• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.4 no.1 s.12
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• pp.33-40
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• 2004

The objective of this study is to develop single dam operation models for flood control using Fuzzy control technique, which can improve flood controllability. We set control rules by water level and inflow, and developed three models Fuzzy I, II, III according to rule to decide outflow. Fuzzy I model consists of six rules considering only flood control and Fuzzy II model considers the effect of water use by increasing water level at the end of flood control period as well as flood control during the same period. Finally, Fuzzy m is an adaptive model designed to perform multipurpose dam operation for both flood control and water use simultaneously based on a control rules.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2004.05b
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• pp.759-764
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• 2004

본 연구는 Deng(1989)이 제시한 Grey 모형을 이용하여 성진강댐의 월유입량을 예측하였고 그 방법을 제시하였다. Grey 모형은 시계열모형이나 다른 모형에 비해 비교적 적은 수의 자료를 이용하고, 간단할 수식으로 구성되어 있는 장점이 있으나, 적은 수의 자료로 인해 입력자료가 가지는 증감의 경향(trend)으로 오차가 발생하기 쉽다. 그러므로 예측오차를 극복하기 위해서 Fuzzy 시스템을 결합한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 구성하였고 Fuzzy 시스템에 필요한 매개변수를 추정하기 위해 최적화기법인 유전자 알고리즘(GA; Genetic Algorithm)을 이용하였다. Grey 모형과 결합된 Fuzzy 시스템은 현재의 입력자료가 가지는 패턴과 가장 유사한 패턴의 과거자료를 이용하여 현재의 입력자료의 예측오차를 추론해내는 기능을 가진다. 오차를 추론하기 위해서 과거 월유입량 자료중 현재 입력 자료와 유사한 패턴을 Grey 상관도를 이용하여 검색하고, 보다 높은 유사성을 가지는 패턴을 선별하고자 노름(norm)을 사용하였고, 유전자 알고리즘의 탐색공간을 제한하였다. 이렇게 구성한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 이용하여 전국적인 가뭄년도였던 1992년, 1988년, 2001년에 대해 섬진강댐의 월유입량을 예측하였다. 오차는 1982년, 2001년, 1988년 순으로 비슷한 크기의 오차가 발생하였는데 결과를 분석하여 보면, 급격한 월유입량의 변화가 있었던 경우에 오차가 크게 발생하였으나 가뭄년도에 대해 월유입량의 불확실성이 큼에도 불구하고 비교적 월유입량의 추세를 잘 예측한 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서 적용한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형은 적은 수의 자료를 이용하여 예측하고 예측결과를 다시 입력자료로 사용하는 업데이트 방식을 사용하기 때문에 예측결과의 오차가 완전하게 보정되지 않으면 다음 결과에 역시 오차를 주게 되어 오차보정이 상당히 중요하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 오차를 보다 효과적으로 보정하기 위해서는 퍼지제어에 사용되는 퍼지규칙의 수를 늘리고, 유입량에 직접적인 영향을 주는 강우량과 연계한 2변수의 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 이용한다면 보다 정확한 유입량 예측이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.4 no.4
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• pp.45-51
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• 2003

In general, the values for attribute appearing in fuzzy object-oriented data models are represented by the fuzzy sets. If it can allow the attribute values in the fuzzy object-oriented data models to be represented by the interval-valued fuzzy sets, then it can allow the fuzzy object-oriented data models to represent the attribute values in more flexible manner. The attribute values of frames appearing in the inheritance structure of the fuzzy object-oriented data models are calculated by a prloritized conjunction operation using interval-valued fuzzy sets. This approach can be applied to knowledge and information processing in which degree of membership is represented as not the conventional fuzzy sets but the interval-valued fuzzy sets.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.3 no.3
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• pp.543-563
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• 1996

