• Title/Summary/Keyword: export market

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Development of Export Volume and Export Amount Prediction Models Based on Supervised Learning (지도학습 기반 수출물량 및 수출금액 예측 모델 개발)

  • Dong-Gil Na;Yeong-Woong Yu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2023
  • Due to COVID-19, changes in consumption trends are taking place in the distribution sector, such as an increase in non-face-to-face consumption and a rapid growth in the online shopping market. However, it is difficult for small and medium-sized export sellers to obtain forecast information on the export market by country, compared to large distributors who can easily build a global sales network. This study is about the prediction of export amount and export volume by country and item for market information analysis of small and medium export sellers. A prediction model was developed using Lasso, XGBoost, and MLP models based on supervised learning and deep learning, and export trends for clothing, cosmetics, and household electronic devices were predicted for Korea's major export countries, the United States, China, and Vietnam. As a result of the prediction, the performance of MAE and RMSE for the Lasso model was excellent, and based on the development results, a market analysis system for small and medium sellers was developed.

An Analysis on Determinants for China Market Entry Type of the Korean Company (한국기업의 중국시장 진출유형에 따른 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Je-Hong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.223-242
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    • 2010
  • Since the reopening of official relations in 1992, Korean and China have become major trading partners, apart from myriad exchanges in culture and other aspects of society. The subject of this study is to analysis on determinants for China market entry type of the Korean company. This article measure the effects on Korea exporter interests of Korea's trade with china. This paper investigates the determinants of export and FDI referring in entry type in the China's market of Korea company. There are 250 samples and 130 returns, 170 of them are analyzed for a entry competitiveness. This paper has there main a parts, Multiple regression result shows that the export entry competitiveness are positively affected by the product character and market character. However, The enterprise character and location character does not affect in the export competitiveness. Also, the direct investment entry competitiveness are positively affected by the market character and location character. However, The enterprise character and product character does not affect in the direct investment. Logit analysis result show that the direct investment entry does positively affected in CEO international mind and export entry does affect in more than rival competitive products. In addition, the export entry does positively affected in the customer taste diversity, political risk and economical risk, market environment instability.

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The Selection of the Export Market of Defense Industrial Products: Based on K9 Self-propelled howitzers (방산물자 수출시장 선정 연구 : K9 자주포 사례)

  • Joo, E-Wha
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.85-104
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    • 2019
  • As exporting countries are limited compared to the export market of civilian industries, an approach should be preceded by a comprehensive evaluation of the purchasing availability of exportable markets and the status of potential competitive markets, as well as an analysis of the technology related to weapons systems. Based on the case of K9 self-propelled howitzers, a leading overseas export weapons system, this research was conducted to clarify the process of selecting the export market for Korean defense products and to verify it using a survey of weapons systems experts. In particular, this study specifically suggested the methodology needed to select the final exportable market through the analysis procedures such as competition and similar weapons systems, key performance identification, and identification of export-oriented markets, while considering the characteristics of the Defense Industrial Products. Based on these analysis results, the government proposed a method of selecting a major export market to enhance the possibility of weapons exports by domestic defense companies. Therefore, the study results can be used as a basis for objectively assessing the priorities for exportable markets, considering the possibility of exporting weapons systems that are under research and development or will be improved in the future.

The Determinants of the Export Timing and Export Performance of Venture Firms. (국내 벤처기업 수출시기와 수출성과 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Keun-Ho;Rowe, Sung-Jae;Lim, Hyo-Chang
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.41-66
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    • 2007
  • This paper develops a model of the export timing and export performance of venture firms by drawing by resource based view and born-global firm theory. The model aims at explaining the role of internal resources of small new venture firms and environment factors in accelerating the firm's export timing and achieving export growth. Hypothesses were developed around the following factors: management characteristics in terms of CEO's foreign experience and export commitment; organizational characteristics in terms of technological competence and marketing competence, and inter-functional cooperation; and finally environmental factors in terms of domestic and market attractiveness and foreign market attractiveness influence both the export timing and export performance. Structural equation modeling analysis by using 214 small new ventures provides a partial supports for the hypotheses. The result showed that technological competence have an influence on early export timing and that CEO's foreign experience and export commitment, technological competence and foreign market attractiveness are related export performance significantly. It also showed the significant relationship between export timing and export performance.

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Market Oriented Export Strategy for Advanced Pilot Trainer (T-50) (고등훈련기(T-50)의 시장지향적 수출 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Ji-hyun;Suh, Young-jin;Jung, Da-eun;Cho, Hyun-jin;Lee, Sanghak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.90-105
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    • 2020
  • This research investigates the export strategy for pioneering a new market of Advanced Pilot Trainer T-50, a business unit of KAI company, and increasing its market share. The export strategy is proposed based on the Corporate Marketing Model along with the market oriented concept. Specific sales strategies are extracted in consideration of product analysis, market analysis, and integration of product and target market. Therefore, six countries in Africa are selected as the primary target markets on account of their market potentials. In addition, T-50 is repositioned to 'T-50Af' as 'high price competitive and multi-role trainer.' The business implications include the expansion of the market in Africa and the pursuit of the consistent development and growth of T-50.

