• 제목/요약/키워드: fuzzy number data

검색결과 342건 처리시간 0.025초

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Waimea Plains, New Zealand Case Example

  • Zemansky, Gil;Hong, Yoon-Seeok Timothy;Rose, Jennifer;Song, Sung-Ho;Thomas, Joseph
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.18-18
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    • 2011
  • Climate change is impacting and will increasingly impact both the quantity and quality of the world's water resources in a variety of ways. In some areas warming climate results in increased rainfall, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge while in others there may be declines in all of these. Water quality is described by a number of variables. Some are directly impacted by climate change. Temperature is an obvious example. Notably, increased atmospheric concentrations of $CO_2$ triggering climate change increase the $CO_2$ dissolving into water. This has manifold consequences including decreased pH and increased alkalinity, with resultant increases in dissolved concentrations of the minerals in geologic materials contacted by such water. Climate change is also expected to increase the number and intensity of extreme climate events, with related hydrologic changes. A simple framework has been developed in New Zealand for assessing and predicting climate change impacts on water resources. Assessment is largely based on trend analysis of historic data using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method. Trend analysis requires long-term, regular monitoring data for both climate and hydrologic variables. Data quality is of primary importance and data gaps must be avoided. Quantitative prediction of climate change impacts on the quantity of water resources can be accomplished by computer modelling. This requires the serial coupling of various models. For example, regional downscaling of results from a world-wide general circulation model (GCM) can be used to forecast temperatures and precipitation for various emissions scenarios in specific catchments. Mechanistic or artificial intelligence modelling can then be used with these inputs to simulate climate change impacts over time, such as changes in streamflow, groundwater-surface water interactions, and changes in groundwater levels. The Waimea Plains catchment in New Zealand was selected for a test application of these assessment and prediction methods. This catchment is predicted to undergo relatively minor impacts due to climate change. All available climate and hydrologic databases were obtained and analyzed. These included climate (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and sunshine hours, evapotranspiration, humidity, and cloud cover) and hydrologic (streamflow and quality and groundwater levels and quality) records. Results varied but there were indications of atmospheric temperature increasing, rainfall decreasing, streamflow decreasing, and groundwater level decreasing trends. Artificial intelligence modelling was applied to predict water usage, rainfall recharge of groundwater, and upstream flow for two regionally downscaled climate change scenarios (A1B and A2). The AI methods used were multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with extended Kalman filtering (EKF), genetic programming (GP), and a dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modelling system (DNFLMS), respectively. These were then used as inputs to a mechanistic groundwater flow-surface water interaction model (MODFLOW). A DNFLMS was also used to simulate downstream flow and groundwater levels for comparison with MODFLOW outputs. MODFLOW and DNFLMS outputs were consistent. They indicated declines in streamflow on the order of 21 to 23% for MODFLOW and DNFLMS (A1B scenario), respectively, and 27% in both cases for the A2 scenario under severe drought conditions by 2058-2059, with little if any change in groundwater levels.

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Design of Robust Face Recognition System with Illumination Variation Realized with the Aid of CT Preprocessing Method (CT 전처리 기법을 이용하여 조명변화에 강인한 얼굴인식 시스템 설계)

  • Jin, Yong-Tak;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we introduce robust face recognition system with illumination variation realized with the aid of CT preprocessing method. As preprocessing algorithm, Census Transform(CT) algorithm is used to extract locally facial features under unilluminated condition. The dimension reduction of the preprocessed data is carried out by using $(2D)^2$PCA which is the extended type of PCA. Feature data extracted through dimension algorithm is used as the inputs of proposed radial basis function neural networks. The hidden layer of the radial basis function neural networks(RBFNN) is built up by fuzzy c-means(FCM) clustering algorithm and the connection weights of the networks are described as the coefficients of linear polynomial function. The essential design parameters (including the number of inputs and fuzzification coefficient) of the proposed networks are optimized by means of artificial bee colony(ABC) algorithm. This study is experimented with both Yale Face database B and CMU PIE database to evaluate the performance of the proposed system.

Context Dependent Fusion with Support Vector Machines (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 문맥 민감형 융합)

  • Heo, Gyeongyong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2013
  • Context dependent fusion (CDF) is a fusion algorithm that combines multiple outputs from different classifiers to achieve better performance. CDF tries to divide the problem context into several homogeneous sub-contexts and to fuse data locally with respect to each sub-context. CDF showed better performance than existing methods, however, it is sensitive to noise due to the large number of parameters optimized and the innate linearity limits the application of CDF. In this paper, a variant of CDF using support vector machines (SVMs) for fusion and kernel principal component analysis (K-PCA) for context extraction is proposed to solve the problems in CDF, named CDF-SVM. Kernel PCA can shape irregular clusters including elliptical ones through the non-linear kernel transformation and SVM can draw a non-linear decision boundary. Regularization terms is also included in the objective function of CDF-SVM to mitigate the noise sensitivity in CDF. CDF-SVM showed better performance than CDF and its variants, which is demonstrated through the experiments with a landmine data set.

