• 제목/요약/키워드: fiscal variables

검색결과 56건 처리시간 0.022초

재정(財政)·통화정책(通貨政策)의 적정관계(適正關係)에 대한 고찰(考察) : 재정우위(財政優位)모델에 의한 실증적(實證的) 분석(分析) (A Simple Test for Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Regimes: The Case of Korea)

  • 황성현
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 1991
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 재정당국(財政當局)과 통화당국(通貨當局)를 포괄하는 통합정부(統合政府)의 최적재원조달(最適財源調達)의 관점에서 재정정책(財政政策)과 통화정책간(通貨政策間)의 체계적(體系的)인 연관(聯關)의 존재 여부와 그 내용을 재정우위(財政優位)모델의 이론적 결과에 입각하여 실증적(實證的)으로 고찰하였다. 재정우위(財政優位)모델에서는 통화(通貨)에 의한 직접적(直接的) 재원조달(財源調達) 경로(經路)로서의 seigniorage의 확보와, 간접적(間接的) 경로(經路)로서의 인플레적 편의(偏倚)를 모델화하여 정부예산제약하(政府豫算制約下)에서 최적(最適) 인플레이션율(率) 조세부담율(租稅負擔率)의 선택문제를 다루고 있으며, 이 모델에서 밝혀진 재정(財政) 통화정책(通貨政策)의 적정관계(適正關係)는 최적 인플레이션율(率)/조세부담률(租稅負擔率) 비율(比率)과 한계수입비율간(限界收入比率間)의 정(正)의 상관관계(相關關係)와, 인플레이션율(率)과 조세부담률간(租稅負擔率間)의 정(正)의 상관관계(相關關係)로 함축된다. 1970~80년대 한국경제(韓國經濟)의 거시경제정책영역(巨視經濟政策領域)의 성격 규명을 위한 가설검정(假說檢定) 결과는 이 기간의 재정(財政) 통화변수(通貨變數)의 추이가 통화에 의한 직접적 재원조달측면(財源調達側面)을 강조하는 재정우위(財政優位)의 최적화(最適化) 과정(過程)의 이론적(理論的) 결과(結果)와 부합됨을 보여주고 있다. 본(本) 연구결과(硏究結果)는 한국(韓國)의 거시경제정책기조(巨視經濟政策基調) 설명(說明)에 있어 재정우위(財政優位)의 최적화(最適化)모델이 유용할 수 있으며 재정(財政) 통화정책변수(通貨政策變數)들이 기대되는 수준 이상으로 체계적인 연관을 가지고 있음을 보여주고 있다. 또한 재정우위(財政優位)모델의 이론적 결과의 엄밀한 해석을 통하여 통화공급(通貨供給)과 물가(物價)의 설명변수(說明變數)로서의 재정(財政)의 중요성과 그 구체적 내용을 보여주고 있다.

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경기도 재정력 변동의 특성에 따른 경제성장 전략 연구 -다양한 지역구분에 따른 실증분석- (The Regional Economic Growth Strategy Based on the Characteristics of Local Public Finance of Gyeonggi-do)

  • 박완규;지은초;송일환
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.84-104
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    • 2017
  • 본 고에서는 경기도를 동부, 서부, 남부, 북부 4개 지역으로 나누어 지역별로 경제성장에 차별적인 영향을 미치는 재정변수들을 찾아내고, 이를 통해 각 지역에 대한 맞춤형 경제성장 전략을 도출하였다. 고정효과 모형으로 지역별 지역내총생산(GRDP)에 영향을 미치는 변수들을 찾아낸 후, 이를 토대로 인과관계 검정을 통해 재정변수에서 GRDP로의 일방 및 쌍방 인과관계가 존재하는 변수를 도출하였다. 동부지역의 경우 지방세수입, 남부지역의 경우 세출결산 총액, 경상적 지출, 북부지역의 경우 사회복지 지출, 산업 중소기업 지출, 경상적 지출 등으로부터 GRDP로의 인과관계가 존재하는 것으로 나타나 이 변수들이 지역의 경제력에 영향을 미치는 것으로 볼 수 있었다. 이 변수들이 지역의 경제력에 미치는 절대적 효과의 지역 간 상대 비교를 위해 GRDP에 대한 승수효과를 산출하였다.

