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Development of a Stochastic Precipitation Generation Model for Generating Multi-site Daily Precipitation (다지점 일강수 모의를 위한 추계학적 강수모의모형의 구축)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.5B
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    • pp.397-408
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a stochastic precipitation generation framework for simultaneous simulation of daily precipitation at multiple sites is presented. The precipitation occurrence at individual sites is generated using hybrid-order Markov chain model which allows higher-order dependence for dry sequences. The precipitation amounts are reproduced using Anscombe residuals and gamma distributions. Multisite spatial correlations in the precipitation occurrence and amount series are represented with spatially correlated random numbers. The proposed model is applied for a network of 17 locations in the middle of Korean peninsular. Evaluation statistics are reported by generating 50 realizations of the precipitation of length equal to the observed record. The analysis of results show that the model reproduces wet day number, wet and dry day spell, and mean and standard deviation of wet day amount fairly well. However, mean values of 50 realizations of generated precipitation series yield around 23% Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of the average value of observed maximum numbers of consecutive wet and dry days and 17% RMSE of the average value of observed annual maximum precipitations for return periods of 100 and 200 years. The provided model also reproduces spatial correlations in observed precipitation occurrence and amount series accurately.

A Case Study of Delay Analysis for E.P.B Shield TBM Method in Construction Site (E.P.B(Earth Pressure Balance) Shield TBM 공사의 공기지연 사례연구)

  • Kwak, Jun-Hwan;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.6D
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    • pp.737-743
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    • 2009
  • Shield TBM, since it was employed for Suyoungman Bay riverbed tunnel of Busan Subway in 2000,has been increasingly adopted in Korea, and in line with growing popularity, the study on Shield TBM has been expanded. However the studies mostly focus on ground condition in a bid to estimate the advancement rate and develop the model for calculating the excavation efficiency, whereas the efforts to analyze the cause of delay and to develop the improvement measures have been neglected. Thus the studies were mostly intended to analyze the schedule slippage focusing on ground conditions, while the study on schedule behind due to equipment itself and related facilities have yet to be attempted in earnest. This study hence was aimed at evaluating the troubles and schedule slippage caused by mechanical elements such as shield TBM equipment and tools and ground conditions, making use of FMEA approach so as to analyze the risk of schedule delay by such elements, thereby proposing the preventive measures to deal with high-risk factors. So, this study suggest the solution to highly ranked trouble factor for the purpose of enhance the efficiency on Shield TBM.

Measurement of Velocity and Discharge In Natural Streams with the Electronic Float System (전자부자 시스템을 활용한 자연하천의 유속과 유량 측정)

  • Lee, Chan Joo;Kim, Won;Kim, Chi Young;Kim, Dong Gu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4B
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    • pp.329-337
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    • 2009
  • In this study we briefly introduce the electronic float system based on the GPS and RF communication technology and present some field application results. The system is capable of operating 15 floats simultaneously for making discharge measurement. Since the electronic floats (EFs) acquire flow paths, they can improve velocity measurement accuracy up to 10%. Additionally, measured velocities by the EFs show good agreement with those by an ADCP. Relative difference in sub-section area calculated by the electronic and conventional float methods is -79~71% and, due to convergent tendency of floats flowing along near banks, it increases much larger. It is possible to improve accuracy up to 5~6% in making discharge measurement by the electronic floats at site with irregular flow paths and section arrangement. The electronic float system is capable of calculating more accurate velocity and section area using position information based on GPS. By real-time measurement of velocity, cross-section area and discharge, the electronic float system is expected to reduce manpower and improve accuracy, rapidity and efficiency of flood discharge measurements.

