• Title/Summary/Keyword: frost prediction

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Evaluation of Frost Heave Prediction and Frost Susceptibility in Sample using JGS Test Method (일본 동상성판정기준을 적용한 시료의 동상예측 및 동상성 평가)

  • Kim, Young-Chin;Hong, Seung-Seo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.926-931
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    • 2008
  • This paper show two different standardized test methods(Japanese Geotechnical Society; JGS 2003). One test is a "Test Method for Frost Heave Prediction Test, JGS 0171-2003", and the other test is a "Test Method for Frost Susceptibility, JGS 0172-2003". The purpose of this test is to obtain the freezing rate(freezing speed), frost heave ratio(heave to sample height), frost heave rate(heaving speed), and other parameters to be used for frost heave prediction and determine the frost susceptibility by freezing test with water intake. This method shall be used to predict the frost heave in frozen ground and evaluate the frost susceptibility of natural and replacement materials.

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Bridge Road Surface Frost Prediction and Monitoring System (교량구간의 결빙 예측 및 감지 시스템)

  • Sin, Geon-Hun;Song, Young-Jun;You, Young-Gap
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a bridge road surface frost prediction and monitoring system. The node sensing hardware comprises microprocessor, temperature sensors, humidity sensors and Zigbee wireless communication. A software interface is implemented the control center to monitor and acquire the temperature and humidity data of bridge road surface. A bridge road surface frost occurs when the bridge deck temperature drops below the dew point and the freezing point. Measurement data was used for prediction of road surface frost occurrences. The actual alert is performed at least 30 minutes in advance the road surface frost. The road surface frost occurrences data are sent to nearby drivers for traffic accidents prevention purposes.

Prediction of Frost Layer Growth on a Cold Plate (저온 평판에서의 서리층 성장 예측)

  • Jhee, Sung;Lee, Kwan-Soo;Yeo, Moon-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.1325-1331
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    • 2002
  • This study presents a numerical model to predict the behavior of frost layer growth. The characteristics of the heat and mass transfer inside the frost layer are analyzed by coupling the air flow with the frost layer. The present model is validated by comparing with the several other analytical models. It has been known that most of the previous models cause considerable errors depending on the working conditions or correlations used in predicting the frost thickness growth, whereas the model in this work estimates the thickness of the frost layer more accurately within an error of 10% in comparison with the experimental data. Simulation results are presented for variations of heat and mass transfer during the frost formation and for the behavior of frost layer growth along the direction of air flow.

Comparative assessment of frost event prediction models using logistic regression, random forest, and LSTM networks (로지스틱 회귀, 랜덤포레스트, LSTM 기법을 활용한 서리예측모형 평가)

  • Chun, Jong Ahn;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Im, Seul-Hee;Kim, Daeha;Baek, Sang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.667-680
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    • 2021
  • We investigated changes in frost days and frost-free periods and to comparatively assess frost event prediction models developed using logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The meteorological variables for the model development were collected from the Suwon, Cheongju, and Gwangju stations for the period of 1973-2019 for spring (March - May) and fall (September - November). The developed models were then evaluated by Precision, Recall, and f-1 score and graphical evaluation methods such as AUC and reliability diagram. The results showed that significant decreases (significance level of 0.01) in the frequencies of frost days were at the three stations in both spring and fall. Overall, the evaluation metrics showed that the performance of RF was highest, while that of LSTM was lowest. Despite higher AUC values (above 0.9) were found at the three stations, reliability diagrams showed inconsistent reliability. A further study is suggested on the improvement of the predictability of both frost events and the first and last frost days by the frost event prediction models and reliability of the models. It would be beneficial to replicate this study at more stations in other regions.

Study on Improvement of Frost Occurrence Prediction Accuracy (서리발생 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Yongseok;Choi, Wonjun;Shim, Kyo-moon;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Jo, Sera
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we constructed using Random Forest(RF) by selecting the meteorological factors related to the occurrence of frost. As a result, when constructing a classification model for frost occurrence, even if the amount of data set is large, the imbalance in the data set for development of model has been analyzed to have a bad effect on the predictive power of the model. It was found that building a single integrated model by grouping meteorological factors related to frost occurrence by region is more efficient than building each model reflecting high-importance meteorological factors. Based on our results, it is expected that a high-accuracy frost occurrence prediction model will be able to be constructed as further studies meteorological factors for frost prediction.

