• Title/Summary/Keyword: ensemble mean

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Physiological Responses and Subjective Sensations by Clo Values at -10℃ (환경온도 -10℃에서 Clo값에 따른 인체 생리반응 및 주관적 감각)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeun;Song, Min-Kyu;Kim, Hee-Eun
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.531-537
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to review physiological responses and subjective sensations in the cold environment when the subjects wore ensemble with different clo values. Seven healthy male subjects participated in this experiment. This experiment was conducted in a climatic chamber with $-10^sC$ and 50%RH. Subjects wore five different kinds of ensemble[C1 (4.453 clo), C2 (3.452 clo), C3 (2.865 clo), C4 (2.387 clo), and C5 (2.280 clo)]. The experiment was composed of 20 min of rest period, 20min of treadmill exercise(6 km/h) period, 30 min of recovery period. We monitored skin temperature on 7 sites, clothing microclimate and subjective sensations. The clo value had positive correlations with mean skin temperature and clothing microclimate. The subjects feel more warm and humid as the clo value goes up. The subjects reported comfort when they wore C1 and C2 ensemble having over 3 clo value. However, they felt less comfortable during the exercise period since there was high humidity. Skin temperature on the extremities were more dramatically changed by the exercise rather than clo value. Thus it seems that in the cold environment, heat balance can mostly be controlled by the choice of clothing, and the clothes with high clo values can provide higher insulation. In conclusion, our findings suggest that it would be more effective to control clo value depending on the activity level for maintaining comfort level in the cold environment.

Development of ensemble machine learning model considering the characteristics of input variables and the interpretation of model performance using explainable artificial intelligence (수질자료의 특성을 고려한 앙상블 머신러닝 모형 구축 및 설명가능한 인공지능을 이용한 모형결과 해석에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jungsu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of algal bloom is an important field of study in algal bloom management, and chlorophyll-a concentration(Chl-a) is commonly used to represent the status of algal bloom. In, recent years advanced machine learning algorithms are increasingly used for the prediction of algal bloom. In this study, XGBoost(XGB), an ensemble machine learning algorithm, was used to develop a model to predict Chl-a in a reservoir. The daily observation of water quality data and climate data was used for the training and testing of the model. In the first step of the study, the input variables were clustered into two groups(low and high value groups) based on the observed value of water temperature(TEMP), total organic carbon concentration(TOC), total nitrogen concentration(TN) and total phosphorus concentration(TP). For each of the four water quality items, two XGB models were developed using only the data in each clustered group(Model 1). The results were compared to the prediction of an XGB model developed by using the entire data before clustering(Model 2). The model performance was evaluated using three indices including root mean squared error-observation standard deviation ratio(RSR). The model performance was improved using Model 1 for TEMP, TN, TP as the RSR of each model was 0.503, 0.477 and 0.493, respectively, while the RSR of Model 2 was 0.521. On the other hand, Model 2 shows better performance than Model 1 for TOC, where the RSR was 0.532. Explainable artificial intelligence(XAI) is an ongoing field of research in machine learning study. Shapley value analysis, a novel XAI algorithm, was also used for the quantitative interpretation of the XGB model performance developed in this study.

Real-time prediction on the slurry concentration of cutter suction dredgers using an ensemble learning algorithm

  • Han, Shuai;Li, Mingchao;Li, Heng;Tian, Huijing;Qin, Liang;Li, Jinfeng
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2020.12a
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    • pp.463-481
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    • 2020
  • Cutter suction dredgers (CSDs) are widely used in various dredging constructions such as channel excavation, wharf construction, and reef construction. During a CSD construction, the main operation is to control the swing speed of cutter to keep the slurry concentration in a proper range. However, the slurry concentration cannot be monitored in real-time, i.e., there is a "time-lag effect" in the log of slurry concentration, making it difficult for operators to make the optimal decision on controlling. Concerning this issue, a solution scheme that using real-time monitored indicators to predict current slurry concentration is proposed in this research. The characteristics of the CSD monitoring data are first studied, and a set of preprocessing methods are presented. Then we put forward the concept of "index class" to select the important indices. Finally, an ensemble learning algorithm is set up to fit the relationship between the slurry concentration and the indices of the index classes. In the experiment, log data over seven days of a practical dredging construction is collected. For comparison, the Deep Neural Network (DNN), Long Short Time Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and the Bayesian Ridge algorithm are tried. The results show that our method has the best performance with an R2 of 0.886 and a mean square error (MSE) of 5.538. This research provides an effective way for real-time predicting the slurry concentration of CSDs and can help to improve the stationarity and production efficiency of dredging construction.

