• Title/Summary/Keyword: future weather

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Comparison a Forest Fire Spread variation according to weather condition change (기후조건 변화에 따른 산불확산 변화 비교)

  • Lee, Si-Young;Park, Houng-Sek
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.490-494
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    • 2008
  • We simulated a forest fire which was occurred in Yangyang area on 2005 and compared a results between two different weather conditions(real weather condition and mean weather condition since 1968) using FARSITE, which is a forest fire spread simulator for preventing and predicting fire in USDA. And, we researched a problem in the transition for introducing, so we serve the basic method for prevention and attacking fire. In the result, severe weather condition on 2005 effected a forest fire behavior. The rate of spread under real weather condition was about 4 times faster than mean weather condition. Damaged area was about 10 time than mean weather condition. Therefore, Climate change will make a more sever fire season. As we will encounter to need for accurate prediction in near future, it will be necessary to predict a forest fire linked with future wether and fuel condition.

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The Analysis of the Supercomputer Trends in Weather and Climate Research Areas (기상 및 기후 연구 분야의 슈퍼컴퓨터 보유 추이 분석)

  • Joh, Minsu;Park, Hyei-Sun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2005
  • It is challenging work to predict weather and climate conditions of the future in advance. Since ENIAC was developed, weather and climate research areas have been taking advantage of the improvements in computer hardware. High performance computers allows researchers to build high quality models that allow them to make good predictions of what might happen in the future. Statistics on the high performance computers are one of the major interest to not only manufacturers but also the users such as weather and climate researchers. For this reason, the Top500 Supercomputer Sites Report has been being released twice a year since 1993 to provide a reliable basis for tracking and detecting trends in high performance computing. Using the Top500 Report, a short review on the supercomputer trends in weather and climate research areas is provided in this article.

Implementation of Efficient Weather Forecasting Model Using the Selecting Concentration Learning of Neural Network (신경망의 선별학습 집중화를 이용한 효율적 온도변화예측모델 구현)

  • 이기준;강경아;정채영
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.6B
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    • pp.1120-1126
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    • 2000
  • Recently, in order to analyze the time series problems that occur in the nature word, and analyzing method using a neural electric network is being studied more than a typical statistical analysis method. A neural electric network has a generalization performance that is possible to estimate and analyze about non-learning data through the learning of a population. In this paper, after collecting weather datum that was collected from 1987 to 1996 and learning a population established, it suggests the weather forecasting system for an estimation and analysis the future weather. The suggested weather forecasting system uses 28*30*1 neural network structure, raises the total learning numbers and accuracy letting the selecting concentration learning about the pattern, that is not collected, using the descending epsilon learning method. Also, the weather forecasting system, that is suggested through a comparative experiment of the typical time series analysis method shows more superior than the existing statistical analysis method in the part of future estimation capacity.

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Future Development Plans for the Next 60 Years of the Korean Meteorological Society (한국기상학회 향후 60년을 향한 미래 발전 방안)

  • Ki-Hong Min;June-Yi Lee;Seon-Ki Park;Kyung-Ja Ha;Yun Hong;Yongsoek Seo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2023
  • Celebrating its 60th anniversary, this study suggests the future vision of the Korean Meteorological Society (KMS) for the next 60 years. The vision is "to advance atmospheric science and technology that contributes to human society as well as protect people from not only climate change risks but also weather, climate, and environmental disasters". Based on the suggestions from its members, this study proposes the KMS future development plan as follows. The first plan is to strengthen in leading the development and growth of atmospheric sciences in Korea, especially to improve weather, climate, and environment forecasts and to reduce uncertainty in future climate projections. The second is to enhance interaction not only among its members in academy, Korea Meteorological Administration and related organizations, meteorological industry, and science communicators but also with other related fields such as energy, water resources, agriculture, fishery, and forestry. The third is to enhance in nurturing young scientists by supporting domestic and international networks and training the state-of-the-art sciences, and to create opportunities for young scientists to advance into a wider field. The last is to expand its international activities for solving the challenges facing mankind, such as climate change risks and weather, climate, and environment disasters. The KMS should also continue the efforts to establish an integrative platform for leading fundamental and interdisciplinary research in weather, climate, and environment.