Stable Channel Analysis and Design for the Abandoned Channel Restoration Site of Cheongmi Stream using Regime Theory (평형하상 이론을 이용한 청미천 구하도 복원 대상구간의 안정하도 평가 및 설계)

  • Ji, Un;Julien, Pierre Y.;Kang, Joon Gu;Yeo, Hong Koo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.305-313
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    • 2010
  • River restoration or rehabilitation should be conducted in a way to maximize the channel stability with natural river configuration close to the equilibrium condition considering divers aspects of fluvial hydraulics, erosion and sedimentation, fluvial geomorphology, and ecological environment and to minimize the maintenance work. Therefore, the channel stability evaluation for present condition based on the equilibrium channel concept should be preceded for the river restoration project. Methods for equilibrium channel theory have generally been developed following either analytical regime theory or empirical regime theory. The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the stability of present channel condition for the section of abandoned channel restoration in Cheongmi Stream using the Stable channel Analytical Model (SAM) and equilibrium hydraulic geometry equations. The results of analytical and empirical regime theories should provide fundamental and essential information to design the stable channel geometry. As a calculation result of Copeland's method for the study reach, the equilibrium channel has a narrower channel width, deeper water depth, and more gentle slope than the present channel geometry. As results of equilibrium hydraulic geometry equations, predicted equilibrium widths are less than the channel width in the field. It is represented that the current bed slope must be gentle to reach the equilibrium condition according to the results of Julien and Wargadalam method.

Side Shear Resistance of Drilled Shafts in Weathered Rock (풍화된 암반에 근입된 현장타설말뚝의 주면지지력)

  • Kwon, Oh Sung;Kim, Myoung Mo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4C
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2008
  • In this research, the effect of rock mass weathering on the side shear resistance of drilled shaft socketed into igneous-metamorphic rock was investigated. For that, 23 cast-in-place concrete piles with diameters varying from 400mm to 1,500mm were constructed at four different sites, and the static axial load tests were performed to examine the resistant behavior of the piles. A comprehensive field/laboratory testing program at the field test site was also performed to describe the in situ rock mass conditions quantitatively. The side shear resistance of rock socketed piles was found to have no intimate correlation with the compressive strength of the intact rock. However, the global rock mass strength, which was calculated by the Hoek and Brown criteria, was found to closely correlate to the side shear resistance. The ground investigation data regarding the rock mass conditions (e.g. $E_m$, $E_{ur}$, $p_{lm}$, RMR, RQD, j) were also found to be highly correlated with the side shear resistance, showing the coefficients of correlation greater than 0.75 in most cases. Additionally, the applicability of existing methods for the side shear resistance of weathered granite-gneiss was verified by comparison with the field test data. The existing methods which consider the effect of rock mass condition were modified and/or extended for weathered rock mass where mass factor j is lower than 0.15, and RQD is below 50%.

Analysis of Spatial Association of Regional Economic Growth and Land Use Considering Regional Economic Sphere (광역경제권 설정을 고려한 지역경제성장과 토지이용에 관한 공간연관성 분석)

  • Choi, Yeol;Kim, Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5D
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    • pp.713-721
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    • 2008
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the spatial association of regional economic growth and land use considering 5 plus 2 regional economic sphere (Capital region zone, Chungchung zone, Honam zone, Daekyung zone, Dongnam zone and kangwon zone, Jejudo zone) in Korea. The factors of regional economic growth are GRDP and the rate of self-finance and land use, especially industrial and manufactering zone. The data for this research are obtained by National Statistical Office web-site etc. For this, the Seemingly Unrelated Regression(SUR), as a kind of simultaneous equation model, is employed as empirical analysis. Overall results of this study show that the spatial association of the capital region zone and other zones is complementary. but Honam zone and Dongnam zone or Daekyung zone is competitive. We conclude from this study that the policy of regional development will be considered in accordance with the regional economic growth and land use. Also, this study found that Economic growth of regional economic sphere will be achieved from that of cities within zone and the results will be helpful to policy makers and regional planners when establishing regional planning in the future.