Defect Severity-based Ensemble Model using FCM (FCM을 적용한 결함심각도 기반 앙상블 모델)

  • Lee, Na-Young;Kwon, Ki-Tae
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.681-686
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    • 2016
  • Software defect prediction is an important factor in efficient project management and success. The severity of the defect usually determines the degree to which the project is affected. However, existing studies focus only on the presence or absence of a defect and not the severity of defect. In this study, we proposed an ensemble model using FCM based on defect severity. The severity of the defect of NASA data set's PC4 was reclassified. To select the input column that affected the severity of the defect, we extracted the important defect factor of the data set using Random Forest (RF). We evaluated the performance of the model by changing the parameters in the 10-fold cross-validation. The evaluation results were as follows. First, defect severities were reclassified from 58, 40, 80 to 30, 20, 128. Second, BRANCH_COUNT was an important input column for the degree of severity in terms of accuracy and node impurities. Third, smaller tree number led to more variables for good performance.

A Study on the GIS-based Deterministic MCDA Techniques for Evaluating the Flood Damage Reduction Alternatives (확정론적 다중의사결정기법을 이용한 최적 홍수저감대책 선정 기법 연구)

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제44권12호
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    • pp.1015-1029
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    • 2011
  • Conventional MCDA techniques have been used in the field of water resources in the past. A GIS can offer an effective spatial data-handling tool that can enhance water resources modeling through interfaces with sophisticated models. However, GIS systems have a limited capability as far as the analysis of the value structure is concerned. The MCDA techniques provide the tools for aggregating the geographical data and the decision maker's preferences into a one-dimensional value for analyzing alternative decisions. In other words, the MCDA allows multiple criteria to be used in deciding upon the best alternatives. The combination of GIS and MCDA capabilities is of critical importance in spatial multi-criteria analysis. The advantage of having spatial data is that it allows the consideration of the unique characteristics at every point. The purpose of this study is to identify, review, and evaluate the performance of a number of conventional MCDA techniques for integration with GIS. Even though there are a number of techniques which have been applied in many fields, this study will only consider the techniques that have been applied in floodplain decision-making problems. Two different methods for multi-criteria evaluation were selected to be integrated with GIS. These two algorithms are Compromise Programming (CP), Spatial Compromise Programming (SCP). The target region for a demonstration application of the methodology was the Suyoung River Basin in Korea.

Facial Expression Control of 3D Avatar by Hierarchical Visualization of Motion Data (모션 데이터의 계층적 가시화에 의한 3차원 아바타의 표정 제어)

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Jung, Moon-Ryul
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • 제11A권4호
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a facial expression control method of 3D avatar that enables the user to select a sequence of facial frames from the facial expression space, whose level of details the user can select hierarchically. Our system creates the facial expression spare from about 2,400 captured facial frames. But because there are too many facial expressions to select from, the user faces difficulty in navigating the space. So, we visualize the space hierarchically. To partition the space into a hierarchy of subspaces, we use fuzzy clustering. In the beginning, the system creates about 11 clusters from the space of 2,400 facial expressions. The cluster centers are displayed on 2D screen and are used as candidate key frames for key frame animation. When the user zooms in (zoom is discrete), it means that the user wants to see mort details. So, the system creates more clusters for the new level of zoom-in. Every time the level of zoom-in increases, the system doubles the number of clusters. The user selects new key frames along the navigation path of the previous level. At the maximum zoom-in, the user completes facial expression control specification. At the maximum, the user can go back to previous level by zooming out, and update the navigation path. We let users use the system to control facial expression of 3D avatar, and evaluate the system based on the results.

A study of Vertical Handover between LTE and Wireless LAN Systems using Adaptive Fuzzy Logic Control and Policy based Multiple Criteria Decision Making Method (LTE/WLAN 이종망 환경에서 퍼지제어와 정책적 다기준 의사결정법을 이용한 적응적 VHO 방안 연구)

  • Lee, In-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Sub;Cho, Sung-Ho
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • 제17C권3호
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2010
  • For the next generation mobile communication system, diverse wireless network techniques such as beyond 3G LTE, WiMAX/WiBro, and next generation WLAN etc. are proceeding to the form integrated into the All-IP core network. According to this development, Beyond 3G integrated into heterogeneous wireless access technologies must support the vertical handover and network to be used of several radio networks. However, unified management of each network is demanded since it is individually serviced. Therefore, in order to solve this problem this study is introducing the theory of Common Radio Resource Management (CRRM) based on Generic Link Layer (GLL). This study designs the structure and functions to support the vertical handover and propose the vertical handover algorithm of which policy-based and MCDM are composed between LTE and WLAN systems using GLL. Finally, simulation results are presented to show the improved performance over the data throughput, handover success rate, the system service cost and handover attempt number.