Determinants of Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Model

  • BASUKI, Agus Tri;PURWANINGSIH, Yunastiti;SOESILO, Albertus Maqnus;MULYANTO, Mulyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of public spending, macroeconomic variables, and BPK opinion on economic growth. This study is motivated by the inequality of fiscal policy effectiveness between regions in Indonesia in influencing the economic growth of different regions, the ability of local governments to attract foreign investors, and the transparency of regional financial management in designing development programs to encourage regional economic growth. The analytical tool in this study is a dynamic panel regression model with data from 2008 to 2017. The results of this study show that, in the short term, the population affects regional economic growth, while in the long term, the economic growth is affected by the number of people, the poor, General Allocation Fund, health budget, foreign investment and BPK opinion. The findings of this study are that in the long term the General Allocation Fund becomes an obstacle to economic growth, this is because the general allocation funds is widely used to cover the lack of funds for routine regional activities, thereby reducing activities for development programs. Another research finding is that fiscal policies carried out by local governments make a small and ineffective contribution to promoting economic growth.

DSGE 모형 추정을 이용한 2000년 이후 한국의 거시경제 분석 (Analysis on Korean Economy with an Estimated DSGE Model after 2000)

  • 김태봉
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.1-64
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    • 2014
  • 본고는 소규모 개방경제를 상정한 동태확률모형을 통해 2000년 이후의 한국 거시경제의 변동요인들과 금융위기 기간의 통화정책과 재정정책의 변화요인을 추정하였다. 실증분석을 위해 동태확률모형은 경제성장률을 결정하는 두 가지 다른 추세요인과 다양한 구조충격요인 그리고 다양한 형태의 마찰을 포함시킴으로써, 거시변수들이 어떠한 요인에 의해 변화했는지를 정량적으로 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과, 금융위기 기간 동안 통화정책은 주로 테일러 준칙을 따른 것으로 나타난 반면, 재정정책의 반응은 재정준칙보다는 상대적으로 큰 폭의 재정충격요인에 의해서 설명된 것으로 추정되었다.

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Factors Affecting Job Performance: A Case Study of Academic Staff in Pakistan

  • TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;AGHA, Amad Nabi;SALMAN, Faryal;ULLAH, Imran;NISAR, Asad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.473-483
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    • 2021
  • This study's fundamental purpose is to examine the personality factors of business school faculty members in job satisfaction and job performance. Results show the significant impact of multicultural faculty members' job performance in a diverse environment in the Business schools of Karachi. The data is collected through the multi questionnaires from the various teaching, non-teaching staff, and students of private business schools of Karachi in Pakistan. The data has been tested through the Jamovi-by-medmod, and the regression model is to scrutinize and find the effect dependent variables to mediation. Simultaneously, results are calculated by mediation estimates and path estimates through the medmod technic and regression test from data. It provides a comprehensive insight into various factors such as personality traits, self-efficiency, Psychological diversity climate, self-esteem, and human resource management practices. These are the primary evaluated factors that affect multicultural faculty members' job satisfaction and job performance. However, results show a positive relationship between diversity climate and job performance, which mediates by job satisfaction. Similarly, personality traits show a positive relationship with job performance that mediates by job satisfaction. Correspondingly, self-esteem spectacles are a positive inter-relationship with job performance which is mediated by job satisfaction.

The Fiscal Policy Instruments and the Economic Prosperity in Jordan

  • ALZYADAT, Jumah A.;AL-NSOUR, Iyad A.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of fiscal policy instruments on economic growth in Jordan using annual data from 1970 to 2019, by applying the VAR model (Vector Auto regression) and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The study also examines the dynamic relationship among economic variables over time using the Granger casualty test, Impulse Response Function, and Variance Decomposition. The results show that not only the public expenditures have a positive effect on economic growth in Jordan, but also the tax revenues positively affect the economic growth in the short-run, and this is because of using the tax revenues to finance the government activities in Jordan. This effect becomes negative in the long run, and this is explained because the tax seems a source of distortions in the economy, The extreme taxes may cause huge distortions in the economy, and these distortions destroys the purchasing power, the aggregate demand, and supply. More governmental dependence on tax revenues is the main source of tax evasion and less efficiency. The effect of taxation will curb any prosperity in the economy. Therefore, the government should estimate the fair tax rates to generate sufficient revenues to finance the public expenditure required to enhance economic prosperity.

