• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation of natural disaster

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Effects of turbulence intensity and exterior geometry on across-wind aerodynamic damping of rectangular super-tall buildings

  • Quan, Y.;Cao, H.L.;Gu, M.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-209
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    • 2016
  • Across-wind aerodynamic damping ratios are identified from the wind-induced acceleration responses of 15 aeroelastic models of rectangular super-high-rise buildings in various simulated wind conditions by using the random decrement technique. The influences of amplitude-dependent structural damping ratio and natural frequency on the estimation of the aerodynamic damping ratio are discussed and the identifying method for aerodynamic damping is improved at first. Based on these works, effects of turbulence intensity $I_u$, aspect ratio H/B, and side ratio B/D on the across-wind aerodynamic damping ratio are investigated. The results indicate that turbulence intensity and side ratio are the most important factors that affect across-wind aerodynamic damping ratio, whereas aspect ratio indirectly affects the aerodynamic damping ratio by changing the response amplitude. Furthermore, empirical aerodynamic damping functions are proposed to estimate aerodynamic damping ratios at low and high reduced speeds for rectangular super-high-rise buildings with an aspect ratio in the range of 5 to 10, a side ratio of 1/3 to 3, and turbulence intensity varying from 1.7% to 25%.

A Study on the Visualization of the Earthquake Information in AR Environments (AR 환경에서의 지진 정보 가시화 방안 연구)

  • Bae, Seonghun;Jung, Gichul;Kim, EunHee
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2015
  • The earthquake is a natural disaster causing loss of life or property damage and happens more often in Korea recently. Moreover, considering the increase of massive buildings, it is required to predict and visualize the information of the vibration in a building. In this paper, we developed a prototype framework to visualize the displacement information in the AR environments. In order to avoid the irregular halts of the scene and the unnatural distortion of the object, this framework uses the synchronization method at the scene update time and the interpolation of the sensor data for the displacement of vertices. In addition, we studied displacement estimation methods with the acceleration data to extend this framework to the system with accelerators.

Computation of Actual Evapotranspiration using Drone-based Remotely Sensed Information: Preliminary Test for a Drought Index (드론 원격정보를 활용한 실제증발산량의 산정: 가뭄지수를 위한 사전테스트)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Kim, Sung-Wook;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.1653-1660
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    • 2016
  • Drought is a reoccurring worldwide natural hazard that affects not only food production but also economics, health, and infrastructure. Drought monitoring is usually performed with precipitation-based indices without consideration of the actual state and amount of the land surface properties. A drought index based on the actual evapotranspiration can overcome these shortcomings. The severity of a drought can be quantified by making a spatial map. The procedure for estimating actual evapotranspiration is costly and complicated, and requires land surface information. The possibility of utilizing drone-driven remotely sensed data for actual evapotranspiration estimation was analyzed in this study. A drone collected data was used to calculate the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI). The spatial resolution was 10 m with a grid of $404{\times}395$. The collected data were applied and parameterized to an actual evapotranspiration estimation. The result shows that drone-based data is useful for estimating actual evapotranspiration and the corresponding drought indices.

Disaster Risk Assessment using QRE Assessment Tool in Disaster Cases in Seoul Metropolitan (서울시 재난 사례 QRE 평가도구를 활용한 재난 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Yong Moon;Lee, Tae Shik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2019
  • This study assessed the risk of disaster by using QRE(Quick Risk Estimation - UNISDR Roll Model City of Basic Evaluation Tool) tools for three natural disasters and sixteen social disasters managed by the Seoul Metropolitan Government. The criteria for selecting 19 disaster types in Seoul are limited to disasters that occur frequently in the past and cause a lot of damage to people and property if they occur. We also considered disasters that are likely to occur in the future. According to the results of the QRE tools for disaster type in Seoul, the most dangerous type of disaster among the Seoul city disasters was "suicide accident" and "deterioration of air quality". Suicide risk is high and it is not easy to take measures against the economic and psychological problems of suicide. This corresponds to the Risk ratings(Likelihood ranking score & Severity rating) "M6". In contrast, disaster types with low risk during the disaster managed by the city of Seoul were analyzed as flooding, water leakage, and water pollution accidents. In the case of floods, there is a high likelihood of disaster such as localized heavy rains and typhoons. However, the city of Seoul has established a comprehensive plan to reduce floods and water every five years. This aspect is considered to be appropriate for disaster prevention preparedness and relatively low disaster risk was analyzed. This corresponds to the disaster Risk ratings(Likelihood ranking score & Severity rating) "VL1". Finally, the QRE tool provides the city's leaders and disaster managers with a quick reference to the risk of a disaster so that decisions can be made faster. In addition, the risk assessment using the QRE tool has helped many aspects such as systematic evaluation of resilience against the city's safety risks, basic data on future investment plans, and disaster response.

