• Title/Summary/Keyword: error distribution

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Estimation of stream flow discharge using the satellite synthetic aperture radar images at the mid to small size streams (합성개구레이더 인공위성 영상을 활용한 중소규모 하천에서의 유량 추정)

  • Seo, Minji;Kim, Dongkyun;Ahmad, Waqas;Cha, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1181-1194
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    • 2018
  • This study suggests a novel approach of estimating stream flow discharge using the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images taken from 2015 to 2017 by European Space Agency Sentinel-1 satellite. Fifteen small to medium sized rivers in the Han River basin were selected as study area, and the SAR satellite images and flow data from water level and flow observation system operated by the Korea Institute of Hydrological Survey were used for model construction. First, we apply the histogram matching technique to 12 SAR images that have undergone various preprocessing processes for error correction to make the brightness distribution of the images the same. Then, the flow estimation model was constructed by deriving the relationship between the area of the stream water body extracted using the threshold classification method and the in-situ flow data. As a result, we could construct a power function type flow estimation model at the fourteen study areas except for one station. The minimum, the mean, and the maximum coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of the models of at fourteen study areas were 0.30, 0.80, and 0.99, respectively.

Comparison and discussion of MODSIM and K-WEAP model considering water supply priority (공급 우선순위를 고려한 MODSIM과 K-WEAP 모형의 비교 및 고찰)

  • Oh, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Yeon-Su;Ryu, Kyong Sik;Jo, Young Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.463-473
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    • 2019
  • This study compared the characteristics of the optimization technique and the water supply and demand forecast using K-WEAP (Korea-Water Evaluation and Planning System) model and MODSIM (Modified SIMYLD) model considering wtaer supply priority. Currently, The national water resources plan applied same priority for municipal, industrial and agricultural demand. the K-WEAP model performs the ratio allocation to satisfy the maximum satisfaction rate, whereas the MODSIM model should be applied to the water supply priority of demands. As a result of applying the priority, water shortage decreased by an average of $1,035,000m^3$ than same prioritized results. It is due to the increase of the return flow rate as the distribution of Municipal and industrial water increases. Comparing the analysis results of K-WEAP and MODSIM applying the priorities, the relative error was within 5.3% and the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was 0.9999. In addition, if both models provide reasonable water balance analysis results, K-WEAP is superior to GUI convenience for model construction and data processing. However, MODSIM is more effective in simulation time efficiency. It is expected that it will be able to carry out analysis according to various scenarios using the model.

Assessment of Carbon Stock and Uptake by Estimation of Stem Taper Equation for Pinus densiflora in Korea (우리나라 소나무의 수간곡선식 추정에 의한 탄소저장량 및 흡수량 산정)

  • Kang, Jin-Taek;Son, Yeong-Mo;Jeon, Ju-Hyeon;Lee, Sun-Jeoung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.415-424
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to estimate carbon stocks of Pinus densiflora with drawing volume of trees in each tree height and DBH applying the suitable stem taper equation and tree specific carbon emission factors, using collected growth data from all over the country. Information on distribution area, tree age, tree number per hectare, tree volume and volume stocks were obtained from the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory (2006~2010) and Statistical yearbook of forest (2016), and method provided in IPCC GPG was applied to estimate carbon stock and uptake. Performance in predicting stem diameter at a specific point along a stem in Pinus densiflora by applying Kozak's model, $d=a_{1}DBH^{a_2}a_3^{DBH}X^{b_{1}Z^2+b_2ln(Z+0.001)+b_3\sqrt{Z}+b_4e^z+b_5(\frac{DBH}{H})}$, which is well known equation in stem taper estimation, was evaluated with validations statistics, Fitness Index, Bias and Standard Error of Bias. Consequently, Kozak's model turned out to be suitable in all validations statistics. Stem volume table of P. densiflora was derived by applying Kozak's model and carbon stock tables in each tree height and DBH were developed with country-specific carbon emission factors ($WD=0.445t/m^3$, BEF = 1.445, R = 0.255) of P. densiflora. As the results of analysis in carbon uptake for each province, the values were high with Gangwon-do $9.4tCO_2/ha/yr$, Gyeongsandnam-do and Gyeonggi-do $8.7tCO_2/ha/yr$, Chungcheongnam-do $7.9tCO_2/ha/yr$ and Gyeongsangbuk-do $7.8tCO_2/ha/yr$ in order, and Jeju-do was the lowest with $6.8tC/ha/yr$. Total carbon stocks of P. densiflora were 127,677 thousands tC which is 25.5% compared with total percentage of forest and carbon stock per hectare (ha) was $84.5tC/ha/yr$ and $7.8tCO_2/ha/yr$, respectively.

