• Title/Summary/Keyword: fuzzy logic prediction

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Design of fuzzy logic Run-by-Run controller for rapid thermal precessing system (고속 열처리공정 시스템의 퍼지 Run-by-Run 제어기 설계)

  • Lee, Seok-Joo;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.104-111
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    • 2000
  • A fuzzy logic Run-by-Run(RbR) controller and an in -line wafer characteristics prediction scheme for the rapid thermal processing system have been developed for the study of process repeatability. The fuzzy logic RbR controller provides a framework for controlling a process which is subject to disturbances such as shifts and drifts as a normal part of its operation. The fuzzy logic RbR controller combines the advantages of both fuzzy logic and feedback control. It has two components : fuzzy logic diagnostic system and model modification system. At first, a neural network model is constructed with the I/O data collected during the designed experiments. The wafer state after each run is assessed by the fuzzy logic diagnostic system with featuring step. The model modification system updates the existing neural network process model in case of process shift or drift, and then select a new recipe based on the updated model using genetic algorithm. After this procedure, wafer characteristics are predicted from the in-line wafer characteristics prediction model with principal component analysis. The fuzzy logic RbR controller has been applied to the control of Titanium SALICIDE process. After completing all of the above, it follows that: 1) the fuzzy logic RbR controller can compensate the process draft, and 2) the in-line wafer characteristics prediction scheme can reduce the measurement cost and time.

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Prediction System Design based on An Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System using HCBKA (HCBKA를 이용한 Interval Type-2 퍼지 논리시스템 기반 예측 시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.30 no.A
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2010
  • To improve the performance of the prediction system, the system should reflect well the uncertainty of nonlinear data. Thus, this paper presents multiple prediction systems based on Type-2 fuzzy sets. To construct each prediction system, an Interval Type-2 TSK Fuzzy Logic System and difference data were used, because, in general, it has been known that the Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System can deal with the uncertainty of nonlinear data better than the Type-1 Fuzzy Logic System, and the difference data can provide more steady information than that of original data. Also, to improve each rule base of the fuzzy prediction systems, the HCBKA (Hierarchical Correlation Based K-means clustering Algorithm) was applied because it can consider correlationship and statistical characteristics between data at a time. Subsequently, to alleviate complexity of the proposed prediction system, a system selection method was used. Finally, this paper analyzed and compared the performances between the Type-1 prediction system and the Interval Type-2 prediction system using simulations of three typical time series examples.

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Fuzzy logic for a position prediction and manipulator control (퍼지로직을 이용한 위치 예측과 매니퓰레이터의 제어)

  • 이승환;임종태
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.152-155
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    • 1991
  • A solution to the problem of robot manipulator tracking of a smoothly moving object is given. It is shown that fuzzy prediction rule, fuzzy control can compensate the adverse effects of noise, time delay, unknown object trajectory, and robot modeling uncertainty. Simulations show that the fuzzy logic control results in acceptable precision,

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A Comparative Study on the Prediction of KOSPI 200 Using Intelligent Approaches

  • Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin;Kim, Hae-Gyun;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2003
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

Electric Load Forecasting using Data Preprocessing and Fuzzy Logic System (데이터 전처리와 퍼지 논리 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1751-1758
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a fuzzy logic system with data preprocessing to make the accurate electric power load prediction system. The fuzzy logic system acceptably treats the hidden characteristic of the nonlinear data. The data preprocessing processes the original data to provide more information of its characteristics. Thus the combination of two methods can predict the given data more accurately. The former uses TSK fuzzy logic system to apply the linguistic rule base and the linear regression model while the latter uses the linear interpolation method. Finally, four regional electric power load data in taiwan are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed prediction system.

Application of Fuzzy Logic for Predicting of Mine Fire in Underground Coal Mine

  • Danish, Esmatullah;Onder, Mustafa
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.322-334
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    • 2020
  • Background: Spontaneous combustion of coal is one of the factors which causes direct or indirect gas and dust explosion, mine fire, the release of toxic gases, loss of reserve, and loss of miners' life. To avoid these incidents, the prediction of spontaneous combustion is essential. The safety of miner's in the mining field can be assured if the prediction of a coal fire is carried out at an early stage. Method: Adularya Underground Coal Mine which is fully mechanized with longwall mining method was selected as a case study area. The data collected for 2017, by sensors from ten gas monitoring stations were used for the simulation and prediction of a coal fire. In this study, the fuzzy logic model is used because of the uncertainties, nonlinearity, and imprecise variables in the data. For coal fire prediction, CO, O2, N2, and temperature were used as input variables whereas fire intensity was considered as the output variable.The simulation of the model is carried out using the Mamdani inference system and run by the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox in MATLAB. Results: The results showed that the fuzzy logic system is more reliable in predicting fire intensity with respect to uncertainties and nonlinearities of the data. It also indicates that the 1409 and 610/2B gas station points have a greater chance of causing spontaneous combustion and therefore require a precautional measure. Conclusion: The fuzzy logic model shows higher probability in predicting fire intensity with the simultaneous application of many variables compared with Graham's index.

Design of HCBKA-Based IT2TSK Fuzzy Prediction System (HCBKA 기반 IT2TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2011
  • It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

Genetic-fuzzy approach to model concrete shrinkage

  • da Silva, Wilson Ricardo Leal;Stemberk, Petr
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.109-129
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    • 2013
  • This work presents an approach to model concrete shrinkage. The goal is to permit the concrete industry's experts to develop independent prediction models based on a reduced number of experimental data. The proposed approach combines fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm to optimize the fuzzy decision-making, thereby reducing data collection time. Such an approach was implemented for an experimental data set related to self-compacting concrete. The obtained prediction model was compared against published experimental data (not used in model development) and well-known shrinkage prediction models. The predicted results were verified by statistical analysis, which confirmed the reliability of the developed model. Although the range of application of the developed model is limited, the genetic-fuzzy approach introduced in this work proved suitable for adjusting the prediction model once additional training data are provided. This can be highly inviting for the concrete industry's experts, since they would be able to fine-tune their models depending on the boundary conditions of their production processes.

Electric Power Load Forecasting using Fuzzy Prediction System (퍼지 예측 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Shim, Jae-Sun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.11
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    • pp.1590-1597
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    • 2013
  • Electric power is an important part in economic development. Moreover, an accurate load forecast can make a financing planning, power supply strategy and market research planned effectively. This paper used the fuzzy logic system to predict the regional electric power load. To design the fuzzy prediction system, the correlation-based clustering algorithm and TSK fuzzy model were used. Also, to improve the prediction system's capability, the moving average technique and relative increasing rate were used in the preprocessing procedure. Finally, using four regional electric power load in Taiwan, this paper verified the performance of the proposed system and demonstrated its effectiveness and usefulness.

Design of Multiple Fuzzy Prediction System based on Interval Type-2 TSK Fuzzy Logic System (Interval Type-2 TSK 퍼지논리시스템 기반 다중 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents multiple fuzzy prediction systems based on an Interval type-2 TSK fuzzy Logic System so that the uncertainty and the hidden characteristics of nonlinear data can be reflected more effectively to improve prediction quality. In proposed method, multiple fuzzy systems are adopted to handle the nonlinear characteristics of data, and each of multiple system is constructed by using interval type-2 TSK fuzzy logic because it can deal with the uncertainty and the characteristics of data better than type-1 TSK fuzzy logic and other methods. For input of each system, the first-order difference transformation method are used because the difference data generated from it can provide more stable statistical information to each system than the original data. Finally, computer simulations are performed to show the effectiveness of the proposed method for two typical time series examples.