• Title/Summary/Keyword: event tree analysis

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Sensitivity Analysis Related to Redundancy of Regular and Irregular Framed Structures after Member Disappearance

  • Ito, Takumi;Takemura, Toshinobu
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2014
  • Recently, there have been some reported examples of structural collapse due to gravity, subsequent to damage from accident or an excitation that was not prepared for in the design process. A close view of new concepts, such as a redundancy and key elements, has been taken with the aim of ensuring the robustness of a structure, even in the event of an unexpected disturbance. The author previously proposed a sensitivity index of the vertical load carrying capacity to member disappearance for framed structures. The index is defined as the ratio of the load carrying capacity after a member or a set of an adjacent member disappears, to the original load carrying capacity. The member with the highest index may be regarded as a key element. The concept of bio-mimicry is being applied to various fields of engineering, and tree-shaped structures are sometimes used for the design of building structures. In this study a sensitivity analysis is applied to the irregular-framed structures such as tree-shaped structures.

Risk Analysis of Ammonia Leak in the Refrigeration Manufacturing Facilities (냉동제조 시설의 암모니아 누출사고 위험 분석)

  • Kang, Su-Jin;Lee, Ik-Mo;Moon, Jin-Young;Chon, Young-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2017
  • Recently, ammonia leak occurred frequently in the domestic refrigeration manufacturing facilities. Ammonia caused great damage to the environment and human health in the event of an accident as combustible gases and toxic gases. After considering the types of ammonia accidents of domestic refrigeration manufacturing facilities and selected accident scenarios and to analyze the risk analysis through Impact range estimates and frequency analysis and there was a need to establish measures to minimize accident damage. In this study, depending on the method of analysis quantitative risk assessment we analyzed the risk of the receiver tank of ammonia system. Scenario analysis conditions were set according to the 'Technical guidelines for the selection of accident scenario' under the chemicals control act and 'Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis' of center for chemical process safety. The risk estimates were utilized for consequence analysis and frequency analysis by SAFETI program of DNV, event tree analysis methodology and part count methodology. The individual risk of ammonia system was derived as 7.71E-04 / yr, social risk were derived as 1.17E-03 / yr. The derived risk was confirmed to apply as low as reasonably practicable of the national fire protection association and through risk calculation, it can be used as a way to minimize accidents ammonia leakage accident damage.

A Study on A Dynamic Reliability Analysis Model (동적신뢰도 평가모델의 연구)

  • 제무성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a new dynamic approach for assessing feasibility associated with the implementation of accident management strategies by the operators. This approach includes the combined use of both the concept of reliability physics and a dynamic event tree generation scheme. The reliability physics is based on the concept of a comparison between two competing variables, i.e., the requirement and the achievement parameter, while the dynamic event tree generation scheme on the continuous generation of the possible event sequences at every branch point up to the desired solution. This approach is applied to a cavity flooding strategy in a reference plant, which is to supply water into the reactor cavity using emergency fire systems in the station blackout sequence. The MAAP code and Latin Hypercube sampling technique are used to determine the uncertainty of the requirement parameter. It has been demonstrated that this combined methodology may contribute to assessing the success likelihood of the operator actions required during accidents and therefore to developing the accident management procedures.

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Fire Safety Analysis of Fire Suppression System for Aircraft Maintenance Hangar Using Fault Tree Method (Fault Tree를 활용한 항공기 격납고 소화시스템의 화재 안전성 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Guk
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2017
  • An aircraft maintenance hangar is a building that stores, maintains, and inspects expensive aircraft. The frequency of fire occurrence is low, but the resulting human and material damage can be very serious. Therefore, in this study, we conducted a qualitative analysis of the fire safety of the currently operating fire suppression systems for aircraft maintenance hangars using the Fault Tree method, and then performed a quantitative analysis using the failure rate data for the derived basic events and analyzed the importance of the minimal cut sets. As a result of the qualitative analysis by the minimal cut set, it was found that there were 14 accident paths that could be expanded to a large fire, due to the fire control failure of the aircraft hangar fire suppression system. The quantitative analysis revealed that, the probability of the fire expanding into a large one is $2.08{\times}E-05/day$. The analysis of the importance of the minimal cut set shows that four minimal cut sets, namely the fire detector and foam head action according to the zone and blocking of the foam by the aircraft wing and the fire plume, had the same likelihood of causing the fire to develop into a large one, viz. 24.95% each, which together forms the majority of the likelihood. It was confirmed for the first time by fault tree method that the fire suppression system of aircraft maintenance hangars is not suitable for fires under the aircraft wings and needs to be improved.