환경요인에 따른 지역공공재 생산비용의 격차 추정 (The Estimation of Production Cost of Local Public Goods with Environmental Difference)

  • 최영호;박상우
    • 지역연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 1996
  • This thesis focused on the extent of the area-by-area gap of the unit production cost that should be taken into account without exception in supply of the local public goods production cost. With the advent of the local autonomy era, what should be considered in the local governmen's production of the local public goods are the government's fiscal capacity and the environmental difference that shows up in accordance with the area's characteristics. Though with the same level of the fiscal capacity, an occurrence of environmental difference will lead inevitably to the different level of actual supply of the local public goods. The method of analysis used in this thesis was first to bring out implicit price, to combine this with induced expenditure function, to separate demand function parameter and cost function parameter, and then to analyzed the impact of environmental variables on the production cost. The environmental variables were set on the basis of the ones that affected expenditure per person of the public goods. The analysis was conducted in distinction of city areas and county areas. The results showed that, in cases of cities, more production cost of the public goods was in presence in urban areas and in areas where there was sluggish development. In other words, distinction could be drawn between areas where there was a large consumption of production cost resulting from poor environmental sparked by slow development and those where additional costs were required due to population concentration caused by a certain level of accomplished development. In the meantime, in cases of county areas, the results were around the same. However, a comparison between city areas and county ones told that overall difference between city areas was not that big in the production cost while that in county areas was large enough. In times ahead, in implementation of grant-in-aid scheme, production cost index for local public goods could be used as it was written in consideration of environmental characteristics of areas concerned.

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Financial Distress Prediction Using Adaboost and Bagging in Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;DING, Yi;AGHA, Amad Nabi;AGHA, Kinza;PANHWAR, Hafeez Ur Rehman Zubair
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.665-673
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    • 2021
  • Default has become an extreme concern in the current world due to the financial crisis. The previous prediction of companies' bankruptcy exhibits evidence of decision assistance for financial and regulatory bodies. Notwithstanding numerous advanced approaches, this area of study is not outmoded and requires additional research. The purpose of this research is to find the best classifier to detect a company's default risk and bankruptcy. This study used secondary data from the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) and it is time-series data to examine the impact on the determinants. This research examined several different classifiers as per their competence to properly categorize default and non-default Pakistani companies listed on the PSX. Additionally, PSX has remained consistent for some years in terms of growth and has provided benefits to its stockholders. This paper utilizes machine learning techniques to predict financial distress in companies listed on the PSX. Our results indicate that most multi-stage mixture of classifiers provided noteworthy developments over the individual classifiers. This means that firms will have to work on the financial variables such as liquidity and profitability to not fall into the category of liquidation. Moreover, Adaptive Boosting (Adaboost) provides a significant boost in the performance of each classifier.

Sources of Income Polarization in Korea: Globalization and Technological Innovation

  • Shin, Taeyoung
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2016
  • This study provides empirical evidences for the relationship between income inequality and economic growth, and relationship of income inequality with some of explanatory variables such as technological innovation, trade globalization, financial globalization and fiscal policy. We find out that income inequality has an adverse effect on economic growth, showing its dynamic features, for which we employed the polynomial distributed lags (PDL) model. The effect of income inequality on economic growth lasts over 9 years, and its dynamic effect peaks after 4 years. In addition, we also attempted to find out empirical evidences of sources of income inequality. The results show that income inequality is positively related to technological innovation, financial globalization, and fiscal policy; negatively related to the trade globalization. Many studies employ cross-country data, but it could have serious problems in collecting statistical data. Korean data is used over the time period of 1990-2015 in this study.

전자.통신업체의 경영효율성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Management Performance in Electronics and Communication Companies)

  • 정희진
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 자료포괄분석(DEA : Data Envelopment Analysis)을 이용하여 전자·통신업체들의 경영효율성 평가를 하였다. 자료포괄분석은 다수 생산자의 효율성을 평가하기 위해 Charnes 등에 의해 개발된 기법으로서 다차원의 투입변수와 다차원의 산출변수를 동시에 고려한 수 있는 기법이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 투입변수로는 원재료비, 종업원수, 생산능력이. 산출변수로는 생산실적, 총매출액 및 당기순이익이 선정되었다. 효율성 평가 결과 대부분의 기업이 대상기간동안 경영효율성이 증가하거나 계속 효율적인 것으로 평가되었으며, 투입 및 산출변수는 높은 상관관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다.

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