• 제목/요약/키워드: global change

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우리나라의 기후변화 대응방안에 관한 정책 제언 (A Policy Suggestion for the Adaptation of Climate Change in Korea)

  • 신임철;김영신
    • 대기
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to describe the roles of carbon dioxide in the climate change, and carbon dioxide reduction policies in some countries. In addition, ways to cope with climate change in Korea are also discussed. Currently, global temperatures are rising due to the carbon dioxide produced by human beings. Global temperatures will rise approximately $6^{\circ}C$ until 2100 if we emit carbon dioxide at a present rate. Temperature rise will affect the terrestrial and oceanic resources, and ultimately influence the socio-economic structures including political stability. Most of the carbon dioxide comes from fossil fuels. Therefore, it is urgent to reduce the use of energy, which comes from fossil fuels. Solving the climate change due to the increases in carbon dioxide is a global problem. Korea should participate in the international community and cooperate with each other in order to reduce the carbon dioxide concentration. No policy was announced for the reduction of carbon dioxide so far. Korea should make a policy for the reduction of carbon dioxide in a specific year compared to that of certain standard year such as 1990 or 2005. Making policy should be based on the scientific result of the amount of carbon dioxide emitted and absorbed. Germanwatch announced the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI) in order to evaluate an effort to reduce the carbon dioxide for 56 countries which emits 90 % of global carbon dioxide. Ranking for Korea is 51 among 56 countries. This clearly indicates that the appropriate carbon dioxide reduction has not been exercised yet in Korea. Researchers have a moral responsibility to provide updated new ideas and knowledges regarding climate change. Politicians should have a sharp insight to judge the ideas provided by researchers. People need an ethics to reduce the carbon dioxide in every day's life. Scientific research should not be influenced by stress caused by external budget and negative impact of capitalism. Science should be based on the pure curiosity.

기후변화에서 지표환경의 역할에 대한 고찰 (Review of the Role of Land Surface in Global Climate Change)

  • 김성중
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.42-53
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    • 2009
  • 최근 급격한 온실가스 증가에 기인하여 대기와 해양 그리고 빙권의 변화가 나타나고 또한 기온과 수분의 함량 변화에 따라서 지표 환경도 서서히 변하기 시작하는 것으로 보고되고 있다. 지표환경의 반응은 생지화학적 반응과 생물리학적 반응으로 구분 할 수 있는데, 생지화학적 반응은 기후변화에 따른 광합성이나 이와 유사한 지표환경의 변화 그리고 이에 따른 화학적인 피드백을 지칭하며 이는 대기의 온실가스 농도를 변화 시키는 역할을 한다. 생물리학적 반응은 기후변화에 따라 식생의 분포가 변하게 되고 이에 따른 태양에너지의 입사율 변화 등과 같은 물리적 반응을 나타낸다. 과거 기후변화역사에도 식생의 변화가 기후변화에 미치는 영향이 매우 컸던 경우가 있었고, 앞으로의 기후변화는 거대하고 급격하게 일어날 것으로 예측되기 때문에, 미래 기후변화의 정확한 예측을 위해서는 지표환경변화의 물리 화학적 변화를 이해하고 예측 모형에 정확히 포함시킬 필요가 있다.

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Wetness or Warmth, Which is the Dominant Factor for Vegetation?

  • Suzuki, Rikie;Xu, Jianqing;Motoya, Ken
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.147-149
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    • 2003
  • The wetness, a function of precipitation and temperature etc, and the warmth, a function of temperature, are the dominant factor for global vegetation distribution. This paper employs the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), warmth index (WAI), and wetness index (WEI), and focuses on an essential climate-vegetation relationship at global scale. The NDVI was acquired from ‘Twenty-year global 4-minute AVHRR NDVI dataset.’ The WEI is defined as the fraction of the precipitation to the potential evaporation. The WAI was calculated by accumulating the monthly mean temperature of the portion exceeded 5$^{\circ}C$ throughout the year. Meteorological data for the WEI and WAI calculation were obtained from the ISLSCP CD-ROM. All analyses were conducted for 1 ${\times}$ 1 degree grid box on the terrestrial area of the Earth, and on annual value basis averaged in 1987 and 1988. The result of analyses demonstrated that there are two regimes in their relations, that is, a regime in which NDVIs vary depending on the WEI, and a regime in which NDVIs vary depending on the WAI. These two regimes appeared to correspond to the wetness dominant and warmth dominant vegetation, respectively. The geographical distributions of two regimes were mapped. Most of the world vegetation is categorized into wetness dominant, while warmth dominant vegetation is seen in the high-latitude area mainly to the north of 60$^{\circ}$N in the Northern Hemisphere and high-altitude areas.

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기후변화 교육 방안 개발: 중학교 교육과정에서 적용가능한 방안을 중심으로 (Development of Climate Change Education Plan: Focus on Applicable Plan of Middle School Curriculum)

  • 우정애;남영숙
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a middle school science climate change education plan. The detailed contents of the study are as follows: First, a research study was conducted for understanding climate change and the direction and contents of the climate change education were set up. Second, the climate change education plan was prepared. The middle school climate change education plan were arranged through research study. The results of the study are as follows: First, the direction and contents of the climate change education were arranged. The direction of the climate change education was arranged to reflect the global science education system, sustainable development education, and youth leadership. Second, the middle school climate change education plan was arranged. The middle school climate change education plan includes a course of study and creative experience program. The plan for the course of study focused intensely on scientific study.

