• Health Policy and Management
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.37-63
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• 2010

Public expenditures on long-term care are a matter of concern for Korea as in many other countries. The expenditure is expected to accelerate and to put pressure on public budgets, adding to that arising from insufficient retirement schemes and other forms of social spending. This study tried to foresee how much health care spending could increase in the future considering demographic and non-demographic factors as the drivers of expenditure. Previous projections of future long-term expenditure were mainly based on a given relation between spending and age structure. However, although demographic factors will surely put upward pressure on long-term care costs, other non-demographic factors, such as labor cost increase and availability of informal care, should be taken into account as well. Also, the possibility of dynamic link between health status and longevity gains needs to be considered. The model in this study is cell-base and consists of three main parts. The first part estimated the numbers of elderly people with different levels of health status by age group, gender, household type. The second part estimated the levels of long-term care services required, by attaching a probability of receiving long-term care services to each cell using from the sample from current year. The third part of the model estimated long-term care expenditure, along the demographic and non-demographic factors' change in various scenarios. Public spending on long-term care could rise from the current level of 0.2~0.3% of GDP to around 0.44~2.30% by 2040.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.83.1-83.1
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• 2010

Recent observations of Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) for the ugriz filters have provided the largest and the most homogeneous photometric database. Especially, the ugriz systems have been used in many telescopes, such as SDSS, CFHT, and Gemini, and will be applied next generation large telescopes. In addition, many stellar evolution models, like as PADOVA, BaSTI and DSEP, have introduced theoretical isochrones in ugriz system, to apply the isochrones into the photometry of stars in globular clusters. In this study, we transformed Yonsei-Yale($Y^2$) isochrones to ugriz photometric system and fit the isochrones to the (g-r, r), (g-i, r), and (r-i, r) CMDs of 13 globular clusters (Chun et al. 2009, Clem et al. 2008, An et al. 2008). We found that the derived ages from $Y^2$-isochrones are 1~3Gyr younger and the estimated distance moduli are 0.3mag larger than the values inferred from the other isochrones in r-band. Also, the E(B-V) are 0.02~0.04mag less than those estimated from the other models. The ages of each globular cluster estimated from $Y^2$-isochrones are 12~14Gyr and distance moduli show good agreement with previous studies. From this result, we confirmed the availability of the $Y^2$-isochrones in gri filters. However, it is a problem which will improve that E(B-V) values obtained from $Y^2$-isochrones are too small. Finally, the result of this study is expected to be used research of globular cluster in ugirz photometric system.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.87-96
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• 2007

In this paper a methodology of identifying individual pipes according to the internal and external characteristics of pipe is developed, and the methodology is applied to a case study water distribution pipe break database. Using the newly defined individual pipes the hazard rates of the cast iron 6 inch pipes are modeled by implementing the proportional hazards modeling approach for consecutive pipe failures. The covariates to be considered in the modeling procedures are selected by considering the general availability of the data and the practical applicability of the modeling results. The individual cast iron 6 inch pipes are categorized into seven ordered survival time groups according to the total number of breaks recorded in a pipe to construct distinct proportional hazard model (PHM) for each survival time group (STG). The modeling results show that all of the PHMs have the hazard rate forms of the Weibull distribution. In addition, the estimated baseline survivor functions show that the survival probabilities of the STGs generally decrease as the number of break increases. It is found that STG I has an increasing hazard rate whereas the other STGs have decreasing hazard rates. Regarding the first failure the hazard ratio of spun-rigid and spun-flex cast iron pipes to pit cast iron pipes is estimated as 1.8 and 6.3, respectively. For the second or more failures the relative effects of pipe material/joint type on failure were not conclusive. The degree of land development affected pipe failure for STGs I, II, and V, and the average hazard ratio was estimated as 1.8. The effects of length on failure decreased as more breaks occur and the population in a GRID affected the hazard rate of the first pipe failure.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2002.07b
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• pp.741-743
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• 2002

Some different types of joining between two parallel high Tc superconducting tapes were prepared and I-V characteristic curves were obtained at the atmosphere of liquid nitrogen. Resistances in joint parts were estimated from I-V curves. We selected the best jointing method among these methods and its resistance were obtained at 28K. The availability of this joint method for fabricating HTS field coils is discussed.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2002.07b
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• pp.1137-1139
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• 2002

In this paper, recurrent artificial neural network (RNN) based self tuning speed controller is proposed for the high performance drives of induction motor. RNN provides a nonlinear modeling of motor drive system and could give the information of the load variation, system noise and parameter variation of induction motor to the controller through the on-line estimated weights of corresponding RNN. Thus, proposed self tuning controller can change gains of the controller according to system conditions. The gain is composed with the weights of RNN. For the on-line estimation of the weights of RNN, extended kalman filter (EKF) algorithm is used. Self tuning controller that is adequate for the speed control of induction motor is designed. The availability of the proposed controller is verified through the MATLAB simulation with the comparison of conventional PI controller.

• Journal of National Security and Military Science
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• s.1
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• pp.423-446
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• 2003

While the demand for energy has shown a sharp increase recently, the supply seems to be limited by the fact that the conventional fossil fuel energy or nuclear energy has its own environmental problems such as, for example, global warming or nuclear waste disposal. To overcome such limited supply of energy, the utilization of natural thermal energy such as river water and seawater as well as treated sewage can be a substantial supplement. The potential use of the unused energy has become more and more feasible these days as the heat pump technology has been advanced. In the present study, the unused energy resources are estimated on regional and monthly basis for each resource by the method proposed here in order to establish the fundamental data for its utilization. The potential use of the unused energy is a1so discussed.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.120-125
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• 2018

The PMMA composited material mixed with alumina studied to find the optimal condition, the adequate ratio of mixing, for the associated mechanical properties such as anti-corrosive, weatherproof performance. The 80% of hardness and 52% of scratch coefficient improved according to increasing ratio of alumina, which is mostly 3 times higher than that of pure PMMA, on other hand 16% of tensile strength and 35% of flexural strength has lost while alumina was adding in. The most proper ratio, having the best availability in substantial production, of composite between pure PMMA and alumina is determined as 93 wt. % vs 7 wt. %. Results of related five properties had estimated by using of a pentagram.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1997.07f
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• pp.1927-1929
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• 1997

Recently, the demand of UPS is increasing. This paper uses the instantaneous current control method with the predicative load current and the compensation to improve the characteristic response of UPS and reduce THD of the output voltage. With the computer simulation, it is verified the availability of the proposed method.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.173-176
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• 1982

Point-to-point congestion, a criterion by which service quality in a communication network is estimated, Can be obtained by single moment method of analysis, point-to-point congestion can be computed by link blocking probability in turn is calculated by link offered traffic. Consequently, exact calculation of link offered traffic is vital to analysis of communication network. In this paper a fomula which facilitaties the calculation of link offered traffic in the limited available state of links, is derived.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.641-650
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• 2008

This paper reviews the infrastructure of the water supply and sewerage system in North Korea. North Korean has similar legal protection to preserve water environment that can be seen in Republic of Korea, but North Korean regulations seemed lack of detailed measures. The critical pollution problems of rivers and lakes in the northern part of peninsula is mainly due to the lack of sewage collection system and poor treatment works. It has been estimated that less than 20% of sewers are connected to the wastewater treatment plants. Although the availability of water resources seemed sufficient, North Koreans suffer the lack of the drinking water supply which needs an urgent attention. Based on the analysis, it has been suggested that the reconstruction of North Korean water and sewage infrastructure needs at least 17.5 trillion Korean Won.