• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation of error coefficient method

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Assessing the EPIC Model for Estimation of Future Crops Yield in South Korea (미래 작물생산량 추정을 위한 EPIC 모형의 국내 적용과 평가)

  • Lim, Chul-Hee;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Song, Yongho;Eom, Ki-Cheol
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2015
  • Various crop models have been extensively used for estimation of the crop yields. Compared to the other models, the EPIC model uses a unified approach to simulate more than 100 types of crops. It has been successfully applied in simulating crop yields for various combinations of weather conditions, soil properties, crops, and management schemes in many countries. The objective of this study was to estimate the rice and maize yield in South Korea using the EPIC model. The input datasets for the 30 types in the 11 categories were created for the EPIC model. The EPIC model simulated rice and maize yields. The performance of the EPIC model was evaluated with the goodness-of-fit measures including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Relative Error (RE), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (NSEC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Pearson Correelation Coefficient (r). The rice yield showed to more high accuracy than maize yield on four type of method without NSEC. Theses results showed that the EPIC model better simulated rice yields than maize yields. The results suggest that the EPIC crop model can be useful to estimate crop yield in South Korea.

A Evaluation of P-S-N Curve of Low Pressure Steam Turbine Blade Steel (저압 증기 터빈블레이드 강의 P-S-N 선도 평가)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2001
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue data of the LP steam turbine blade steel, it is important to estimate P - S - N curves to accurately define the probability distributions. In this study, new procedure is introduced to determine the expression of P - S - N curves. For this purpose, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue life were examined by the proposed analysis. Furthermore, parameter estimation for P - S - N curves was performed using various optimization to maximize the correlation coefficient. As a result of this, sequential linear programing method is used for estimation of P - S - N curves.

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Estimation of Hydrodynamic Derivatives by Parallel Processing of Second Order Filter

  • Lee, Kurn-Chul;Kim, Jin-Ki;Rhee, Key-Pyo
    • Journal of Hydrospace Technology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 1995
  • Unknown parameters can be determined by system identification techniques. Extended Kalman filter method was introduced as a real time estimator of hydrodynamic derivatives but it has the problem named the coefficient drift. In this study, 2nd order filter estimates hydrodynamic derivatives in Abkowitz model In order to reduce the coefficient drift, parallel processing is used. The measured state and ship trajectory are compared with the estimated values. Parallel processing of 2nd order filter gives very similar results to parallel processing of extended Kalman filter. Parallel processing cannot not remove the coefficient drift perfectly, but it reduces the estimation error.

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On the Signal Power Normalization Approach to the Escalator Adaptive filter Algorithms

  • Kim Nam-Yong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.8C
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    • pp.801-805
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    • 2006
  • A normalization approach to coefficient adaptation in the escalator(ESC) filter structure that conventionally employs least mean square(LMS) algorithm is introduced. Using Taylor's expansion of the local error signal, a normalized form of the ESC-LMS algorithm is derived. Compared with the computational complexity of the conventional ESC-LMS algorithm employs input power estimation for time-varying convergence coefficient using a single-pole low-pass filter, the computational complexity of the proposed method can be reduced by 50% without performance degradation.

A Study of Position Estimation Considering Wheel Slip of Mecanum Wheeled Mobile Robot (메카넘 휠 이동로봇의 바퀴 슬립을 고려한 위치 추정 연구)

  • Oh, Injin;Kwon, Gunwoo;Yang, Hyunseok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the position estimation considering wheel slip of mecanum wheeled mobile robots is discussed. Since the mecanum wheeled mobile robot does not need a space to rotate, it is very suitable in narrow industrial fields. However, the slip caused by the roller attached to the wheel makes it difficult to estimate the position precisely. Due to these limitations, mecanum wheels are rarely applied to unmanned mobile robots in automation factories. In this paper, a method to compensate the orientation and distance error caused by the slip is proposed. The exact orientation is measured by fusing gyro and magnetometer sensor data with application of Kalman filter. In addition, the kinematic model accounting slip effects will be defined to compensate the distance error.

The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Exponential and Log Shaped Type Hazard Function from the Perspective of Learning Effects (지수형과 로그형 위험함수 학습효과에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied exponential and log shaped type hazard function. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and coefficient of determination.

