• Title/Summary/Keyword: economy model

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Infrastructure Integration, Poverty, and Inequality in Developing Countries: A Case Study of BRI Transport in the Lao PDR

  • Vanxay Sayavong
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.305-336
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    • 2022
  • This study applied the macro-micro simulation model (i.e., what-if analysis) to investigate the impact of transport related to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on poverty and income inequality in Laos. We selected Laos as a case study of a developing country. We used the standard GTAP model with the GTAP database (version 10) for the macrosimulation, whereas we used the household model with the latest Lao household data from 2019 for the microsimulation. Our findings revealed that the output of the Lao economy was anticipated to increase by up to 0.3%, while the poverty rate was anticipated to decline from 17.0% to 15.7%. However, there would be winners and losers in industries and groups of households in different areas. In particular, rich households with a comparative socioeconomic advantage, such as in education, engagement in nonfarm business, and infrastructure access, would mostly gain benefits; consequently, this would lead to higher inequality in Laos. Therefore, the inequality index (i.e., the Gini coefficient) would increase from 41.2 to 60.1. After a simulation of BRI transport, we also found that some nonpoor households, which are mainly associated with farm activities and lower educational levels, would fall into poverty.

A Study on the Metaverse Framework Security Service (메타버스 서비스를 위한 보안 모델 연구 )

  • Do-Eun Cho
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.82-90
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    • 2022
  • emerging. And it shows numerous possibilities and tremendous potentials in the virtual world. This metaverse is not limited to one type, but it is evolving and developing into a service in the form of a virtual convergence economy by breaking down boundaries. As a result, various security issues in metaverse are emerging. Metaverse performs all activities in the virtual space, so various problems such as privacy infringement, virtual asset theft, or fraud can occur. In this paper, a service security model is proposed to provide safe services on metaverse. To this end, we analyze security threats in the metaverse framework and propose a security service model to prevent threats. By evaluating the security of the proposed model, it was shown that safe services are effectively possible on the metaverse.

Developing a common socio-hydrological model based on the value-belief-norm theory

  • Akshita krithi Sobbhun;Hanseok Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.431-431
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    • 2023
  • In recent decades, the socio-hydrology community has developed several socio-hydrological frameworks to understand the complexity of the coupled human-water system. Although there have been efforts to relate sociology and hydrology, there still have been some insights that remain debatable. As for this study, the Value-belief-norm theory was used to represent the human behavior in order to connect the human-water system. The theoretical framework of values, beliefs and norms was developed to understand the human culture towards the environment. In addition to the theory, norms are legislation of human behavior in the society while the values are the guiding principle to motivate beliefs and norms. The overview of this study implied on developing a socio-hydrological model consisting of the four systems defined as hydrology, socio-economy, technology and institutional. The interconnectors between the four systems are the key variables and parameters representing a module namely the causal loop diagram. Moreover, water quality, size of population, infrastructure capacity and norms are the key variables to connect the four systems. The developed model will be applied to Han River to represent the coevolutionary of the dynamics of human-water systems.

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The Effect of Inaccurate Quality Signaling under Information Asymmetry

  • Seung Huh
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.231-246
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study attempts to provide a new theoretical perspective on the quality signaling and its impact on a market under information asymmetry, focusing on how the accuracy and the cost of quality signaling affect sellers' and buyers' profit, suggesting appropriate designs of quality signaling methods which mitigates information asymmetry. Design/methodology/approach - In order to examine the effect of quality signaling on strategic interactions within the market, we establish an analytic model where market outcomes are determined by seller's quality claim and price, and buyers are risk-neutral. By investigating this analytic model through relevant game trees, we find the subgame perfect Nash equilibria of the market and predict related market outcomes based on sellers' quality signaling strategy. Findings - Our analytic model shows counterintuitive results that seller profit will be the lowest with inaccurate quality signaling and the highest with no quality signaling, mostly due to the certification cost. Consequently, sellers should proceed with caution if the quality signaling is less than accurate, as it may backfire. We believe that this is due to the fact that the inaccuracy of quality signaling causes some confusion and uncertainty in both sellers and buyers' decision to maximize profit, making it hard for sellers to predict buyers' behavior. Research implications or Originality - Although the sources and types of quality signaling errors have been investigated in the literature, there has not been satisfactory understanding regarding how inaccuracy of quality certification affects specific market outcomes. We expect that our theoretical model would provide important implications on how to utilize quality signaling to solve adverse selection issues in markets under information asymmetry.

Service Model Standardization of Risk Mitigation on Livestock Pandemic based on Network (네트워크 기반에서 가축 유행병 위기 완화 서비스 모델 표준화)

  • Kim, Dong Il;Chung, Hee Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.450-452
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we present a standard model of livestock epidemic service in the field of smart livestock, which is emerging as an important issue in smart agriculture. By using the network to identify the global livestock epidemic disease risk and provide relevant models to service users, it is expected that it will actually provide economic benefits to livestock owners and ultimately help the national livestock industry economy. In order to apply the standard livestock epidemic service standard model and the livestock infectious disease crisis mitigation standard model sharing method that is presented in conjunction with ICT to the standards in the domestic and international agricultural and livestock industries in the future, continuous research will be carried out.