Validation of Sea Surface Wind Estimated from KOMPSAT-5 Backscattering Coefficient Data (KOMPSAT-5 후방산란계수 자료로 산출된 해상풍 검증)

  • Jang, Jae-Cheol;Park, Kyung-Ae;Yang, Dochul
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_3
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    • pp.1383-1398
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    • 2018
  • Sea surface wind is one of the most fundamental variables for understanding diverse marine phenomena. Although scatterometers have produced global wind field data since the early 1990's, the data has been used limitedly in oceanic applications due to it slow spatial resolution, especially at coastal regions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is capable to produce high resolution wind field data. KOMPSAT-5 is the first Korean satellite equipped with X-band SAR instrument and is able to retrieve the sea surface wind. This study presents the validation results of sea surface wind derived from the KOMPSAT-5 backscattering coefficient data for the first time. We collected 18 KOMPSAT-5 ES mode data to produce a matchup database collocated with buoy stations. In order to calculate the accurate wind speed, we preprocessed the SAR data, including land masking, speckle noise reduction, and ship detection, and converted the in-situ wind to 10-m neutral wind as reference wind data using Liu-Katsaros-Businger (LKB) model. The sea surface winds based on XMOD2 show root-mean-square errors of about $2.41-2.74m\;s^{-1}$ depending on backscattering coefficient conversion equations. In-depth analyses on the wind speed errors derived from KOMPSAT-5 backscattering coefficient data reveal the existence of diverse potential error factors such as image quality related to range ambiguity, discrete and discontinuous distribution of incidence angle, change in marine atmospheric environment, impacts on atmospheric gravity waves, ocean wave spectrum, and internal wave.

Identifying Key Factors to Affect Taxi Travel Considering Spatial Dependence: A Case Study for Seoul (공간 상관성을 고려한 서울시 택시통행의 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Hyangsook;Kim, Ji yoon;Choo, Sangho;Jang, Jin young;Choi, Sung taek
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.64-78
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    • 2019
  • This paper explores key factors affecting taxi travel using global positioning system(GPS) data in Seoul, Korea, considering spatial dependence. We first analyzed the travel characteristics of taxis such as average travel time, average travel distance, and spatial distribution of taxi trips according to the time of the day and the day of the week. As a result, it is found that the most taxi trips were generated during the morning peak time (8 a.m. to 9 a.m.) and after the midnight (until 1 a.m.) on weekdays. The average travel distance and travel time for taxi trips were 5.9 km and 13 minutes, respectively. This implies that taxis are mainly used for short-distance travel and as an alternative to public transit after midnight in a large city. In addition, we identified that taxi trips were spatially correlated at the traffic analysis zone(TAZ) level through the Moran's I test. Thus, spatial regression models (spatial-lagged and spatial-error models) for taxi trips were developed, accounting for socio-demographics (such as the number of households, the number of elderly people, female ratio to the total population, and the number of vehicles), transportation services (such as the number of subway stations and bus stops), and land-use characteristics (such as population density, employment density, and residential areas) as explanatory variables. The model results indicate that these variables are significantly associated with taxi trips.

Uncertainty Analysis of Stage-Discharge Curve Using Bayesian and Bootstrap Methods (Bayesian과 Bootstrap 방법을 이용한 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성 분석)

  • Lim, Jonghun;Kwon, Hyungsoo;Joo, Hongjun;Wang, Won-joon;Lee, Jongso;You, Younghoon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.114-124
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study is to reduce the uncertainty of the river discharge estimation method using the stage-discharge relation curve. It is necessary to consider the quantitative and accurate estimation method because the river discharge data is essential data for hydrological interpretation and water resource management. For this purpose, the parameters estimated by Bayesian and Bootstrap methods are compared with the ones obtained by stage-discharge relation curve. In addition, the Bayesian and Bootstrap methods are applied to assess uncertainty and then those are compared with the confidence intervals of the results from standard error method which has t-distribution. From the results of this study, The estimated value of the regression analysis developed through this study is less than 1 ~ 5%. Also It is confirmed that there are some areas where the applicability is better than the existing one according to the water level at each point. Therefore, if we use more suitable method according to the river characteristics, we could obtain more reliable discharge with less uncertainty.

