• Title/Summary/Keyword: electricity price

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Locational Marginal Price Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network (역전파 신경회로망 기반의 단기시장가격 예측)

  • Song Byoung Sun;Lee Jeong Kyu;Park Jong Bae;Shin Joong Rin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.698-700
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    • 2004
  • Electric power restructuring offers a major change to the vertically integrated utility monopoly. Deregulation has had a great impact on the electric power industry in various countries. Bidding competition is one of the main transaction approaches after deregulation. The energy trading levels between market participants is largely dependent on the short-term price forecasts. This paper presents the short-term System Marginal Price (SMP) forecasting implementation using backpropagation Neural Network in competitive electricity market. Demand and SMP that supplied from Korea Power Exchange (KPX) are used by a input data and then predict SMP. It needs to analysis the input data for accurate prediction.

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China's Fossil Fuel Market and IGCC (중국의 석탄 에너지 시장과 IGCC)

  • Zhang, Yanping;Ku, Jayeol;Um, Shingyoung;Kim, Suduk
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.137.2-137.2
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    • 2010
  • With current real economic growth of more than 10% per year, the Chinese energy consumption is rapidly increasing. Coal supply consists of the vast majority of China's total energy consumption requirements in 2008. China, the largest energy consumer, is expected to be heavily dependent on coal for future power generation, too (IEA,2009). A growing concern on global warming, on the other hand, drives Chinese government to declare her commitment to the reduction of CO2 emission by 2020. In this paper, China's energy market is examined for the current and future primary energy mix. Coal is found to be the biggest part accounting for 68.7% of total primary energy consumption while coal-fired power accounts for over 80% of the total power generation. The importance of Clean Coal Technology is being discussed based on the findings of the importance of coal in China's economy and its sustainable development. Among the technologies involved, a brief investigation of IGCC(Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle) technology with a review on current IGCC projects in China are provided from the perspective of environmental benefits. Studies on regional Chinese power market is also conducted. It is found that the regulated power tariff in electricity system makes the power suppliers suffer from financial loss and changes in the electricity price system is under serious consideration by Chinese government. Even though Chinese power market system causes difficulties of commercialization for IGCC technology, the potential benefits will be high due to China's huge requirements of power generating capacity and its heavy reliance on coal if the electricity price system can be changed smoothly.

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Electricity Demand and the Impact of Pricing Reform: An Analysis with Household Expenditure Data (가구별 소비자료를 이용한 전력수요함수 추정 및 요금제도 변경의 효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Kang, Hye-Jung;Kim, Yong-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.409-434
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    • 2014
  • This paper estimates household demand for electricity using a micro-level household expenditure data set. A two-stage estimation method where the endogenous block price estimates are obtained from a discrete block choice model is used. This method successfully identifies a downward sloping conditional demand function with the data, while both the usual two-stage method with instrumental variable estimation and the Hewitt-Hanemann discrete-continuous model fail to do that. The paper simulates the impacts of two hypothetical pricing reforms that reduce the number of blocks and make the price gap smaller. It is shown that the reform may increase the overall consumer benefit, but is regressive.

Economic Feasibility Study for Molten Carbonate Fuel Cells Fed with Biogas

  • Song, Shin-Ae;Han, Jong-Hee;Yoon, Sung-Pil;Nam, Suk-Woo;Oh, In-Hwan;Choi, Dae-Ki
    • Journal of Electrochemical Science and Technology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.102-111
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    • 2010
  • Molten carbonate fuel cell (MCFC) power plants are one of most attractive electricity generation systems for the use of biogas to generate high-efficiency ultra-clean power. However, MCFCs are considerably more expensive than comparable conventional electricity generation systems. The commercialization of MCFCs has been delayed more than expected. After being effective in the Kyoto protocol and considerably increasing the fossil price, the attention focused on $CO_2$ regression and renewable energy sources has increased dramatically. In particular, the commercialization and application of MCFC systems fed with biogas have been revived because of the characteristics of $CO_2$ collection and fuel variety of MCFCs. Better economic results of MCFC systems fed with biogas are expected because biogas is a relatively inexpensive fuel compared to liquefied natural gas (LNG). However, the pretreatment cost is added when using anaerobic digester gas (ADG), one of the biogases, as a fuel of MCFC systems because it contains high $H_2S$ and other contaminants, which are harmful sources to the MCFC stack in ADG. Thus, an accurate economic analysis and comparison between MCFCs fed with biogas and LNG are very necessary before the installation of an MCFC system fed with biogas in a plant. In this paper, the economic analysis of an MCFC fed with ADG was carried out for various conditions of electricity and fuel price and compared with the case of an MCFC fed with LNG.

Interfuel Substitution and Carbon Dioxide Emission in the Transportation Sector: Roles of Biodiesel Blended Fuels (수송부문의 연료 간 대체와 이산화탄소 배출: 바이오디젤 혼소 효과를 중심으로)

  • Hyonyong Kang;Dong Hee Suh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.27-46
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    • 2023
  • This paper investigates how interfuel substitution affects carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions with a focus on the use of biodiesel blended fuels. The results show that the Divisia elasticity of diesel demand is the greatest because the transportation sector relies heavily on diesel. Also, while the own-price elasticity of each fuel demand is negative, the results reveal that diesel demand is more inelastic than the demand for gasoline and LPG. Moreover, gasoline is a substitute for diesel and electricity, and diesel is a substitute for LPG and a complement for electricity. Regarding the effects on carbon dioxide emissions, this paper computes the potential CO2 emissions associated with interfuel substitution using the coefficients of CO2 emissions. The results show that using biodiesel blended fuels contributes to reducing CO2 emissions, but it appears that the price-induced interfuel substitution is a main factor affecting CO2 emissions.