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Improved prediction of soil liquefaction susceptibility using ensemble learning algorithms

  • Satyam Tiwari;Sarat K. Das;Madhumita Mohanty;Prakhar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.475-498
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    • 2024
  • The prediction of the susceptibility of soil to liquefaction using a limited set of parameters, particularly when dealing with highly unbalanced databases is a challenging problem. The current study focuses on different ensemble learning classification algorithms using highly unbalanced databases of results from in-situ tests; standard penetration test (SPT), shear wave velocity (Vs) test, and cone penetration test (CPT). The input parameters for these datasets consist of earthquake intensity parameters, strong ground motion parameters, and in-situ soil testing parameters. liquefaction index serving as the binary output parameter. After a rigorous comparison with existing literature, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), bagging, and random forest (RF) emerge as the most efficient models for liquefaction instance classification across different datasets. Notably, for SPT and Vs-based models, XGBoost exhibits superior performance, followed by Light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) and Bagging, while for CPT-based models, Bagging ranks highest, followed by Gradient boosting and random forest, with CPT-based models demonstrating lower Gmean(error), rendering them preferable for soil liquefaction susceptibility prediction. Key parameters influencing model performance include internal friction angle of soil (ϕ) and percentage of fines less than 75 µ (F75) for SPT and Vs data and normalized average cone tip resistance (qc) and peak horizontal ground acceleration (amax) for CPT data. It was also observed that the addition of Vs measurement to SPT data increased the efficiency of the prediction in comparison to only SPT data. Furthermore, to enhance usability, a graphical user interface (GUI) for seamless classification operations based on provided input parameters was proposed.

PIV measurement of roof corner vortices

  • Kim, Kyung Chun;Ji, Ho Seong;Seong, Seung Hak
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.441-454
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    • 2001
  • Conical vortices on roof corners of a prismatic low-rise building have been investigated by using the PIV(Particle Image Velocimetry) technique. The Reynolds number based on the free stream velocity and model height was $5.3{\times}10^3$. Mean and instantaneous vector fields for velocity, vorticity, and turbulent kinetic energy were measured at two vertical planes and for two different flow angles of $30^{\circ}$ and $45^{\circ}$. The measurements provided a clear view of the complex flow structures on roof corners such as a pair of counter rotating conical vortices, secondary vortices, and tertiary vortices. They also enabled accurate and easy measurement of the size of vortices. Additionally, we could easily locate the centers of the vortices from the ensemble averaged velocity fields. It was observed that the flow angle of a $30^{\circ}$ produces a higher level of vorticity and turbulent kinetic energy in one of the pair of vortices than does the $45^{\circ}$ flow angle.

Tire Lateral Force Estimation System Using Nonlinear Kalman Filter (비선형 Kalman Filter를 사용한 타이어 횡력 추정 시스템)

  • Lee, Dong-Hun;Kim, In-Keun;Huh, Kun-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2012
  • Tire force is one of important parameters which determine vehicle dynamics. However, it is hard to measure tire force directly through sensors. Not only the sensor is expensive but also installation of sensors on harsh environments is difficult. Therefore, estimation algorithms based on vehicle dynamic models are introduced to estimate the tire forces indirectly. In this paper, an estimation system for estimating lateral force and states is suggested. The state-space equation is constructed based on the 3-DOF bicycle model. Extended Kalman Filter, Unscented Kalman Filter and Ensemble Kalman Filter are used for estimating states on the nonlinear system. Performance of each algorithm is evaluated in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and maximum error.

Simulation of Optimal Runoff Hydrograph Using Ensemble of Radar Rainfall and Blending of RunoffsBasin (레이더 강우 앙상블과 다양한 유출모형의 블랜딩을 활용한 최적 유출곡선 산정)

  • Lee, Myung Jin;Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.135-135
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    • 2017
  • 최근 강우-유출 모형은 물리적 현상에 근거한 확정론적 모의 모형과 물리적 성분으로 설명할 수 없는 내용에 대해 통계적으로 접근하는 추계학적 모의 모형 등이 계속 연구되고 있어 자연현상에 가까운 결과를 기대할 수 있게 되었다. 하지만 우리나라의 경우 많은 연구에도 불구하고 돌발성 집중호우, 여름철 집중되는 강우 등으로 인해 재난이 반복적으로 발생하고 있어 모형의 정확성에 대한 논의가 지속되고 있다. 동일한 유역에 동일한 입력자료를 사용하더라도 사용하는 모형에 따라 유출 분석결과는 상이하며 이는 유출 해석에 대한 불확실성으로 작용한다. 본 연구에서는 앙상블 및 블랜딩 기법을 사용하여 각 강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려하여 최적 유출량을 산정하고자 한다. 대상 유역으로는 한강 수계에 있는 중랑천 유역을 선정하였으며, Distributed 모형인 Vflo 모형과 Lumped 모형인 저류함수 모형, SSARR모형, TANK 모형을 이용하여 유출 분석을 실시하였다. 그 후, Multi-Model Super Ensemble(MMSE), Simple Model Average(SMA), Mean Square Error(MSE) 방법 등의 blending 기법을 이용하여 하나의 통합된 형태의 유출 분석 결과를 제시하였으며, 최적 유출량 산정을 위한 blending 기법을 선정하였다. 본 연구를 통해 동일한 강우 시나리오에 대한 여러 강우-유출 모형에 대한 정확도를 확인하였으며, 앙상블 및 블랜딩 기법을 사용하여 유출 분석에 대한 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Application of probabilistic method to determination of aerodynamic force coefficients on tall buildings

