• Title/Summary/Keyword: ensemble training

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A Study on Training Ensembles of Neural Networks - A Case of Stock Price Prediction (신경망 학습앙상블에 관한 연구 - 주가예측을 중심으로 -)

  • 이영찬;곽수환
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, a comparison between different methods to combine predictions from neural networks will be given. These methods are bagging, bumping, and balancing. Those are based on the analysis of the ensemble generalization error into an ambiguity term and a term incorporating generalization performances of individual networks. Neural Networks and AI machine learning models are prone to overfitting. A strategy to prevent a neural network from overfitting, is to stop training in early stage of the learning process. The complete data set is spilt up into a training set and a validation set. Training is stopped when the error on the validation set starts increasing. The stability of the networks is highly dependent on the division in training and validation set, and also on the random initial weights and the chosen minimization procedure. This causes early stopped networks to be rather unstable: a small change in the data or different initial conditions can produce large changes in the prediction. Therefore, it is advisable to apply the same procedure several times starting from different initial weights. This technique is often referred to as training ensembles of neural networks. In this paper, we presented a comparison of three statistical methods to prevent overfitting of neural network.

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An Ensemble Approach for Cyber Bullying Text messages and Images

  • Zarapala Sunitha Bai;Sreelatha Malempati
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2023
  • Text mining (TM) is most widely used to find patterns from various text documents. Cyber-bullying is the term that is used to abuse a person online or offline platform. Nowadays cyber-bullying becomes more dangerous to people who are using social networking sites (SNS). Cyber-bullying is of many types such as text messaging, morphed images, morphed videos, etc. It is a very difficult task to prevent this type of abuse of the person in online SNS. Finding accurate text mining patterns gives better results in detecting cyber-bullying on any platform. Cyber-bullying is developed with the online SNS to send defamatory statements or orally bully other persons or by using the online platform to abuse in front of SNS users. Deep Learning (DL) is one of the significant domains which are used to extract and learn the quality features dynamically from the low-level text inclusions. In this scenario, Convolutional neural networks (CNN) are used for training the text data, images, and videos. CNN is a very powerful approach to training on these types of data and achieved better text classification. In this paper, an Ensemble model is introduced with the integration of Term Frequency (TF)-Inverse document frequency (IDF) and Deep Neural Network (DNN) with advanced feature-extracting techniques to classify the bullying text, images, and videos. The proposed approach also focused on reducing the training time and memory usage which helps the classification improvement.

Automatic Extraction of Eye and Mouth Fields from Face Images using MultiLayer Perceptrons and Eigenfeatures (고유특징과 다층 신경망을 이용한 얼굴 영상에서의 눈과 입 영역 자동 추출)

  • Ryu, Yeon-Sik;O, Se-Yeong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a novel algorithm lot extraction of the eye and mouth fields (facial features) from 2D gray level face images. First of all, it has been found that Eigenfeatures, derived from the eigenvalues and the eigenvectors of the binary edge data set constructed from the eye and mouth fields are very good features to locate these fields. The Eigenfeatures, extracted from the positive and negative training samples for the facial features, ate used to train a MultiLayer Perceptron(MLP) whose output indicates the degree to which a particular image window contains the eye or the mouth within itself. Second, to ensure robustness, the ensemble network consisting of multiple MLPs is used instead of a single MLP. The output of the ensemble network becomes the average of the multiple locations of the field each found by the constituent MLPs. Finally, in order to reduce the computation time, we extracted the coarse search region lot eyes and mouth by using prior information on face images. The advantages of the proposed approach includes that only a small number of frontal faces are sufficient to train the nets and furthermore, lends themselves to good generalization to non-frontal poses and even to other people's faces. It was also experimentally verified that the proposed algorithm is robust against slight variations of facial size and pose due to the generalization characteristics of neural networks.

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Boosting Algorithms for Large-Scale Data and Data Batch Stream (대용량 자료와 순차적 자료를 위한 부스팅 알고리즘)

  • Yoon, Young-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose boosting algorithms when data are very large or coming in batches sequentially over time. In this situation, ordinary boosting algorithm may be inappropriate because it requires the availability of all of the training set at once. To apply to large scale data or data batch stream, we modify the AdaBoost and Arc-x4. These algorithms have good results for both large scale data and data batch stream with or without concept drift on simulated data and real data sets.

