• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimating & following

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Comment on "Estimation of Net Radiation in Three Different Plant Functional Types in Korea" (한국의 세 개의 다른 식생기능형태에서의 순복사 추정 논문에 대한 의견)

  • Kang, Min-Seok;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.118-122
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    • 2009
  • Net Radiation ($R_N$) is the major driving force for biophysical and biogeochemical processes in the terrestrial ecosystems, which is one of the most critical variables in both measurement and modeling. Despite its importance, there are only 10 weather stations conducting $R_N$ measurements among the 544 stations operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA; KMA, 2008). The measurement of incoming shortwave radiation ($R_S{\downarrow}$) is, however, conducted at 22 stations while that of sunshine duration is conducted at all the manned stations. In this context, the recent research for estimating $R_N$ using $R_S{\downarrow}$ in Korean peninsula by Kwon (2009) is of great worth. The author used a linear regression and the radiation balance methods. We generally agree with the author that, in terms of simplicity and practicality, both methods show reliable applicability for estimating $R_N$. We noted, however, that the author's experimental method and analysis need some clarification and improvement, that are addressed in the following perspectives: (1) the use of daily integrated data for regression, (2) the use of measured albedo, (3) the use of linear coefficients for whole year data, (4) methodological improvement, (5) the use of sunshine duration, and (6) the error assessment.

Methodology of CO2 Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment in Ethylene Product Processes (에틸렌 생산에서의 CO2 국가배출계수 검증 및 정량평가 방법론)

  • Youk, Soo Kyung;Jeon, Eui-Chan;Yoo, Kyung Seun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the methodology of $CO_2$ Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment in Ethylene Product Processes. At first, this study compare the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 1996 Guideline and 2006 Guideline. And analyse methodology for estimating $CO_2$ emission and $CO_2$ emission factor in Ethylene product process. Also analyse cases of estimating $CO_2$ emission factor based on material balance. Methodology of $CO_2$ Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment are following the categories proposed by GIR (Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Research Center). There are total 12 factors in 8 categories and give 5 or 10 points according to their importance. Also this study suggests necessary data of document to meet the conditions. The result would help estimate accuracy Greenhouse Gas Inventory. Also contribute to establish policy on environmental assessment, air conservation, etc.

Development of Methods for Estimating Sediment Yield Rate (I) - Modeling Strategies and Field Data Analysis - (비유사량(沸流砂量) 추정방법의 개발(I) -개발방향의 설정 및 자료의 수집·분석 -)

  • Yu, Kwon Kyu;Kim, Chang Wan;Kim, Hyoung Seop;Woo, Hyo Seop
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 1993
  • The major objective of this study is to develop practical methods for estimating sediment yield rates of medium size watersheds of which areas range from 200 to $2,000km^2$. For this purpose, this study adopts an empirical method of statistical approach and another empirical method of weighting the watershed characteristics factors. A total of 13 data points for sediment yield rate, including five data points from reservoir deposit data and eight data points from sampled river-sediment data have been collected. Meanwhile, seven factors that may affect the sediment yield rate of a watershed have been selected. They are drainage density, rainfall erosivity, ground cover and land use, soil erodibility, topography, river-bed material characteristics, and watershed area. In the companion paper following this paper, methods for estimating sediment yield rate are to be developed using the 13 data points collected and seven watershed characteristics factors selected in this study.

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A Cost Estimation Development Methodology via CER's Linear Combination (CER 선형결합을 통한 비용추정 모델 개발)

  • Jung, Won-Il;Lee, Yong-Bok;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kan, Sung-Jin
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2012
  • The acquisition cost of defense weapon system has been continuously increasing because of art-of-technology of it. This phenomenon requires efficiency and transparency in the weapon system acquisition process through cost estimation. Therefore cost estimation is very important to the government acquisition programs to support decisions about funding and to evaluate resource requirement as a key decision point. The Commercial parametric cost estimating models have been using extensively to obtain appropriate cost estimates in early acquisition phase. These models have many restrictions to ensure the cost estimating result in Korean defense environment because they are developed based on foreign R&D data. Also estimation results are different from Korean defense industry accounting system. So, some studies have been tried to develop a CER (Cost Estimation Relationship) based on the Korean historical data. However, there are some restrictions to improve the predictability and ensure the stability of the developed singular CERs which consider the following data characteristics individually. The the abnormal conditions of data that is multicollinearity, outlier and heteroscedasticity under rack of the number of observations. In this paper, a CER's Linear Combining Model is proposed to overcome those limitations which guarantee more accurate estimation (25.42% higher precision) than other singular CERs. At least, this study is meaningful as a first attempt to improve the predictability of CER with insufficient data. The methodology suggested in this study will be useful to develop a complex Korean version cost estimating model development in future.

A branch-switching procedure for analysing instability of steel structures subjected to fire

  • Morbioli, Andrea;Tondini, Nicola;Battini, Jean-Marc
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.67 no.6
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    • pp.629-641
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    • 2018
  • The paper describes the development of a two-dimensional (2D) co-rotational nonlinear beam finite element that includes advanced path-following capabilities for detecting bifurcation instability in elasto-plasticity of steel elements subjected to fire without introducing imperfections. The advantage is twofold: i) no need to assume the magnitude of the imperfections and consequent reduction of the model complexity; ii) the presence of possible critical points is checked at each converged time step based on the actual load and stiffness distribution in the structure that is affected by the temperature field in the elements. In this way, the buckling modes at elevated temperature, that may be different from the ones at ambient temperature, can be properly taken into account. Moreover, an improved displacement predictor for estimating the displacement field allowed significant reduction of the computational cost. A co-rotational framework was exploited for describing the beam kinematic. In order to highlight the potential practical implications of the developed finite element, a parametric analysis was performed to investigate how the beam element compares both with the EN1993-1-2 buckling curve and with experimental tests on axially compressed steel members. Validation against experimental data and numerical outcomes obtained with commercial software is thoroughly described.