An Analysis of the Korean manufacturing export firms' Competitiveness in EU market by Export Competitiveness Index (수출 경쟁력 지수에 의한 EU시장에서의 한국 제조 기업의 경쟁력 분석)

  • Choi, Chang-Yeoul;Jung, Han-Kyeoung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.161-182
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this paper is to examine the competitiveness of Korean export firms in EU market. In this study, market share index, RCA index, trade specialization index, and market competitiveness index were used as an analytical tool. On the market share index, Korea had a large market share in the SITC section 7(machinery and transport equipment) market in EU. On the RCA index, Korea appeared to have high export competitiveness in the electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances, n.e.s.(not elsewhere specified[stated]), and electrical parts thereof (77), travel goods, handbags and similar containers(83), textile yarn, fabrics, made-up articles, n.e.s., and related products(65), and iron and steel(67) division. On the trade specialization index, however, Korea appeared to tend to decline generally. On the market competitiveness index, Korea appeared to have competitive advantage in the iron and steel(67), machinery specialized for particular industries(72), office machines and automatic data-processing machines(75), electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances, n.e.s., and electrical parts thereof(77), road vehicles(78), and other transport equipment(79) division; but in 29 divisions, the index indicates that Korean firms' competitiveness was low. Finally, the authors discuss the implications of these findings and offer directions for future study.

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The Role of Export Insurance for the Korean Export Promotion: Reflecting the Market Share of Korean Export in Trading Partner Countries (한국수출의 독점정도에 따른 수출보험의 수출촉진 효과 분석)

  • Song, Jeong-Seok
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.259-277
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    • 2008
  • This paper empirically analyzes the influence of export insurance on export promotion using panel data for the Korean case during the sample period from 2003 to 2006. We use the Korean export's share in trading partners' imports as a weight for the weighted least square (WLS) estimation to measure the effect of export insurance on the export promotion. Our main finding is that export insurance subsidy seems to enhance the export performance when the Korean export takes greater share in other countries' markets. On the other hand, under weaker monopoly power of the Korean export, export risk and trading partners' GDP growth rate has more influence on the export promotion rather than export insurance subsidy. Our finding implies that policy makers and practitioners should discern the Korean exports' monopoly power differential across trading countries for better performing export insuarnce policy.

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A Comparative Analysis on Export Competitiveness for Auto Parts Industry between Korea and China (한.중 자동차 부품산업의 수출경쟁력 비교 분석 - 미국 자동차 부품 수입시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ji-Yong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.299-321
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze export competitiveness of Korean auto parts and Chinese auto parts in U.S. market by using Index of Export Bias and Market Comparative Advantage Index. For attaining the purpose of study, we classified the auto parts which exported to U.S. market and the imported products by using the six units classification of the Harmonized System(HS). Analyzing period was 1998-2005. The analysis of Korean results of MCA indicated that the Korean auto parts which gained export competitiveness in the U.S. market were HS Code No. 8708.94, 8708.99, 8708.92. The products which will have export competitiveness in the U.S. market would be HS Code No. 8708.93, 8708.39, 8708.60 respectively. On the other hand, the results indicated that the Chinese auto parts which gained export competitiveness in the U.S. market were HS Code No. 8708.70, 8708.31, 8708.91, 8708.60, 8708.39. From this study, we find the following strategies for successful advancing into the U.S. and world market. i) Linking strategy through working cooperation with local auto firms, government and academic world. ii) Advance strategy of auto firm accompany by module working and system auto parts firm. iii) Retention strategy of large technical institution established by auto parts firms and taking cooperation of auto firms iv) Settlement strategy for having weaken competitive article and production field. v) Cost-cutting strategy through strengthening logistics cooperation system between auto parts firms and auto firms. vi) Active invitation strategy of foreign investment under quickly cooperating of government.

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An Empirical Study at Firm Level on New Technological Trade Theory (신기술무역이론의 미시적 실증연구)

  • 김선홍
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.192-207
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    • 1998
  • This paper focuses on the relationship between innovation and export performance of technology-based firms in Korea. This study analyses the relationship between innovative activity and firm's performances using a sample of 760 technology-based firms in Korea. As for the firm's performance indicators, export is employed. The empirical results support that innovation has a positive effect on firm's export performance. However, for small and medium firms, the relationship between innovative activity and export performance is an U-shape quadratic form, which shows that small firms takes a minimum innovative expenditure in order to access the abroad market. Also, with product differentiation, innovative firms tends to devot more to domestic market than to abroad market. Therefore, it can be concluded that innovative activity builds market power and accelerates export performance. And product differentiation through advertising expenditure make innovative firms less exporting.

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A Study on the Methods for Promoting Gwangju.Jeonnam Region Kimchi Industry and Stimulating the Export of Kimchi (광주.전남지역 김치산업의 육성과 수출활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Chul-Gi
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.239-262
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    • 2009
  • This study shed light on the status of Korean Kimchi industry in overseas markets and presented methods for promoting Kimchi industry of Gwangju Jeonnam metropolitan city and stimulating the export of Kimchi produced in Gwangju Jeonnam, a city that has come to the fore as the center of Kimchi industry, which aimed to explore the ways of ratcheting up competitiveness of Kimchi industry in the global market as Kimchi has become more likely to be globalized amid the recent "Korea Trend" boom and the growing consumption of fermented food. Therefore, methods for promoting Kimchi industry and stimulating the export of Kimchi should be explored to ensure the promotion of Kimchi industry and the stimulation of the export of Kimchi, ultimately restoring the status of Korea as the home of Kimchi, in consideration of the great spillover effect on the regional economy, through a series of measures such as the clusterization of Kimchi industry, expansion of cultural experience projects related to Kimchi for the globalization and the increased consumption of Kimchi, government support to increase Kimchi companies in size and achieve the modernization of Kimchi companies, introduction of Kimchi KS audit system and quality certification system, development of new product targeting global market and making Kimchi a high-end product, expansion of export, support of export market diversification, assurance of safety and price competitiveness of Kimchi, differentiated production and marketing strategy by means of technological research, and others.

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