Modeling for Prediction of Frost Formation Phenomena on a Cold Plate (냉각 평판에서 착상 현상 예측을 위한 모델링)

  • Yang, Dong-Keun;Kim, Jung-Soo;Lee, Kwan-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.665-671
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    • 2004
  • A mathematical model is presented to predict the frost properties and heat and mass transfer within the frost layer formed on a cold plate. The model consists of the laminar flow equations for air-side and the empirical correlation of local frost density. The correlation of local frost density used in this study is obtained from various experimental conditions by considering frosting parameters. The numerical results are compared with experimental data to validate the model, and agree well with experimental data within a maximum error of 9%.

Basic Experiment on Frost of Plate Fin Coil Evaporator (플레이트 휜 코일형 증발기의 착상에 관한 기초 실험)

  • 백승문;김창영;한인근;김재돌;윤정인
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 1999
  • One of the problems in a refrigerator operation is the frost formation on a cold surface of the evaporator. The frost layer is formed by the sublimation of water vapor when the surface temperature is below the freezing point. This frost layer is usually porous and formed on the cold surface of the evaporator. The frost layer on the surface of a evaporator will make side effect such as thermal resistance. However, these important factors have not been used in determining the defrosting period. In this report, a prediction taking into account the change of the fin efficiency due to the growth of the frost layer.

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Meso-Scale Approach for Prediction of Mechanical Property and Degradation of Concrete

  • Ueda, Tamon
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new approach with meso scale structure models to express mechanical property, such as stress - strain relationships, of concrete. This approach is successful to represent both uniaxial tension and uniaxial compression stress - strain relationship, which is in macro scale. The meso scale approach is also applied to predict degraded mechanical properties of frost-damaged concrete. The degradation of mechanical properties with frost-damaged concrete was carefully observed. Strength and stiffness in both tension and compression decrease with freezing and thawing cycles (FTC), while stress-free crack opening in tension softening increases. First attempt shows that the numerical simulation can express the experimentally observed degradation by introducing changes in the meso scale structure in concrete, which are assumed based on observed damages in the concrete subjected to FTC. At the end applicability of the meso scale approach to prediction of the degradation by combined effects of salt attack and FTC is discussed. It is shown that clarification of effects of frost damage in concrete on corrosion progress and on crack development in the damaged cover concrete due to corrosion is one of the issues for which the meso scale approach is useful.

Development of Prediction Model of Frost Penetration Depth on Pavement in Korea (포장도로의 실측값을 활용한 한국형 동결깊이 예측모델 개발)

  • Hong, Seung-Seo;Kim, Young-Seok;Kim, Hak-Seung
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2010
  • Korea is known to have seasonal frozen ground during a winter season due to climatic and ground conditions. Temperatures below $0^{\circ}C$ cause pavement failure by frost heaving and thaw settlement. A frost protection layer has been constructed in pavements to avoid damage caused by frost action. Anti-frost design methods in Korea have been adopted, which is established in U.S. and Japan. However the characteristics of soils in Korea are different and there are no reasonable modifications to accommodate these characteristics. Therefore, adequate pavement design procedures including seasonal frost action, as well as construction and maintenance practices are required. In this paper, the frost penetration depths along national roads in Korea are presented based on field measurement over several years (1991~2010). The frost penetration depths are analyzed with respect to the Provinces of Korea and sunny/shaded areas.

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Evaluation Method of Frost Heave for Unsaturated Soils (불포화 지반의 동결 팽창율 예측을 위한 기법 연구)

  • Kang, Jae-Mo;Kim, YoungSeok;Lee, Jangguen
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2013
  • Frost heave occurs when ground temperature decreases under $0^{\circ}C$ and soil volume expands, which causes roadway and buried pipe line failure due to differential heaving. There are several models to predict volumetric strain caused by frost heave, but they requires expertises who have professional background and experience related to numerical analysis. This study presents an evaluation method to predict volumetric strain caused by frost heave with fundamental physical properties of soils. The evaluation method is assessed with experimental results.