  • Yong Chul Kim;Shuyang Cao
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2023
  • Aerodynamic force coefficients are generally prescribed by an ensemble average of ten and/or twenty 10-minute samples. However, this makes it difficult to identify the exact probability distribution and exceedance probability of the prescribed values. In this study, 12,600 10-minute samples on three tall buildings were measured, and the probability distributions were first identified and the aerodynamic force coefficients corresponding to the specific non-exceedance probabilities (cumulative probabilities) of wind load were then evaluated. It was found that the probability distributions of the mean and fluctuating aerodynamic force coefficients followed a normal distribution. The ratios of aerodynamic force coefficients corresponding to the specific non-exceedance probabilities (Cf,Non) to the ensemble average of 12,600 samples (Cf,Ens), which was defined as an adjusting factor (Cf,Non/Cf,Ens), were less than 2%. The effect of coefficient of variation of wind speed on the adjusting factor is larger than that of the annual non-exceedance probability of wind load. The non-exceedance probabilities of the aerodynamic force coefficient is between PC,nonex = 50% and 60% regardless of force components and aspect ratios. The adjusting factors from the Gumbel distribution were larger than those from the normal distribution.

Ensemble Deep Learning Model using Random Forest for Patient Shock Detection

  • Minsu Jeong;Namhwa Lee;Byuk Sung Ko;Inwhee Joe
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1080-1099
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    • 2023
  • Digital healthcare combined with telemedicine services in the form of convergence with digital technology and AI is developing rapidly. Digital healthcare research is being conducted on many conditions including shock. However, the causes of shock are diverse, and the treatment is very complicated, requiring a high level of medical knowledge. In this paper, we propose a shock detection method based on the correlation between shock and data extracted from hemodynamic monitoring equipment. From the various parameters expressed by this equipment, four parameters closely related to patient shock were used as the input data for a machine learning model in order to detect the shock. Using the four parameters as input data, that is, feature values, a random forest-based ensemble machine learning model was constructed. The value of the mean arterial pressure was used as the correct answer value, the so called label value, to detect the patient's shock state. The performance was then compared with the decision tree and logistic regression model using a confusion matrix. The average accuracy of the random forest model was 92.80%, which shows superior performance compared to other models. We look forward to our work playing a role in helping medical staff by making recommendations for the diagnosis and treatment of complex and difficult cases of shock.

A Study on Changes in Thermal Performances in Ensembles Made up of Single Garments Marketed for Korean Men - In Still and Dynamic Air Conditions - (한국 남성용 단일의복의 앙상블 조합시의 온열특성 변화에 관한 연구 - 무풍, 풍속환경하에서 -)

  • Song, Min-Kyu;Kwon, Seo-Yoon;Jung, Hyun-Mi
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.660-668
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the thermal characteristics of garments marketed for Korean males and to investigate the influence of each garment on ensemble, by measuring their insulation values(clo) using thermal manikins. The results are as follows. The total insulations(clo) of ensembles for S/S seasons are between 1.46 and 2.6 clo, with the mean of 2.12 clo. The insulation in the still air condition is 1.23 clo, which means a decrease of 42% compared to the total insulation of all the component garments. The insulation of ensembles for S/S seasons in the dynamic air condition decreased by 46.8%, compared to the still air condition. The total insulation(clo) of ensembles for F/W seasons is between 3.84 and 7.36 clo with the mean of 4.74 clo. The insulation in the still air condition is 2.26 clo, which means a decrease of 53.6% compared to the total insulation of all the component garments. The insulation of ensembles for F/W seasons in the dynamic air condition decreased by 36.2%, compared to the still air condition. As the clo value of each component garment gets higher, the insulation of ensembles gets higher. Especially, the insulation of ensembles was more influenced by outer wear than inner wear. The insulation of ensembles could be predicted by the insulation of outerwear better.