• 제목/요약/키워드: factor estimation

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일반국도 설계시간계수의 적정 확률분포 선정 및 추정 (The Selection of Optimal Probability Distribution and Estimation for Design Hourly Factor in National Highway Roads)

  • 조준한;한종현;김성호;이병생
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 도로의 기능 및 통행특성. 차로수, 연평균일교통량 등을 고려하여 설계시간계수와의 관계를 살펴보고 적정 확률분포형 선정과 K값을 추정하였다 이를 위해 2005년도 상시 교통량 조사지점에서 수집된 교통자료를 이용하여 14개의 확률분포형을 적용하였다. 각 확률분포형은 최우도법을 이용하여 매개변수를 추정하였으며 각 분포형별로 매개변수 적합성 조건을 검토하였다. 적정 확률분포형의 결정은 chi-square검정을 통하여 대상 분포형의 기각유무를 판단하였으며. 그 결과에 대해 우선순위를 정하여 적정 확률분포형을 선정하였다. 그리고 각 유형별 AADT에 따른 적정 K계수를 추정하였다. 그 결과, 지방부 2차로 및 4차로. 도시부, 관광부도로의 적정 확률분포형은 각각 Pearson V, LogLogistic, LogLogistic, Extreme value 분포로 분석되었으며 적정 K계수는 각각 $0.1{\sim}0.2,\;0.09{\sim}0.14,\;0.07{\sim}0.13,\;0.1{\sim}0.2$로 추정되었다.

Resonant Frequency Estimation of Reradiation Interference at MF from Power Transmission Lines Based on Generalized Resonance Theory

  • Bo, Tang;Bin, Chen;Zhibin, Zhao;Zheng, Xiao;Shuang, Wang
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.1144-1153
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    • 2015
  • The resonant mechanism of reradiation interference (RRI) over 1.7MHz from power transmission lines cannot be obtained from IEEE standards, which are based on researches of field intensity. Hence, the resonance is ignored in National Standards of protecting distance between UHV power lines and radio stations in China, which would result in an excessive redundancy of protecting distance. Therefore, based on the generalized resonance theory, we proposed the idea of applying model-based parameter estimation (MBPE) to estimate the generalized resonance frequency of electrically large scattering objects. We also deduced equation expressions of the generalized resonance frequency and its quality factor Q in a lossy open electromagnetic system, i.e. an antenna-transmission line system in this paper. Taking the frequency band studied by IEEE and the frequency band over 1.7 MHz as object, we established three models of the RRI from transmission lines, namely the simplified line model, the tower line model considering cross arms and the line-surface mixed model. With the models, we calculated the scattering field of sampling points with equal intervals using method of moments, and then inferred expressions of Padé rational function. After calculating the zero-pole points of the Padé rational function, we eventually got the estimation of the RRI’s generalized resonant frequency. Our case studies indicate that the proposed estimation method is effective for predicting the generalized resonant frequency of RRI in medium frequency (MF, 0.3~3 MHz) band over 1.7 MHz, which expands the frequency band studied by IEEE.

함수특성에 근거한 국내 풍화토의 불포화 투수곡선 추정 (Estimation of Unsaturated Permeability Function from Water Retention Characteristics for Korean Weathered Soils)

  • 김윤기;최경림;이성진;이승래;권형석
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제26권10호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2010
  • 지반의 투수특성은 다양한 지반구조물의 설계 및 해석에서 중요한 지반물성이다. 특히 불포화 상태에서 모관흡수력의 영향을 받으며 모판흡수력 증가에 따라 감소하는 경향은 함수특성 변화와 유사하다. 불포화 투수계수는 실내실험을 통해 직접적으로 구하거나 함수특성곡선으로부터 유추된 이론식을 통해 간접적으로 얻을 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 국내 7개 지역에 대한 시료를 대상으로 함수특성실험과 본 연구에서 개발한 불포화 투수실험 장비를 이용하여 불포화 투수실험을 실시하였다. 지반의 함수상태를 나타내는 함수특성곡선이 불포화 투수계수와 밀접한 관련이 있으므로 함수특성곡선으로부터 불포화 투수곡선을 유추하는 여러 모텔 결과와 실험결과를 비교하였다. 그러나 기존의 추정방법은 국내지반의 투수특성을 잘 표현하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 국내 풍화토의 불포화 투수곡선을 정확히 유추하기 위하여 보정계수를 적용하여 FXK-M 투수모델을 제시하였고 보정계수를 함수특성곡선의 공기함입치로부터 산정할 수 있는 수식을 제안하였다.

ZCS형 역률 개선 회로(QBSRR)의 데드빗(deadbeat)제어기 설계 (Deadbeat Controller Design of a ZCS-type Power Factor Correction Circuit(QBSRR))

  • 최현칠
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 1998
  • 근래에 들어, 입력 교류전원에서 양질의 전력을 공급하기 위하여 역률 개선 회로에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 그 중 QBSRR이라는 ZCS(Zero Current Switching) 공진형 역률 개선 회로가 최근에 소개되었는데, 본 논문에서는, QBSRR회로의 전력단에 대하여 간단하고 정확한 모델링을 이용하여 안정된 출력 전압과 빠른 동적특성을 얻기 위한 데드빗(Deadbeat) 제어기를 체계적으로 설계하였다. 또한, 전류 센서를 사용하지 않고 부하 저항값을 파악하기 위하여 부하 예측 기법(Load Estimation Method)을 유도하였다. 본 논문에서는 제안한 제어기를 이용하면, 역률개선 회로의 출력측에 나타나는 120Hz의 리플에도 불구하고 안정된 출력전압과 빠른 동적 특성을 얻을 수 있게 된다. 아울러, 과도 응답 상태에서도 입력측의 높은 역률이 유지되는 장점을 가지고 있다. 시뮬레이션과 실험을 통하여 본 논문에서는 제안한 제어기의 우수한 특성을 입증하였다.

Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

Fatigue crack growth and remaining life estimation of AVLB components

  • Chen, Hung-Liang Roger;Choi, Jeong-Hoon
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.651-674
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    • 2006
  • The fatigue cracks initiate and propagate in the Armored Vehicle Launch Bridge (AVLB) components, especially like the splice doubler angle, splice plate, and bottom chord, due to the cyclic loading by repeated AVLB-launchings and tank-crossings. In this study, laboratory fatigue tests were conducted on six aluminum 2014-T6, four aluminum 7050-T76511, and four ASTM A36 steel compact-tension specimens to evaluate the crack growth behavior of the materials used for the components. The experimental results provide the relationship (Paris Law) between crack growth rate, da/dn, and stress intensity range, ${\Delta}K$, whose material dependent constants C and m can later be used in the life estimation of the components. Finite Element Method (FEM) was used to obtain the stress intensity factor, K, of the components with cracks. Because of the complexity of loading conditions and component geometry, several assumptions and simplifications are made in the FEM modeling. The FEM results, along with the results obtained from laboratory fatigue tests, are then utilized to estimate critical crack length and remaining life of the components.

방전 드릴을 이용한 미세 홀 관통 공정의 전극 소모량 실시간 예측 (Real-Time Prediction of Electrode Wear for the Small Hole Pass-Through by EDM-drill)

  • 최용찬;허은영;김종민;이철수
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.268-274
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    • 2013
  • Electric discharge machining drill (EDM-drill) is an efficient process for the fabrication of micro-diameter deep metal hole. As there is non-physical contact between tool (electrode) and workpiece, EDM-drill is widely used to machine the hard machining materials such as high strength steel, cemented carbide, titanium alloys. The electro-thermal energy forces the electrode to wear out together with the workpiece to be machined. The electrode wear occurs inside of a machining hole. and It causes hard to monitor the machining state, which leads the productivity and the quality to decrease. Thus, this study presents a methodology to estimated the electrode wear amount while two coefficients (scale factor and shape factor) of the logarithmic regression model are evaluated from the experiment result. To increase the accuracy of estimation model, the linear transformation method is adopted using the differences of initial electrode wear differences. The estimation model is verified through experiment. The experimental result shows that within minute error, the estimation model is able to predict accurately.

탈설계 조건에서의 미끄럼 계수 모텔들의 평가 (Assessment of Slip Factor Models at Off-Design Condition)

  • 윤성호;백제현
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 추계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.410-415
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    • 2000
  • Slip factor is defined as an empirical factor being multiplied to theoretical energy transfer for the estimation of real work input of a centrifugal compressor. Researchers have tried to develop a simple empirical model, for a century, to predict a slip factor. However most these models were developed on the condition of design point assuming inviscid flow. So these models often fail to predict a correct slip factor at off-design condition. In this study, we summarized various slip factor models and compared these models with experimental and numerical data at off-design condition. As a result of this study, Wiesner's and Paeng and Chung's models are applicable for radial impeller, but all the models are not suitable for backswept impeller. Finally, the essential avenues for future study is discussed.

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콘크리트 내부공극 분석을 위한 행렬간격계수 모델식의 제안 (Proposal of Matrix Spacing Factor for Analyzing Air Void System in Hardened Concrete)

  • 정원경;전인구;김용곤;이봉학
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2004년도 추계 학술발표회 제16권2호
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    • pp.679-682
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    • 2004
  • Air void systems in hardened concrete has an important influence on concrete durability such as freeze-thaw resistance, water permeability, surface scaling resistance. Linear traverse method and point count method described at ASTM is the routine analysis of the air void system that have been widely used to estimate the spacing factor in hardened concrete. Recently, many concretes often have a spacing factor higher than the generally accepted $200-250{\mu}m$ limit for the usual range of air contents. This study is proposed to estimate the matrix spacing factor by calculation of simplicity. The matrix spacing factor needs two parameters that are air content and numbers of air voids in the hardened concrete. Those are obtained from the standard air-void system analysis of the ASTM C 457. The equation is valid for all values of paste-to-air ratio because the estimation of paste content is unnecessary at the using ASTM C 457. The matrix spacing factor yields a similar estimate of the standard spacing factor.

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Is The Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle Driven By A Missing Factor?

  • Hanjun Kim;Bumjean Sohn
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - We investigate whether a potential missing pricing factor plays a significant role in the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle. Design/methodology/approach - We theoretically show how a missing pricing factor can affect the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle, and also show how to get around the problem empirically. We adopt the Fama-French five factor model for the estimation of the idiosyncratic risk and use randomly constructed portfolios as test assets. Findings - We find that a missing factor does not drive the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle. Thus, we conclude that the idiosyncratic volatility does affect the risk premium of its stock. Research implications or Originality - The Fama-French five factor model does a pretty good job in explaining the risk premiums of stocks, and it can be used to reliably estimate idiosyncratic risk of stocks.