• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical bayes methods

Search Result 47, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

Constrained Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimator Applications in Insurance Pricing

  • Kim, Myung Joon;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.321-327
    • /
    • 2013
  • Bayesian and empirical Bayesian methods have become quite popular in the theory and practice of statistics. However, the objective is to often produce an ensemble of parameter estimates as well as to produce the histogram of the estimates. For example, in insurance pricing, the accurate point estimates of risk for each group is necessary and also proper dispersion estimation should be considered. Well-known Bayes estimates (which is the posterior means under quadratic loss) are underdispersed as an estimate of the histogram of parameters. The adjustment of Bayes estimates to correct this problem is known as constrained Bayes estimators, which are matching the first two empirical moments. In this paper, we propose a way to apply the constrained Bayes estimators in insurance pricing, which is required to estimate accurately both location and dispersion. Also, the benefit of the constrained Bayes estimates will be discussed by analyzing real insurance accident data.

Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Scale Parameter of the Gamma Distribution under Balanced Loss Functions

  • Rezaeian, R.;Asgharzadeh, A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 2007
  • The present paper investigates estimation of a scale parameter of a gamma distribution using a loss function that reflects both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. The Bayes and empirical Bayes estimators rotative to balanced loss functions (BLFs) are derived and optimality of some estimators are studied.

Robust Bayes and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Finite Population Sampling

  • Dal Ho Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.63-73
    • /
    • 1995
  • We consider some robust Bayes estimators using ML-II priors as well as certain empirical Bayes estimators in estimating the finite population mean. The proposed estimators are compared with the sample mean and subjective Bayes estimators in terms of "posterior robustness" and "procedure robustness".re robustness".uot;.

  • PDF

Empirical Bayes Pproblems with Dependent and Nonidentical Components

  • Inha Jung;Jee-Chang Hong;Kang Sup Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.145-154
    • /
    • 1995
  • Empirical Bayes approach is applied to estimation of the binomial parameter when there is a cost for observations. Both the sample size and the decision rule for estimating the parameter are determined stochastically by the data, making the result more useful in applications. Our empirical Bayes problems with non-iid components are compared to the usual empirical Bayes problems with iid components. The asymptotic optimal procedure with a computer simulation is given.

  • PDF

Empirical Bayes Inferences in the Burr Distribution by the Bootstrap Methods

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik;Jeong, Seong-Hwa;Shin, Jae-Seock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.625-632
    • /
    • 2004
  • We consider the empirical Bayes confidence intervals that attain a specified level of EB coverage for the scale parameter in the Burr distribution under type II censoring data. Also, we compare the coverage probabilities and the expected confidence interval lengths for these confidence intervals through simulation study.

  • PDF

A Study on the Posterior Density under the Bayes-empirical Bayes Models

  • Sohn, Joong-K.Sohn;Kim, Heon-Joo-Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.3 no.3
    • /
    • pp.215-223
    • /
    • 1996
  • By using Tukey's generalized lambda distribution, appoximate posterior density is derived under the Bayes-empirical Bayes model. The sensitivity of posterior distribution to the hyperprior distribution is examined by using Tukey's generalized lambda distriburion which approximate many well-knmown distributions. Based upon Monte Varlo simulation studies it can be said that posterior distribution is sensitive to the cariance of the prior distribution and to the symmetry of the hyperprior distribution. Also posterior distribution is approximately obtained by using the following methods : Lindley method, Laplace method and Gibbs sampler method.

  • PDF

Bayesian small area estimations with measurement errors

  • Goo, You Mee;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.885-893
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper considers Bayes estimations of the small area means under Fay-Herriot model with measurement errors. We provide empirical Bayes predictors of small area means with the corresponding jackknifed mean squared prediction errors. Also we obtain hierarchical Bayes predictors and the corresponding posterior standard deviations using Gibbs sampling. Numerical studies are provided to illustrate our methods and compare their eciencies.

Empirical Bayes Test for the Exponential Parameter with Censored Data

  • Wang, Lichun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.213-228
    • /
    • 2008
  • Using a linear loss function, this paper considers the one-sided testing problem for the exponential distribution via the empirical Bayes(EB) approach. Based on right censored data, we propose an EB test for the exponential parameter and obtain its convergence rate and asymptotic optimality, firstly, under the condition that the censoring distribution is known and secondly, that it is unknown.

Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Binomial and Normal Parameters

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Inha Jung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-96
    • /
    • 2001
  • We consider the empirical Bayes estimation problems with the binomial and normal components when the prior distributions are unknown but are assumed to be in certain families. There may be the families of all distributions on the parameter space or subfamilies such as the parametric families of conjugate priors. We treat both cases and establish the asymptotic optimality for the corresponding decision procedures.

  • PDF

Standard Error of Empirical Bayes Estimate in NONMEM$^{(R)}$ VI

  • Kang, Dong-Woo;Bae, Kyun-Seop;Houk, Brett E.;Savic, Radojka M.;Karlsson, Mats O.
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-106
    • /
    • 2012
  • The pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics analysis software NONMEM$^{(R)}$ output provides model parameter estimates and associated standard errors. However, the standard error of empirical Bayes estimates of inter-subject variability is not available. A simple and direct method for estimating standard error of the empirical Bayes estimates of inter-subject variability using the NONMEM$^{(R)}$ VI internal matrix POSTV is developed and applied to several pharmacokinetic models using intensively or sparsely sampled data for demonstration and to evaluate performance. The computed standard error is in general similar to the results from other post-processing methods and the degree of difference, if any, depends on the employed estimation options.