• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood damage estimation

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Estimation of Flood Damage Considering Land Use in Urban Area (도시지역 토지이용을 고려한 침수피해액 산정)

  • Tak, Yong Hun;Lee, Jae Kwang;Kim, Young Do;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.4-4
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    • 2018
  • 도시의 발전으로 인해 시 도를 비롯한 시가 및 건조지역의 토지이용은 매우 복잡하게 변화되었다. 과거 농경이 주된 경제활동인 경우 주거지역은 매우 단순한 형태로 구성되었고 논, 밭, 산림 지역 등이 주를 이루었지만, 도시로 산업이 집중, 발달하고 인구가 밀집되며 주거지역, 상업, 공업, 교통지역 등 시가지역은 매우 다양하고 복잡하게 변화되었다. 도시가 발달하며 주거지의 건물가치와 상업 및 공업지역의 자산, 교통 및 공공시설의 공공적 가치가 상승하였고, 침수 발생시 사유재산 및 사회적 피해가 증대되고 있다. 시가 및 건조지역은 대부분 불투수율이 높은 지역으로 구성되어있으며, 이러한 도시에서 침수가 발생할 경우 지표수의 이동, 매설된 관거의 형상과 통수능에 의한 월류가 주된 원인으로 작용하여, 도로 및 건물의 형태에 의해 매우 복잡한 형태로 침수현상이 나타난다. 이러한 도시의 침수피해를 분석하기 위해 복잡하고 고 가치화된 도시의 토지이용 특성을 잘 반영한 침수 피해분석이 필요하고, 피해를 줄이고 재산을 보호하기 위한 치수시설의 도입에 따른 피해액 감소 및 경제성 분석이 우선시 되어 효율성과 타당성을 판단할 수 있어야 한다. 토지이용 특성이 반영되지 않을 경우 피해액을 다소 과소, 과대하게 산정할 수 있다. 홍수피해의 경제성을 분석하기 위한 방법에는 다차원 홍수피해 산정방법이 있으며, 경제성 분석은 하천의 정비상태, 하도 및 관거, 제방 및 유수지 등 홍수 방지시설 등 구조적, 비구조적 대책을 모두 대상으로 하여야 하며, 인명과 재산이 집중된 도시의 경우 보다 정확한 피해액을 산정할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 과거 침수피해가 있었던 도림천 유역을 대상으로 도시지역의 유출모의에 적합하다고 알려진 SWMM 모형을 활용하여 도시유출 해석 및 침수현상을 분석하였으며, 다차원 홍수피해 산정방법을 활용하여 주거, 상업 및 공업자산을 반영하기 우해 토지이용 특성에 따른 침수피해액을 분석하였다.

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Improvement of CSVR used for Flood Damage Estimation based on Insurance Claim DB (침수피해액 추정을 위한 CSVR의 보험 Claim DB 기반 개선)

  • Baek, Chun Woo;Roh, Jin Yong;Lee, You Me;Park, Hong Gyu;Bae, Young Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.193-193
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화로 인한 거대 자연재해 발생의 위험이 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 국외의 경우 주요정부기관, 보험사 및 연구기관 중심으로 자연재해 피해예측 모델을 개발하여 사용하고 있다. 침수사고 인한 피해는 건물은 물론이고 가재도구, 재고자산, 기계시설 등의 내용물에서도 발생하며, 건축물 신축단가 등을 이용해 비교적 쉽게 자산가치를 산정할 수 있는 건물구조물과 다르게, 건물내용물의 자산가치는 시설물의 업종, 용도, 사용자 특성 등에 따라 변동성이 큰 특징이 있다. 내용물의 피해액 추정을 위해 자연재해 피해예측 모델은 건물 구조물과 내용물 가치의 비율인 CSVR(Contents to Structure Value Ratio)을 사용하며, CSVR은 시설물 용도에 따른 자산가치평가 통계를 이용해 산정할 수 있다. 충분한 자산가치평가 DB를 확보할 경우 CSVR의 정확도 확보가 가능할 것이며, 이를 위해 국내에서는 민간보험사의 재물보험 계약 4만여건의 건물, 내용물 보험가입금액을 행정안전부 도로명전자지도에서 분류하는 건물 용도에 따라 분석한 연구결과가 있다. 하지만, 일반적으로 보험가입단계에서 대략적으로 추정하는 보험가입금액과 실제 자산의 가치는 차이가 있을 수 있지만, 보험가입물건의 실제 자산가치는 일부만 DB화 되어 있는 단점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 사고 발생 후 작성되는 손해사정보고서에서 평가한 정확한 자산가치 DB를 수집하여, 보험가입금액을 기준으로 산정한 CSVR의 결과와 비교하였다. 손해사정보고서에서 평가한 실제 자산가치를 기준으로 분석한 CSVR과 보험가입금액을 기준으로 산정한 CSVR은, 업종에 따라 유사하거나 큰 차이를 보이는 경우도 있었으며, 침수로 인한 정확한 피해액 추정을 위해서는 보다 양질의 DB확보를 통한 CSVR의 정확도 확보가 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

