• 제목/요약/키워드: estimation method

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와이블분포 하에서 베이지안 기법과 전통적 기법 간의 신뢰도 추정 정확도 비교 (A Comparison of the Reliability Estimation Accuracy between Bayesian Methods and Classical Methods Based on Weibull Distribution)

  • 조형준;임준형;김용수
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull is widely used in reliability analysis, and several studies have attempted to improve estimation of the distribution's parameters. least squares estimation (LSE) or Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are often used to estimate distribution parameters. However, it has been proven that Bayesian methods are more suitable for small sample sizes than LSE and MLE. In this work, the Weibull parameter estimation accuracy of LSE, MLE, and Bayesian method are compared for sample sets with 3 to 30 data points. The Bayesian method was most accurate for sample sizes under 25, and the accuracy of the Bayesian method was similar to LSE and MLE as the sample size increased.

시계열 데이터의 추정을 위한 웨이블릿 칼만 필터 기법 (The wavelet based Kalman filter method for the estimation of time-series data)

  • 홍찬영;윤태성;박진배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 학술회의 논문집 정보 및 제어부문 B
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    • pp.449-451
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    • 2003
  • The estimation of time-series data is fundamental process in many data analysis cases. However, the unwanted measurement error is usually added to true data, so that the exact estimation depends on efficient method to eliminate the error components. The wavelet transform method nowadays is expected to improve the accuracy of estimation, because it is able to decompose and analyze the data in various resolutions. Therefore, the wavelet based Kalman filter method for the estimation of time-series data is proposed in this paper. The wavelet transform separates the data in accordance with frequency bandwidth, and the detail wavelet coefficient reflects the stochastic process of error components. This property makes it possible to obtain the covariance of measurement error. We attempt the estimation of true data through recursive Kalman filtering algorithm with the obtained covariance value. The procedure is verified with the fundamental example of Brownian walk process.

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인공신경망 및 통계적 방법을 이용한 오존 형성의 예측 (Prediction of Ozone Formation Based on Neural Network and Stochastic Method)

  • 오세천;여영구
    • 청정기술
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2001
  • 인공신경 회로망과 통계적 방법을 이용하여 오존 형성의 예측에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 파라미터 평가방법으로는 실시간 파라미터를 평가하기 위하여 ELS 및 RML 방법이 사용되었으며 오존 형성의 모델로는 ARMAX 모델을 사용하였다. 또한 3층 구조를 갖는 인공신경 회로망 방법을 이용하여 오존 형성의 예측 시험을 수행하였으며 본 연구에 사용된 통계적 방법의 성능을 평가하기 위하여 오존 형성의 예측결과를 실제 자료와 비교 분석을 하였다. 실제 자료와의 비교를 통하여 파라미터 평가 방법 및 인공신경 회로망 방법에 근거한 예측방법이 제한된 예측 구간 내에서 만족할 만한 성능을 보임을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Estimation Using Response Probability Under Callbacks

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah
    • 한국조사연구학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조사연구학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.213-230
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    • 2007
  • Although the response model has been frequently applied to nonresponse weighting adjustment or imputation, the estimation under callbacks has been relatively underdeveloped in the response model. The estimation method using the response probability is developed under callbacks. A replication method for the estimation of the variance of the proposed estimation is also developed. Since the true response probability is usually unknown, we study the estimation of the response probability. Finally, we propose an estimator under callbacks using the ratio imputation as well as the response probability. The simulation study illustrates our techniques.

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미소한 신뢰도 감소율을 가지는 원샷 시스템의 가부반응 데이터를 이용한 저장 신뢰도 추정방법 개발 (Development of a Storage-Reliability Estimation Method Using Quantal Response Data for One-Shot Systems with Low Reliability-Decreasing Rates)

  • 장현정;손영갑
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제35권10호
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    • pp.1291-1298
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 탄약, 미사일, 우주발사체 등과 같은 일회성(one-shot) 시스템의 가부반응데이터를 이용하여 신뢰도를 추정하는 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 모수 추정법을 기반으로 한다. 제안한 방법은 가부반응 데이터의 시간에 따른 고장 비율 감소를 고려하였으며 모수 추정법의 문제점을 극복할 수 있다. 기존 문헌에 공개된 7 가지 추정방법들과 제안한 방법과의 정확성을 비교하여 제안한 방법을 검증하였다. 정확성 비교 시, 다양한 샘플 수 변화를 고려하여 신뢰도 추정결과에 대한 SSE를 이용하였다. 정확성 비교 결과, 제안한 방법은 다른 방법에 비해 정확성이 높은 신뢰도 추정결과를 제공하였다.

