• Title/Summary/Keyword: generic risk analysis

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A Study on Semi Quantitative Risk Analysis for Air Separation Unit using a GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) Method (GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) 기법을 이용한 공기분리시설에 대한 준 정량적 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jung-Soo;Byun, Hun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.56-66
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    • 2013
  • The gas production plants supply the inert gas to production plants for maintaining safe operation and also supply combustible, flammable, explosive and toxic gases as functions of basic materials needed for producing chemical goods. In addition, gas plants need to be safe and reliable operation because they are operated under high temperature, high pressure, cryogenic and catalytic reactions. As these plants have a complex process in operation, there has been a risk that major industrial accidents such as a fire, explosion and toxic gas released, also risks of asphyxiations by inert gases and burns caused by high temperature and cryogenic substances. This study is to carry out the semi quantitative risk assesment method which is the generic risk analysis (GRA). This method is applied to air separation unit(ASU) to identify its initial risk, safety barriers, residual risk and elements important for safety(EIS). The result of this study, suggested the management tools and procedures of implementation for EIS management.

Generic and adaptive probabilistic safety assessment models: Precursor analysis and multi-purpose utilization

  • Ayoub, Ali;Kroger, Wolfgang;Sornette, Didier
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.2924-2932
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    • 2022
  • Motivated by learning from experience and exploiting existing knowledge in civil nuclear operations, we have developed in-house generic Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) models for pressurized and boiling water reactors. The models are computationally light, handy, transparent, user-friendly, and easily adaptable to account for major plant-specific differences. They cover the common internal initiating events, frontline and support systems reliability and dependencies, human-factors, common-cause failures, and account for new factors typically overlooked in many PSAs. For quantification, the models use generic US reliability data, precursor analysis reports, the ETHZ Curated Nuclear Events Database, and experts' opinions. Moreover, uncertainties in the most influential basic events are addressed. The generated results show good agreement with assessments available in the literature with detailed PSAs. We envision the models as an unbiased framework to measure nuclear operational risk with the same "ruler", and hence support inter-plant risk comparisons that are usually not possible due to differences in plant-specific PSA assumptions and scopes. The models can be used for initial risk screening, order-of-magnitude precursor analysis, and other research/pedagogic applications especially when no plant-specific PSAs are available. Finally, we are using the generic models for large-scale precursor analysis that will generate big picture trends, lessons, and insights.

A Research on Information Security Risk-based Antecedents Influencing Electronic Commerce User's Trust (전자상거래 사용자의 신뢰에 영향을 미치는 정보보안위험 기반의 선행요인 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Ki;Lee, Dong-Ho
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.65-96
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    • 2005
  • It is generally believed that, compared to traditional commerce, Electronic Commerce(EC) is more difficult to gain and sustain customers. One of the major reasons that customers do not use EC is lack of trust. Previous researches on the EC user's trust suggested that risk is an antecedent of trust and the concept of trust is highly related to risk. This study proposed a combined model in which includes the factors based on generic information security risk analysis methodology and trust factors in EC. The objectives of this study are follows; first, investigating the relationship between trust and risk that are antecedent factors of purchase intention, and second, examining the validity of information security risk analysis approach in EC environment. Based on the survey results of 143 MBA students statistical analysis showed that factors like threats and controls were significantly related to risk, but assets did not have statistically significant relationship with risk. Controls and knowledge of EC had meaningful effect on user's trust. This study found that risk analysis methodology which is generally used at organizational level is practically useful at user level on EC environment. In conclusion, the results of this study would be applied to generic situation of information security for analyzing and managing the risk. Besides, this study emphasized that EC vendors need to pay more attention to the information security risk to gain customer's trust.

Consumer Behavioral Systems to Approach or Avoid Generic Medicine (GM) Consumption in Japan

  • Hosoda, Takefumi;Fraser, Jay R.;Kim, Myung-Sook;Cheon, Hongsik John
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2018
  • Generic medicine (GM), which is an alternative drug product for branded medicine (BM), is used less in Japan than in other OECD countries. Therefore, we investigate why the medical consumers of Japan avoid the use of GMs even though the efficacy and safety of the medicines have already been proven. We theorize that effectiveness or risk of GMs are related to the consumer attitude toward GMs is affected by the behavioral approach/activation system (BAS) which promotes actions to reach the desired state, and the behavioral inhibition system (BIS) which suppresses behaviors to avoid negative outcomes. To see which of the BAS and BIS dimensions are related to GM usage, we surveyed 374 Japanese consumers and found that Quality, Efficacy, Safety, & Cost-effectiveness with the BAS, and Functional Risk, Financial Risk, Social Risk, Physical Risk, Psychological Risk, & Time Risk with the BIS had a significant effect on consumer attitude to GMs. These results are important in that they 1), confirm the role of BAS/BIS in attitudes to GMs, 2), provide guidelines when marketing GMs, 3), help governments promote the use of GMs as a cost-saving measure, and 4), guide future surveys regarding consumer attitudes to GMs.

