• Title/Summary/Keyword: extreme engineering

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Improved modeling of equivalent static loads on wind turbine towers

  • Gong, Kuangmin;Chen, Xinzhong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.609-622
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a dynamic response analysis of operational and parked wind turbines in order to gain better understanding of the roles of wind loads on turbine blades and tower in the generation of turbine response. The results show that the wind load on the tower has a negligible effect on the blade responses of both operational and parked turbines. Its effect on the tower response is also negligible for operational turbine, but is significant for parked turbine. The tower extreme responses due to the wind loads on blades and tower of parked turbine can be estimated separately and then combined for the estimation of total tower extreme response. In current wind turbine design practice, the tower extreme response due to the wind loads on blades is often represented as a static response under an equivalent static load in terms of a concentrated force and a moment at the tower top. This study presents an improved equivalent static load model with additional distributed inertial force on tower, and introduces the square-root-of-sum-square combination rule, which is shown to provide a better prediction of tower extreme response.

HAZARD ANALYSIS OF TYPHOON-RELATED EXTERNAL EVENTS USING EXTREME VALUE THEORY

  • KIM, YOCHAN;JANG, SEUNG-CHEOL;LIM, TAE-JIN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2015
  • Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

Future Projection of Extreme Climate over the Korean Peninsula Using Multi-RCM in CORDEX-EA Phase 2 Project (CORDEX-EA Phase 2 다중 지역기후모델을 이용한 한반도 미래 극한 기후 전망)

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Uk;Byun, Young-Hwa;Kim, Tae-Jun;Kim, Jin-Won;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Cha, Dong-Hyun;Min, Seung-Ki;Chang, Eun-Chul
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.607-623
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    • 2021
  • This study presents projections of future extreme climate over the Korean Peninsula (KP), using bias-corrected data from multiple regional climate model (RCM) simulations in CORDEX-EA Phase 2 project. In order to confirm difference according to degree of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission, high GHG path of SSP5-8.5 and low GHG path of SSP1-2.6 scenario are used. Under SSP5-8.5 scenario, mean temperature and precipitation over KP are projected to increase by 6.38℃ and 20.56%, respectively, in 2081~2100 years compared to 1995~2014 years. Projected changes in extreme climate suggest that intensity indices of extreme temperatures would increase by 6.41℃ to 8.18℃ and precipitation by 24.75% to 33.74%, being bigger increase than their mean values. Both of frequency indices of the extreme climate and consecutive indices of extreme precipitation are also projected to increase. But the projected changes in extreme indices vary regionally. Under SSP1-2.6 scenario, the extreme climate indices would increase less than SSP5-8.5 scenario. In other words, temperature (precipitation) intensity indices would increase 2.63℃ to 3.12℃ (14.09% to 16.07%). And there is expected to be relationship between mean precipitation and warming, which mean precipitation would increase as warming with bigger relationship in northern KP (4.08% ℃-1) than southern KP (3.53% ℃-1) under SSP5-8.5 scenario. The projected relationship, however, is not significant for extreme precipitation. It seems because of complex characteristics of extreme precipitation from summer monsoon and typhoon over KP.

An Experimental Study on Wave Focusing Efficiency in the Generation of Directional Extreme Waves (파랑집중에 의한 다방향 극한파 생성의 효율성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • 홍기용;류슈쉐;양찬규
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2002
  • Extreme waves are generated in a model basin based on directional wave focusing. The targeted wave field is described by double summation method and it is applied to serpent-type wavemaker system. The extreme crest amplitude at a designed location is obtained by syncronizing the phases and focusing the directions of wave components. Two distinguished spectrums of constant wave amplitude and constant wave steepness are adapted to describe the frequency distribution of component waves. The surface profile of generated wave packets is measured by wave guage array and the effects of dominant spectral parameters governing extreme wave characteristics are investigated. It is found that frequency bandwidth, center frequency, shape of frequency spectrum and directional range play a significant role in the wave focusing. In particular, the directional effect significantly enhances the wave focusing efficiency.

Parametric study based on synthetic realizations of EARPG(1)/UPS for simulation of extreme value statistics

  • Seong, Seung H.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 1999
  • The EARPG(1)/UPS was first developed by Seong (1993) and has been tested for wind pressure time series simulations (Seong and Peterka 1993, 1997, 1998) to prove its excellent performance for generating non-Gaussian time series, in particular, with large amplitude sharp peaks. This paper presents a parametric study focused on simulation of extreme value statistics based on the synthetic realizations of the EARPG(1)/UPS. The method is shown to have a great capability to simulate a wide range of non-Gaussian statistic values and extreme value statistics with exact target sample power spectrum. The variation of skewed long tail in PDF and extreme value distribution are illustrated as function of relevant parameters.

