 위해서는 가장 먼저 초기 탄소배출권의 배분문제가 해결되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 탄소배출권 초기배분방식 결정이 우리 경제에 어떠한 영향을 미칠 수 있는가를 중심으로 살펴보았다. 이를 위해 협조적 게임이론인 bankruptcy problem에서의 배분방법을 적용해 배출권을 각 산업별로 배분하였다. 산업별 이산화탄소 배출량은 에너지 통계와 산업연관표를 결합한 하이브리드 산업연관표를 이용해 추계하였다. 세 가지 분배방법에 따른 경제적 파급효과 분석에는 녹색성장회계(green growth accounting) 방식이 적용되었다. 분석결과, 2005년~2007년 기간 동안 우리나라의 연평균 경제성장률은 약 4.36%로 추계되는데, Proportional rule에 의한 배분에 의하면 4.03%, Constrained Equal Awards rule에 의한 배분에서는 4.23%, 마지막으로 Constrained Equal Losses rule에 의한 배분으로는 3.67%로 추산되었다. 따라서 경제성장률 측면에서 보면 Constrained Equal Awards rule에 의한 초기 탄소배출권 배분이 가장 바람직한 것으로 분석된다. 이처럼 초기 배출권의 산업별 배분방식이 어떻게 결정되느냐에 따라 경제에 미치는 파급효과가 매우 상이하게 나타나기 때문에 탄소배출권 도입 및 시행을 위해서는 산업 수준의 연구결과를 반영해야 하며, 각 산업의 특성을 고려해야 할 것으로 보인다.

• Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.104-111
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• 2008

As a way to account for the variability of the primary model parameters in the secondary modeling of microbial growth, three different regression approaches were compared in determining the confidence interval of the temperature-dependent primary model parameters and the estimated microbial growth during storage: bootstrapped regression with all the individual primary model parameter values; bootstrapped regression with average values at each temperature; and simple regression with regression lines of 2.5% and 97.5% percentile values. Temperature dependences of converted parameters (log $q_o$, ${\mu}_{max}^{1/2}$, log $N_{max}$) of hypothetical initial physiological state, maximum specific growth rate, and maximum cell density in Baranyi's model were subjected to the regression by quadratic, linear, and linear function, respectively. With an advantage of extracting the primary model parameters instantaneously at any temperature by using mathematical functions, regression lines of 2.5% and 97.5% percentile values were capable of accounting for variation in experimental data of microbial growth under constant and fluctuating temperature conditions.