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Estimation of Daily Sewage and Direct Runoff for the Combined Sewer System of Gunja Experimental Drainage (군자 시험배수구역 합류식 하수관거시스템의 일일하수량 및 직접유출량 산정)

  • Kim, Chung-Soo;Han, Myoung-Sun;Kim, Hyoung-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2009
  • A localized torrential rainfall and flash floods which are more frequently occurred by extraordinary atmospheric phenomena and rising sea surface temperature require more hydrological data collecting and analysis for small watershed. Urban watershed hydrological data monitoring system is needed because of big flood potential damage and lack of urban watershed hydrological data. Therefore, Urban Flood Disaster Management Research Center operates small experimental catchments(Sinnae1, Gunja, and Children's Park) observing and analyzing hydrological data(rainfall, stage, and discharge). In this study, the discharge of combined sewage for Gunja experimental drainage is analyzed with weekly data and day of the week data. Through several analyses in analyzing the urban runoff characteristics and managing the urban sewage system, direct runoff is calibrated and verified by the estimated values of rainfall-runoff model(SWMM).

An Analysis of Long-Term River Bed Changes using Surface-water Modeling System (SMS) Model: A case study of the Pochon stream basin (SMS 모형을 이용한 포천천 유역에서의 장기하상변동 분석)

  • Choi, Min-Ha;Lee, Seung-Oh;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2008
  • More precise estimation of the bed change, primary cause of flood damage, has been recognized significant for designs of levees and other river facilities. In this study, the long-term bed change was examined as the application of the relatively new Surface-water Modeling System (SMS) Model because there has not been broad verification of the model empirically on river of South Korea. This 2-dimensional model was used to examine the bed change of Pochon Stream Basin, a tributary of Imjin River, where heavy rain damages annually occur. First, in order to verify the model, the simulating period was set from 1986 to 1998 because of the existence of the field measurements. Cross sectional field measurements of 1986 were used for the initial condition and output were compared and analyzed with the observed cross sectional data in 1998. As the results of the verification, the comparison in lateral and streamwise bed level between results from the model and the field measurements showed a reasonable agreement except for the some cases of local scours. However, in terms of the quantitative comparison, the change of the bed elevations for each cross section for 1998 was rather underestimated than that of the field measurements.

Estimation of the Hydrological Design Frequency of Local Rivers Using Bayesian Inference and a Sensitivity Analysis of Evaluation Factors (평가인자 가중치에 대한 베이지안 추론과 민감도 분석을 통한 적정 하천설계빈도 결정)

  • Ryu, Jae Hee;Kim, Ji Eun;Lee, Jin-Young;Park, Kyung-Woon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.617-626
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    • 2022
  • In Korea, annual precipitation and its variability have gradually increased since modern meteorological observations began, and the risk of disasters has also been increasing due to significant regional variations and recent abnormal climate conditions. Given that damage from storms and floods mainly occurs around rivers, it is crucial to determine the appropriate design frequency for river-related projects. This study examined existing design practices used to determine hydrological design frequencies and suggested a new method to determine appropriate design frequencies. The study collected available data pertaining to seven evaluation factors, specifically the basin areas, shape parameters, channel slopes, stream orders, backwater effect reaches, extreme rainfall frequencies, and urbanized flood inundation areasfor 413 local rivers in Chungcheongnam-do in Korea. The estimated weights for areas of extreme rainfall frequencies and urbanized flood inundation were found to be 18, having a great effect on determining the design frequency. Compared with the established design frequency in previous government reports, the estimated design frequency increased for 255 rivers and decreased for 158 rivers.

