• 제목/요약/키워드: frequency forecasting

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3차원 레이더 반사도를 이용한 대류세포 판별과 추적 알고리즘의 개발 (Development of Convective Cell Identification and Tracking Algorithm using 3-Dimensional Radar Reflectivity Fields)

  • 정성화;이규원;김형우;국봉재
    • 대기
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.243-256
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the development of new algorithm for identifying and tracking the convective cells in three dimensional reflectivity fields in Cartesian coordinates. First, the radar volume data in spherical coordinate system has been converted into Cartesian coordinate system by the bilinear interpolation. The three-dimensional convective cell has then been identified as a group of spatially consecutive grid points using reflectivity and volume thresholds. The tracking algorithm utilizes a fuzzy logic with four membership functions and their weights. The four fuzzy parameters of speed, area change ratio, reflectivity change ratio, and axis transformation ratio have been newly defined. In order to make their membership functions, the normalized frequency distributions are calculated using the pairs of manually matched cells in the consecutive radar reflectivity fields. The algorithms have been verified for two convective events in summer season. Results show that the algorithms have properly identified storm cells and tracked the same cells successively. The developed algorithms may provide useful short-term forecasting or nowcasting capability of convective storm cells and provide the statistical characteristics of severe weather.

패션 트렌드의 다중화(多重化) 현상(現象)에 대(對)한 범주(範疇) 분석(分析) - 1995 S/S$\sim$2001/2002 A/W 시즌을 중심(中心)으로 - (A Domain Analysis on the Hybrid of Fashion Trends - Fashion Trends of 1995 S/S $\sim$ 2001/2002 A/W -)

  • 윤수정;이주현
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.110-123
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    • 2002
  • This study investigated the influence of cultural and general trend of the times on fashion trends and the hybridization of these trends. The objectives of this study were to suggest new approach method of the fashion forecasting and to find out the cultural meanings and values of fashion. Key words that explains fashion trend from spring/summer of 1995 to fall/winter of 2002 were collected from professional fashion trend journals. These terms were analysed with domain analysis based on the semantic relationship. The frequency of their appearance in each season and the aspect of their appearance in each season were analysed. The hybrids of the fashion trends were analysed longitudinally and cross-sectionally as well by investigating the cover terms that were found as a result of domain analysis. The method used in this study can be applied to future study of fashion trend in that it offers an objective view of fashion trend and can allow researchers to study fashion trend in a concrete way.

Monitoring Flood Disaster Using Remote Sensing Data

  • Chengcai, Zhang;Xiuwan, Chen;Gaolong, Zhu;Wenjiang, Zhang;Peng, Sun-Chun
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.280.2-286
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    • 1998
  • Flood is the main natural disaster mostly in the world. It is a care problem to prevent flood disaster generally. The frequency of flood disaster is high and the distributing field is wide, the 50 percent population and 70 percent properties distribute at the threaten field of flood disaster in China. Flood disaster has caused a huge amount of economical losses and these losses have an increasing trend. Along with the development of reducing natural disaster action, it has become one of the most attentive problems for monitoring flood, preventing flood and forecasting flood efficiently. Remote sensing has the characteristics of large spatial observing areas, wide spectrum ranges, and imaging far away from the targets, imaging capabilities all weather. Spatial remote sensing information, which records the full, processes of the disaster's occurrence and development in real-time. It is a scientific basis for management, planning and decision-making. Through systemic analyzing the RS monitoring theory, based on compounding RS information, the technology and method of monitoring flood disaster are studied.

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울산시 주택산업활성화를 위한 주택구매예정자의 주거선택행동 예측 I (A Study on the Forecasting of Decision Behavior the Choice of Housing of Potential Purchasers for Housing Industry in Ulsan I)

  • 김선중
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2003
  • Housing supply ratio in Ulsan area has soared up to 91% recently. Therefore, developing a successful marketing strategy is an essential part of apartment sales success in Ulsan area. The purpose of this study is identifying the status of satisfaction level, moving motivation, the level of housing choosing behavior, and housing needs of the apartments for making a marketing strategy. The survey uses questionnaires which are delivered to the 545 housewives who live in 20 pyoung or 30 pyoung apartment in Ulsan area. The research uses a survey questionnaire for gathering a set of statistically-reasonable number of data among one million population of Ulsan metropolitan area. The frequency test and F-test are used for the analysis of the results. The results of empirical analyses provide the following major findings: 1) housing satisfaction of Buk-ku residents is higher than that of the residents of the other area, 2) neighborhood environment improvement and physical environment improvement are important factors of housing moving motivations, 3) view and lighting are important requirements of the housing, 4) the level of housing choosing efforts are more active in the residents of Joong-ku and Dong-ku than those of Nam-ku and Buk-ku.

지역거점 공공병원의 환경적 요인에 따른 생산성 분석 (Analysis of Productivity by Environmental Factors in Regional Base Public Hospitals)

  • 이진우
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.46-60
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the difference of productivity according to environmental factors among 25 Regional base public hospitals. Also this study is to propose a method to improve the productivity of Regional base public hospitals in the future by improving the public performance and stable management performance by studying the productivity variables affecting profitability. The survey period was based on the last three years, and 25 Regional base public hospitals were selected for the survey. The dependent variable is the total capital medical marginal profitability and the medical profit marginal profitability which are the indicators of profitability. The independent variable, productivity, is classified into three indicators: capital productivity, labor productivity, and value added productivity. The ANOVA analysis method was used to analyze the productivity difference according to the frequency factor and the environmental factors of the Regional base public hospitals. Finally, we conducted a hierarchical regression analysis to examine the productivity variables affecting profitability. The results of this study showed that there were differences in productivity due to environmental factors such as hospital size, competition in the local medical market, and differences in management performance. The difference in productivity and profitability depending on the environmental factors suggests that it is difficult for Regional base public hospitals in each regional base to perform a balanced public service. In order to overcome this, it is necessary to provide balanced medical services such as government financial support expansion, regional medical demand forecasting and facility infrastructure construction.