Impacts assessment of Climate change on hydrologic cycle changes in North Korea based on RCP climate change scenarios I. Development of Long-Term Runoff Model Parameter Estimation for Ungauged Basins (RCP 기후변화시나리오를 이용한 미래 북한지역의 수문순환 변화 영향 평가 I. 미계측유역의 장기유출모형 매개변수 추정식 개발)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Kang, Dong Ho;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 2019
  • Climate change on the Korean peninsula is progressing faster than the global average. For example, typhoons, extreme rainfall, heavy snow, cold, and heatwave that are occurring frequently. North Korea is particularly vulnerable to climate change-related natural disasters such as flooding and flooding due to long-term food shortages, energy shortages, and reckless deforestation and development. In addition, North Korea is classified as an unmeasured area due to political and social influences, making it difficult to obtain sufficient hydrologic data for hydrological analysis. Also, as interest in climate change has increased, studies on climate change have been actively conducted on the Korean Peninsula in various repair facilities and disaster countermeasures, but there are no cases of research on North Korea. Therefore, this study selects watershed characteristic variables that are easy to acquire in order to apply localization model to North Korea where it is difficult to obtain observed hydrologic data and estimates parameters based on meteorological and topographical characteristics of 16 dam basins in South Korea. Was calculated. In addition, as a result of reviewing the applicability of the parameter estimation equations calculated for the fifty thousand, Gangneungnamdaecheon, Namgang dam, and Yeonggang basins, the applicability of the parameter estimation equations to North Korea was very high.

Estimation of the Natural Damage Disaster Considering the Spatial Autocorrelation and Urban Characteristics (공간적 자기상관성과 도시특성 요소를 고려한 자연재해 피해 분석)

  • Seo, Man Whoon;Lee, Jae Song;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.723-733
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to analyze the effects of urban characteristics on the amount of damage caused by natural disasters. It is focused on the areas of a municipal level in Korea. Also, it takes into account the spatial autocorrelation of the damage caused by natural disasters. Moran's I statistics was estimated to examine the spatial autocorrelation in the damage from the study area. Subsequent to evaluating the suitability for spatial regression models and the OLS regression model, the spatial lag model was employed as an empirical analysis for the study. It showed that the increase in residential area leads to the decrease in the amount of natural disaster damage. On the other hand, the increase in green area and river basin is associated with the increase in the damage. As a result of empirical analysis, appropriate policy establishment and implementation about the damage-adding factors is needed in order to reduce the amount of damage in the future.

Experimental and Analytical Study on the Water Level Detection and Early Warning System with Intelligent CCTV (지능형 CCTV를 이용한 수위감지 경보시스템에 대한 실험 및 해석적 연구)

  • Hong, Sangwan;Park, Youngjin;Lee, Hacheol
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2014
  • In this research, we developed video analytic algorithms to detect water-level automatically and a system for proactive alarming using intelligent CCTV cameras. We applied these algorithms and a system to test-beds and verified for practical use. We made camera-selection policies and operation plans to keep the detection accuracy high and to optimize the suitability for the ever-changing weather condition, while the environmental factors such as camera shaking and weather condition can affect to detection accuracy. The estimation result of algorithms showed 90% detection accuracy for all CCTV camera types. For water level detection, NIR camera performed great. NIR camera performed over 95% accuracy in day or night, suitable in natural weather condition such as shaking condition, fog, and low light, needs similar installment skills with common cameras, and spends only 15% high cost. As a result, we practically tested water level detection algorithms and operation system based on intelligent CCTV camera. Furthermore, we expect the positive evidences when it is applied for public use.

