• Title/Summary/Keyword: exceedance

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Reliability and code level

  • Kasperski, Michael;Geurts, Chris
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.295-307
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    • 2005
  • The paper describes the work of the IAWE Working Group WBG - Reliability and Code Level, one of the International Codification Working Groups set up at ICWE10 in Copenhagen. The following topics are covered: sources of uncertainties in the design wind load, appropriate design target values for the exceedance probability of the design wind load for different structural classes with different consequences of a failure, yearly exceedance probability of the design wind speed and specification of the design aerodynamic coefficient for different design purposes. The recommendations from the working group are summarized at the end of the paper.

Study on the sampling rate for the purpose of use in water distribution network data (상수도 관망 데이터의 사용목적에 관한 수집 주기 연구)

  • Lee, Kyounghwan;Suh, JungChul;Cha, Hunjoo;Song, Kyosin;Choi, Junemo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2013
  • Sampling rate of Hydraulic pressure data, depending on the intended use of the water distribution system is an important factor. If sampling interval of hydraulic data is short, that will be more useful but it demand a lot of expense for maintenance. In this study, based on simulation of water distribution system 2 khz data, statistical techniques of student t distribution, non-exceedance probability using the optimal sampling rate for research.

Seismic microzonation of Kolkata

  • Shiuly, Amit;Sahu, R.B.;Mandal, Saroj
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.125-144
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the probabilistic seismic microzonation of densely populated Kolkata city, situated on the world's largest delta island with very soft alluvial soil deposit. At first probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Kolkata city was carried out at bedrock level and then ground motion amplification due to sedimentary deposit was computed using one dimensional (1D) wave propagation analysis SHAKE2000. Different maps like fundamental frequency, amplification at fundamental frequency, peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground displacement (PGD), maximum response spectral acceleration at different time period bands are developed for variety of end users, structural and geotechnical engineers, land use planners, emergency managers and awareness of general public. The probabilistically predicted PGA at bedrock level is 0.12 g for 50% exceedance in 50 years and maximum PGA at surface level it varies from 0.095 g to 0.18 g for same probability of exceedance. The scenario of simulated ground motion revealed that Kolkata city is very much prone to damage during earthquake.

Minimum Period of Data Collection for the Determination of Average Water Pressure in the Water Distribution Networks (배수구역의 평균수압결정을 위한 최소수압측정기간)

  • Hyun, In-Hwaan;DockKo, Seok;Kim, Duck-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.573-580
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    • 2010
  • Average pressure in a pipe network is one of critical factors to estimate the flow distribution and to calculate UARL (Unavoidable Annual Real Losses) value in ILI (Infrastructure Leakage Index). While its collection period and measuring location are essential to obtain average pressure, their standard method have not been established so far. In this study, proper method including its procedure for data collection period and measuring point for average pressure were suggested using non-exceedance probability concept in the water distribution network.

Stochastic River Water Quality Management by Dynamic Programming (동적계획법을 이용한 추계학적 하천수질관리)

  • Cho, Jae-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 1997
  • A river water quality management model was made by Dynamic programming. This model optimizes the wastewater treatment cost of the application area, and computed water quality with it must meet the water quality standard. And this model takes into consideration tributary input, wastewater treatment plant effluent, withdrawls for several purposes. Modified Streeter-Phelps equation was used to calculate BOD and DO. Optimization problem was solved with particular exceedance probability flow, and the water quality of each point was calculated with the decided treatment efficiencies. At that time, the probability satisfying the water quality standard of constraints to the exceedance probability of the flow. The developed model was applied to the lower part of the Han-River. The reliability to meet the water quality standard is 70 % when 4 wastewater treatment plants of Seoul City are operated by activated sludge system at autumn of the year 2001. Treatment cost of this case is 121.288 billion won per year.

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Comparison of Design Rainfalls From the Annual Maximum and the Non-annual Exceedance Series (연최대치계열과 비연초과치계열으로부터 산정한 확률강우량의 비교·분석)

  • Park, Yei Jun;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Chung, Eun Sung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2014
  • The annual maximum series (AMS) is usually used to estimate hydrological quantiles in practice because it is simple to construct and straightforward to probabilistic interpretation. However, it is limited to use the AMS in Korea due to the lack of reliable observed data which leads to the overestimation of design rainfall and/or flood. Using the 40-year observations of rainfall provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration, this study constructed the AMS and non-annual exceedance series (NAES) after identifying the independent storm event, analyzed the correlation between design rainfalls estimated from the AMS and NAES, and proposed a new method of point frequency analysis to estimate design rainfalls from the small number of observations.