Estimation of Leak Frequency Function by Application of Non-linear Regression Analysis to Generic Data (비선형 회귀분석을 이용한 Generic 데이터 기반의 누출빈도함수 추정)

  • Yoon, Ik Keun;Dan, Seung Kyu;Jung, Ho Jin;Hong, Seong Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2020
  • Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is used as a legal or voluntary safety management tool for the hazardous material industry and the utilization of the method is gradually increasing. Therefore, a leak frequency analysis based on reliable generic data is a critical element in the evolution of QRA and safety technologies. The aim of this paper is to derive the leak frequency function that can be applied more flexibly in QRA based on OGP report with high reliability and global utilization. For the purpose, we first reviewed the data on the 16 equipments included in the OGP report and selected the predictors. And then we found good equations to fit the OGP data using non-linear regression analysis. The various expectation functions were applied to search for suitable parameter to serve as a meaningful reference in the future. The results of this analysis show that the best fitting parameter is found in the form of DNV function and connection function in natural logarithm. In conclusion, the average percentage error between the fitted and the original value is very small as 3 %, so the derived prediction function can be applicable in the quantitative frequency analysis. This study is to contribute to expand the applicability of QRA and advance safety engineering as providing the generic equations for practical leak frequency analysis.

Risk analysis of offshore terminals in the Caspian Sea

  • Mokhtari, Kambiz;Amanee, Jamshid
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.261-285
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    • 2019
  • Nowadays in offshore industry there are emerging hazards with vague property such as act of terrorism, act of war, unforeseen natural disasters such as tsunami, etc. Therefore industry professionals such as offshore energy insurers, safety engineers and risk managers in order to determine the failure rates and frequencies for the potential hazards where there is no data available, they need to use an appropriate method to overcome this difficulty. Furthermore in conventional risk based analysis models such as when using a fault tree analysis, hazards with vague properties are normally waived and ignored. In other word in previous situations only a traditional probability based fault tree analysis could be implemented. To overcome this shortcoming fuzzy set theory is applied to fault tree analysis to combine the known and unknown data in which the pre-combined result will be determined under a fuzzy environment. This has been fulfilled by integration of a generic bow-tie based risk analysis model into the risk assessment phase of the Risk Management (RM) cycles as a backbone of the phase. For this reason Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Event Tree Analysis (ETA) are used to analyse one of the significant risk factors associated in offshore terminals. This process will eventually help the insurers and risk managers in marine and offshore industries to investigate the potential hazards more in detail if there is vagueness. For this purpose a case study of offshore terminal while coinciding with the nature of the Caspian Sea was decided to be examined.

Analysis and Design of the Generic Mission Operations System (통합지향형 임무운용시스템 분석 및 설계)

  • Jung, Ok-Chul;Kim, Hae-Dong;Choi, Su-Jin;Chung, Dae-Won
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2009
  • This paper represents the analysis and design of the generic mission operations system for next generation satellite mission. In the past, mission operations systems were developed by their own mission requirements respectively. However, these systems have the similar architecture and common functions. Mission operations systems, in general, consist of mission independent module and mission specific module. In this paper, the generic framework for the mission scheduling and automation are introduced and analyzed. Using these generic frameworks, the risk and cost for operations system development can be reduced significantly. And, these frameworks might be used for the core technology in the development of mission operations system in the future.

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Determination of THRs - A Practical Approach for Manufacturers According to EN50129

  • Weber, Ulrich
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2013
  • The paper will outline how hazard identification and risk evaluation can effectively be performed to obtain Tolerable Hazard Rates (THR). As a target group manufacturers are addressed, who face the situation, that for a generic application THRs are needed for compliance with EN 50129 [1]. Focusing on functional hazards this paper shows a possible hazard log and the relevant analysis methods. The terms safety barrier and barrier function will be introduced and used instead of the term "safety function". As functional hazards and barrier functions depend on each other, emphasis will be put on a comprehensive and detailed definition of barrier functions and the usage of function lists. By using detailed and complete hazard and barrier function definitions THRs can be obtained while at the same time the approach becomes clear how the hazard rates (HR) will be established.

A Study on Implementation of Risk Based Inspection Procedures to a Petrochemical Plant (RBI 절차의 석유화학 플랜트 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jung-Soo;Shim, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Ji-Yoon;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.416-423
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    • 2003
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBl for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed. This software has modules for evaluating qualitative and semi-quantitative risk level, analyzing quantitative risks using the potential consequences of a failure of the pressure boundary, and assessing the likelihood of failure. A quantitative analysis was performed for 16 columns in a domestic NCC (Naphtha Cracking Center) plant whose operating time reaches about 12 years. Each column was considered as two equipment parts by dividing into top and bottom. Generic column failure frequencies were adjusted based on likelihood data. After determining release rate, release duration and release mass for each failure scenario, flammable/explosive and toxic consequences were assessed. Current risks for 32 equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a final result.

Safety Levels Apportionment in Railway System

  • Rafrafi, Meriem;El Koursi, El Miloudi;Bourdeaud'Huy, Thomas
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2008
  • The creation of a single European rail transport market it is important to increase confidence between the actors on the market and between member states who shall ensure that railway safety is generally maintained and, where reasonably practicable, continuously improved. For this purpose the European railway safety directive introduces a mechanism to adopt a Common Safety Targets (CST) expressed in risk acceptance criteria for individuals and for society. This paper focuses on the apportionment of safety targets for European railway system. We develop a generic approach based on the Functional Hazard Analysis (FHA), to analyse the safety of railway systems for a unified European network and to comply with the CSTs required by the European railway Safety Directive. We suggest to combine the FHA technique with the functional railway architecture to allocate the safety targets to the railway functions.

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