• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation method

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Efficient Anomaly Detection Through Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis

  • Kim, Yeong-Ju;Jeong, Min-A
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2015
  • This paper suggests a method of real time confidence interval estimation to detect abnormal states of sensor data. For real time confidence interval estimation, the mean square errors of the exponential smoothing method and moving average method, two of the time series analysis method, were compared, and the moving average method with less errors was applied. When the sensor data passes the bounds of the confidence interval estimation, the administrator is notified through alarms. As the suggested method is for real time anomaly detection in a ship, an Android terminal was adopted for better communication between the wireless sensor network and users. For safe navigation, an administrator can make decisions promptly and accurately upon emergency situation in a ship by referring to the anomaly detection information through real time confidence interval estimation.

Least Square Channel Estimation Scheme of OFDM System using Fuzzy Inference Method (퍼지 추론법을 적용한 OFDM 시스템의 LS(Least Square) 채널추정 기법)

  • Kim, Nam;Choi, Jung-Hun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.84-90
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, the new channel estimation was proposed that have the low complexity and high performance using Fuzzy inference method uses recently from various field for estimation about uncertainty in channel estimation of OFDM. Proposed method is channel estimation performance improve, calculation and interpolation for statistics character of channel using the pilot before LS channel estimation by Fuzzy inference method. Simulation result in QPSK proposed channel estimation method shows the enhancement of 5.5dB compared to the LS channel estimation and the deterioration of 1.3dB compared to the MMSE channel estimation in mean square error point $10^{-3}$. symbol error rate shows similarity performance the MMSE $10^{-1.96}$, proposed channel estimation $10^{-1.93}$ and enhancement of $10^{-0.35}$ compared to the LS channel estimation in signal to noise ratio point 20dB.

Noise Estimation Using Edge Detection (에지 검출을 이용한 잡음 예측)

  • Kim, Young-Ro;Dong, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose a noise estimation method using edge detection. It is a filter-based noise estimation method. Edge detection is to exclude structures and details which have an effect on the noise estimation. To detect edge, we use a modified rational filter which is robust to details of images. The proposed noise estimation method is more efficiently applied to noise estimation in various types of images and has better results than those of conventional filter-based noise estimation methods.

Online estimation of noise parameters for Kalman filter

  • Yuen, Ka-Veng;Liang, Peng-Fei;Kuok, Sin-Chi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.361-381
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    • 2013
  • A Bayesian probabilistic method is proposed for online estimation of the process noise and measurement noise parameters for Kalman filter. Kalman filter is a well-known recursive algorithm for state estimation of dynamical systems. In this algorithm, it is required to prescribe the covariance matrices of the process noise and measurement noise. However, inappropriate choice of these covariance matrices substantially deteriorates the performance of the Kalman filter. In this paper, a probabilistic method is proposed for online estimation of the noise parameters which govern the noise covariance matrices. The proposed Bayesian method not only estimates the optimal noise parameters but also quantifies the associated estimation uncertainty in an online manner. By utilizing the estimated noise parameters, reliable state estimation can be accomplished. Moreover, the proposed method does not assume any stationarity condition of the process noise and/or measurement noise. By removing the stationarity constraint, the proposed method enhances the applicability of the state estimation algorithm for nonstationary circumstances generally encountered in practice. To illustrate the efficacy and efficiency of the proposed method, examples using a fifty-story building with different stationarity scenarios of the process noise and measurement noise are presented.

Estimation of Spatial Dependence with GEE

  • Lee, Yoon-Dong;Choi, Hye-Mi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 2003
  • We consider an efficient parametric estimation method of spatial dependence in weak stationary processes. Spatial dependence is modeled through variogram and correlogram. Most of parametric estimation methods of correlogram use two step method; nonparametric estimation and parametric integration. We bind these two steps into one step by using GEE method instead of least squares type optimization. Our one step method is more efficient statistically and gives a clear interpretation of related concepts used in traditional two step methods.

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A Stability Estimation Method of Subspan Oscillation on Overhead Transmission Lines (가공송전선로의 서브스판 진동에 대한 안정성 평가기법)

  • Sohn, Hong-Kwan;Lee, Eun-Woong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.522-524
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a stability estimation method for subspan oscillation on overhead transmission line. It has been used method by conductor's fatigue limit or subspan oscillation amplitude. But it is not proper to estimation of subspan oscillation. We suggest to instability index for estimation method of subspan oscillation. And we tried to 4 bundled conductor system. This result will use to establish of the subspan location rules.