Land Cover Classification of High-Spatial Resolution Imagery using Fixed-Wing UAV (고정익 UAV를 이용한 고해상도 영상의 토지피복분류)

  • Yang, Sung-Ryong;Lee, Hak-Sool
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: UAV-based photo measurements are being researched using UAVs in the space information field as they are not only cost-effective compared to conventional aerial imaging but also easy to obtain high-resolution data on desired time and location. In this study, the UAV-based high-resolution images were used to perform the land cover classification. Method: RGB cameras were used to obtain high-resolution images, and in addition, multi-distribution cameras were used to photograph the same regions in order to accurately classify the feeding areas. Finally, Land cover classification was carried out for a total of seven classes using created ortho image by RGB and multispectral camera, DSM(Digital Surface Model), NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), GLCM(Gray-Level Co-occurrence Matrix) using RF (Random Forest), a representative supervisory classification system. Results: To assess the accuracy of the classification, an accuracy assessment based on the error matrix was conducted, and the accuracy assessment results were verified that the proposed method could effectively classify classes in the region by comparing with the supervisory results using RGB images only. Conclusion: In case of adding orthoimage, multispectral image, NDVI and GLCM proposed in this study, accuracy was higher than that of conventional orthoimage. Future research will attempt to improve classification accuracy through the development of additional input data.

Propagation of Tsunamis Generated by Seabed Motion with Time-History and Spatial-Distribution: An Analytical Approach (시간이력 및 공간분포를 지닌 지반운동에 의한 지진해일 발생 및 전파: 해석적 접근)

  • Jung, Taehwa;Son, Sangyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 2018
  • Changes in water depth caused by underwater earthquakes and landslides cause sea surface undulations, which in turn propagate to the coast and result in significant damage as wave heights normally increase due to the wave shoaling process. Various types of numerical models have been developed to simulate the generation and propagation of tsunami waves. Most of tsunami models determine the initial surface of the water based on the assumption that the movement of the seabed is immediately and identically transmitted to the sea surface. However, this approach does not take into account the characteristics of underwater earthquakes that occur with time history and spatial variation. Thus, such an incomplete description on the initial generation of tsunami waves is totally reflected in the error during the simulation. In this study, the analytical solution proposed by Hammack (1973) was applied in the tsunami model in order to simulate the generation of initial water surface elevation by the change of water depth with time history and its propagation. The developed solution is expected to identify the relationship among various type of seabed motions, initial surface undulations, and wave speeds of elevated water surfaces.

Bio Toxicity Assessment and Kinetic Model of 6 Heavy Metals Using Luminous Bacteria (발광미생물을 이용한 중금속 6종의 생물독성 평가 및 모델링)

  • Kim, Ilho;Lee, Jaiyeop
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Urban Environment
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.547-555
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    • 2018
  • In addition to North America and Europe, Korea is also responding to the toxic damage caused by the production and distribution of chemicals. Methods for assessing bio-toxicity of harmful substances have been widely introduced, but it is required of quantitative and speedy information for modeling. For 6 heavy metals, as zinc, copper, chrome, cadmium, mercury and lead, bio-toxicity assessment and kinetics model were constructed using Vibrio fischeri which is widely used luminous bacteria. The degree of luminescence activity and the toxicity of heavy metals were relative limunescence unit, RLU measured as by using a photomultiplier embedded device. The toxicity was assessed by the concentration levels giving under 20% lethality and lethal concentration, $EC_{50}$. In the results, the toxicity order were followed from mercury, lead, copper, chrome, zinc and cadmium. $EC_{{50},{\infty}}$ obtained by trends of $EC_{50}$ by time follows had highly linear agreement with main parameters of bio-toxicity modelling. The average error rates of the reproduced lethality obtained from DAM and TDM model on the basis of body residue, were 10.2% for mercury, lead, copper, chrome and 20.0 for the all 6 methals.

Measurement of Bubble Size in Flotation Column using Image Analysis System (이미지 분석시스템을 이용한 부선컬럼에서 기포크기의 측정)

  • An, Ki-Seon;Jeon, Ho-Seok;Park, Chul-Hyun
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.104-113
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    • 2020
  • Bubble size in froth flotation has long been recognized as a key factor which affects the bubble residence time, the bubble surface area flux (Sb) and the carrying rate (Cr). This paper presents method of bubble size measurement, relationship between operating variables and gas dispersion properties in flotation column. Using high speed camera and image analysis system, bubble size has been directly measured as a function of operating parameters (e.g., superficial gas rate (Jg), superficial wash water rate (Jw), frother concentration) in flotation column. Relationship compared to measured and estimated bubble size was obtained within error ranges of ±15~20% and mean bubble size was 0.718mm. From this system the empirical relationship to control the bubble size and distribution has been developed under operating conditions such as Jg of 0.65~1.3cm/s, Jw of 0.13~0.52cm/s and frother concentration of 60~200ppm. Surface tension and bubble size decreased as frother concentration increased. It seemed that critical coalescence concentration (CCC) of bubbles was 200ppm so that surface tension was the lowest (49.24mN/m) at frother concentration of 200ppm. Bubble size tend to increase when superficial gas rate (Jg) decreases and superficial wash water rate Jw and frother concentration increase. Gas holdup is proportional to superficial gas rate as well as frother concentration and superficial wash water rate (at the fixed superficial gas rate).