Electric Power Demand Prospect Pattern System (전력 수요 예측 패턴 시스템 설계)

  • Yu, seung-hyun;Lee, joung-myung;Park, han-ho;Kwak, nae-joung;Lee, hyun-tae;Jeon, jae-sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.112-115
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    • 2008
  • Recently, In Korea Electric power Corporation guarantee free using, which separate a class of electric supply with a group of generates electricity and supply, so a market price is decided by demand and supply that take part in a tender. In this treatise predict about demand of power by abstracting a pattern cause it (temperature and economic growth). Also it proposes market price of the best electricity power generation with predicted data that is made database and is showed by Web. The proposed system is increased satisfaction of consumer through smoothness of power supply and demand that rises competitiveness through exactly estimated demand at power supply and demand and supply market will open the future. Moreover consumers can reduce expenses of basic charge. Because they beforehand predict and analyze a mount of power spending with former times so a provider concludes the lowest price and reduction effect of basic charge that needed producing of power.

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Economic Welfare Study on Seasonal and Time Period Electricity Pricing (계시별 전력가격에 대한 경제적 후생 연구)

  • Yoo, Young-Hoon;Kim, SungSoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.519-547
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    • 2005
  • The aim of this study is to analysis how economic welfare lost happens within the present korea seasonal and time period electricity pricing system and find out reasonable electricity price system acceptable during the transitional period of korea electricity industry restructuring To analyze economic welfare lost in the electricity industry, in advance seasonal and time periodic 9 demand curves(summer, spring &fall, winter/peak-load time, middle-load time, low-load time) and one market supply curve are made and then using these demand and supply curve, seasonal and time periodic market equilibrium prices is calculated. Finally, comparing these market equilibrium prices with present regulated classified seasonal and time periodic prices, the whole economic welfare lost in the electricity industry is calculated. The result of this study shows that in 2002, the total economic welfare lost in electricity industry is 137,770 million Won and under present price system, the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in spring & fall, time periodically in the middle-load time. Specifically analyzing the characteristics of welfare lost, especially on the industry customers and service customers which are applied in seasonal and time periodic pricing, for the industry customers, the welfare lost calculated in this class occupies 51% of the total welfare lost in the whole electricity industry and the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in spring & fall, time periodically in the middle-load time. For service customers, the welfare lost calculated in this class occupies 13% of the total welfare lost in the whole electricity industry and the worst welfare lost is happening seasonally in summer, time periodically in the peak time Finally, this study was made based on the year of 2002 and KEPCO has practiced two times of rate change until now. The result of rate change was positively analyzed in the direction of economic welfare improvement(welfare improvement achieved by 16.3% compared to 2002 result).

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A Study on the Effects of the System Marginal Price Setting Mechanism of the Cost Function in Operating Modes of the Combined Cycle Power Plants in Korea Electricity Market (한국전력시장에서 복합발전기의 운전조합별 비용함수의 계통한계가격(SMP) 결정메커니즘 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Hyeok Jun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.107-128
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    • 2021
  • It has been recognized that implementing the marginal price mechanism to CBP is not acceptable due to the lack of revenue of the marginal generators. This study shows that it is not the problem of marginal price mechanism but the structural problems originated by the suspension of restructuring, the technical limits of RSC program and inaccuracy of the generation cost estimation method. This study explains the method to calculate the cost function in operating modes of the CC generators and proposes the modeling for the CC generators in RSC program. To implementing the cost function in operating modes could give an opportunity to change the price setting mechanism from average to marginal cost. The price setting mechanism based on the marginal cost will be one of the main points to provide the right price signals and to introduce a real-time and A/S markets to prepare the energy transition era.

Imperfect Competition and Productivity: Korean Fossil-fueled Power Generation Sector (발전부문의 불완전경쟁과 생산성 변화)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.3-21
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    • 2010
  • By the significant structural change in 1999, a partial privatization has occurred in Korean fossil-fuel power generation sector. Under the current price scheme wholesale electricity price is dependent on output size, and hence, may not satisfy the assumption of price-taking producers. The purpose of our study is constructing the productivity change measurements of Korean power generation sector taking into account possibly imperfect competition and variable returns to scale. Our approach based on Harrison (1994) and Levinsohn (1993) derives the plant-level productivity measurements of the period between 2001 and 2007, as well as the measurements of mark-ups and returns to scale. It is shown that the mark-up size is dependent on the plants' fuel type and is decreasing over time. Allowing for imperfect competition and variable returns to scale adjusts the productivity measurements substantially.

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Economic Evaluation of Liquid Air Energy Storage (LAES) System (액화 공기 에너지 저장 기술(LAES)의 경제성 분석)

  • Ko, Areum;Park, Sung-Ho;Ryu, Ju-Yeol;Park, Jong-Po
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • Liquid air energy storage (LAES) using gas liquefaction has attracted considerable attention because of its mature technology, high energy density, few geographical constraints, and long life span. On the other hand, LAES has not yet been commercialized and is being developed recently. Therefore, few studies have performed an economic analysis of LAES. In this study, the levelized cost of electricity was calculated and compared with that of other energy storage systems. As a result, the levelized cost of electricity of LAES was $371/MWh. This is approximately $292/MWh, $159/MWh, $118/MWh, and $3/MWh less than that of the LiCd battery, VRFB battery, Lead-acid battery, and NaS battery. In addition, the cost was approximately $62/MWh and $195/MWh more than that of Fe-Cr flow battery and PHS. Sensitivity analysis of the levelized cost of electricity according to the main economic factors was performed, and economic uncertainty analysis was performed through a Monte-Carlo simulation. The cumulative probability curve showed the levelized cost of electricity of LAES, reflecting price fluctuations in the air compressor cost, electricity cost, and standing reserve hourly fee.