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The Research of Velocity Estimation Method in Pipe Pumping for Slurry Transportation (슬러리 이송을 위한 관내 유속 추정 방법 연구)

  • Kwon, Seunghee;Jeong, Soonyong;Kim, Yuseung
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2014
  • This Research have suggested the new estimation method using parameter estimation algorithm to substitute established velocity and friction factor calculation equation. Established calculation equation has some difficulties for estimation and reflecting exactly flow specification cause parameter uncertainty and material uncertainty governed real phenomenon, so this research has used system modeling method for flow specification estimation and suggested estimation method.

A Robust MRAC-based Speed Estimation Method to Improve the Performance of Sensorless Induction Motor Drive System in Low Speed (저속영역에서 센서리스 벡터제어 유도전동기의 성능을 향상시키기 위한 MRAC 기반의 강인한 속도 추정 기법)

  • 박철우;권우현
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2004
  • A novel rotor speed estimation method using model reference adaptive control(MRAC) is proposed to improve the performance of a sensorless vector controller. In the proposed method, the stator current is used as the model variable for estimating the speed. In conventional MRAC methods, the relation between the two model errors and the speed estimation error is unclear. In the proposed method, the stator current error is represented as a function of the first degree for the error value in the speed estimation. Therefore, the proposed method can produce a fast speed estimation. The robustness of the rotor flux-based MRAC, back EMF-based MRAC, and proposed MRAC is compared based on a sensitivity function about each error of stator resistance, rotor time constant, mutual inductance. Consequently, the proposed method is much more robust than the conventional methods as regards errors in the mutual inductance, stator resistance. Therefore, the proposed method offers a considerable improvement in the performance of a sensorless vector controller at a low speed. In addition, the superiority of the proposed method and the validity of sensitivity functions were verified by simulation and experiment.

Life Cycle Cost Estimation Method for Spare Parts Using Weapon System Hierarchy (무기체계 계층구조를 활용한 수리부속의 수명주기비용 추정 방안)

  • Lee, Ja Kyoung;Kim, Sang Boo;Park, Yun Gyu;Bae, In Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The spare part cost is one of the most important cost factors with which construct Life Cycle Cost. The LCSP(Life Cycle Sustainment Plan) Guidebook issued by Korea Ministry of Defense, however, suggests a simple equation to estimate the spare part cost using maintenance task frequencies and each part cost. Therefore, following the cost estimation method in the LCSP Guidebook may lead to an improper cost estimation result since both the hierarchical structure of the weapon system and the part discard rate are not considered. The purpose of this study is to develop a new life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts of weapon system during its life cycle. Methods: In this study, the detailed cost structure of spare parts is provided. Also a new spare part cost estimation methods for the each cost element are proposed, considering the hierarchical structure of weapon system and the part discard rate. And the proposed spare cost estimation methods are applied to K system for a case study. Results: Based on the case study of K system, the spare part cost estimation method, proposed by this study, shows that it can complement the estimation method suggested by the LCSP Guidebook. It also shows that it is applicable to the weapon systems for Korea armed forces. Conclusion: The proposed life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts has an advantage of estimating the spare part cost more accurately. It is expected to be useful in analyzing the procurement alternatives objectively and making up the Korea armed forces budget effectively.

A comparative study on the estimation methods for the potential yield in the Korean waters of the East Sea (한국 동해 생태계의 잠재생산량 추정방법에 관한 비교 연구)

  • LIM, Jung-Hyun;SEO, Young-Il;ZHANG, Chang-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.124-137
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    • 2018
  • Due to the decrease in coastal productivity and deterioration in the quality of ecosystem which result from the excessive overfishing of fisheries resources and the environmental pollution, fisheries resources in the Korean waters hit the dangerous level in respect of quantity and quality. In order to manage sustainable and effective fisheries resources, it is necessary to suggest the potential yield (PY) for clarifying available fisheries resources in the Korean waters. So far, however, there have been few studies on the estimation methods for PY in Korea. In addition, there have been no studies on the comparative analysis of the estimation methods and the substantial estimation methods for PY targeted for large marine ecosystem (LME) For the reasonable management of fisheries resources, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive study on the estimation methods for the PY which combines population dynamics and ecosystem dynamics. To reflect the research need, this study conducts a comparative analysis of estimation methods for the PY in the Korean waters of the East Sea to understand the advantages and disadvantages of each method, and suggests the estimation method which considered both population dynamics and ecosystem dynamics to supplement shortcomings of each method. In this study, the maximum entropy (ME) model of the holistic production method (HPM) is considered to be the most reasonable estimation method due to the high reliability of the estimated parameters. The results of this study are expected to be used as significant basic data to provide indicators and reference points for sustainable and reasonable management of fisheries resources.