• Title/Summary/Keyword: effects of thinning

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Integer-Valued HAR(p) model with Poisson distribution for forecasting IPO volumes

  • SeongMin Yu;Eunju Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

Laminar Film Condensation Model of Pure Steam in a Vertical Tube (수직관 내 순수 증기의 층류 액막 응축 모델)

  • Kim, Dong Eok
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a new model for calculating the liquid film thickness and condensation heat transfer coefficient in a vertical condenser tube is proposed by considering the effects of gravity, liquid viscosity, and vapor flow in the core region of the flow. In order to introduce the radial velocity profile in the liquid film, the liquid film flow was regarded to be in Couette flow dragged by the interfacial velocity at the liquid-vapor interface. For the calculation of the interfacial velocity, an empirical power-law velocity profile had been introduced. The resulting liquid film thickness and heat transfer coefficient obtained from the proposed model were compared with the experimental data from other experimental study and the results obtained from the other condensation models. In conclusion, the proposed model physically explained the liquid film thinning effect by the vapor shear flow and predicted the condensation heat transfer coefficient from experiments reasonably well.

A Numerical Study on the Combined Flow and Evaporation During Spin Coating Process (증발을 고려한 회전코팅 공정에 대한 수치해석적 연구)

  • Im, Ik-Tae;Kim, Kwang-Sun
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2001
  • The fluid flow, mass transfer and film thickness variation during a wafer spin coating process are numerically studied. Governing equations for the cylindrical coordinates are simplified using the similarity transformation and solved efficiently using the finite difference method. Concentration dependent viscosity and the binary diffusivity of the coating liquid are used in the analysis. The time variational velocity components of the coating liquid and the film thickness are analyzed according to the various spin speed. When the evaporation is considered, the flow decease in the early times due to the increase of the viscosity and the resultant flow resistance. Effects of the two film thinning mechanism, the flow-out and evaporation are also considered in the analysis.

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Shear Thinning Effects on Engine Valve Train Contacts (엔진 밸브 트레인 접촉에서의 유막 감소 효과)

  • 장시열
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Tribologists and Lubrication Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.342-346
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    • 1998
  • 최근의 자동차엔진에서 사용되는 윤활유에는 여러 가지 첨가물이 사용된다. 특히 고분자량 폴리머계의 점도 지수 향상제를 윤활유의 원유에 첨가함으로써 온도 증가에 따른 점도 불안정성을 방지하는 다등급 윤활유 성격을 얻을 수 있다. 그러나 이러한 고분자량 폴리머계의 첨가물은 고온의 엔진 운전 조건에서 윤활유의 점도 안정성을 보장해줌에도 불구하고 엔진 부품들의 정상적인 운동 속도에서도($1-^6 S^{-1}$) 고 전단 변형율 속도로 인하여 유막 감소 효과를 발생 시킨다. 또한 이 첨가제들은 엔진 부품의 마찰 표면에 큰 전단 응력을 지닌 끈끈한 형태의 경계막을 형성한다. 고분자량 폴리머계의 점도 지수 향상제에 대한 예기치 못한 영향은 유막 감소 효과로 인하여 엔진 부품간의 마모를 증가 시키고 점도의 감소로 마찰을 감소 시키는 반면 경계막으로 인하여 고체면이 보호를 받는데 있다. 이러한 유막 형성의 물리적인 개념에 대하여 고체면의 끈끈한 경계막의 존재 효과와 두 경계막 사이에서 일어나는 유막 감소 효과를 표현할 수 있는 현실적인 해석의 필요성이 제기된다. 본 연구는 최근에 많이 쓰이고 있는 점도 향상제가 첨가된 윤활유가 자동차 밸브 트레인 시스템에서 유막 형성에 미치는 영향을 마찰 효율과 마모 방지의 입장에서 고찰하였다.

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Rheology of hydrophobic-alkali-soluble-emulsions (HASE) and the effects of surfactants

  • Lau, A.K.M.;Tiu, C.;Kealy, T.;Tam, K.C.
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2002
  • Steady and dynamic shear properties of two hydrophobically modified alkali soluble emulsions (HASE), NPJI and NPJ2, were experimentally investigated. At the same polymer concentration, NPJ1 is appreciably more viscous and elastic than NPJ2. The high hydrophobicity of NPJ1 allows hydrophobic associations and more junction sites to be created, leading to the formation of a network structure. Under shear deformation, NPJ1 exhibits shear-thinning behaviour as compared with Newtonian characteristics of NPJ2. NPJ1 and NPJ2 exhibit a very high and a low level of elasticity respectively over the frequency range tested. For NPJ1, a crossover frequency appears, which is shifted to lower frequencies and hence, longer relaxation times, as concentration increases. Three different surfactants anionic SDS, cationic CTAB, and non-ionic TX-100 were employed to examine the effects of surfactants on the rheology of HASE. Due to the different ionic behaviour of the surfactant, each type of surfactant imposed different electrostatic interactions on the two HASE polymers. In general, at low surfactant concentration, a gradual increase in viscosity is observed until a maximum is reached, beyond which a continuous reduction of viscosity ensues. Viscosity development is a combined result of HASE-surfactant interactions, accompanied by constant rearrangement of the hydrophobic associative junctions, and electrostatic interactions.

