• Title/Summary/Keyword: factor estimation

Search Result 2,228, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Analysis of Effects on Adoption of a Safety e-Reporting System (안전신고 제도(안전신문고) 도입에 따른 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jun;Cho, Sangmyeong;Park, Eunmi;Lee, Sanghwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-41
    • /
    • 2019
  • To analyze the effectiveness of the safety e-reporting system, the present study carried out analysis of safety e-reporting data reported between September 2014 and July 2019, and selected items for measuring the effectiveness of safety e-reporting. Using these items, the effects of adopting the reporting system for the four major parking violations was analyzed, alongside an analysis of effects in terms of traffic accidents using the unit model. When we count the securement of the tax revenue through measures such as charging fines as the beneficial factor per case, the estimation of the benefit is around 62,000 KRW per case. Summing the two factors up, the total value of citizen's reports pertaining to the big four parking violations is about 275,000 KRW per case. Most of the reports made through the Safety e-Report system are about traffic and facilities. When we calculate the total annual benefit with the representative reporting value defined with traffic and facilities, the system received a total of 1,164,439 cases from 2014 to 2019, while citizens reported 52,721 cases for the big four parking violations from April to July 2019. As the value of a safety report is around the net benefit for last five years is around 27,340,000,000 KRW.

Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty for the HPLC Analysis of Deoxynivalenol in Wheat (밀에서 HPLC에 의한 데옥시니발레놀 분석의 측정불확도 산정)

  • Ok, Hyun-Ee;Chang, Hyun-Joo;Ahn, Jang-Hyuk;Cho, Jae-Young;Chun, Hyang-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.41 no.3
    • /
    • pp.258-264
    • /
    • 2009
  • The principal objective of this study was to estimate the measurement uncertainty associated with determination of deoxynivalenol (DON), a mycotoxin generated by Fusarium strain, in food. In service of this goal, wheat as a food matrix was analyzed via high performance liquid chromatography-ultraviolet (HPLC-UV) detection using an immunoaffinity column for clean-up. The uncertainty sources in the measurement process were identified by sample weight, final volume, and sample concentration in extraction volume with components including standard stock solution, working standard solution, 5 standard solutions, calibration curve, matrix, and instrument. The expanded uncertainty for DON at a concentration of 300 ${\mu}g/kg$ was estimated as 71.62 ${\mu}g/kg$ using a coverage factor of two, which provides a confidence level of approximately 95%. The most influential component in the uncertainty sources was the recovery of the wheat matrix, followed by the calibration curve. These results indicate that all efforts may be directed toward reducing the uncertainties of the recovery of the wheat matrix and the calibration curve to obtain a reliable HPLC-UV method for DON analysis in wheat.

Soil Moisture Modelling at the Topsoil of a Hillslope in the Gwangneung National Arboretum Using a Transfer Function (전이함수를 통한 광릉 산림 유역의 토양수분 모델링)

  • Choi, Kyung-Moon;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Son, Mi-Na;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.35-46
    • /
    • 2008
  • Soil moisture is one of the important components in hydrological processes and also controls the subsurface flow mechanism at a hillslope scale. In this study, time series of soil moisture were measured at a hillslope located in Gwangneung National Arboretum, Korea using a multiplex Time Domain Reflectometry(TDR) system measuring soil moisture with bi-hour interval. The Box-Jenkins transfer function and noise model was used to estimate spatial distributions of soil moisture histories between May and September, 2007. Rainfall was used as an input parameter and soil moisture at 10 cm depth was used as an output parameter in the model. The modeling process consisted of a series of procedures(e.g., data pretreatment, model identification, parameter estimation, and diagnostic checking of selected models), and the relationship between soil moisture and rainfall was assessed. The results indicated that the patterns of soil moisture at different locations and slopes along the hillslope were similar with those of rainfall during the measurment period. However, the spatial distribution of soil moisture was not associated with the slope of the monitored location. This implies that the variability of the soil moisture was determined more by rainfall than by the slope of the site. Due to the influence of vegetation activity on soil moisture flow in spring, the soil moisture prediction in spring showed higher variability and complexity than that in early autumn did. This indicates that vegetation activity is an important factor explaining the patterns of soil moisture for an upland forested hillslope.