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Empirical Investigation of User Behavior for Financial Mydata: The Moderating Effects of Organizational Information Transparency and Data Security Policy (금융마이데이터 사용자 행동에 관한 실증 연구: 기관정보투명성, 데이터 보안정책의 조절효과)

  • Sohn, Chang Yong;Park, Hyun Sun;Kim, Sang Hyun
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.85-116
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    • 2023
  • Purpose The importance of data as a key resource of the intelligence revolution is being highlighted, among all those phenomena MyData is attracting attention as a key concept by organizations and individuals that eventually leads the data economy. In this regard, this study was started to contribute to the successful settlement and continuous growth of the domestic MyData industry, which has just entered the system. Design/methodology/approach To develop and test all proposed casual relationships within the research model, we used the Value-Attitude-Behavior(VAB) model as a basic framework. A total of 385 copies were used for the final analysis, and for SPSS 25.0, MS-Excel 2016, and AMOS 24.0 to summarize respondent demographic characteristics, measurement model, and structural model. Findings Findings show that all proposed hypotheses were supported with the exception of the moderating effect of organizational information transparency between data controllability and perceived value, and between data controllability and attitude toward MyData service.

International Diesel Price Prediction Model based on Machine Learning with Global Economic Indicators (세계 경제 지표를 활용한 머신러닝 기반 국제 경유 가격 예측 모델 개발)

  • A-Rin Choi;Min Seo Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 2023
  • International diesel prices play a crucial role in various sectors such as industry, transportation, and energy production, exerting a significant impact on the global economy and international trade. In particular, an increase in international diesel prices can burden consumers and potentially lead to inflation. However, previous studies have primarily focused on gasoline. Therefore, this study aims to propose an international diesel price prediction model. To achieve this goal, we utilize various global economic indicators and train a linear regression model, which is one of the machine learning methodologies. This model clearly identifies the relationship between global economic indicators and international diesel prices while providing highly accurate predictions. It is expected to aid in understanding overall economic trends including market changes.

An Experimental Study on the Aerodynamic Characteristics of a Streamline-designed High-speed Bus (유선형 고속주행 버스의 공력특성에 관한 실험 연구)

  • Kim, Chul-Ho;Lee, Seung-Hyun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.198-204
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    • 2016
  • In this study, a wind tunnel test was conducted to measure the aerodynamic characteristics of a streamline-designed high-speed bus with the change of wind direction and speed and the result is compared with the aerodynamic performance of a commercialized high-speed bus model (Model-0) manufactured by Zyle Daewoo Bus Corp. Aerodynamic performance of the existing rear-spoiler was tested to prove its aerodynamic effect on the test model bus. From the study, it was found that 24.6 % of the total drag of the original bus model (Model-0) was reduced on the streamline-designed model bus(model-1) without the rear-spoiler but only 14.3 % of the total drag was reduced with the spoiler on the streamlined model bus. It means that the rear spoiler does not work properly with the streamlined model bus (model-1) and should be noted that an optimum design of a rear-spoiler of a vehicle is important to reduce the induced pressure drag and increase the driving stability of a vehicle against yaw motion. The experimental outcome was also compared to the previous numerical research result to evaluate the reliability of the numerical algorithm of the aerodynamic performance analysis of a vehicle. The error rate (%) of the numerical result to the experimental output is about 5.4 % and it is due to the simplified body configuration of the numerical model bus. The drag increases at the higher yaw angle because the transparent frontal area of the model vehicle increases and the downward force increases with the yaw angle as well. It has a positive effect to the driving stability of the vehicle but the moderated downward force should be kept for the fuel economy of a vehicle.

The Determinants of FDI Inflow after Reform-Opening of China (중국에서 개혁·개방이후 FDI유입에 영향을 미치는 요인들)

  • Choi, Won-Ick;Han, Jong-Soo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.177-198
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    • 2016
  • China has retained economic growth rate of average 9% for more than ten years recently after China introduced capitalistic market economy system in 1979 by Deng Xiaoping. China has attracted foreign direct investment for a long time because it has retained very high economic growth rate, low labor cost, and various policies for foreign investors. This paper tries to analyse the determinants of foreign direct investment inflow after reform-opening of China with empirical analysis methods utilizing each province·city's specific characteristics by using the panel data from 1985 to 2013. For the empirical analysis we use random effect model, fixed effect model, pooled OLS, and random coefficient model. The results by pooled OLS and random coefficient model are presented for the comparison with the main results in the process of research. The research shows the results by fixed effect model are better than those by random effect model after doing Hausman's test. The results shows that GRDP, capital stock, and telecommunication exert a positive relationship with foreign direct investment, while express way variable exerts a negative one. China's education level surprisingly does not attract foreign direct investment even though it is not at a critical level. Therefore, the Chinese government should try to increase national income level as it symbolizes market size; encourage domestic investment; and construct high quality telecommunication infrastructure.

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Revisiting the trilemma of modern welfare states - Application of the fuzzy-set ideal type analysis - (복지국가 트릴레마 양상의 변화 - 퍼지셋 이상형 분석의 적용 -)

  • Shin, Dong-Myeon;Choi, Young Jun
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.119-147
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    • 2012
  • This paper aims to explore whether the trilemma of welfare states has been a valid argument about the recent change of welfare states. Based on fuzzy-set ideal type analysis of data from seventeen OECD countries, it examines that welfare states have achieved three core policy objectives -income equality, employment growth and fiscal discipline- in the service economy during the period between 1981 and 2010. The evidence presented in this paper does not support the trilemma of the service economy where only two goals can be pursued successfully at one time, at a cost of the other remained goal. The trilemma has been effective only to the countries in liberal welfare regime where employment growth and fiscal discipline has been achieved at a cost of higher levels of income equality. However, conservative welfare-state regimes have experienced the deterioration of income equality and fiscal restraint after the mid 1980s and it seems that they have diverged into various models. In the countries of the social democratic welfare regime, the goals of equality and employment have been achieved simultaneously together with fiscal discipline since the early 2000s. While they are classified as the perfect model in the research, Southern European welfare states including Greece and Italy, classified as 'the crisis model', have not performed well in all the three aspects. On the evidence presented in this paper, it can be said that the trilemma of welfare states in the service economy is not effective to explain the policy goals of welfare state as well as the result of redistributive politics in the service economy.