Credit Card Bad Debt Prediction Model based on Support Vector Machine (신용카드 대손회원 예측을 위한 SVM 모형)

  • Kim, Jin Woo;Jhee, Won Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, credit card delinquency means the possibility of occurring bad debt within the certain near future from the normal accounts that have no debt and the problem is to predict, on the monthly basis, the occurrence of delinquency 3 months in advance. This prediction is typical binary classification problem but suffers from the issue of data imbalance that means the instances of target class is very few. For the effective prediction of bad debt occurrence, Support Vector Machine (SVM) with kernel trick is adopted using credit card usage and payment patterns as its inputs. SVM is widely accepted in the data mining society because of its prediction accuracy and no fear of overfitting. However, it is known that SVM has the limitation in its ability to processing the large-scale data. To resolve the difficulties in applying SVM to bad debt occurrence prediction, two stage clustering is suggested as an effective data reduction method and ensembles of SVM models are also adopted to mitigate the difficulty due to data imbalance intrinsic to the target problem of this paper. In the experiments with the real world data from one of the major domestic credit card companies, the suggested approach reveals the superior prediction accuracy to the traditional data mining approaches that use neural networks, decision trees or logistics regressions. SVM ensemble model learned from T2 training set shows the best prediction results among the alternatives considered and it is noteworthy that the performance of neural networks with T2 is better than that of SVM with T1. These results prove that the suggested approach is very effective for both SVM training and the classification problem of data imbalance.

Evaluation of Multi-classification Model Performance for Algal Bloom Prediction Using CatBoost (머신러닝 CatBoost 다중 분류 알고리즘을 이용한 조류 발생 예측 모형 성능 평가 연구)

  • Juneoh Kim;Jungsu Park
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2023
  • Monitoring and prediction of water quality are essential for effective river pollution prevention and water quality management. In this study, a multi-classification model was developed to predict chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) level in rivers. A model was developed using CatBoost, a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm. The model was developed using hourly field monitoring data collected from January 1 to December 31, 2015. For model development, chl-a was classified into class 1 (Chl-a≤10 ㎍/L), class 2 (10<Chl-a≤50 ㎍/L), and class 3 (Chl-a>50 ㎍/L), where the number of data used for the model training were 27,192, 11,031, and 511, respectively. The macro averages of precision, recall, and F1-score for the three classes were 0.58, 0.58, and 0.58, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.89, 0.90, and 0.89, for precision, recall, and F1-score, respectively. The model showed relatively poor performance for class 3 where the number of observations was much smaller compared to the other two classes. The imbalance of data distribution among the three classes was resolved by using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm, where the number of data used for model training was evenly distributed as 26,868 for each class. The model performance was improved with the macro averages of precision, rcall, and F1-score of the three classes as 0.58, 0.70, and 0.59, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.88, 0.84, and 0.86 after SMOTE application.

Application of Artificial Neural Network Ensemble Model Considering Long-term Climate Variability: Case Study of Dam Inflow Forecasting in Han-River Basin (장기 기후 변동성을 고려한 인공신경망 앙상블 모형 적용: 한강 유역 댐 유입량 예측을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Taereem;Joo, Kyungwon;Cho, Wanhee;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2019
  • Recently, climate indices represented by quantifying atmospheric-ocean circulation patterns have been widely used to predict hydrologic variables for considering long-term climate variability. Hydrologic forecasting models based on artificial neural networks have been developed to provide accurate and stable forecasting performance. Forecasts of hydrologic variables considering climate variability can be effectively used for long-term management of water resources and environmental preservation. Therefore, identifying significant indicators for hydrologic variables and applying forecasting models still remains as a challenge. In this study, we selected representative climate indices that have significant relationships with dam inflow time series in the Han-River basin, South Korea for applying the dam inflow forecasting model. For this purpose, the ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD) method was used to identify a significance between dam inflow and climate indices and an artificial neural network(ANN) ensemble model was applied to overcome the limitation of a single ANN model. As a result, the forecasting performances showed that the mean correlation coefficient of the five dams in the training period is 0.88, and the test period is 0.68. It can be expected to come out various applications using the relationship between hydrologic variables and climate variability in South Korea.