다해상도 움직임 예측을 이용한 동영상 물체탐지 알고리즘 (An algorithm for Video Object Detection using Multiresolution Motion Estimation)

  • 조철훈;박장한;이한우;남궁재찬
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes an object detection algorithm using the Multiresolution Motion Estimation(MRME) in wavelet d야main. A existing motion estimation method has characteristics of motion estimation but it requires having computation. Motion estimation in higher resolution used the motion vector of the lower resolution with the MRME that has parent-child relationship on wavelet coefficients. This method reduces the search area of motion estimation in higher resolution and computational complexity. The computational complexity of the proposed method is about 40% of the existing method using 3-level Set Partitioning in Hierarchical Trees(SPIHT) wavelet transform. The experimental results with the proposed method showed about 11% decrease of Mean Absolute Difference(MAD) and gains able to precise tracking of object.

최대우도법을 이용한 라이다 포인트군집의 박스특징 추정 (Box Feature Estimation from LiDAR Point Cluster using Maximum Likelihood Method)

  • 김종호;이경수
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2021
  • This paper present box feature estimation from LiDAR point cluster using maximum likelihood Method. Previous LiDAR tracking method for autonomous driving shows high accuracy about velocity and heading of point cluster. However, Assuming the average position of a point cluster as the vehicle position has a lower accuracy than ground truth. Therefore, the box feature estimation algorithm to improve position accuracy of autonomous driving perception consists of two procedures. Firstly, proposed algorithm calculates vehicle candidate position based on relative position of point cluster. Secondly, to reflect the features of the point cluster in estimation, the likelihood of the particle scattered around the candidate position is used. The proposed estimation method has been implemented in robot operating system (ROS) environment, and investigated via simulation and actual vehicle test. The test result show that proposed cluster position estimation enhances perception and path planning performance in autonomous driving.

An estimation of the treatment eect for the right censored data

  • Park, Hyo-Il;Kim, Ju-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.537-547
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    • 2011
  • In this article, we propose an estimation procedure for the treatment eect for the right censored data. We apply the least square method for deriving the estimation equation and obtain an explicit formula for an estimation. Then we consider some asymptotic properties with derivation of the asymptotic normality for the estimate. Finally we illustrate our procedure with an example and discuss some interesting aspects for the estimation procedure.

깊이 정보를 이용한 줌 움직임 추정 방법 (Zoom Motion Estimation Method by Using Depth Information)

  • 권순각;박유현;권기룡
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2013
  • 동영상의 줌 움직임 추정은 구현이 아주 복잡하다. 본 논문에서는 줌 움직임 추정을 구현하기 위하여 깊이 카메라와 색상 카메라를 동시에 이용하는 방법을 제안한다. 깊이 카메라로부터 현재블록과 참조블록 사이의 거리 정보를 얻고, 이 거리 정보로부터 두 블록사이의 줌 비율을 계산한다. 줌 비율에 맞게 참조블록을 확대 또는 축소시켜 줌으로서 움직임 추정 차신호를 줄일 수 있다. 따라서, 제안된 방법은 줌 움직임 추정을 위한 복잡도가 크지 않으면서 움직임 추정 정확도를 높이는 것이 가능하다. 모의실험을 바탕으로 제안된 방법의 움직임 추정 정확도를 측정하였으며, 기존 블록정합 방법에 비하여 움직임 추정 오차값이 크게 감소함을 확인하였다.

Wing weight estimation considering constraints of structural strength and stiffness in aircraft conceptual design

  • Bai, Chen;Mingqiang, Luo;Zhong, Shen;Zhe, Wu;Yiming, Man;Lei, Fang
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2014
  • According to the requirement of wing weight estimation and frequent adjustments during aircraft conceptual design, a wing weight estimation method considering the constraints of structural strength and stiffness is proposed to help designers make wing weight estimations rapidly and accurately. This method implements weight predictions on the basis of structure weight optimization with stiffness constraints and strength constraints, which include achievement of wing shape parametric modeling, rapid structure layout, finite element (FE) model automated generation, load calculation, structure analysis, weight optimization, and weight computed based on modeling. A software tool is developed with this wing weight estimation method. This software can realize the whole process of wing weight estimation with the method and the workload of wing weight estimation is reduced because much of the work can be completed by the software. Finally, an example is given to illustrate that this weight estimation method is effective.