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MODELING OF HUMAN INDUCED CO2 EMISSION BY ASSIMILATING GIS AND SOC10-ECONIMICAL DATA TO SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR OECD AND NON-OECD COUNTRIES

  • Goto, Shintaro
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 1998
  • Using GIS and socio-economical data the relationship between human activities and global environmental change Is Analysed from the view point of food productivity and CO2 emission. Under the assumption that the population problem, the food problem and global warming due to energy consumption can be stabilized through managing land use, impacts of human activities such as consumption of food, energy and timber on global environment changes, and global population capacity are Analysed using developed system dynamics model in the research. In the model the world is divided into two groups: OECD countries and the others. Used global land use data set Is land cover map derived from satellite data, and potential distribution of arable land is estimated by the method of Clamor and Solomon which takes into consideration spatial distribution of climate data such as precipitation and evapotranspiration. In addition, impacts of CO2 emission from human activities on food production through global warming are included in the model as a feedback. The results of the analysis for BaU scenario and Toronto Conference scenario are similar to the results of existing models. From the result of this study, the human habitability in 2020 is 8 billion people, and CO2 emission in 2020 based on BaU Scenario and on Toronto Scenario is 1.7 and 1.2 times more than the 1986's respectively. Improving spatial resolution of the model by using global data to distribute the environmental variables and sauce-economical indices is left for further studies.

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기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 역으로 지구온난화에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of the Global Timber Market on Global Warming when Climate Changes)

  • 이덕만
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.287-311
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 지속적인 산림경영 증진의 필요성과 관련한 한 분야의 연구로서 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림을 통해 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모에 대한 측정을 시도하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장 분석을 위해 개발한 목재공급모형(변형된 TSM 2000)과 동태적 탄소모형(확장된 TCM)을 통합하여 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림을 통해 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모를 1995년부터 2085년까지 90년간 시뮬레이션하였다. 정상적으로 성장하는 목재수요(ND) 시나리오 하의 시뮬레이션 결과에 따르면 2085년에 이르러 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장은 1990년도 대기에 축적된 탄소랑의 약 3.60퍼센트를 감소시킨다는 사실을 알 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과는 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림의 탄소 유입과 배출을 통해 역으로 지구온난화를 완화하는데 기여하게 된다는 사실을 보여 준다. 본 연구는 민감도 분석을 위해 빠르게 성장하는 목재수요(HD) 시나리오와 매우 빠르게 성장하는 목재수요(VHD) 시나리오 하에서 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모에 대한 시뮬레이션을 시도하였다.

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전구 모델의 물리과정에 따른 태풍 모의 민감도 (Sensitivity of Typhoon Simulation to Physics Parameterizations in the Global Model)

  • 김기병;이은희;설경희
    • 대기
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • The sensitivity of the typhoon track and intensity simulation to physics schemes of the global model are examined for the typhoon Bolaven and Tembin cases by using the Global/Regional Integrated Model System-Global Model Program (GRIMs-GMP) with the physics package version 2.0 of the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems. Microphysics, Cloudiness, and Planetary boundary Layer (PBL) parameterizations are changed and the impact of each scheme change to typhoon simulation is compared with the control simulation and observation. It is found that change of microphysics scheme from WRF Single-Moment 5-class (WSM5) to 1-class (WSM1) affects to the typhoon simulation significantly, showing the intensified typhoon activity and increased precipitation amount, while the effect of the prognostic cloudiness and PBL enhanced mixing scheme is not noticeable. It appears that WSM1 simulates relatively unstable and drier atmospheric structure than WSM5, which is induced by the latent heat change and the associated radiative effect due to not considering ice cloud. And WSM1 results the enhanced typhoon intensity and heavy rainfall simulation. It suggests that the microphysics is important to improve the capability for typhoon simulation of a global model and to increase the predictability of medium range forecast.

확률 강우량의 변동성 분석 (An Analysis of the variability of rainfall quantile estimates)

  • 정성인;유철상;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2004
  • Due to the problems of global warming, the frequency of meteorological extremes such as droughts, floods and the annual rainfall amount are suddenly increasing. Even though the increase of greenhouse gases, for example, is thought to be the main factor for global warming, its impact on global climate has not yet been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. Therefore, tile objective of this study is to inquire the change of precipitation condition due to climate change by global warming. In brief, this study want to see its assumption if rainfall quantile estimates are really changing. In order to analyze the temporal change, the rainfall quantile estimates at the Seoul rain gauge stations are estimated for the 21-year data period being moved from 1908 to 2002 with 1-year lag. The main objective of this study is to analyze the variability of rainfall quantile estimates using four methods. Next, The changes in confidence interval of rainfall quantile are evaluated by increasing the data period. It has been found that confidence interval of rainfall quantile estimates is reduced as the data period increases. When the hydraulic structures are to be designed, it is important to select the data size and to re-estimate the flood prevention capacity in existing river systems.

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역할극과 토론을 통한 모의 교토의정서 수업이 중학교 영재학급 학생들의 지구적 소양에 미치는 영향 (The effect of mock Kyoto Protocol class which uses role-playing and discussion in middle school gifted class on student's global scientific literacy)

  • 강지원;한신
    • 대한지구과학교육학회지
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.228-238
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effects which applies teaching program that search solution to prevent global warming in middle school gifted class. This program of total 10 class was theoretical and experimental class and the students presented after collecting the synthetic data about climate-change and roleplayed what they debated to firm their country's opinion about Kyoto Protocol. Finally, students as policymaker made mock Kyoto Protocol by discussion. Impression papers and images about climate-changes was made by students in last class. In discussion of making up mock Kyoto Protocol, developed and developing nations had an argument about carbon dioxide emissions because of their economic benefits. In the course of allocating mutual $CO_2$ reduction, they needed yield and negotiation among nations. Although they mainly took passive position about $CO_2$ reduction, atmosphere that all the country make greater effort for the future global environment was formed. Like this, students had more concepts over climate change by making mock Kyoto Protocol. And they could equipped global scientific literacy and responsibility by participating in social decision making process of solving global environmental issues.

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