A Study of The Determinants of Turnover Intention and Organizational Commitment by Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 활용한 이직의도와 조직몰입의 결정요인에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Young Joon;Shim, Won Shul;Baek, Seung Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2014
  • In this article, data mining simulation is applied to find a proper approach and results of analysis for study of variables related to organization. Also, turnover intention and organizational commitment are used as target (dependent) variables in this simulation. Classification and regression tree (CART) with ensemble methods are used in this study for simulation. Human capital corporate panel data of Korea Research Institute for Vocation Education & Training (KRIVET) is used. The panel data is collected in 2005, 2007, and 2009. Organizational commitment variables are analyzed with combined measure variables which are created after investigation of reliability and single dimensionality for multiple-item measurement details. The results of this study are as follows. First, major determinants of turnover intention are trust, communication, and talent management-oriented trend. Second, the main determining factors for organizational commitment are trust, the number of years worked, innovation, communication. CART with ensemble methods has two ensemble CART methods which are CART with Bagging and CART with Arcing. Comparing two methods, CART with Arcing (Arc-x4) extracted scenarios with very high coefficients of determination. In this study, a scenario with maximum coefficient of determinant and minimum error is obtained and practical implications are presented. Using one of data mining methods, CART with ensemble method. Also, the limitation and future research are discussed.

Development of Deep Learning Based Ensemble Land Cover Segmentation Algorithm Using Drone Aerial Images (드론 항공영상을 이용한 딥러닝 기반 앙상블 토지 피복 분할 알고리즘 개발)

  • Hae-Gwang Park;Seung-Ki Baek;Seung Hyun Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a proposed ensemble learning technique aims to enhance the semantic segmentation performance of images captured by Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). With the increasing use of UAVs in fields such as urban planning, there has been active development of techniques utilizing deep learning segmentation methods for land cover segmentation. The study suggests a method that utilizes prominent segmentation models, namely U-Net, DeepLabV3, and Fully Convolutional Network (FCN), to improve segmentation prediction performance. The proposed approach integrates training loss, validation accuracy, and class score of the three segmentation models to enhance overall prediction performance. The method was applied and evaluated on a land cover segmentation problem involving seven classes: buildings,roads, parking lots, fields, trees, empty spaces, and areas with unspecified labels, using images captured by UAVs. The performance of the ensemble model was evaluated by mean Intersection over Union (mIoU), and the results of comparing the proposed ensemble model with the three existing segmentation methods showed that mIoU performance was improved. Consequently, the study confirms that the proposed technique can enhance the performance of semantic segmentation models.

Development of ensemble machine learning model considering the characteristics of input variables and the interpretation of model performance using explainable artificial intelligence (수질자료의 특성을 고려한 앙상블 머신러닝 모형 구축 및 설명가능한 인공지능을 이용한 모형결과 해석에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jungsu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of algal bloom is an important field of study in algal bloom management, and chlorophyll-a concentration(Chl-a) is commonly used to represent the status of algal bloom. In, recent years advanced machine learning algorithms are increasingly used for the prediction of algal bloom. In this study, XGBoost(XGB), an ensemble machine learning algorithm, was used to develop a model to predict Chl-a in a reservoir. The daily observation of water quality data and climate data was used for the training and testing of the model. In the first step of the study, the input variables were clustered into two groups(low and high value groups) based on the observed value of water temperature(TEMP), total organic carbon concentration(TOC), total nitrogen concentration(TN) and total phosphorus concentration(TP). For each of the four water quality items, two XGB models were developed using only the data in each clustered group(Model 1). The results were compared to the prediction of an XGB model developed by using the entire data before clustering(Model 2). The model performance was evaluated using three indices including root mean squared error-observation standard deviation ratio(RSR). The model performance was improved using Model 1 for TEMP, TN, TP as the RSR of each model was 0.503, 0.477 and 0.493, respectively, while the RSR of Model 2 was 0.521. On the other hand, Model 2 shows better performance than Model 1 for TOC, where the RSR was 0.532. Explainable artificial intelligence(XAI) is an ongoing field of research in machine learning study. Shapley value analysis, a novel XAI algorithm, was also used for the quantitative interpretation of the XGB model performance developed in this study.