Study on the Characteristics of Surface Ozone Distributions and the Ozone Critical Levels to Vegetation in the South Korea (남한 지역의 지면 오존 농도 특성과 식생에 대한 임계값 적용 연구)

  • Koo, Hae-Jung;Park, Soon-Ung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.310-320
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    • 2008
  • Concentration of tropospheric ozone ($O_3$) was investigated for the South Korea. And then the critical ozone levels, expressed as AOT40 (Accumulated exposure over a threshold of 40 ppb) to vegetation have been used in this region within the UNECE (United Nations Economic Commission for Europe) Convention on Long-Range Trans-boundary Air Pollution (CLRTAP). Hourly ozone concentration data from 1996 to 2001 at 26 air monitoring stations was used to estimate the exceedance of the critical levels. It was calculated for daylight hours for each station, and mapped using surface interpolation over the South Korea. The critical levels of ozone have shown the highly exceeded value in the Gyeonggi region, southern coastal region and central inland of the South Korea. It was some different from the typical ozone distribution which represented highly in the western inland and coastal regions. The area exceeding the critical level for crops was founded to be more than 40% of the whole South Korean territory. While that for trees was to be about 17% of the South Korea. The critical ozone critical level was based upon data from experiments on specific species, and thus may not be fully representative for all types of vegetation. Nevertheless, the critical level and its exceedance of the ozone concentration would be one of the useful tools for international agreements on abatement strategies to prevent ecosystem damage.

Trends and Factors of Ozone Concentration Variations in Korea (우리나라의 오존도 변화 추이와 주요 인자)

  • 김영성
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.607-623
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    • 2000
  • Major trends of ozone concentration variations in Korea were investigated by using observation data from around 100 stations for the period of 1991∼1997. In addition, important regulating those variations were inferred. Three measures such as the number of days exceeding 80ppb, the 95th percentile of daily maxima, and the annual average concentration were used for the analysis of multi-scale ozone concentration variations. Three areas in the southwest (Sosan, Mokpo, and Cheju) of which monitoring has been operated since 1995 showed the highest annual average concentrations over; this was noted because of the high annual average in the Yosu area in the early 1990s. Large increases in annual average concentrations were observed along the relatively cleaner areas connecting Kangnung and Kwangju(northeast to southwest), in contrast to polluted areas connecting Seoul and Pusan(northeast to southeast). Both the number of exceedance days and the daily maximum concentration were nearly constant in the Greater Seoul Area in spite of interannual flucturations associated with year-to-year changes in air temperature. Within the Greater Seoul Area, all three measures usually showed the same trend; they decreased in the middle and west and increased in the east and northeast. All three measures including the number of exceedance days increased largely at Sillim where the average concentration was high but no exceedance days were recorded in the early 1999s, Nationwide ozone concentration variations appear to be determined by the competitive influence of long-range transport and local urban emissions, Within the city including the Greater Seoul Area, changes in emission which accompany changes in population and in the number if vehicles ( in the process of urban development) were found to be important components of ozone concentration variations.

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A Study on the Changes of Return Period Considering Nonstationarity of Rainfall Data (강우자료의 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.447-457
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    • 2014
  • This research focuses on the changes of return period for nonstationary rainfall data in which exceedance or nonexceedance probability varies depending on time. We examined two definitions of return period under nonstationarity and also performed nonstationary frequency analysis using the nonstationary Gumbel model to investigate variations of return period in Korea. Seogwipo, Inje, Jecheon, Gumi, Mungyeong, and Geochang were selected as subject sites of application. These sites have a trend in rainfall data as well as having more than 30 years data. As the results of application, the return periods considering nonstationarity are different with those considering stationarity. The differences of return periods between nonstationarity and stationarity increase as growing return period increases. In addition, the return period using the expected waiting time method shows lower value than that using the expected number of event method.