Evaluation of Crashworthiness and NVH Performances of Side Structure with Finite Element Analysis considering Stamping Effects (성형효과를 고려한 해석을 통한 차체 측면구조의 충돌 및 진동 성능평가)

  • Kim, Se-Ho;Kim, Kee-Poong;Choi, Won-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the influence of the stamping effect is investigated in the performance analysis of a side structure. The analysis covers the performance evaluation such as the crashworthiness and NVH. Stamping analyses are carried out for the center pillar and the side sill made of high strength steels. Then, numerical simulations are carried out in order to identify the stamping effect on the crashworthiness, the natural frequency and the normal mode. The result shows that the analysis of the side structure considering the forming history leads to a different result from that without considering the forming effect. The variation of the system response fully reveals effects of thinning and hardening of members on the performance prediction of vehicle parts. The analysis results demonstrate that the design of auto-body members should be carried out considering the stamping history for accurate assessment of various performances.

Electrical Characterization of nano SOl wafer by Pseudo MOSFET (Pseudo-MOSFET을 이용한 nano SOI 웨이퍼의 전기적 특성분석)

  • Bae, Young-Ho;Kim, Byoung-Gil;Kwon, Kyung-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.3-4
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    • 2005
  • The Pseudo-MOSFET measurements technique has been used for the electrical characterization of the nano SOL Silicon islands for the Pseudo-MOS measurements were fabricated by selective etching of surface silicon film with dry or wet etching to examine the effects of the etching process on the device properties. The characteristics of the Pseudo-MOS was not changed greatly in the case of thick SOI film which was 205 nm. However the characteristics of the device was dependent on etching process in the case of less than 100 nm thick SOI film. The sub 100nm SOI was obtained by thinning the silicon film of standard thick SOI. The thickness of SOI film was varied from 88 nm to 44 nm by chemical etching. The etching process effects on the properties of pseudo-MOSFET characteristics, such as mobility, turn-on voltage, and drain current transient. The etching process dependency is greater in the thinner SOI and related to original SOI wafer quality.

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Three-dimensional numerical simulation for the prediction of product shape in sheet casting process

  • Chae, Kyung-Sun;Lee, Mi-Hye;Lee, Seong-Jae;Lee, Seung-Jong
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2000
  • Prediction of the product shape in sheet casting process is performed from the numerical simulation. A three-dimensional finite element method is used to investigate the flow behavior and to examine the effects of processing conditions on the sheet produced. Effects of inertia, gravity, surface tension and non-Newtonian viscosity on the thickness profile of the sheet are considered since the edge bead and the flow patterns in the chill roll region have great influence on the quality of the products. In the numerical simulation with free surface flows, the spine method is adopted to update the free surface, and the force-free boundary condition is imposed along the take-up plane to avoid severe singularity problems existing at the take-up plane. From the numerical results of steady isothermal flows of a generalized Newtonian fluid, it is shown that the draw ratio plays a major role in predicting the shape of the final sheet produced and the surface tension has considerable effect on the bead thickness ratio and the bead width fraction, while shear-thinning and/or tension-thickening viscosity affect the degree of neck-in.

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Electrical Characterization of Nano SOI Wafer by Pseudo MOSFET (Pseudo MOSFET을 이용한 Nano SOI 웨이퍼의 전기적 특성분석)

  • Bae, Young-Ho;Kim, Byoung-Gil;Kwon, Kyung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.1075-1079
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    • 2005
  • The Pseudo MOSFET measurements technique has been used for the electrical characterization of the nano SOI wafer. Silicon islands for the Pseudo MOSFET measurements were fabricated by selective etching of surface silicon film with dry or wet etching to examine the effects of the etching process on the device properties. The characteristics of the Pseudo MOSFET were not changed greatly in the case of thick SOI film which was 205 nm. However the characteristics of the device were dependent on etching process in the case of less than 100 nm thick SOI film. The sub 100 nm SOI was obtained by thinning the silicon film of standard thick SOI wafer. The thickness of SOI film was varied from 88 nm to 44 nm by chemical etching. The etching process effects on the properties of pseudo MOSFET characteristics, such as mobility, turn-on voltage, and drain current transient. The etching Process dependency is greater in the thinner SOI wafer.

Analytic Factor Effects Analysis of Bending Process of Double Pipe for Tube-Hydroforming using Experimental Design (실험계획법을 이용한 튜브 하이드로 포밍용 이중관 벤딩 공정의 해석적 요인 효과 분석)

  • Shim, D.S.;Jung, C.G.;Seong, D.Y.;Yang, D.Y.;Park, S.H.;Kim, K.H.;Choi, H.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2007
  • This paper covers finite element simulations to evaluate the bending limit of double pipe for tube-hydroforming. The tube-hydroforming process starts with a straight precut tube. The tube is often prebent in a rotary draw bending machine to fit the hydroforming tool. During the bending the tube undergoes significant deformation. So forming defects such as wrinkling, thinning and flattening are generated in the tube. Consequently we analyzed the effect of process parameters in rotary draw bending process and searched the optimized combination of process parameters to minimize the forming defects using orthogonal arrays. The characteristic to evaluate the effects of the process parameters is the bending angle which wrinkling is generated, we define the bending angle at that time as bending limit. Of many process parameters, the process parameters of the bending process such as gab between inner and outer tube, boosting force, dimensions of mandrel were analyzed. And we observed the deformation modes of bent double pipe at specific bending angle in each parameter combination.

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