In this paper, we propose a Timed Fuzzy Petri Net(TFPN) model as a new model of real-time fuzzy control. The TFPN model, which is useful for fuzzy inference and fuzzy control is an integrated model of Timed PetriNet and Fuzzy Petri Net. Additionally, a Timed Fuzzy Control Language is defined as a textual specification model of fuzzy control rues, and proposed a TFPN modeling method. The TFPN model is a Petri Net formalism of fuzzy control systems. Execution rule is consisted of marking(i.e,fuzzyfication) and firing(i.e,inference and defuzzyfication) procedures. A simple case work by using TFPN model shows us computing time of inference and defuzzyfication is low and uncertainty and visibility of fuzzy control rule are modeled effectively.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.631-638
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• 2002

Stochastic model has been widely used for the forecasting of time series. However, this study tries to perform the precipitation forecasting by fuzzy time series model using fuzzy concept. The published fuzzy based models are used for the forecasting of time series and also we suggest that the combination of fuzzy time series models and neuro-fuzzy system can increase the forecastibility of the models. The precipitation time series in illinois, USA is analyzed for the forecasting by the known fuzzy time series models and the suggested methodology in this study. As a result, we know that the suggested methodology shows more exact results than the known models.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.123-140
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• 2009

Fuzzy neural network is an integrated model of artificial neural network and fuzzy system and it has been successfully applied in control and forecasting area. Recently ANFIS(Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System) has been noticed widely among various fuzzy neural network models because of outstanding performance of control and forecasting accuracy. ANFIS has capability to refine its fuzzy rules interactively with human expert. In particular, when we use initial rule structure for machine learning which is generated from human expert, it is highly probable to reach global optimum solution as well as shorten time to convergence. We propose metrics to evaluate interpretability of generated rules as a means of acquiring domain knowledge and compare level of interpretability of ANFIS fuzzy rules to those of C5.0 classification rules. The proposed metrics also can be used to evaluate capability of rule generation for the various machine learning methods.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.151-165
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• 2009

Fuzzy neural network is an integrated model of artificial neural network and fuzzy system and it has been successfully applied in control and forecasting area. Recently ANFIS(Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System) has been noticed widely among various fuzzy neural network models because of its outstanding accuracy of control and forecasting area. We design a new classification model based on ANFIS and evaluate it in terms of classification accuracy. We identified ANFIS-based classification model has higher classification accuracy compared to existing classification model, C5.0 decision tree model by comparing their experimental results.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.517-530
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• 2008

In this paper we introduce a time series model using the triangle fuzzy numbers in order to construct a statistical relation for the data which is a sequence of observations which are ordered in time. To estimate the proposed fuzzy model we split of a universal set includes all observation into closed intervals and determine a number and length of the closed interval by the frequency of events belong to the interval. Also we forecast the data by using a difference between observations when the fuzzified numbers equal at successive times. To investigate the efficiency of the proposed model we compare the ordinal and the fuzzy time series model using examples.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.403-411
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• 1997

Fuzzy linear regression model introduced by Tanaka et al. 91982) has been proposed and developed as alternative to statistical linear regression when our understanding of a phenomenon is imprecise or vague. In this paper we review fuzzy linear regression model and its parameter estimation and examine its strengths and weaknesses through case study. In addition another fuzzy linear model is introduced and applied to an economic study.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.4 s.75
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• pp.159-173
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• 2004

This study utilizes the fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm to improve the existing incident detection models by addressing the problems associated with "crisp" thresholds and model transferability (applicability). The model's major components were designed to be a set of the fuzzy inference engines, and for the self-adaptation capability the genetic algorithm was introduced in optimization(or training) of the fuzzy membership functions. This approach is often called "the hybrid of fuzzy-genetic algorithm" The model performance was tested and found to be compatible with that of the existing well-recognized models in terms of performance measures such as detection rate, false alarm rate, and detection time. This study was not an effort for simple improvement of the model performance, but an experimental attempt to incorporate new characteristics essential for the incident detection model to be universally applicable for various roadway and traffic conditions. The study results prove that the initial objective of the study was satisfied, and suggest a direction that the future research work in this area must follow.