• 제목/요약/키워드: excess deaths

검색결과 17건 처리시간 0.02초

스모그와 건강피해 - 런던스모그참사의 재조명 (Smog and Health Effects -A Review of london Smog of December, 1952-)

  • 조윤승
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 1991
  • This paper briefly reviews our knowledge concerning the potential health risk of smog. It includes a review of the meteorological phenomenon, the causes of death in different age groups from London smog which occurred during the week of December 5, 6, 7, 8, 1952. During the London disaster, which caused 4,000 excess human deaths, it was deternimed the meteorological factors of almost absence of wind, low temperature, high humidity and an inversion. Hence, at ground level of air pollutants were suddenly increased and attributed to the combined action of a particulate matter with sulfur dioxide. As a result, abnormally large numbers of persons died especially, those individuals already suffering from disease of the respiratory and cardiovascular systems.

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Tobacco Chewing and Adult Mortality: a Case-control Analysis of 22,000 Cases and 429,000 Controls, Never Smoking Tobacco and Never Drinking Alcohol, in South India

  • Gajalakshmi, Vendhan;Kanimozhi, Vendhan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1201-1206
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    • 2015
  • Background: Tobacco is consumed in both smoking and smokeless forms in India. About 35-40% of tobacco consumption in India is in the latter. The study objective was to describe the association between chewing tobacco and adult mortality. Materials and Methods: A case-control study was conducted in urban (Chennai city) and rural (Villupuram district) areas in Tamil Nadu state in South India. Interviewed in 1998-2000 about 80,000 families (48,000 urban and 32,000 rural) with members who had died during 1995-1998. These were the cases and their probable underlying cause of death was arrived at by verbal autopsy. Controls were 600,000 (500,000 urban, 100,000 rural) individuals from a survey conducted during 1998-2001 in the same two study areas from where cases were included. Results: Mortality analyses were restricted to non-smoking non-drinkers aged 35-69. The age, sex, education and study area adjusted mortality odds ratio was 30% higher (RR:1.3, 95%CI:1.2-1.4) in ever tobacco chewers compared to never chewers and was significant for deaths from respiratory diseases combined (RR:1.5, 95%CI:1.4-1.7), respiratory tuberculosis (RR:1.7, 95%CI:1.5-1.9), cancers all sites combined (RR:1.5, 95%CI:1.4-1.7) and stroke (RR:1.4, 95%CI:1.2-1.6). Of the cancers, the adjusted mortality odds ratio was significant for upper aero-digestive, stomach and cervical cancers. Chewing tobacco caused 7.1% of deaths from all medical causes. Conclusions: The present study is the first large study in India analysing non-smoking non-drinkers. Statistically significant excess risks were found among ever tobacco chewers for respiratory diseases combined, respiratory tuberculosis, stroke and cancer (all sites combined) compared to never tobacco chewers.

Chloride and lactate as prognostic indicators of calf diarrhea from eighty-nine cases

  • Gencay Ekinci;Emre Tufekci;Youssouf Cisse;Ilknur Karaca Bekdik;Ali Cesur Onmaz;Oznur Aslan;Vehbi Gunes;Mehmet Citil;Ihsan Keles
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.38.1-38.16
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    • 2024
  • Importance: Deaths due to neonatal calf diarrhea are still one of the most critical problems of cattle breeding worldwide. Determining the parameters that can predict diarrhea-related deaths in calves is especially important in terms of prognosis and treatment strategies for the disease. Objective: The primary purpose of this study was to determine mortality rates and durations, survival status, and predictive prognosis parameters based on vital signs, hematology, and blood gas analyses in neonatal diarrheic calves. Methods: The hospital automation system retrospectively obtained data from 89 neonatal diarrheic calves. Results: It was found that 42.7% (38/89) of the calves brought with the complaint of diarrhea died during hospitalization or after discharge. Short-term and long-term fatalities were a median of 9.25 hours and a median of 51.50 hours, respectively. When the data obtained from this study is evaluated, body temperature (℃), pH, base excess (mmol/L), and sodium bicarbonate (mmol/L) parameters were found to be lower, and hemoglobin (g/dL), hematocrit (%), lactate (mmol/L), chloride (mmol/L), sodium (mmol/L) and anion gap (mmol/L) parameters were found to be higher in dead calves compared to survivors. Accordingly, hypothermia, metabolic acidosis, and dehydration findings were seen as clinical conditions that should be considered. Logistic regression analysis showed that lactate (odds ratio, 1.429) and CI- (odds ratio, 1.232) concentration were significant risk factors associated with death in calves with diarrhea. Conclusions and Relevance: According to the findings obtained from this study, the determination of lactate and Cl- levels can be used as an adjunctive supplementary test in distinguishing calves with diarrhea with a good prognosis.