Enhancement of Extreme Programming Process for Usability Improvement (사용성 향상을 위한 극한 프로그래밍 프로세스 개선)

  • 이상준
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1351-1359
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    • 2003
  • Extreme programming is the most representative methodology among agile software development methodologies which is agile in business environment which change fast. As software industry is matured, usability of software quality characteristics is emphasized gradually, but effort to obtain usability in extreme programming is insufficient. To improve usability of extreme programming, in this thesis, a software life cycle is defined by six phase as exploration, planning, iterations to release, productionizing, maintenance, and death phase. In this thesis, an extreme programming process which can improve usability is proposed by definition of 11 activities including integration testing and acceptance testing for usability testing, The proposed process is validated with four aspects. The proposed process is enhanced to support acceptance testing activity. The proposed extreme programming process is able to support CMM level 4 and quality assurance practice of CMM.

Design Flood Estimation in the Hwangguji River Watershed under Climate and Land Use Changes Scenario (기후변화 및 토지이용변화 시나리오를 고려한 황구지천 유역의 설계홍수량 평가)

  • Kim, Jihye;Park, Jihoon;Song, Jung-Hun;Jun, Sang Min;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2016
  • Extreme floods occur more often recently as the frequency of extreme storm events increase due to the climate change. Because the extreme flood exceeding the design flood can cause large-scale disasters, it is important to predict and prepare for the future extreme flood. Flood flow is affected by two main factors; rainfall and land use. To predict the future extreme flood, both changes in rainfall due to the climate change and land use should be considered. The objective of this study was to simulate the future design flood in the Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea. The climate and land use change scenarios were derived from the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Conversion of land use and its effects (CLUE) and hydrologic modelling system (HEC-HMS) models were used to simulate the land use change and design flood, respectively. Design floods of 100-year and 200-year for 2040, 2070, and 2100 under the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were calculated and analyzed. The land use change simulation described that the urban area would increase, while forest would decrease from 2010 to 2100 for both the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The overall changes in design floods from 2010 to 2100 were similar to those of probable rainfalls. However, the impact of land use change on design flood was negligible because the increase rate of probable rainfall was much larger than that of curve number (CN) and impervious area.

Prediction of uplift capacity of suction caisson in clay using extreme learning machine

  • Muduli, Pradyut Kumar;Das, Sarat Kumar;Samui, Pijush;Sahoo, Rupashree
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2015
  • This study presents the development of predictive models for uplift capacity of suction caisson in clay using an artificial intelligence technique, extreme learning machine (ELM). Other artificial intelligence models like artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), relevance vector machine (RVM) models are also developed to compare the ELM model with above models and available numerical models in terms of different statistical criteria. A ranking system is presented to evaluate present models in identifying the 'best' model. Sensitivity analyses are made to identify important inputs contributing to the developed models.

Probabilistic analysis of Italian extreme winds : Reference velocity and return criterion

  • Ballio, G.;Lagomarsino, S.;Piccardo, G.;Solari, G.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 1999
  • Applying and extending some preceding researches, this paper proposes a map of Italian extreme winds assigning the reference velocity, i.e., the wind velocity averaged over 10 minutes, at 10 m height, in a flat open terrain, with 50 years mean return period, depending on the site and the altitude. Furthermore, an objective criterion is formulated by which the actual values of the local wind velocity are given as a function of the reference velocity. The study has been carried out in view of the revision of the Italian Standards dealing with safety and loads and the introduction of the aeolic Italian map into Eurocode 1.

An investigation of the structure of ensemble averaged extreme wind events

  • Scarabino, A.;Sterling, M.;Richards, P.J.;Baker, C.J.;Hoxey, R.P.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 2007
  • This paper examines the extreme gust profiles obtained by conditionally sampling full-scale velocity data obtained in the lower part of the atmospheric boundary layer. It is demonstrated that three different types of behaviour can be observed in the streamwise component of velocity. In all cases the corresponding vertical velocity component illustrates similar behaviour. An idealised horseshoe vortex model and a downburst model are investigated to examine if such structures can explain the behaviour observed. In addition, an empirical model is developed for an isolated gust corresponding to each of the three types of behaviour observed. It is possible that the division of the gust profile into three different types may lead to an improvement in the correlation of extreme gust events with respect to type.