Study on the Rice Yield Reduction and Over head Flooding Depth for Design of Drainage System (배수 설계를 위한 벼의 관수심 및 관수피해율에 관한 연구)

  • 김천환;김시원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 1982
  • The objective of this study is to contribute to drainage planning in the most realistic and economical way by establishing the relationship between rice yield reduction and overhead flooding by muddy water of each growth stage of paddy, which is the most important factor in determining optimum drainage facilities. This study was based on the data mainly from the experimental reports of the Office of Rural Development of Korea, Reduction Rate Estimation for Summer Crops, published by Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry of Japan and other related research documenta- tion. The results of this study are summarized as follows 1. Damages by overhead flooding are highest in heading stage and have the tendency of decrease in the order of booting stage, panicle formation stage, tillering stage, and stage just after transplanting. Damages by overhead flooding of each growing stage are as follows: a) It is considered that overhead flooding just after transplanting gives a little influence on plant growth and yield because the paddy has sufficient growth period from floo ding to harvest time. b) Jt is analyzed that according to the equation y=11 12x 0.908 which is derived from this study, damages by overhead flooding during tillering stage for 1, 2, 3 successive days are 11.1 %, 20.9%, and 30.2% respectively. c) Damages by overhead flooding after panicle formation stage are very serious because recovering period is very short after damage and ineffective tillering is much. Acc- ording to the equation y=9. 58x+10. Ol derived from this study, damages by overhead flooding fal 1,2,3,5 successive days are 19.6%, 29.2%, 38.8%, 57.9% respectively. d) Booting stage is the very important period in which young panicle has grown up almost completely and the number of glumous flower is fixed since reduction division takes place in the microspore mother cell and enbryo mother cell. According to the equation y=39. 66x 0.558 derived from this study, damages by overhead floodingfor 0.5, 1, 3, 5 successive days are 26.9%, 39.7%, 72. 2% and 97.4%, respectively. Therefore, damages by overhead flooding is very serious during the hooting stage. e) When ear of paddy emerges, flowering begins on that day or the next day; when paddy flowers, fertilization will be completed 2-3 hours after flowering. Therefore overhead flooding during heading stage impedes flowering and increases sterilizing percentage. From this reason damages of heading stage are larger than that of booting stage. According to the equation y-41 94x 0.589 derived from this study, damages by overhead flooding for 0.5, 1, 3, 5, successive days are 27.9%, 63.1 %, 80.1%, and 100% 2. Considering that temperature of booting stage is higher than that of beading stage and plant height of booting stage is ten centimeters shorter than that of heading stage, booting stage should be taken as a critical period for drainage planning because possi- bility of damage occurrence in booting stage is larger than that of heading stage. There-fore, it is considered that booting stage should be taken as critical period of paddy growth for drainage planning. 3. Overhead flooding depth is different depending on the stage of growth. In case, booting stage is adopted as design stage of growth for drainage planning, it is conside red that the allowable flooding depth for new varieties and general varieties are 70cm and 80cm respectively. 4. Reduction Rate Estimation by Wind and Flood for Rice Planting of the present design criteria for drainage planning shows damage by overhead flooding for 1 to 2, 3 to 4, 5 to 7 consecutive days; damages by overhead flooding varies considerably over several hours and experimental condition of soil, variety of paddy, and climate differs with real situation. From these reasons, damage by flooding could not be estimated properly in the past. This study has derived the equation which shows damages by flooding of each growth stage on an hourly basis. Therefore, it has become possible to compute the exact damages in case duration of overhead flooding is known.

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A Study on Estimation of Levee Safety Map for Determining the Priority of River Maintenance (하천 유지관리 우선순위 결정을 위한 제방안전도맵 산정방법 연구)

  • Yoon, Kwang Seok;Kim, Sooyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2017
  • Owing to recent climate change, the scale of rainfall tends to increase gradually and the risk of flooding has increased. Therefore, the importance of improving the levee management and disaster response is increasing. Levee management in Korea is carried out at the level of damage recovery after the occurrence of damage. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a technology for predicting and managing the levee safety with proactive river management. In this study, a method to estimate the safety against erosion and overflow was suggested. A map of levee safety that can be used as basic data is presented by displaying the levee safety on the map. The levee erosion safety was calculated as the ratio of the internal and external force for each shore type. The levee overflow safety was calculated as the ratio of the maximum conveyance and design flood. The maximum conveyance was a discharge when the level of the river was equal to the level of the levee crown. The levee safety was classified into 5 grades: very safe, safe, normal, dangerous, and very dangerous. As a research area from downstream of Nam River Dam to Nakdong River Junction, the levee safety against erosion and overflow was estimated for all levees and all cross-sections of the river. The levee safety was displayed on a map using GIS. Through the levee safety map as a result of this study, the levee safety can be observed intuitively. Using the levee safety map, a maintenance plan for a river can be easy to build. This levee safety map can be used to help determine the priority of investment for efficient budget used.