The Impact of Climate Change on Future Aircraft Operation (기후변화에 따른 미래 항공기 운영 환경 변화)

  • Su-Yeon Park;Sang-Hwan Park;Keon-Hee Lee;Hye-Jeong Jung;Gyeong-Min Kang;Gong-Yo Kim;Jae-Don Hwang;Sung Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2024
  • Analyzing the information about climate change on Korean Peninsula is essential for the national defense. In this study, we used HadGEM3-RA model output (a member of CORDEX-EA) and analyzed the 3 operational weather factors (VMC, runway temperature, WBGT), which affect the aircraft field. The number of future limited days was quantitatively calculated based on the model outputs applying SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 and the operational limits of the previous three factors, and the spatial distribution, time series, and correlation of each result were analyzed. In conclusion, it was analyzed that the number of limited days by VMC would decrease, resulting from the rise in temperature and the drop in relative humidity. This means the operational environment in VMC will improve. On the other hand, the number of limited days by the runway temperature and WBGT would increase, resulting from the rise in temperature. This means the operational environment in runway temperature and WBGT will worsen.

Korean Space Weather Activities

  • Jo, Gyeong-Seok;Park, Yeong-Deuk;An, Byeong-Ho
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.66.1-66.1
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    • 2013
  • Six universities, four institutes and agencies, and two vendors are working for space weather in South Korea. Along with education and research activities, they have been extending ground-based observation system and upgrading space weather service, and participating in international space weather programs. Recently, several space missions for space weather have been proposed in accordance with the national space program of Korea. Here, we report and discuss the current status and future perspective of Korean community for space weather.

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The Development Strategy of the Future Aviation Weather Service Technologies and Realization of NARAE-Weather (미래 항공기상서비스 기술개발 전략과 NARAE-Weather 실현)

  • Park, Y.M.;Kang, T.G.;Ku, B.J.;Kim, S.I.;Kim, S.C.;Ahn, D.S.;Lee, J.H.;Jung, I.G.;Ryu, J.G.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.48-60
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    • 2021
  • Following the global air-traffic market growth outlook, urgency of technical development is needed in responding to changes in the international air-traffic management paradigm and to prepare technology securing and spreading strategies, which are consistent with systematic aviation weather service policies and evolution direction. Although air traffic has decreased significantly due to COVID-19, normalcy is expected from 2024, as announced by IATA. According to the future air transportation market outlook and development trends of related technologies, Korea has established and implementing the next-generation air transportation system construction plan(NARAE) to secure international competitiveness and leadership in the future. Therefore, this paper describes the technical, economic background and requirements of numerical model-based aviation weather R&D projects for successful implementation of domestic NARAE plans and providing aviation safety and air traffic service efficiency. Furthermore, we proposed numerical-model-based technology development content, strategies and detailed load-map.

The Impact of Climate Change on Future Ground Operations (기후변화에 따른 미래 지상 작전 영향)

  • Taejin Lee;Sanghwan Park;Suyeon Park;Minji Kim;Gyeongmin Kang;Jaedon Hwang;Sung Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2023
  • The information about battlefield environment changes and operational impacts on Korean Peninsula due to climate change is essential for national defense. In this study, the future impact of four ground operations was analyzed by using the national climate change standard scenario based on the IPCC 6th report. As a result, it was analyzed that the number of operational-limited days for ambush and airlift operations would decrease, making the operational environment favorable. However, the operational environment unfavorable as the number of operational-limited days for crossing and reconnaissance operations increase, but the number is not large so much.

Future Weather Generation with Spatio-Temporal Correlation for the Four Major River Basins in South Korea (시공간 상관성을 고려한 일기산출기 모형을 이용한 4대강 유역별 미래 일기 변수 산출)

  • Lee, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok;Lee, Young-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2012
  • Weather generators are statistical tools to produce synthetic sequences of daily weather variables. We propose the multisite weather generators with a spatio-temporal correlation based on hierarchical generalized linear models. We develop a computational algorithm to produce future weather variables that use three different types of green-house gases scenarios. We apply the proposed method to a daily time series of precipitation and average temperature for South Korea.

DCT and DWT based Damaged Weather Radar Image Retrieval (DCT 및 DWT 기반의 손상된 기상레이더 영상 복원 기법)

  • Jang, Bong-Joo;Lim, Sanghun;Kim, Won;Noh, Huiseong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2017
  • Today, weather radar is used as a key tool for modern high-tech weather observations and forecasts, along with a wide variety of ground gauges and weather satellites. In this paper, we propose a frequency transform based weather radar image processing technique to improve the weather radar image damaged by beam blocking and clutter removal in order to minimize the uncertainty of the weather radar observation. In the proposed method, DCT based mean energy correction is performed to improve damage caused by beam shielding, and DWT based morphological image processing and high frequency cancellation are performed to improve damage caused by clutter removal. Experimental results show that the application of the proposed method to the damaged original weather radar image improves the quality of weather radar image adaptively to the weather echo feature around the damaged area. In addition, radar QPE calculated from the improved weather radar image was also qualitatively confirmed to be improved by the damage. In the future, we will develop quantitative evaluation scales through continuous research and develop an improved algorithm of the proposed method through numerical comparison.