• Title/Summary/Keyword: extreme financial conditions

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Policyholder Surrender Behaviors under Extreme Financial Conditions

  • Kim, Chang-Ki
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.635-650
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    • 2010
  • We model surrender rates with a few explanatory variables such as the difference between reference marke rates and product crediting rates, the policy age since the contract was issued, unemployment rates, economy growth rates, and seasonal effects using logit function. We investigate the policy holder surrender behaviors of US single premium deferred annuities(SPDA) and Korean interest indexed annuities under extreme financial conditions.

OPTIMALITY CONDITIONS AND AN ALGORITHM FOR LINEAR-QUADRATIC BILEVEL PROGRAMMING

  • Malhotra, Neelam;Arora, S.R.
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2001
  • This linear fractional - quadratic bilevel programming problem, in which the leader's objective function is a linear fractional function and the follower's objective function is a quadratic function, is studied in this paper. The leader's and the follower's variables are related by linear constraints. The derivations of the optimality conditions are based on Kuhn-Tucker conditions and the duality theory. It is also shown that the original linear fractional - quadratic bilevel programming problem can be solved by solving a standard linear fractional program and the optimal solution of the original problem can be achieved at one of the extreme point of a convex polyhedral formed by the new feasible region. The algorithm is illustrated with the help of an example.

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Herding in Fast Moving Consumer Group Sector: Equity Market Asymmetry and Crisis

  • BHARTI, Bharti;KUMAR, Ashish
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2020
  • This study empirically examines herd behavior for fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector stocks under varied market return conditions and the period during the global financial crisis and its aftermath. We examine the sample of stocks trading on the Nifty FMCG Index of the Indian equity market from January 2008 up to December 2018 using the dispersion measure of cross sectional absolute deviation and examine its relationship with the market return to explore herd phenomenon. Quantile regression estimate is used and the results of the study validate rational asset pricing models as the sector does not display herding. In contrast, anti-herd behavior at lower and median quantile values is observed. A possible reason can be the non-cyclical nature of the industry where investors rely more on the fundamentals rather than crowd chasing. We also findthe absence of herd phenomenon during the market asymmetries of bull and bear phases, extreme movements, the period of the global financial crisis, and afterward. We further examine herding under the impact of the information technology (IT) industry and conclude that significant return movements in IT sector impact dispersions in the FMCG industry. Also, there is a co-varying risk between the two sectors confirming the spillover in an integrated market.

Analysis of the Linkage Effect by Component Technology in Low Impact Development Facilities (저영향개발 시설의 요소기술별 연계 효과 분석)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Lee, Sangjin;Shin, Hyunsuk;Kim, Jaemoon;Kim, Hyungsan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • Urbanization has led to extreme changes in land use on urban watersheds. Most cities are becoming residential, commercial and industrial areas, making infiltration and storage of rainfall less favorable. The demand for LID (Low Impact Development) technology is increasing in order to mitigate this water cycle distortion and return to existing hydrological conditions. The LID technique is effective in reducing runoff by permeating the urban impervious area. However, considering the limit of the installation area and the financial requirement of the installation, there is not much research on the linkage of each LID component technology for optimum efficiency according to the appropriate scale. In this study, the effects of the LID facilities applied to the target site were simulated using the SWMM model, suggesting the optimal linkage method considering interconnectivity, and applying the effects as an existing installation of individual facilities. The water balance at the time of application of the LID technology, short-term and long-term rainfall event were compared. Also, the individual application and the linkage application were compared with each other. If each component technology has sufficient processing size, then linkage application is more effective than individual application.

The Achievements and limitations of the U. S. Welfare Reform (미국 복지개혁의 성과와 한계)

  • Kim, Hwan-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.53
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    • pp.129-153
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    • 2003
  • This study examines the socio-economic impacts of recent welfare reform in the United States. Based on the neo-conservative critique to the traditional public assistance system for low-income families, the 1996 welfare reform has given greater emphases on reducing welfare dependency and increasing work effort and self-sufficiency among welfare recipients. In particular, the welfare reform legislation instituted 60-month lifetime limits on cash assistance, expanded mandatory work requirements, and placed financial penalties for noncompliance. With the well-timed economic boom in the second half of the 1990s, the welfare reform seems to achieve considerable progress; welfare caseload has declined sharply to reach less than 50% of its 1994 peak, single mothers' labor force participation has increased substantially, and child poverty has decreased. In spite of these good signals, the welfare reform also has several potential problems. Many welfare leavers participate in the labor market, but not all (or most) of them. The economic well being of working welfare leavers did not increased significantly, because earnings increase was canceled out by parallel decrease in welfare benefits. Furthermore, most of working welfare leavers are employed in jobs with poor employment stability and low wages, making them highly vulnerable to frequent layoff, long-time joblessness, persistent poverty, and welfare recidivism. Another serious problem of the welfare reform is that a substantial number of welfare recipients are faced with extreme difficulties in finding jobs, because they have severe barriers to employment. The new welfare system with 5-year time limit can severely threaten the livelihoods of these people. The welfare reform presupposes that welfare recipients can achieve self-reliance by increasing their labor market activities. However, empirical evidences suggest that many people are unable to respond to the new, work-oriented welfare strategy. It may be a very difficult task to achieve both objectives of the welfare reform((1) providing adequate income security for low-income families and (2) promoting self-sufficiency) at the same time, because sometimes they are conflicting each other. With this in mind, a possible solution can be to distinguish welfare recipients into "(Very)-Hard-to-Employ" group and "(Relatively)-Ready-to-Work" group, based on elaborate examinations of a wide range of personal conditions. For the former group, the primary objective of welfare policies should be the first one(providing income security). For the "Ready-to-Work" group, follow-up services to promote job retention and advancement, as well as skill-training and job-search services, are very important. The U. S. experiences of the welfare reform provide some useful implications for newly developing Korean public assistance policies for the able-bodied low-income population.

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