대기오염 지표로서의 시정과 일별 호흡기계 사망간의 연관성에 관한 시계열적 연구 (A Time-series Study on Relationship between Visibility as an Indicator of Air Pollution and Daily Respiratory Mortality)

  • 조용성;정창훈;손지영;전영신;이종태
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.563-574
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    • 2007
  • There seems to be a consensus among most people that visibility impairment is the most obvious indicator of air pollution. While considerable evidence on the association between air pollution and health outcomes including death and disease have been established, based on industrial complex areas or huge urban cities, time-series, case-crossover and cohort studies, scarce literature exists on the direct evidence for the association between visibility and adverse health outcomes. Our study is assessed the effect of air pollution measured by visibility impairment on respiratory mortality over a period of six years. Relative risks in respiratory deaths were estimated by a Poisson regression model of daily deaths between $1999{\sim}2004$. Daily counts of respiratory deaths as dependent variable was modelled with daily 24-hr mean visibility measurements (kilometers) as independent variable by means of Poisson regression. This model is controlled for confounding factors such as day of weeks, weather variables, seasonal variables and $PM_{10}$. The results in this study is observed the statistically significant association between an inverse health effect and visibility during the study period for respiratory mortality (percentage change in the relative risk for all aged -0.57%, 95% Cl, $-1.01%{\sim}-0.12%$; for $0{\sim}15$ aged -7.12%, 95% Cl, $-13.29%{\sim}-0.51%$; for 65+ aged -0.43%, 95% Cl, $-0.93%{\sim}-0.06%$ per 1 km increased in visibility). The effect size was much reduced during warm season. Visibility impairment resulting from air pollution is strongly associated with respiratory mortality, especially for children may be spent at outdoor. Our result provides a quick and useful indicator for eliciting the contribution of air pollution to the excess risk of respiratory mortality in Seoul, Korea.

Impacts of Household Income and Economic Recession on Participation in Colorectal Cancer Screening in Korea

  • Myong, Jun-Pyo;Kim, Hyoung-Ryoul
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.1857-1862
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    • 2012
  • To assess the impact of household income and economic recession on participation in CRC screening, we estimated annual participating proportions from 2007 to 2009 for different CRC screening modalities according to household income levels. A total of 8,042 subjects were derived from the fourth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES IV). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for CRC screening with household income quartiles by gender in each year. People were less likely to attend a high-cost CRC screening such as a sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy independent of the income quartile during the economic recession. Income disparities for participating in opportunistic cancer screening appear to have existed among both males and females during the three years (2007-2009), but were most distinctive in 2009. An increase in mortality of CRC can therefore be expected due to late detection in periods of economic crisis. Accordingly, the government should expand the coverage of CRC screening to prevent excess deaths by reducing related direct and indirect costs during the economic recession.

Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate

  • Schmitz-Feuerhake, Inge;Busby, Christopher;Pflugbeil, Sebastian
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제31권
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    • pp.1.1-1.13
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    • 2016
  • Objectives To investigate the accuracy and scientific validity of the current very low risk factor for hereditary diseases in humans following exposures to ionizing radiation adopted by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation and the International Commission on Radiological Protection. The value is based on experiments on mice due to reportedly absent effects in the Japanese atomic bomb (A-bomb) survivors. Methods To review the published evidence for heritable effects after ionising radiation exposures particularly, but not restricted to, populations exposed to contamination from the Chernobyl accident and from atmospheric nuclear test fallout. To make a compilation of findings about early deaths, congenital malformations, Down's syndrome, cancer and other genetic effects observed in humans after the exposure of the parents. To also examine more closely the evidence from the Japanese A-bomb epidemiology and discuss its scientific validity. Results Nearly all types of hereditary defects were found at doses as low as one to 10 mSv. We discuss the clash between the current risk model and these observations on the basis of biological mechanism and assumptions about linear relationships between dose and effect in neonatal and foetal epidemiology. The evidence supports a dose response relationship which is non-linear and is either biphasic or supralinear (hogs-back) and largely either saturates or falls above 10 mSv. Conclusions We conclude that the current risk model for heritable effects of radiation is unsafe. The dose response relationship is non-linear with the greatest effects at the lowest doses. Using Chernobyl data we derive an excess relative risk for all malformations of 1.0 per 10 mSv cumulative dose. The safety of the Japanese A-bomb epidemiology is argued to be both scientifically and philosophically questionable owing to errors in the choice of control groups, omission of internal exposure effects and assumptions about linear dose response.

암의 조기발견을 위한 CT촬영에서의 임상적 효능과 방사선위해에 대한 고찰 (Review of the Radiation Risk and Clinical Efficacy Associated with Computed Tomography Cancer Screening)

  • 김현자
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.214-227
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    • 2013
  • MDCT의 등장과 함께 병적 증상이 없는 개인이 조기검진을 위해 CT검사를 하는 예가 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 이러한 검사의 임상적 효용성과 방사선에 의한 암 발생위험에 대한 여러 가지 논란을 살펴보았다. 1. 저선량흉부CT(LDCT)를 이용한 폐암의 조기 검진 효용성을 보기 위해 설계된 무작위배정대조검사(randomized controlled trial)인 NLST(National Lung Screening Trial)의 분석 결과, CT선별검사가 선별검사를 하지 않은 그룹의 사망률 1.67%를 1.33%로, 20% (p=0.004) 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다. CT선별검사군에서 양성결과를 보인 사람의 96.4%는 위양성(false-positive)이었다. 그리고 방사선에 의한 폐암의 ERR (excess radiation risk)은 다른 고형암과는 달리 나이와 함께 감소하지 않으며, 더욱이 흡연 위험과 방사선 위험이 상승작용을 하여 폐암 검진 대상인 고위험군에게 더욱 위험할 수 있는 것으로 평가되었다. 따라서 방사선에 의한 위험이 NLST에서 관측한 이득을 상쇄할 수도 있다. 아직은 최적의 전략이 확립되지 않은 상태이므로 임상에서 광범위하게 적용하기에는 한계가 있다. 2. 대장CT검사(CT colonography)는 10 mm보다 큰 용종의 검출에는 정확도가 뛰어나지만 이보다 작은 경우에는 민감도와 특이도가 급격히 감소하고, 용종이 발견되어 제거하고자 하는 경우 다시 기존의 대장내시경을 이용해야 하는 불편함이 있다. 현재 대장CT검사 1회 시행의 평균유효선량은 약 8-10 $mS{\nu}$로 보고되어, 만약 이 검사가 많은 사람들을 대상으로 일상적으로 행해지면 공중보건에 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 따라서 집단검진 방법으로 정착하기 위해서 는 용종 크기 6-10 mm 범위에서 높은 민감도와 특이도를 확립하고, 하제를 사용하지 않는 방법을 개발하여야 하며, 선량을 더 감소시킬 수 있는 최적화된 전략을 세워 표준화하여야만 한다. 3. 전신CT검사는 그 효용성이 검증된 선행연구가 없는 상태이다. 이 검사는 약 90%의 검사자들에게서 최소한 하나 이상의 이상소견을 확인하였지만 그 중 약 2%만이 임상적으로 중요한 질환으로 판명되었다. 전신CT검사 1회 시행으로 인한 평균유효선량은 약 12 $mS{\nu}$이며 45세부터 75세까지 매년 검사를 받는 경우 LAR (lifetime attributable risk)이 1.9%로 보고되었다. 현재 의학계의 어떤 단체도 이 검사를 권고하고 있지 않다. 현재까지 CT선별검사는 정당화에 대한 충분한 논의를 위해 심도 있는 다양한 연구가 필요하며 최적화된 프로토콜이 확립된 후 이용하는 것이 바람직하다.