A Risk Assessment Approach to Safety Management of Electric Railway Facilities (전기철도 전철전력설비의 위험도 평가 기반 안전관리에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Yoon-Suk;Choi, Kyu-Hyoung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.960-967
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    • 2009
  • Power supply system of electric railway has a diversity of safety problems since it should supply high electric power to the trains moving high speed with a lot of passengers on board. This paper provides a risk assessment approach to safety management of the electric railway facilities. Construction of database from field accident information, risk assessment and management of the risk are carried out systematically to ensure the safety. The risk assessment includes hazard identification, cause analysis by FTA(Fault Tree Analysis), consequence analysis by EVA(Event Tree Analysis), and loss analysis. In terms of the severity and the probability of the accidents deduced by these analyses, the risk of the accidents is assessed by using a risk matrix designed for electric railway facilities. Based on the risk assessment, possible risk mitigation options are identified and evaluated by analyzing their impact on the risk reduction and their cost benefit ratio. The long-term safety of the electric railway facilities can be ensured by renewal of the risk assessment and the risk mitigation option analysis with continuous accident database update. The proposed approach is applied to the electric railway facilities of Korean railway based on the accident data from 2002 to 2008.

FTA를 이용한 LNG 하역설비의 정량적 위험성 평가

  • 한정민;오신규;백재진;이필호;이광원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2002
  • FTA(Fault free Analysis)는 시스템 고장을 발생시키는 사상(event)과 그의 원인과의 인과관계를 논리기호(AND 와 OR)를 사용하여 나뭇가지 모양의 그림으로 나타낸 고장수목(Fault Tree)을 만들고, 이에 의거하여 시스템의 고장확률을 구함으로써 문제가 되는 부분을 찾아내어 시스템의 신뢰성을 개선하는 정량적 고장해석 및 신뢰성 평가 방법이다.(중략)

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The Computer Fault Prediction and Diagnosis Fuzzy Expert System (컴퓨터 고장 예측 및 진단 퍼지 전문가 시스템)

  • 최성운
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.54
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2000
  • The fault diagnosis is a systematic and unified method to find based on the observing data resulting in noises. This paper presents the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system technique to manipulate the uncertainties efficiently in predictive perspective. We apply a fuzzy event tree analysis to the computer system, and build up the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system that predicts and diagnoses the error of the system in the advance of error.

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GPU-accelerated Reliability Analysis Method using Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram based on DEVS Formalism (DEVS 형식론 기반의 Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram과 GPU 가속 기술을 이용한 신뢰도 분석 방법)

  • Ha, Sol;Ku, Namkug;Roh, Myung-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • This paper adopts the system configuration to assess the reliability instead of making a fault tree (FT), which is a traditional method to analyze reliability of a certain system; this is the reliability block diagram (RBD) method. The RBD method is a graphical presentation of a system diagram connecting the subsystems of components according to their functions or reliability relationships. The equipment model for the reliability simulation is modeled based on the discrete event system specification (DEVS) formalism. In order to make various alternatives of target system, this paper also adopts the system entity structure (SES), an ontological framework that hierarchically represents the elements of a system and their relationships. To enhance the calculation time of reliability analysis, GPU-based accelerations are adopted to the reliability simulation.

Hazard Evaluation And Analysis For LNG Storage Tank (LNG 탱크의 위험도 평가 및 분석)

  • Kim, Myungbae;Do, Kyu Hyung
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2017
  • Hazard evaluation and FTA are performed as the first and the second step of QRA for a LNG storage tank. Hazards are identified using HAZOP. Each segment of the system is examined, and we list all possible deviations from normal operating conditions and how they might occur. The consequences on the process are assessed, and the means available to detect and correct the deviations are reviewed. The FTA is carried out to analyse the hazards identified from the HAZOP study. A top event is selected to be release of LNG. Then all combinations of individual failures that can lead to the hazardous event are shown in the logical format of the fault tree system.

Tree-dimensional FE Analysis of Acoustic Emission of Fiber Breakage using Explicit Time Integration Method (외연적 시간적분법을 이용한 복합재료 섬유 파단 시 음향방출의 3차원 유한요소 해석)

  • Paik, Seung-Hoon;Park, Si-Hyong;Kim, Seung-Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.172-175
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    • 2005
  • The numerical simulation is performed for the acoustic emission and the wave propagation due to fiber breakage in single fiber composite plates by the finite element transient analysis. The acoustic emission and the following wave motions from a fiber breakage under a static loading is simulated to investigate the applicability of the explicit finite element method and the equivalent volume force model as a simulation tool of wave propagation and a modeling technique of an acoustic emission. For such a simple case of the damage event under static loading, various parameters affecting the wave motion are investigated for reliable simulations of the impact damage event. The high velocity and the small wave length of the acoustic emission require a refined analysis with dense distribution of the finite element and a small time step. In order to fulfill the requirement for capturing the exact wave propagation and to cover the 3-D simulation, we utilize the parallel FE transient analysis code and the parallel computing technology.

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