Evaluation of Bio-Chemical Restoration Index at the Creation Site of Ecological Environmental Zone in Coastal Area (연안생태환경공간 조성지의 생물-화학적 복원지수 평가)

  • Lee, In-Cheol;Yi, Byung Ho;Park, So Young;Ryu, Cheong Ro
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2008
  • The ecological environmental zones in coastal area, like tidal flat and salt marsh, were gradually decreased due to large scale of coastal development projects, reclamation and so on. Therefore, the development of artificial tidal flat and salt marsh has been emphasized in coastal area as mitigation concept and studies on related this background has performed. But studies on the quantitative evaluation for degree of restoration were insufficient. In this paper, as a fundamental study for evaluation of restoration on the creation of ecological environmental zones in coastal area, it was conducted that the monitoring and experiment for bio-chemical factors (bio-diversity, population and biomass of macro-benthos, survival ratio of reed, the number of heterotrophic bacteria and physico-chemical characteristics such as COD, IL, TN, TP and pH) using a in-situ pilot plant of tidal flat (Zone. P1) and salt marsh (Zone. P2), which was distinguished by content of dredged soil, in Jinudo, Nakdong estuary. From results of this study, the restoration index (RI), for evaluation concerning degree of restoration on the creation of ecological environmental zones in coastal area, was suggested and quantitative evaluation was performed using a restoration index (RI).

A Development of Optimum Operation Models for Express-Rail Systems (급행열차 도입을 통한 최적운행방안 수립에 관한 연구 - 수도권 광역 도시철도를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Hoon-Hee;Won, Jai-Mu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.679-686
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the city railway in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) has offered a low quality of service as a passage time, because it was operated slowly. So, the people who live in modern society are not satisfied about passage time, therefore, this study tried to make that the subway in the SMA becomes a more functional and effective wide-area-transportation-network through an express train introduction's method which examined cases from abroad and current system. and then presented how express train could be applied to current system. In a case study, We used the An-San Line and Su-In Line as a examples and developed a schedule which can minimize the delaying time of subway by using Branch & Bound Algorithm. The train operational plan was loaded to consider a railroad siding, Obtained site, and the dispatch interval(three to ten minutes) for the express and local lines and finally, We presented an alternative operational plan which made by those factors.

Development of Analysis Tool for Structural Behavior of Domestic Containment Building with Grouted Tendon (CANDU-type) (국내 부착식 텐던 격납건물(CANDU형)의 구조거동 분석 도구 개발)

  • Lee, Sang-Keun;Song, Young-Chul
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5A
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    • pp.901-908
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    • 2006
  • The structural integrity of containment building in Nuclear Power Plants has to be verified by the ISI(In Service Inspection) because there are some variations on the structural behavior of it due to the change of the physical properties of concrete and tendon with the lapse of time. In this study, the program 'SAPONC-CANDU' which can monitor and analyze the structural behavior of the containment building with grouted tendon (CANDU-type, 'Wolsong unit-2, 3, and 4' in Korea) was developed. This program is based on the algorithm which can calculate the prediction values of the quantities of strain variation for the vibrating-wire strain gauges embedded into the concrete of the containment building under temperature and time dependent factors which are creep, shrinkage, and prestressing force. The readings of the strain gauges are used as input data for the operation of the program. And it finally provides graphically a prediction value, line and band of the quantity of strain variation for the respective strain gauges, therefore, it is thought that the site engineers are able to assess the structural integrity of the domestic containment building with grouted tendon with easy using this program.

Analysis of Construction Conditions Change due to Climate Change (기후변화에 의한 건설시공환경 변화 분석)

  • Bae, Deg Hyo;Lee, Byong Ju;Jung, Il Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4D
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    • pp.513-521
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is the evaluation of the impact on the construction condition due to historical observation data and IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario. For this purpose, daily precipitation and daily mean temperature data which have been observed over the past 30 years by Korea Meteorological Administration are collected and applied. Also, A2 scenarios during 2011~2040 and 2051~2080 are used for this analysis. According to the results of trend analyses on annual precipitation and annual mean temperature, they are on the increase mostly. The available working day and the day occurred an extreme event are used as correlation indices between climate factor and construction condition. For the past observation data, linear regression and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the trend on the correlation index. As a result, both working day and extreme event occurrence day are increased. Likewise, for the future, variation analysis showed the similar result to that of the past and the occurrence frequency of extreme events is increased obviously. Therefore, we can project to increase flood damage potential on the construction site by climate change.