• Title/Summary/Keyword: forecast-warning system

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Development Method of Early Warning Systems for Rainfall Induced Landslides (강우에 의한 돌발 산사태 예·경보 시스템 구축 방안)

  • Kim, Seong-Pil;Bong, Tae-Ho;Bae, Seung-Jong;Park, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop an early warning system for rainfall induced landslides. For this study, we suggested an analysis process using rainfall forecast data. 1) For a selected slope, safety factor with saturated depth was analyzed and safety factor threshold was established (warning FS threshold=1.3, alarm FS threshold=1.1). 2) If rainfall started, saturated depth and safety factor was calculated with rainfall forecast data, 3) And every hour after safety factor is compared with threshold, then warning or alarm can issued. In the future, we plan to make a early warning system combined with the in-situ inclinometer sensors.

Practical Forecast-Warning System for Distant Tsunamis (실용적인 원지 지진해일 예경보 체계)

  • Yoon, Sung Bum;Baek, Unil;Park, Won Kyung;Bae, Jae Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.10
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    • pp.997-1008
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    • 2012
  • To construct the practical forecast and warning system for distant tsunamis suitable for Korea the state-of-art of the forecast and warning systems of United States and Korea is investigated, and the action conducted by Korea for the case of 2011 East Japan Tsunami is also analysed. The tsunami sources and propagation characteristics of distant tsunamis that affect the Korean coastal area are considered along with the capability of earthquake monitering and numerical simulation and the available experts to propose the effective forecast and warning system for distant tsunamis.

A Study on the Application of Flood Disaster Management Using GIS

  • Jeong, In Ju;Kim, Sang Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.111-123
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    • 2004
  • Recently, though damage caused by intensive rainfall and typhoon happens frequently, we could not forecast or predict a disaster, due to the difficulty of obtaining exact information about it. For efficient disaster management, the most urgent need is the preparation of a flood forecast-warning system. Therefore, we need to provide a program that has the ability of inundation analysis and flood forecast-warning using a geographic information system, and using domestic technology rather than that from foreign countries. In this research, we constructed a FDMS(Flood Disaster Management System) that is able to analyze real-time inundation data, and usins the GIS(Ceographic Information System) with prompt analyzing of hydrologic-topographical parameters and runoff-computation. Moreover, by expressing inundation analysis in three-dimensions, we were able to get to the inundation area with ease. Finally, we expect that the application of this method in the (food forecast-warning system will have great role in reducing casualties and damage.

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An improvement on the Criteria of Special Weather Report for Heavy Rain Considering the Possibility of Rainfall Damage and the Recent Meteorological Characteristics (최근 기상특성과 재해발생이 고려된 호우특보 기준 개선)

  • Kim, Yeon-Hee;Choi, Da-Young;Chang, Dong-Eon;Yoo, Hee-Dong;Jin, Gee-Beom
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.481-495
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    • 2011
  • This study is performed to consider the threshold values of heavy rain warning in Korea using 98 surface meteorological station data and 590 Automatic Weather System stations (AWSs), damage data of National Emergency Management Agency for the period of 2005 to 2009. It is in need to arrange new criteria for heavy rain considering concept of rainfall intensity and rainfall damage to reflect the changed characteristics of rainfall according to the climate change. Rainfall values from the most frequent rainfall damage are at 30 mm/1 hr, 60 mm/3 hr, 70 mm/6 hr, and 110 mm/12 hr, respectively. The cumulative probability of damage occurrences of one in two due to heavy rain shows up at 20 mm/1 hr, 50 mm/3 hr, 80 mm/6 hr, and 110 mm/12 hr, respectively. When the relationship between threshold values of heavy rain warning and the possibility of rainfall damage is investigated, rainfall values for high connectivity between heavy rain warning criteria and the possibility of rainfall damage appear at 30 mm/1 hr, 50 mm/3 hr, 80 mm/6 hr, and 100 m/12 hr, respectively. It is proper to adopt the daily maximum precipitation intensity of 6 and 12 hours, because 6 hours rainfall might be include the concept of rainfall intensity for very-short-term and short-term unexpectedly happened rainfall and 12 hours rainfall could maintain the connectivity of the previous heavy rain warning system and represent long-term continuously happened rainfall. The optimum combinations of criteria for heavy rain warning of 6 and 12 hours are 80 mm/6 hr or 100 mm/12 hr, and 70 mm/6 hr or 110 mm/12 hr.

