• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood damage estimation

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Development of Rainfall-Flood Damage Estimation Function using Nonlinear Regression Equation (비선형 회귀식을 이용한 강우-홍수피해액 추정함수 개발)

  • Lee, Jongso;Eo, Gyu;Choi, Changhyun;Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.74-88
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    • 2016
  • Predicting and estimating the disaster characteristics are very important for disaster planning such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. Especially, if we can predict the flood damage before flooding, the predicted or estimated damage will be a very good information to the decision maker for the response and recovery. However, most of the researches, have been performed for calculating disaster damages only after disasters had already happened and there are few studies that are related to the prediction of the damages before disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict and estimate the flood damages rapidly considering the damage scale and effect before the flood disaster, For this the relationship of rainfall and damage had been suggested using nonlinear regression equation so that it is able to predict the damages according to rainfall. We compared the estimated damages and the actual ones. As a result, the damages were underestimated in 14.16% for Suwon-city and 15.81% for Yangpyeong-town but the damage was overestimated in 37.33% for Icheon-city. The underestimated and overestimated results could be occurred due to the uncertainties involved in natural phenomenon and no considerations of the 4 disaster steps such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery which were already performed.. Therefore, we may need the continuous study in this area for reducing various uncertainties and considering various factors related to disasters.

Application of New Version of Flood Frequency Analysis (Bulletin 17C) (미국의 새로운 홍수빈도해석 가이드라인(Bulletin 17C)의 적용)

  • Lee, Taesam;England, John F.;Son, Chanyoung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2017
  • Accurate flood frequency and magnitude estimation has a critical role in flood risk management and damage reduction. In United States, Log Pearson Type-III (LP-III) distribution with method of moments for parameter estimation has been uniformly and consistently employed in estimating design floods. After the first version of flood frequency guidelines (Bulletin 15) was published in 1967, the revised version Bulletin 17B has been employed since 1982 up to now. A new version of flood frequency guidelines, Bulletin 17C, is prepared and about to come out soon. In the current study, we analyzed the new features of the upcoming Bulletin 17C and presented case studies applying its new features. From the presented results, we see what critical components in the new design flood frequency guideline we could learn.

Optimal Reservour Operation for Flood Control Using a Hybrid Approach (Case Study: Chungju Multipurpose Reservoir in Korea) (복합 모델링 기법을 이용한 홍수시 저수지 최적 운영 (사례 연구 : 충주 다목적 저수지))

  • Lee, Han-Gu;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.727-739
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    • 1998
  • The main objectives o reservoir optimal operation can be described as follows : maximization of the benefits through optimal allocation of the limited water resources for various purpose; minimization of t도 costs by the flood damage in potential damaging regions and risk of dam failure, etc. through safe drainage of a bulky volume of excessive water by a proper reservoir operation. Reviewing the past research works related to reservoir operation, we can find that the study on the matter of the former has been extensively carried out in last decades rather than the matter of the latter. This study is focused on developing a methodology of optimal reservoir operation for flood control, and a case study is performed on the Chungju multipurpose reservoir in Korea. The final goal of the study is to establish a reservoir optimal operation system which can search optimal policy to compromise two conflicting objectives: downstream flood damage and dam safety-upstream flood damage. In order to reach the final goal of the study, the following items were studied : (1)validation of hydrological data using HYMOS: (2)establishment of a downstream flood routing model coupling a rainfall-runoff model and SOBEK system for 1-D hydrodynamic flood routing; (3)replication of a flood damage estimation model by a neural network; (4)development of an integrated reservoir optimization module for an optimal operation policy.

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Comparison of Flooding Area Estimation using GIS and Hydraulic Model (GIS와 수리모형을 이용한 홍수지역예측 비교)

  • Kim, Seok-Gyu;Song, In-Ho;Kim, Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, the damage caused by flood has been gradually increased. The cause of the flood is unusual weather condition as well as topographical and geographical condition of our country. Flood area analyzing vulnerable flood areas on large regions without previous flood records were developed using GIS and hydraulic model, flood depth by return periods and topographical data such as DEM. The study area is the Munsan river basin. The results using GIS comparing the results using hydraulic model. The results in this study can be used to delineate the potential flooding areas in large regions and the damage from disasters can be reduced by making provisions with the obtained results.

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Conceptual Design of a Hazard Evaluation Process for Constructing the Korean Hazard Information System : Focused on Flood Hazard (한국형 재해정보시스템 구축을 위한 재해평가 프로세스 개념설계 : 홍수재해를 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Keun-Chae
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, for constructing the Korean Hazard Information System (KHIS), we conceptually design a hazard evaluation process. We first deal with a hazard evaluation process focused on flood hazard to give the most immense damage and loss. The hazard evaluation process is consist of a damage evaluation process and a loss evaluation process, and is used for transforming hazards from natural disasters into economic measures. The proposed process is developed based on the famous FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)'s $HAZAS^{@MH}$methodology. We modify the FEMA's process to be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, that is all losses from the hazards are included into the estimation process but the losses are not duplicated in the process. In addition to this, we define the loss process specifically by considering the characteristics from the hazard environments of Korea. We can expect that KHIS for evaluating economic losses from natural hazards can be developed based on the conceptual design for the economic loss evaluation process, and KHIS can be used as a useful tool for analyzing the feasibilities of mitigation plans in central/local governments.

