• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood forecast

Search Result 176, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Derivation of Dimensionless Routing Curves for Dam Failure Flood Wave (댐 붕괴 홍수파 해석을 위한 무차원 홍수추적곡선의 유도)

  • Lee, Jong Tae;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-99
    • /
    • 1992
  • The types of dam-break have been classified as instantaneous and gradual failure. Equations for estimating the peak outflow have been derived respectively as a metric unit. New dimensionless routing curves have been deveoloped based on the distance parameter which has been used in SMPDBK and hydro-geometric characteristics of dams and reservoirs in Korea. These suggested curves can be used for any case of the flow of supercritical or subcritical. The computed peak flowrate shows the trend of decreasing dependence on the Froude numbers as it increases. These curves are applied to Hyogi dam. and the results have good agreements with the data observed in the peak discharges, peak elevations and flood travel time. The simplified dam-break model in this study would contribute effectively to forecast the dam-break flood in this country with minimum informations in a short time.

  • PDF

Development of Radar Tracking Technique for the Short -Term Rainfall Field Forecasting- (초단기 강우예측을 위한 기상레이더 강우장 추적기법 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.48 no.12
    • /
    • pp.995-1009
    • /
    • 2015
  • Weather radar rainfall data has been recognized for making valuable contributions to short-term flood forecasting and management over the past decades. There are several advantages to better monitoring rainfall in ungauged area compared to ground-based rain gauges with which spatial patterns of the rainfall are not effectively identified. Hence, this study aims to develop a new scheme to forecast spatio-temporal rainfall field. The proposed model was based on an advection scheme to track wind patterns and velocity. The results showd a promising forecasting skill with quantitative and qualitative measures. It was confirmed that the forecasted rainfall may be effectively used an input data for a distributed hydrological model.

Automatic Calibration of Storage-Function Rainfall-Runoff Model Using an Optimization Technique (최적화(最適化) 기법(技法)에 의한 저유함수(貯留函數) 유출(流出) 모형(模型)의 자동보정(自動補正))

  • Shim, Soon Bo;Kim, Sun Koo;Ko, Seok Ku
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.127-137
    • /
    • 1992
  • For the real-time control of a multi-purpose reservoir in case of a storm, it is absolutely necessary to forecast accurate flood inflows through a good rainfall-runoff model by calibrating the parameters with the on-line rainfall and water level data transmitted by the telemetering systems. To calibrate the parameters of a runoff model. the trial and error method of manual calibration has been adopted from the subjective view point of a model user. The object of this study is to develop a automatic calibration method using an optimization technique. The pattern-search algorithm was applied as an optimization technique because of the stability of the solution under various conditions. The object function was selected as the sum of the squares of differences between observed and fitted ordinates of the hydrograph. Two historical flood events were applied to verify the developed technique for the automatic calibration of the parameters of the storage-function rainfall-runoff model which has been used for the flood control of the Soyanggang multi-purpose reservoir by the Korea Water Resources Corporation. The developed method was verified to be much more suitable than the manual method in flood forecasting and real-time reservoir controlling because it saves calibration time and efforts in addition to the better flood forecasting capability.

  • PDF

Development of flood inundation area GIS database for Samsung-1 drainage sector, Seoul, Korea (서울 삼성 1분구에 대한 침수면적 GIS 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Oh, Minkwan;Lee, Dongryul;Kwon, Hyunhan;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.12
    • /
    • pp.981-993
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study explains the GIS database of flood inundation area developed for Samsung-1 Drainage Sector, Seoul, Korea. The XP-SWMM dual drainage model was developed for the study area, and the time series observed at the watershed outlet was used to obtain the watershed time of concentration and to calibrate the XP-SWMM model. The rainfall scenario was developed by dividing the 40 minute watershed time of concentration into two 20-minute time steps and then applying the gradually increasing 5 mm/hr interval rainfall intensity to each of the time step up to 200 mm/hr, which is the probable maximum precipitation of the study area. The developed rainfall scenarios was used as the input of the XP-SWMM model to obtain the database of the flood inundation area. The analysis on the developed GIS database revealed that: (1) For the same increment of the rainfall, the increase of the flooded area can be different, and this was caused by topographic characteristics and spatial formation of pipe network of the study area; (2) For the same flooded area, the spatial extent can be significantly different depending on the temporal distribution of rainfall; and (3) For the same amount of the design rainfall, the flood inundation area and the extent can be significantly different depending on the temporal distribution of rainfall.

Flood Forecasting and Warning Using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Technique (Neuro-Fuzzy 추론기법을 이용한 홍수 예.경보)

  • Yi, Jae-Eung;Choi, Chang-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.41 no.3
    • /
    • pp.341-351
    • /
    • 2008
  • Since the damage from the torrential rain increases recently due to climate change and global warming, the significance of flood forecasting and warning becomes important in medium and small streams as well as large river. Through the preprocess and main processes for estimating runoff, diverse errors occur and are accumulated, so that the outcome contains the errors in the existing flood forecasting and warning method. And estimating the parameters needed for runoff models requires a lot of data and the processes contain various uncertainty. In order to overcome the difficulties of the existing flood forecasting and warning system and the uncertainty problem, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) technique has been presented in this study. ANFIS, a data driven model using the fuzzy inference theory with neural network, can forecast stream level only by using the precipitation and stream level data in catchment without using a lot of physical data that are necessary in existing physical model. Time series data for precipitation and stream level are used as input, and stream levels for t+1, t+2, and t+3 are forecasted with this model. The applicability and the appropriateness of the model is examined by actual rainfall and stream level data from 2003 to 2005 in the Tancheon catchment area. The results of applying ANFIS to the Tancheon catchment area for the actual data show that the stream level can be simulated without large error.