Analysis of Influence for Breach Flow According to Asymmetry of Breach Cross-section (제방붕괴 형상의 비대칭성에 따른 붕괴흐름의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyoung;Choi, Seo-hye;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.557-565
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    • 2016
  • The risk of collapse in hydraulic structures has become more elevated, due to the increased probability and scale of flooding caused by global warming and the resulting abnormal climatic conditions. When a levee, a typical hydraulic structure, breaks, an enormous breach flow pours into the floodplain and much flood damage then occurs. It is important to accurately calculate the breach discharge in order to predict this damage. In this study, the variation of the breach discharge with the asymmetry in the cross-section of the levee breach was analyzed. Through hydraulic experiments, the cross-section of the breach was analyzed during the collapse using the BASD (Bilateral ASymmetry Degree), which was developed to measure the degree of asymmetry. The relationship of the breach discharge was identified using the BASD. Additionally, the variation of the breach flow measured by the BASD was investigated through a 3-D numerical analysis under the same flow conditions as those in the experiment. It was found that the assumption of a rectangular breach cross-section, which is generally used for the estimation of the inundation area, can cause the breach discharge to be overestimated. According to the BASD, the breach flow is decreased by the interference effect in the breach section of the levee. If the breach flow is calculated while considering the BASD in the numerical analysis of the flooding, it is expected that the predicted inundation area can be estimated accurately.

Accuracy Improvement of Urban Runoff Model Linked with Optimal Simulation (최적모의기법과 연계한 도시유출모형의 정확도 개선)

  • Ha, Chang-Young;Kim, Byunghyun;Son, Ah-Long;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.215-226
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the accuracy of the urban runoff and drainage network analysis by using the observed water level in the drainage network. To do this, sensitivity analysis for major parameters of SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) was performed and parameters were calibrated. The sensitivity of the parameters was the order of the roughness of the conduit, the roughness of the impervious area, the width of the watershed, and the roughness of the pervious area. Six types of scenarios were set up according to the number and types of parameter considering four parameters with high sensitivity. These scenarios were applied to the Seocho-3/4/5, Yeoksam, and Nonhyun drainage basins, where the serious flood damage occurred due to the heavy rain on 21 July, 2013. Parameter optimization analysis based on PEST (Parameter ESTimation) model for each scenario was performed by comparing observed water level in the conduits. By analyzing the accuracy of each scenario, more improved simulation results could be obtained, that is, the maximum RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) could be reduced by 2.41cm and the maximum peak error by 13.7%. The results of this study will be helpful to analyze volume of the manhole surcharge and forecast the inundation area more accurately.

GIS-based Disaster Management System for a Private Insurance Company in Case of Typhoons(I) (지리정보기반의 재해 관리시스템 구축(I) -민간 보험사의 사례, 태풍의 경우-)

  • Chang Eun-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.1 s.112
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    • pp.106-120
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    • 2006
  • Natural or man-made disaster has been expected to be one of the potential themes that can integrate human geography and physical geography. Typhoons like Rusa and Maemi caused great loss to insurance companies as well as public sectors. We have implemented a natural disaster management system for a private insurance company to produce better estimation of hazards from high wind as well as calculate vulnerability of damage. Climatic gauge sites and addresses of contract's objects were geo-coded and the pressure values along all the typhoon tracks were vectorized into line objects. National GIS topog raphic maps with scale of 1: 5,000 were updated into base maps and digital elevation model with 30 meter space and land cover maps were used for reflecting roughness of land to wind velocity. All the data are converted to grid coverage with $1km{\times}1km$. Vulnerability curve of Munich Re was ad opted, and preprocessor and postprocessor of wind velocity model was implemented. Overlapping the location of contracts on the grid value coverage can show the relative risk, with given scenario. The wind velocities calculated by the model were compared with observed value (average $R^2=0.68$). The calibration of wind speed models was done by dropping two climatic gauge data, which enhanced $R^2$ values. The comparison of calculated loss with actual historical loss of the insurance company showed both underestimation and overestimation. This system enables the company to have quantitative data for optimizing the re-insurance ratio, to have a plan to allocate enterprise resources and to upgrade the international creditability of the company. A flood model, storm surge model and flash flood model are being added, at last, combined disaster vulnerability will be calculated for a total disaster management system.