• Title/Summary/Keyword: factor estimation

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공공사업으로 인한 어업피해 범위와 피해정도 추정의 새로운 통계학적 접근 (A New Statistical Approach for the Estimation of Range and Degree of Fisheries Damages Caused by Public Undertaking)

  • 강용주;김기수;장창익;박청길;이종섭
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.117-132
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    • 2004
  • This study attempts to suggest a new approach of the estimation of range and degree of fisheries damages caused by a large scale of reclamation undertaken in coastal area using the central limit theorem(CLT) in statistics. The key result of the study is the introduction of the new concept of critical variation of environmental factor($d_{c}$). The study defines $d_{c}$ as a standard deviation of the sample mean($\bar{X}$) of environmental factor(X), in other words, $\frac{\sigma}{ \sqrt{n}}$. The inner bound of $d_{c}$ could be the area of fisheries damages caused by public coastal undertaking. The study also defines the decreasing rate of fisheries production$\delta_{\varepsilon}$, in other words, degree of fisheries damages, as the rate of change in the distribution of sample mean(($\bar{X}$), caused by the continuous and constant variation of environmental factor. Therefore $\delta_{\varepsilon}$ can be easily calculated by the use of table of the standardized normal distribution.

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IMU 기반 자세 추정 칼만필터에서 공분산 모델링이 추정 정확도에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Covariance Modeling on Estimation Accuracy in an IMU-based Attitude Estimation Kalman Filter)

  • 최지석;이정근
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.440-446
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    • 2020
  • A well-known difficulty in attitude estimation based on inertial measurement unit (IMU) signals is the occurrence of external acceleration under dynamic motion conditions, as the acceleration significantly degrades the estimation accuracy. Lee et al. (2012) designed a Kalman filter (KF) that could effectively deal with the acceleration issue. Ahmed and Tahir (2017) modified this method by adjusting the acceleration-related covariance matrix because they considered covariance modeling as a pivotal factor in the estimation accuracy. This study investigates the effects of covariance modeling on estimation accuracy in an IMU-based attitude estimation KF. The method proposed by Ahmed and Tahir can be divided into two: one uses the covariance including only diagonal components and the other uses the covariance including both diagonal and off-diagonal components. This paper compares these three methods with respect to the motion condition and the window size, which is required for the methods by Ahmed and Tahir. Experimental results showed that the method proposed by Lee et al. performed the best among the three methods under relatively slow motion conditions, whereas the modified method using the diagonal covariance with a high window size performed the best under relatively fast motion conditions.

일반국도의 중방향 설계시간 교통량 추정 모형 (Directional Design Hourly Volume Estimation Model for National Highways)

  • 임성한;류승기;변상철;문학룡
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • 도로 설계를 위한 기본 교통량으로 이용되는 중방향 설계시간 교통량(directional design hourly volume, DDHV)은 교통 및 도로 부문에서 매우 중요한 요소이다. DDHV는 연평균 일교통량(annual average daily traffic, AADT)에 설계시간계수(K 계수)와 중방향계수(D계수)를 고려하여 산정된다. 그러나 K계수와 D계수는 연간 모든 시간 교통량을 관측해야 가능하기 때문에 사실상 불가능하며, 도로용량편람(KHCM)에서 제시하는 K계수와 D계수를 그대로 적용하는 경우가 일반적이다. 본 연구에서는 일반국도를 대상으로 신뢰성 높고 현실적으로 적용 가능한 DDHV 추정 모형을 개발하고자 하였다. 일반국도 상에 설치된 상시 교통량 조사장비에서 수집된 교통자료를 이용하여 DDHV 특성을 분석한 결과, DDHV와 AADT 간 강한 상관관계가 존재함을 확인하였다. 따라서 AADT를 이용한 DDHV 추정 모형을 개발하였으며, 기존 KHCM 방법에 비해 성능이 우수한 것으로 분석되었다.