A modified Lee-Carter model based on the projection of the skewness of the mortality (왜도 예측을 이용한 Lee-Carter모형의 사망률 예측)

  • Lee, Hangsuck;Baek, Changryong;Kim, Jihyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-59
    • /
    • 2016
  • There have been continuous improvements in human life expectancy. Life expectancy is as a key factor in an aging population and can wreak severe damage on the financial integrity of pension providers. Hence, the projection of the accurate future mortality is a critical point to prevent possible losses to pension providers. However, improvements in future mortality would be overestimated by a typical mortality projection method using the Lee-Carter model since it underestimates the mortality index ${\kappa}_t$. This paper suggests a mortality projection based on the projection of the skewness of the mortality versus the typical mortality projection of the Lee-Carter model based on the projection of the mortality index, ${\kappa}_t$. The paper shows how to indirectly estimate future t trend with the skewness of the mortality and compares the results under each estimation method of the mortality index, ${\kappa}_t$. The analysis of the results shows that mortality projection based on the skewness presents less improved mortality at an elderly ages than the original projection.

A Basic Study for Wind Energy of Building Cladding using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD를 이용하여 건물 외피의 바람에너지에 관한 적용연구)

  • Chung, Yung-Bea
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.39.2-39.2
    • /
    • 2011
  • The new and renewable energy today has a great interest in all countries around the world. In special it has need more limit of the fossil fuel that needs of low carbon emission among the social necessary conditions. Recently, the high-rise building demand the structural safety, the economic feasibility and the functional design. The high-rise building spends enormous energy and it satisfied the design in solving energy requirements. The requirements of energy for the building depends on the partly form wind energy due to the cladding of the building that came from the surroundings of the high-rise building. In this study of the wind energy, the cladding of the building was assessed a tentative study. The wind energy obtains from several small wind powers that came from the building or the surrounding of the building. In making a cladding the wind energy forms with wind pressure by means of energy transformation methods. The assessment for the building cladding was surrounded of wind speed and wind pressure that was carried out as a result of numerical simulation of wind environment and wind pressure which is coefficient around the high-rise building with the computational fluid dynamics. In case of the obtained wind energy from the pressure of the building cladding was estimated by the simulation of CFD of the building. The wind energy at this case was calculated by energy transform methods: the wind pressure coefficients were obtained from the simulated model for wind environment using CFD as follow. The concept for the factor of $E_f$ was suggested in this study. $$C_p=\frac{P_{surface}}{0.5{\rho}V^{2ref}}$$ $$E_c=C_p{\cdot}E_f$$ Where $C_p$ is wind pressure coefficient from CFD, $E_f$ means energy transformation parameter from the principle of the conservation of energy and $E_c$ means energy from the building cladding. The other wind energy that is $E_p$ was assessed by wind power on the building or building surroundings. In this case the small wind power system was carried out for wind energy on the place with the building and it was simulated by computational fluid dynamics. Therefore the total wind energy in the building was calculated as the follows. $$E=E_c+E_p$$ The energy transformation, which is $E_f$ will need more research and estimation for various wind situation of the building. It is necessary for the assessment to make a comparative study about the wind tunnel test or full scale test.

  • PDF

A Study on the Modification Value for Estimation of Traveling Speed During Rainfall in Interrupted Traffic Flow (단속교통류에서 강우시 평균통행속도 산정을 위한 보정계수에 관한 연구)

  • Mo, Moo Ki;Lee, Seung Joo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.837-844
    • /
    • 2017
  • Generally, V/C ratio in uninterrupted traffic flow and average travel speed in interrupted traffic flow are utilized as measure of effect for assessing operational situation of roads. The set of road conditions and traffic conditions are considered to be major variables for assessing operational situation in the traffic flow. However, weather conditions such as rainfall also affect the operational situation of roads. The studies reflected by the rainy situation are conducted in the uninterrupted flow, but the related studies are insufficient in the interrupted flow. In this study, the modification factors during rainfall in the interrupted flow were suggested, and the factors could be used when calculating the average travel speed during rainfall in the interrupted flow. By utilizing the data that were investigated in the same road and traffic conditions and the different weather conditions (rainy day or clear day), the modification factors were founded on regression analysis of the travel speed during rainfall as a dependent variable. Modification factors was suggested in dividing peak time, non-peak time, and whole period. Based on this study, the modification factors can be used to complementing the average travel speed model for assessing the operational situation of urban streets during rainfall.

Economic Impact Analysis on High-yield Groundwater Development R&D Project in Jeju (제주도 청정 대용량 지하수개발 연구사업의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Ahn, Eun-Young;Kim, Seong-Yong
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.133-141
    • /
    • 2009
  • For economic impact analysis on a R&D project of high-yield groundwater development in Jeju conducted by KIGAM from 2004 to 2007, benefit/cost ratio(BCR), net present value(NPV), and internal rate of return(IRR) were calculated by contingent valuation method(CVM), production function analysis, domestic water market analysis and technology factor analysis. Measurable direct impact parameters among the major outputs of this R&D project consisted the estimation 4 high-yield and high mineral groundwater reserve in Jeju. Annual use of the reserve by piped water and bottled water was estimated as 12.23 million ton and its monetary value was calculated as 293.4 million dollar in 2006 year value applied of 5.5% discount rate. Economic impact of this R&D project in NPV of year 2006, with applying a discount rate of 5.5%, was identified and estimated as 13.66 million dollar in NPV, 4.05 points in BCR, and 22.74% in IRR, respectively. Additional early launch benefit was 5.58 million dollar. Even increased of the 1% discount rate, NPV of this R&D project was also positive as 12.18 million dollar and BCR was 3.71.