Different Approaches for Estimating the Full-scale Performance of a Ship based on 3-DOF Maneuvering Equations of Motion: Given Speed, RPM or Power (3자유도 조종운동방정식을 이용한 실선성능 추정 방법에 관한 연구: 속도, 분당회전수, 또는 엔진동력을 기준으로)

  • You, Youngjun
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.427-438
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    • 2019
  • It was important to estimate the full-scale operating performance including actual RPM and engine power of a ship since the operation efficiency during a voyage could be evaluated from the values. In the previous research, an entire voyage was simulated by following recorded speeds obtained from AIS and full-scale measurement data. Although reasonable tendencies were observed in the estimated speed, actual RPM, and engine power, it was impossible for them to be completely corresponded with the measured values due to the difference between actual operation and mathematical model. In this paper, alternative approaches to cope with the speed, actual RPM, and engine power were suggested by following the given speed, RPM, and power respectively. After entire voyages were simulated according to a given value, the effects of the value on the estimated performance were investigated. And, it was confirmed that the appropriate approach could be differently chosen according to the aim of the simulation or given value.

Application plan for radiological exposure model using virtual reality-based radiological exercise system

  • Lee, Dewhey;Lee, Byung Il;Park, Younwon;Kim, Dohyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2018
  • New exercise technology such as the virtual reality (VR)-based exercise system is required to meet soaring demand for target participants in exercises and to alleviate the difficulties in personnel mobilization through an alternative approach to the exercise system. In a previous study, event tree methodologies were introduced in setting up an exercise scenario of a VR-based radiological exercise system. In the scenario, the locations at which major events occur are rephrased as nodes, routes as paths, and public response actions as protective actions or contents of an exercise at individual locations. In the study, a model for estimating effective doses to the participants is proposed to evaluate the exercise system, using the effective dose rates at particular times and locations derived from a computer program. The effective dose received by a student when she/he follows a successful route is about a half of the dose received when she/he does not follow the exercise guide directions. In addition, elapsed time to finish an exercise when following a successful route is less than one-third of the time spent to finish an exercise when following the guide's directions.

A Study on the Hardware Cost Estimation Equation of Professional Service Robot (전문서비스 로봇 하드웨어 비용추정 관계식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jungsoo;Min, Jeongtack;Choi, Yeon-Seo;Park, Myeongjun;Sohn, Dongseop
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed a parametric estimation method for estimating H/W cost by using the development data of professional service robot in Korea. In addition, we derived the factors and weights that we can estimate the costs depending on the application environmental conditions of the robot. For the analysis, we developed the equation of professional service robot cost estimation using parametric method. We also derived the adjustment factors and following weights through FGI and Delphi for environmental conditions. We have developed a cost estimation equation that reflects the weight, volume, and manufacturing difficulty, and can derive a relational equation that reflects the environmental factors(dust/water, heat/cold, safety, test, technology innovation). This provides an objective basis for estimating the cost of professional service robots and will lead to ongoing research for estimating the H/W development cost of professional service robots. In the future, we will increase reliability by collecting abundant data, and will strengthen models through finding functional factors.

A Study on the Fatigue Strength of Lap Weld of LNG Tank (LNG탱크 겹침용접부의 피로강도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.3 s.33
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 1999
  • At the design of Mark III membrane type LNG tank, an analytical and experimental approach on the fatigue strengths of membrane and its welds are very important in order to assist designers and surveyors. In this study, fatigue tests of lap weld of Mark III membrane type LNG tank were carried out and cumulative damage factor was calculated in order to estimate the fatigue life by probability density function and rule methods. It contained the following tests and reviews : 1) The fatigue tests of lap weld of stainless steel according to statistical testing method recommended by JSME, 2)Preparation of S-N curve for lap welds considering the statistical properties of the results of fatigue tests. 3) Procedure for estimating the initiation life of fatigue crack of lap welds under variable loads by the rule lf classification society and probability density function, 4) Guideline for inspection of lap welds fo membrane type LNG tank.

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Thermal Shock Tests and Thermal Shock Parameters for Ceramics

  • Awaji, Hideo;Choi, Seong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2012
  • Thermal shock test methods and thermal shock parameters for ceramics were reviewed from the following viewpoints: (1) The test methods should be based on the precise estimation of both temperature and thermal stress distributions in a specimen taking into account the temperature-dependent thermo-mechanical properties; (2) The thermal shock parameters must be defined as a physical property of the materials and described as a function of temperature at the fracture point of the specimen; (3) The relation between the strength and fracture toughness of brittle ceramics under a thermal shock load must be the same as the relation under a mechanical load. In addition, appropriate thermal shock parameters should be defined by the thermal shock strength and thermal shock fracture toughness based on stress and energy criteria, respectively. A constant heat flux method is introduced as a testing technique suitable for estimating these thermal shock parameters directly from the electric power charged.