Quantitative Comparison of Activity Calculation Methods for the Selection of Most Reliable Radionuclide Inventory Estimation

  • Hwang, Ki-Ha;Lee, Sang-Chul;Lee, Kun-Jai;Jeong, Chan-Woo;Ahn, Sang-Myeon;Kim, Tae-Wook;Kim, Kyoung-Doek;Herr, Y.H.
    • 한국방사성폐기물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방사성폐기물학회 2003년도 가을 학술논문집
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    • pp.322-327
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    • 2003
  • It is important to know the accurate radionuclide inventory of radioactive waste for the reliable management. However, estimation of radionuclide concentrations in drummed radioactive waste is difficult and unreliable because of difficulties of direct detection, high cost, and radiation exposure of sampling personnel. In order to overcome these difficulties, scaling factors (SFs) have been used to assess the activities of radionuclides that could not be directly analyzed. A radionuclide assay system has been operated at KORI site since 1996 and consolidated scaling factor method has played a dominant role in determination of radionuclides concentrations. However, some problems are still remained such as uncertainty of estimated scaling factor values, inaccuracy of analyzed sample values, and disparity between the actual and ideal correlation pairs and the others. Therefore, it needs to improve the accuracy of scaling factor values. The scope of this paper is focused on the improvement of accuracy and representativeness of calculated scaling factor values based on statistical techniques. For the selection of reliable activity determination method, the accuracy of estimated SF values for each activity determination method is compared. From the comparison of each activity determination methods, it is recommended that SF determination method should be changed from the arithmetic mean to the geometrical mean for more reliable estimation of radionuclide activity. Arithmetic mean method and geometric mean method are compared based on the data set in KORI system.

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변분 베이지안 혼합 인자 분석에 의한 분포 추정을 이용하는 진화 알고리즘 (Evolutionary Algorithms with Distribution Estimation by Variational Bayesian Mixtures of Factor Analyzers)

  • 조동연;장병탁
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제32권11호
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    • pp.1071-1083
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    • 2005
  • 최근 들어 확률 분포를 개체군으로부터 추정하여 보다 효율적으로 최적화를 해결하려는 연구가 진행되고 있다. 특히 복잡한 문제의 해결을 위해서 혼합 분포가 사용되고 있다. 그러나 이 경우 몇 개의 성분으로 혼합 분포를 나타낼 것인가를 결정하기 어려운 문제가 있으며, 각 분포에 의하여 표현되는 이전 세대의 우수한 부분 해들을 잘 결합하지 못하는 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 변분 베이지안 혼합 인자 분석(variational Bayesian mixtures of factor analyzers) 기법을 사용한 개체군의 분포 추정을 통해 실수 공간에서의 최적화 문제를 해결하는 방법을 제안한다. 이 기법은 혼합 분포의 개수 추정을 자동화하며, 잠재 변수(latent variable)를 사용하여 각 분포가 표현하는 세부 개체군 내에 포함된 부분 해들의 혼합을 효율적으로 수행할 수 있다. 잘 알려진 함수 최적화 문제들에 대해 다른 분포 추정 진화 알고리즘과 비교하여 제안하는 방법의 우수성을 검증하였다. 또한 시스템 생물학에서 다루고 있는 생화학 네트워크의 동적 모델링을 위한 매개변수 추정도 성공적으로 수행하였다.

축소차원 Luenberger 관측기를 이용한 단산 PWM 컨버터의 고역률 제어 (The Control of Single Phase Power Factor PWM converter using Reduced-Order Luenberger Observer)

  • 양이우;이용근;김영석
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 전력전자학회 1999년도 전력전자학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.485-488
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, a current control system for single phase PWM AC/DC converter without the source voltage sensors is proposed. The sinusoidal input current and unity effective power factor are realised based on the estimated source voltage in the controller. The estimation of source voltage is performed by the reduced-order Luenberger observer using actual currents. The estimated source voltage is used to accomplish unity power factor. The proposed method is proved by experiments.

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시변 망각 인자를 사용하는 최소 자승 추정의 극점 -배치 자기동조 알고리즘에 관한 연구 (A Study on Reduced Variance Self-Tuning Algorithm Using a Variable Forgetting Factor)

  • 박찬영;도미선;박민용;이상배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1988년도 전기.전자공학 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.305-308
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    • 1988
  • Pole assignment controller with variable forgetting factor is generalizaed to allow the output and/or input variance to be reduced. The algorithm can give significant reductions in variance for little extra computational effort and is presented for servo-tracking using leat-squares estimation. Moreover, the use of a variable forgetting factor with correct choice of information bound can avoid 'blowing-up' of the covariance matrix of the estimates and subsequent unstable control.