Estimation of Snow Damage and Proposal of Snow Damage Threshold based on Historical Disaster Data (재난통계를 활용한 대설피해 예측 및 대설 피해 적설심 기준 결정 방안)

  • Oh, YeoungRok;Chung, Gunhui
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.325-331
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    • 2017
  • Due to the climate change, natural disaster has been occurred more frequently and the number of snow disasters has been also increased. Therefore, many researches have been conducted to predict the amount of snow damages and to reduce snow damages. In this study, snow damages over last 21 years on the Natural Disaster Report were analyzed. As a result, Chungcheong-do, Jeolla-do, and Gangwon-do have the highest number of snow disasters. The multiple linear regression models were developed using the snow damage data of these three provinces. Daily fresh snow depth, daily maximum, minimum, and average temperatures, and relative humidity were considered as possible inputs for climate factors. Inputs for socio-economic factors were regional area, greenhouse area, farming population, and farming population over 60. Different regression models were developed based on the daily maximum snow depth. As results, the model efficiency considering all damage (including low snow depth) data was very low, however, the model only using the high snow depth (more than 25 cm) has more than 70% of fitness. It is because that, when the snow depth is high, the snow damage is mostly caused by the snow load itself. It is suggested that the 25 cm of snow depth could be used as the snow damage threshold based on this analysis.

Development of Predicting Function for Wind Wave Damage based on Disaster Statistics: Focused on East Sea and Jeju Island (재해통계기반 풍랑피해액예측함수 개발 : 동해안, 제주를 중심으로)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho;Kwon, Jae-Wook;Yun, Gwan-Seon;Yang, Da-Un;Kwak, Kil-Sin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Environmental Technology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • In current stage, it is hard to predict the scale of damage caused by natural disaster and it is hard to deal with it. However, in case of disaster planning level, if it is possible to predict the scale of disaster then quick reaction can be done which will reduce the damage. In the present study, therefore, function of wind wave damage estimation among various disaster is developed. Damage of wind wave and typhoon in eastern and Jeju coastal zone was collected from disaster report (1991~2014) published by Ministry of Public Safety and Security and to reflect inflation rate, 2014 damage cost was converted. Also, wave height, wind speed, wave direction, wave period, etc was collected from Meteorological Administration and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration web site. To reflect the characteristic of coastal zone when wave damage occurs, CODI(Coastal Disaster Index), COSI(Coastal Sensitivity Index), CPII(Coastal Potential Impact Index) published by Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency in 2015 were used. When damage occurs, function predicting wind wave damage was developed through weather condition, regional characteristic index and correlation of damage cost.

Development of Rainfall-Flood Damage Estimation Function using Nonlinear Regression Equation (비선형 회귀식을 이용한 강우-홍수피해액 추정함수 개발)

  • Lee, Jongso;Eo, Gyu;Choi, Changhyun;Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.74-88
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    • 2016
  • Predicting and estimating the disaster characteristics are very important for disaster planning such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. Especially, if we can predict the flood damage before flooding, the predicted or estimated damage will be a very good information to the decision maker for the response and recovery. However, most of the researches, have been performed for calculating disaster damages only after disasters had already happened and there are few studies that are related to the prediction of the damages before disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict and estimate the flood damages rapidly considering the damage scale and effect before the flood disaster, For this the relationship of rainfall and damage had been suggested using nonlinear regression equation so that it is able to predict the damages according to rainfall. We compared the estimated damages and the actual ones. As a result, the damages were underestimated in 14.16% for Suwon-city and 15.81% for Yangpyeong-town but the damage was overestimated in 37.33% for Icheon-city. The underestimated and overestimated results could be occurred due to the uncertainties involved in natural phenomenon and no considerations of the 4 disaster steps such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery which were already performed.. Therefore, we may need the continuous study in this area for reducing various uncertainties and considering various factors related to disasters.