한국 건설현장의 인명사고 리스크 정량화 모델 개발기초 연구 (A Basic Study for Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents on Construction Site in South Korea)

  • 오준석;이주형;김태희;손기영;손승현
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2019년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.45-46
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    • 2019
  • Accident rate in domestic construction industry has been increased rapidly in every year. In particular, the rate of death has been shown very high compared with other industries. It means that safety activities performed by government is not effective in reducing the rate of accident. To solve these problems, the risk factors should be predicted in advance, controlled, monitored and managed from start of project to end of project. However, most studies have been conducted by using frequency of occurrence of accident and only listed the importance of risk. Therefore, the objective of this study is to provide basic material to develop risk quantifying model for human accidents on construction site in South Korea. In the future, it is expected to be used as a reference of study on developing safety mangement checklist in construction industry and model for forecasting accident.

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A New Approach to On-Line Monitoring Device for ZnO Surge Arresters

  • Lee Bok-Hee;Gil Hyoung-Jun;Kang Sung-Man
    • KIEE International Transactions on Electrophysics and Applications
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    • 제5C권3호
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2005
  • This paper describes a new approach to the algorithm and fundamental characteristics of the device for monitoring the leakage currents flowing through zinc oxide (ZnO) surge arresters. In order to obtain a technique for a new on-line monitoring device that can be used in the deterioration diagnosis of ZnO surge arresters, the new algorithm and on-line leakage current detection device for extracting the resistive and capacitive currents using the phase shift addition method were proposed. The computer-based on-line monitoring device can sense accurately the power frequency leakage currents flowing through ZnO surge arresters. The on-line leakage current monitoring device of ZnO surge arresters proposed in this work has the high sensitivity compared to the third harmonic leakage current detection devices. As a consequence, it was found that the proposed leakage current monitoring device would be useful for forecasting the defects and degradation of ZnO surge arresters.

Volatility spillover between the Korean KOSPI and the Hong Kong HSI stock markets

  • Baek, Eun-Ah;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2016
  • We investigate volatility spillover aspects of realized volatilities (RVs) for the log returns of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the Hang Seng Index (HSI) from 2009-2013. For all RVs, significant long memories and asymmetries are identified. For a model selection, we consider three commonly used time series models as well as three models that incorporate long memory and asymmetry. Taking into account of goodness-of-fit and forecasting ability, Leverage heteroskedastic autoregressive realized volatility (LHAR) model is selected for the given data. The LHAR model finds significant decompositions of the spillover effect from the HSI to the KOSPI into moderate negative daily spillover, positive weekly spillover and positive monthly spillover, and from the KOSPI to the HSI into substantial negative weekly spillover and positive monthly spillover. An interesting result from the analysis is that the daily volatility spillover from the HSI to the KOSPI is significant versus the insignificant daily volatility spillover of the KOSPI to HSI. The daily volatility in Hong Kong affects next day volatility in Korea but the daily volatility in Korea does not affect next day volatility in Hong Kong.

Classification Model and Crime Occurrence City Forecasting Based on Random Forest Algorithm

  • KANG, Sea-Am;CHOI, Jeong-Hyun;KANG, Min-soo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2022
  • Korea has relatively less crime than other countries. However, the crime rate is steadily increasing. Many people think the crime rate is decreasing, but the crime arrest rate has increased. The goal is to check the relationship between CCTV and the crime rate as a way to lower the crime rate, and to identify the correlation between areas without CCTV and areas without CCTV. If you see a crime that can happen at any time, I think you should use a random forest algorithm. We also plan to use machine learning random forest algorithms to reduce the risk of overfitting, reduce the required training time, and verify high-level accuracy. The goal is to identify the relationship between CCTV and crime occurrence by creating a crime prevention algorithm using machine learning random forest techniques. Assuming that no crime occurs without CCTV, it compares the crime rate between the areas where the most crimes occur and the areas where there are no crimes, and predicts areas where there are many crimes. The impact of CCTV on crime prevention and arrest can be interpreted as a comprehensive effect in part, and the purpose isto identify areas and frequency of frequent crimes by comparing the time and time without CCTV.

공식발표 통계지표의 적시성 확보를 위한 대안 데이터 파이프라인 구축제안 (Proposal an Alternative Data Pipeline to Secure the Timeliness for Official Statistical Indicators)

  • 조용복;김도완
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.89-108
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 공식발표 통계지표의 적시성 확보를 위해 기존 Nowcasting 방법론을 살펴보고 실시간 경기 현황 분석이 가능한 Real-time nowcasting 모형을 운용하기 위한 대안 데이터와 그 수집 체계를 점검한다. 공공영역과 민간영역에서 경기지표를 예측할 수 있는 고빈도 실시간 데이터를 탐색하고, 나아가 데이터의 수집, 가공, 모형화를 위한 클라우드 기반의 구축과정을 제안한다. 더불어 Real-time nowcasting 모형 추정 및 데이터 관리에 있어 고려해야 할 요소를 확인함으로써 적시성 및 안정성을 갖춘 공식 통계지표의 예측 프로세스를 제시한다.