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야지 주행 로봇을 위한 횡 방향 힘 추정 모델의 설계 및 마찰계수 추정 신뢰도의 향상 (Design of Lateral Force Estimation Model for Rough Terrain Mobile Robot and Improving Estimation Reliability on Friction Coefficient)

  • 김지용;이지홍;주상현
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.174-181
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    • 2018
  • For a mobile robot that travels along a terrain consisting of various geology, information on tire force and friction coefficient between ground and wheel is an important factor. In order to estimate the lateral force between ground and wheel, a lot of information about the model and the surrounding environment of the vehicle is required in conventional method. Therefore, in this paper, we are going to estimate lateral force through simple model (Minimal Argument Lateral Slip Curve, MALSC) using only minimum data with high estimation accuracy and to improve estimation reliability of the friction coefficient by using the estimated lateral force data. Simulation is carried out to analyze the correlation between the longitudinal and transverse friction coefficients and slip angles to design the simplified lateral force estimation model by analysing simulation data and to apply it to the actual field environment. In order to verify the validity of the equation, estimation results are compared with the conventional method through simulation. Also, the results of the lateral force and friction coefficient estimation are compared from both the conventional method and the proposed model through the actual robot running experiments.

계층 그리드 화일을 이용한 선택률 추정에서 발생되는 오차 분석 (Analyzing errors in selectivity estimation using the multilevel grid file)

  • 김상욱;황환규;황규영
    • 전자공학회논문지B
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    • 제33B권9호
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    • pp.24-36
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we discuss the errors in selectivity estimation using the multilevel grid file (MLGF). We first demonstrate that the estimatio errors stem from the uniformity assumption that records are uniformly distributed in their belonging region represented by an entry in a level of an MLGF directory. Bsed on this demonstration, we then investigate five factors affecting the accuracy of estimation: (1) the data distribution in a region (2) the number of records stored in an MLFG (3) the page size, (4) the query region size, and (5) the level of an MLFG directory. Next we present the tendancy of estimation errors according to the change of values for each factor through experiments. The results show that the errors decrease when (1) the distribution of records in a region becomes closer to the uniform one, (2) the number of records in an MLFG increases, (3) the page size decreases, (4) the query region size increases, and (5) the level of an MLFG directory employed as data distribution information becomes lower. After the definition of the granule ratio, the core formula representing the basic relationship between the estimation errors and the above five factors, we finally examine the change of estimation errors according to the change of the values for the granule ratio through experiments. The results indicate that errors tend to be similar depending on the values for the granule ratio regardless of the various changes of the values for the five factors. factors affecting the accuracy of estimation:

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히스토그램 기반의 과추정 방식을 이용한 잡음에 강인한 음성인식 (Noise-Robust Speech Recognition Using Histogram-Based Over-estimation Technique)

  • 권영욱;김형순
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2000
  • 잡음환경에서의 음성인식 성능향상을 위해서는 서로 다른 잡음환경으로 인한 mismatch를 줄이는 것이 중요하다. 이를 위해 계산이 간단하고 잡음환경에서 비교적 우수한 성능을 내고 있는 스펙트럼 차감법이 널리 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 스펙트럼 차감법을 적용하기 위한 잡음 스펙트럼 추정방법으로 히스토그램 처리방법을 도입한다. 히스토그램 처리방법은 음성이 아닌 구간의 검출이 필요없으며 시간에 따라 변화하는 시변잡음에도 적용 가능한 장점이 있다. 그러나 히스토그램 처리방법으로 신뢰도 높은 잡음 스펙트럼의 평균값을 추정하더라도 스펙트럼 차감법을 적용했을 때의 잔여 잡음의 문제가 발생한다. 이를 해결하기 위하여 잡음추정 과정에 사용되었던 히스토그램의 분포특성을 고려한 새로운 over-estimation 적용방식을 제안한다. 제안된 방식은 측정된 잡음의 분포에 따라 적응적으로 over-estimation의 정도를 결정함으로써 SNR 변화에 따른 영향이 적은 장점이 있다. 자동차 소음 환경에서의 화자독립 고립단어 인식실험 결과, 기존의 over-estimation factor를 적용한 경우보다 제안된 방식의 인식성능이 개선되었다.

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