Establishment of Early Warning System of Steep Slope Failure Using Real-time Rainfall Data Analysis (실시간 강우자료분석을 활용한 산사태 경보시스템 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Wook;Choi, Eun-Kyoung;Park, Dug-Keun;Park, Jung-Hoon;Son, Sung-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.09a
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2010
  • In this study, localized heavy rainfall occurred during the collapse of steep slopes adjacent to the construction site and to ensure the safety of residents to build an early warning system was performed. Forecast/Alert range was estimated based on vulnerability landslide map and past disaster history. And established a critical line in consideration of the characteristics of local rainfall and operating a snake line, the study calculated causing and non-causing points. Also, be measured in real-time analysis of rainfall data in conjunction with the system before the steep slope failure occurred forecast/Alert System is presented.

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Storm Water Logging Analysis and Pre-warning System Construction in Beijing City

  • Yuan, Ximin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2200-2204
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    • 2009
  • In this paper the analysis of natural cause of Beijing Storm inundation and the effect of the human activities has been taken. Flood risk can hardly be eliminated solely by projects. Pre-warning system established is an efficient measure to minimize the influence of flood. Several main functions of this system and their examples are described in the paper, such as: monitoring, forecast, scheme, warning, dynamic decision-making and information publication.

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Research on the Convergence of CCTV Video Information with Disaster Recognition and Real-time Crisis Response System (CCTV 영상 정보와 재난재해 인식 및 실시간 위기 대응 시스템의 융합에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Bong;Geum, Gi-Moon;Jang, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2017
  • People generally believe that disaster forecast and warning systems and response systems are well established in the age of cutting edge technology. As a matter of fact, reliable systems to respond to disasters are not properly equipped, as we witnessed the Sewol ferry disaster in 2014. The existing forecast and warning systems are based on sensor information with low efficiency, and image information is only operated by monitoring staff manually. In addition, the interconnection between a warning system and a response system in order to decide how to cope with the recognized disaster is very insufficient. This paper introduces the CCTV based disaster recognition and real time crisis response system composed of the CCTV image recognition engine and the crisis response technique. This system has brought the possibility to overcome the limitations of existing sensor based forecast and warning systems, and to resolve the problems in the absence of monitoring staff when responding to crisis.

Application of rip current likelihood distributions on rip current forecast system (이안류 예보를 위한 이안류 발생정도 분포 함수의 적용)

  • Choi, Junwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2023
  • An approach for producing a rip current risk index using the rip current likelihood distribution obtained through the FUNWAVE simulations was applied to a rip current forecast system. The approach originally developed for an observation-based real-time rip current warning system was utilized with wave forecast data instead of observations for the rip current forecast system. The availability of the present approach was checked by comparing the observation-based rip current risk index and the wave forecast-based rip current risk index of the Haeundae Beach in 2021.

A study on algal bloom forecast system based on hydro-meteorological factors in the mainstream of Nakdong river using machine learning (머신러닝를 이용한 낙동강 본류 구간 수문-기상인자 조류 예보체계 연구)

  • Taewoo Lee;Soojun Kim;Junhyeong Lee;Kyunghun Kim;Hoyong Lee;Duckgil Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2024
  • Blue-green algal bloom, or harmful algal bloom has a negative impact on the aquatic ecosystem and purified water supply system due to oxygen depletion in the water body, odor, and secretion of toxic substances in the freshwater ecosystem. This Blue-green algal bloom is expected to increase in intensity and frequency due to the increase in algae's residence time in the water body after the construction of the Nakdong River weir, as well as the increase in surface temperature due to climate change. In this study, in order to respond to the expected increase in green algae phenomenon, an algal bloom forecast system based on hydro-meteorological factors was presented for preemptive response before issuing a algal bloom warning. Through polyserial correlation analysis, the preceding influence periods of temperature and discharge according to the algal bloom forecast level were derived. Using the decision tree classification, a machine learning technique, Classification models for the algal bloom forecast levels based on temperature and discharge of the preceding period were derived. And a algal bloom forecast system based on hydro-meteorological factors was derived based on the results of the decision tree classification models. The proposed algae forecast system based on hydro-meteorological factors can be used as basic research for preemptive response before blue-green algal blooms.