Pattern Recognition Improvement of an Ultrasonic Sensor System Using Neuro-Fuzzy Signal Processing (초음파센서 시스템의 패턴인식 개선을 위한 뉴로퍼지 신호처리)

  • Na, Seung-You;Park, Min-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • 제35S권12호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 1998
  • Ultrasonic sensors are widely used in various applications due to advantages of low cost, simplicity in construction, mechanical robustness, and little environmental restriction in usage. But for the application of object recognition, ultrasonic sensors exhibit several shortcomings of poor directionality which results in low spatial resolution of objects, and specularity which gives frequent erroneous range readings. The time-of-flight(TOF) method generally used for distance measurement can not distinguish small object patterns of plane, corner or edge. To resolve the problem, an increased number of the sensors in the forms of a linear array or 2-dimensional array of the sensors has been used. Also better resolution has been obtained by shifting the array in several steps using mechanical actuators. Also simple patterns are classified based on analyzing signal reflections. In this paper we propose a method of a sensor array system with improved capability in pattern distinction using electronic circuits accompanying the sensor array, and intelligent algorithm based on neuro-fuzzy processing of data fusion. The circuit changes transmitter output voltages of array elements in several steps. A set of different return signals from neighborhood sensors is manipulated to provide enhanced pattern recognition in the aspects of inclination angle, size and shift as well as distance of objects. The results show improved resolution of the measurements for smaller targets.

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A Study on Improving Accuracy of Subway Location Tracking using WiFi Fingerprinting (WiFi 핑거프린트를 이용한 지하철 위치 추적 정확성 향상을 위한 연구)

  • An, Taeki;Ahn, Chihyung;Nam, Myungwoo;Park, Jinhong;Lee, Youngseok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • In this study, an WiFi fingerprinting method based on the k-nn algorithm was applied to improve the accuracy of location tracking of a moving train on a platform and evaluate the performance to minimize the estimation error of location tracking. The data related to the position of the moving train are monitored by the control center for trains and used widely for the safety and comfort of passengers. The train location tracking methods based on WiFi installed by telecom companies were evaluated. In this study, a simulator was developed to consider the environments of two cases; in already installed WiFi devices and new installed WiFi devices. The developed simulator can simulate the localized estimation of the position under a variety of conditions, such as the number of WiFi devices, the area of platform and entry velocity of train. To apply location tracking algorithms, a k-nn algorithm and fuzzy k-nn algorithm were applied selectively according to the underlying condition and also four distance measurement algorithms were applied to compare the error of location tracking. In conclusion, the best method to estimate train location tracking is a combination of the k-nn algorithm and Minkoski distance measurement at a 0.5m grid unit and 8 WiFi AP installed.

Prognostic Evaluation of Categorical Platelet-based Indices Using Clustering Methods Based on the Monte Carlo Comparison for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

  • Guo, Pi;Shen, Shun-Li;Zhang, Qin;Zeng, Fang-Fang;Zhang, Wang-Jian;Hu, Xiao-Min;Zhang, Ding-Mei;Peng, Bao-Gang;Hao, Yuan-Tao
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권14호
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    • pp.5721-5727
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: To evaluate the performance of clustering methods used in the prognostic assessment of categorical clinical data for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in China, and establish a predictable prognostic nomogram for clinical decisions. Materials and Methods: A total of 332 newly diagnosed HCC patients treated with hepatic resection during 2006-2009 were enrolled. Patients were regularly followed up at outpatient clinics. Clustering methods including the Average linkage, k-modes, fuzzy k-modes, PAM, CLARA, protocluster, and ROCK were compared by Monte Carlo simulation, and the optimal method was applied to investigate the clustering pattern of the indices including platelet count, platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and serum aspartate aminotransferase activity/platelet count ratio index (APRI). Then the clustering variable, age group, tumor size, number of tumor and vascular invasion were studied in a multivariable Cox regression model. A prognostic nomogram was constructed for clinical decisions. Results: The ROCK was best in both the overlapping and non-overlapping cases performed to assess the prognostic value of platelet-based indices. Patients with categorical platelet-based indices significantly split across two clusters, and those with high values, had a high risk of HCC recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, 95% CI 1.09-1.86; p<0.01). Tumor size, number of tumor and blood vessel invasion were also associated with high risk of HCC recurrence (all p< 0.01). The nomogram well predicted HCC patient survival at 3 and 5 years. Conclusions: A cluster of platelet-based indices combined with other clinical covariates could be used for prognosis evaluation in HCC.