Development of an Open Source-based Spatial Analysis Tool for Storm and Flood Damage (풍수해 대비 오픈소스 기반 공간분석 도구 개발)

  • Kim, Minjun;Lee, Changgyu;Hwang, Suyeon;Ham, Jungsoo;Choi, Jinmu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_3
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    • pp.1435-1446
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    • 2021
  • Wind and flood damage caused by typhoons causes a lot of damage to the Korean Peninsula every year. In order to minimize damage, a preliminary analysis of damage estimation and evacuation routes is required for rapid decision-making. This study attempted to develop an analysis module that can provide necessary information according to the disaster stage. For use in the preparation stage, A function to check past typhoon routes and past damage information similar to typhoon routes heading north, a function to extract isolated dangerous areas, and a function to extract reservoir collapse areas were developed. For use in the early stages of response and recovery, a function to extract the expected flooding range considering the current flooding depth, a function to analyze expected damage information on population, buildings, farmland, and a function to provide evacuation information were included. In addition, an automated web map creation method was proposed to express the analysis results. The analysis function was developed and modularized based on Python open source, and the web display function was implemented based on JavaScript. The tools developed in this study are expected to be efficiently used for rapid decision-making in the early stages of monitoring against storm and flood damage.

Estimation for Probability Flood Discharge in Urban Rivers (도심통과 하천에서의 확률홍수량 산정)

  • Yun, seong-jun;Choi, jae-hong;Kwon, gi-beom;Seo, jae-youl;Lee, jong-seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.281-284
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    • 2008
  • Estimating flood discharge is important because a very large scale of damage on people's lives and wealth is occurred by downpour for the unusual weather change recently. Accordingly, this study derive rating-curve by using the estimated probable flood discharge although frequency analysis for Gam-stream.

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Proposal for Wind Wave Damage Cost Estimation at the Southern Coastal Zone based on Disaster Statistics (재해통계기반 남해연안지역 풍랑피해액예측함수 제안)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho;Yun, Gwan-Seon;Kwon, Yong-Been;Park, Sang-Jin;Kim, Seong-Ryul
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2017
  • The natural disasters such as typhoon, earthquake, flood, heavy rain, drought, sweltering heat, wind wave, tsunami and so on, are difficult to estimate the scale of damage and spot. Also, these disasters were being damaged to human life. However, if based on the disaster statistics the past damage cases are analyzed and the estimated damages can be calculated, the initial damage action can be taken immediately and based on the estimated damage scale the damage can be mitigated. In the present study, therefore, we proposed the functions of wind wave damage estimation for the southern coast. The functions are developed based on Disaster Report('91~'14) for wind wave and typhoon disaster statistics, regional characteristics and observed sea weather.

Development of a Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Model Using Weather Radar Data (기상레이더 자료를 이용한 단시간 강우예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob; Kim, Jong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1023-1034
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    • 2008
  • The size and frequency of the natural disaster related to the severe storms are increased for recent decades in all over the globe. The damage from natural disasters such as typhoon, storm and local severe rainfall is very serious in Korea since they are concentrated on summer season. These phenomena will be more frequent in the future because of the impact of climate change related to increment of $CO_2$ concentration and the global warming. To reduce the damage from severe storms, a short-range precipitation forecasting model using a weather radar was developed. The study was conducted as following four tasks: conversion three-dimensional radar data to two-dimensional CAPPI(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator) efficiently, prediction of motion direction and velocity of a weather system, estimation of two-dimensional rainfall using operational calibration. Results demonstrated that two-dimensional estimation using weather radar is useful to analyze the spatial characteristics of local storms. If the precipitation forecasting system is linked to the flood prediction system, it should contribute the flood management and the mitigation of flood damages.

Wetland Utilization of the Cut River and Economic Analysis for Flood Control (폐천의 습지 이용과 치수경제성 분석)

  • Kim, Hung Soo;Lee, Sang Sik;Jeong, Sang Man;Park, Soo Yong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2002
  • The channel improvement plan has contributed to the flood damage reduction studies and the plan has mainly performed by the levee construction which creates the cut river. The cut river has mainly used as the agricultural and housing purposes. Recently, however, it is considered as a natural wetland for the purposes of a flood control and preservation of nature. So, this study compares the economical benefits according to the purposes of the cut river utilizations such as an agricultural, levee construction for flood damage reduction, and wetland. The study area is the downstream part of Kok-Neung stream which is a main tributary of Han river. The agricultural and levee construction benefits are estimated based on the 'Agricultural and Forestry Statistical Year' (2000) and the 'Standard for River Design' (2001). The benefit or value for the wetland utilization of the cut river is estimated by the enquete using questionnaire. As a results, for the case of which the cut river is used as an agricultural land, the present net benefit is estimated as 195.81 million won, for the levee construction, as 20853.00 million won and for the wetland, as 24692.89 million won. Therefore, the wetland is the best choice for the cut river utilization.

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