Calculating the Uniaxial Compressive Strength of Granite from Gangwon Province using Linear Regression Analysis (선형회귀분석을 적용한 강원도 지역 화강암의 일축압축강도 산정)

  • Lee, Moon-Se;Kim, Man-Il;Baek, Jong-Nam;Han, Bong-Koo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.361-367
    • /
    • 2011
  • The uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) is an important factor in the design and construction of surface and underground structures. However, the method employed to measure UCS is time consuming and expensive to apply in the field. Therefore, we developed a model to estimate UCS based on a few properties using linear regression analysis, which is a statistical method. To develop the model, valid factors from the test results were selected from a correlation analysis using a statistical program, and the model was formulated by linear regression based on the relationships among factors. UCS estimates derived from the model were compared with the results of UCS tests, to assess the reliability of the model. The relationship between rock properties and UCS indicates that the factors with the greatest influence on UCS are point load strength and shape facto r. The UCS values obtained using the model are in good agreement with the results of the UCS test. Therefore, the developed model may be used to estimate the UCS of rocks in regions with similar conditions to those of the present study area.

Friedewald-Estimated Versus Directly Measured LDL-Cholesterol: KNHANES 2009-2010 (LDL-콜레스테롤의 Friedewald 계산값과 실측값 비교: 국민건강영양조사 2009-2010)

  • Jang, Sungok;Lee, Jongseok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.8
    • /
    • pp.5492-5500
    • /
    • 2015
  • Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a major modifiable risk factor for cardio- cerebrovascular disease. In clinical practice, however, it is primarily calculated using the Friedewald formula as a cost-effective method. The aim of this study was to compare Friedewald-estimated and directly measured LDL-C values and assess the concordance in guideline LDL-C risk classification between the two methods. The data were derived from the 2009 and 2010 Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey (KNHANES). Analysis was done for 4,319 subjects with lipid panels-total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), directly measured LDL-C using an enzymatic homogeneous assay, and triglycerides (TG). For subjects with TG lower than 400 mg/dL, Friedewald-estimated and directly measured LDL-C were highly correlated (r = 0.958, p < 0.001) and overall concordance was 82.7%. As TG increased, overall concordance decreased. Overall concordance was 85.4% at TG lower than 150 mg/dL; 78.2% at TG of 150-199 mg/dL; and 71.4% at TG of 200-399 mg/dL. The Friedewld equation tended to overestimate LDL-C when TG are of < 150 mg/dL; however, underestimate LDL-C when TG are of ${\geq}150mg/dL$. As a result, Friedewald estimation misclassified 382 subjects (9.1%) in a higher category versus 348 subjects (8.3%) in a lower category. Our findings suggest that overestimation of LDL-C by the Friedewald formula can be a great problem as well as underestimation.

A Fashion Design Recommender Agent System using Collaborative Filtering and Sensibilities related to Textile Design Factors (텍스타일 기반의 협력적 필터링 기술과 디자인 요소에 따른 감성 분석을 이용한 패션 디자인 추천 에이전트 시스템)

  • 정경용;나영주;이정현
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.174-188
    • /
    • 2004
  • In the life environment changed with not only the quality and the price of the products but also the material abundance, it is the most crucial factor for the strategy of product sales to investigate consumer's sensibility and preference degree. In this perspective, it is necessary to design and merchandise the products in cope with each consumer's sensibility and needs as well as its functional aspects. In this paper, we propose the Fashion Design Recommender Agent System (FDRAS-pro) for textile design applying collaborative filtering personalization technique as one of the methods of material development centered on consumer's sensibility and preference. For a collaborative filtering system based on textile, Representative-Attribute Neighborhood is adopted to determine the number or neighbors that will be used for preferences estimation. Pearson's Correlation Coefficient is used to calculate similarity weights among users. We build a database founded on the sensibility adjectives to develop textile designs by extracting the representative sensibility adjectives from users' sensibility and preferences about textile designs. FDRAS-pro recommends textile designs to a customer who has a similar propensity about textile. To investigate the sensibility and emotion according to the effect of design factors, fertile designs were analyzed in terms of 9 design factors, such as, motif source, motif-background ratio, motif variation, motif interpretation, motif arrangement, motif articulation, hue contrast, value contrast, chroma contrast. Finally, we plan to conduct empirical applications to verify the adequacy and the validity of our system.