A Study on the Urban Inundation Flooding Forecasting According to the Water Level Conditions (내수위 조건에 따른 도시내수침수 예보에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai-ho;Choo, Yean-moon;Jeon, Hae-seong;Gwon, Chang-heon;Lee, Jae-gyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.545-550
    • /
    • 2019
  • The frequency of natural disasters and the scale of damage are increasing due to the abnormal weather phenomenon occurring all over the world. As a result, as the hydrological aspect of the urban watershed changes, the increase in impervious area leads to serious domestic flood damage due to increased rainfall. In order to minimize the damage of life and property, domestic flooding prediction system is needed. In this study, we developed a flood nomogram capable of predicting flooding only by rainfall intensity and duration. This study suggests a method to set the internal water immersion alarm criterion by analyzing the characteristics of the flooding damage in the flooded area in the metropolitan area where flooding is highly possible and the risk of flooding is high. In addition, based on the manhole and the pipe, the water level was set as follows under the four conditions. 1) When manhole overflows, 2) when manhole is full, 3) when 70% of the pipe is reached, and 4) when 60% of the pipe is reached. Therefore, it can be used as a criterion and a predictive measure to cope with the pre-preparation before the flooding starts, through the rainfall that causes the flooding and the flooding damage.

Application of Genetic Threshold Auto-regressive Model to Forecast Flood for Tidal River (감조하천의 홍수위 예측에 있어서 한계자기회귀모형의 응용)

  • Chen, Guo Xin;An, Shan Fu;Ko, Jin-Seok;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2007.02a
    • /
    • pp.587-590
    • /
    • 2007
  • 한계자기회귀모형(TAR)을 응용하여 동시에 해조와 홍수의 영향을 받을 때 삽교천 감조구간의 삽교호수위관측소의 월 최고수위를 예측하는 모형을 구축하였으며, 모형구축과정에서 유전알고리즘으로 한계값과 자기회귀계수의 매개변수를 최적화한다. 계산결과 한계자기회귀모형은 감조하천의 비선형성특성을 모의 할 수 있으며, 예측의 정확도와 예측성능의 안정성을 확보할 수 있다. 연구결과 유전한계자귀회귀모형으로 감조하천구간의 월 최고수위를 예측하는 것이 가능하며, 또한 감조하천구간에서 기타 수문요소의 비선형성 서열예측 중에서도 광범한 실용가치가 있다고 본다.

  • PDF

Comparitive Analysis of Distributed model and Lumped model on Flood Flow Forecast (홍수유출예측에 있어서 분포모형과 집중모형의 비교분석)

  • An, Shan-Fu;Peng, Jia;Choi, Eun-Hyuk;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2006.05a
    • /
    • pp.1807-1811
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 홍수유출예측을 위해서 국제수문계획(IHP) 대표시험유역인 위천유역을 대상으로 집중모형인 HMS모형의 SCS단위도법과 분포모형인 TOPMODEL을 이용하여 홍수유출을 비교분석한 결과 TOPMODEL이 현실에 더욱 적합하였다. TOPMODEL의 매개변수는 물리적 의미를 가지고 있으며, 유천유역의 14개 호우사상으로부터 추정한 매개변수로 다른 5개 호우사상에 적용한 결과 홍수사상을 비교적 정확히 모의한 것으로 봐서 국내 홍수예경보모델의 일부로 사용될 때 그 역할을 훌륭히 수행할 수 있다고 판단된다.

  • PDF

Water Management Program for Sungju District (성주지구 물관리 프로그램 개발)

  • Go, Gwang-Don;Kwun, Soon-Kuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2001.10a
    • /
    • pp.69-73
    • /
    • 2001
  • At this project we developed water management program for sungju district. This program include flood forecast program, drought reduction program, irrigation scheduling program and database program. With these program we expect that operator can improve the irrigation efficiencies of the irrigation systems due to the timely irrigation on a right place, in a proper quantity and reduce the cost of maintenance. In agricultural engineering respect, the databases including water level, rainfall, the amount of flowing can be useful to the researcher who make a study of hydrology and hydraulics in rural area, Water management program record all of the TM/TC data to MDB format file per 10 minutes.

  • PDF

The Transmission Power Controllers for the VSAT Having the ALC Functions (ALC 기능을 갖는 VSAT용 송신전력 제어기)

  • Hong, Sung-Taek;Shin, Gang-Wook;Lee, Dong-Keun;Lee, Young-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2005.07d
    • /
    • pp.2495-2497
    • /
    • 2005
  • The satellite communication equipment, which has been installed and operated for the flood forecast and warning system at KOWACO, needs the review of the transmission Power control for keeping the stable operation of the satellite communication equipments. In this study, made the sample hardware for the transmission power control at Mini-Hubs and remote sites, and developed the control algorithm for stable operation of the transmission power controller.

  • PDF