Tracking Control of Robotic Manipulators based on the All-Coefficient Adaptive Control Method

  • Lei Yong-Jun;Wu Hong-Xin
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2006
  • A multi-variable Golden-Section adaptive controller is proposed for the tracking control of robotic manipulators with unknown dynamics. With a small sample time, the unknown dynamics of the robotic manipulator are denoted equivalently by a characteristic model of a 2-order multivariable time-varying difference equation. The coefficients of the characteristic model change slowly with time and some of their valuable characteristic relationships emerge. Based on the characteristic model, an adaptive algorithm with a simple form for the control of robotic manipulators is presented, which combines the multi-variable Golden-Section adaptive control law with the weighted least squares estimation method. Moreover, a compensation neural network law is incorporated into the designed controller to reduce the influence of the coefficients estimation error on the control performance. The results of the simulations indicate that the developed control scheme is effective in robotic manipulator control.

Estimation of BOD in wastewater treatment plant by using different ANN algorithms

  • BAKI, Osman Tugrul;ARAS, Egemen
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2018
  • The measurement and monitoring of the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) play an important role in the planning and operation of wastewater treatment plants. The most basic method for determining biochemical oxygen demand is direct measurement. However, this method is both expensive and takes a long time. A five-day period is required to determine the biochemical oxygen demand. This study has been carried out in a wastewater treatment plant in Turkey (Hurma WWTP) in order to estimate the biochemical oxygen demand a shorter time and with a lower cost. Estimation was performed using artificial neural network (ANN) method. There are three different methods in the training of artificial neural networks, respectively, multi-layered (ML-ANN), teaching learning based algorithm (TLBO-ANN) and artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN). The input flow (Q), wastewater temperature (t), pH, chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended sediment (SS), total phosphorus (tP), total nitrogen (tN), and electrical conductivity of wastewater (EC) are used as the input parameters to estimate the BOD. The root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) values were used in evaluating performance criteria for each model. As a result of the general evaluation, the ML-ANN method provided the best estimation results both training and test series with 0.8924 and 0.8442 determination coefficient, respectively.

L-Estimation for the Parameter of the AR(l) Model (AR(1) 모형의 모수에 대한 L-추정법)

  • Han Sang Moon;Jung Byoung Cheal
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a robust estimation method for the first-order autocorrelation coefficient in the time series model following AR(l) process with additive outlier(AO) is investigated. We propose the L-type trimmed least squares estimation method using the preliminary estimator (PE) suggested by Rupport and Carroll (1980) in multiple regression model. In addition, using Mallows' weight function in order to down-weight the outlier of X-axis, the bounded-influence PE (BIPE) estimator is obtained and the mean squared error (MSE) performance of various estimators for autocorrelation coefficient are compared using Monte Carlo experiments. From the results of Monte-Carlo study, the efficiency of BIPE(LAD) estimator using the generalized-LAD to preliminary estimator performs well relative to other estimators.

Biomass Estimation Using Length-Weight Regression for the Freshwater Cyclopoida

  • Hye-Ji Oh;Geun-Hyeok Hong;Yerim Choi;Dae-Hee Lee;Hye-Lin Woo;Young-Seuk Park;Yong-Jae Kim;Kwang-Hyeon Chang
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2024
  • Zooplankton biomass is essential for understanding the quantitative structure of lake food webs and for the functional assessment of biotic interactions. In this study, we aimed to propose a biomass (dry weight) estimation method using the body length of cyclopoid copepods. These copepods play an important role as omnivores in lake zooplankton communities and contribute significantly to biomass. We validated several previously proposed estimation equations against direct measurements and compared the suitability of prosomal length versus total length of copepods to suggest a more appropriate estimation equation. After comparing the regression analysis results of various candidate equations with the actual values measured on a microbalance-using the coefficient of variation, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination-it was determined that the Total Length-DW exponential regression equation [W=0.7775×e2.0183L; W (㎍), L (mm)] could be used to calculate biomass with higher accuracy. However, considering practical issues such as the morphological similarity between species and genera of copepods and the limitations of classifying copepodid stages, we derived a general regression equation for the pooled copepod community rather than a species-specific regression equation.