• 제목/요약/키워드: economic variables

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수산기업의 부실화 요인과 그 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry)

  • 장창익;이윤원;홍재범
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut - down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t - test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non - distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990 - 1993), period 2(1994 - 1997), period 3(1998 - 2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub - samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub - sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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청소년 소비자의 물질주의 가치와 소비지향적 태도가 과시소비성향에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Materialism Value and Consumption Oriented Attitueds on the Propensity of Conspicuous Consumption of Adolescent Consumers)

  • 서정희
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.131-144
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    • 1998
  • This study attempts to analyze the propensity for conspicuous consumption of the adolescent consumers and related variables such as socio-economic variables, consumer experience, materialism and consumption-oriented attitudes to provide a basis for the development of consumer education program. The survey of this research was conducted by means of self admistered questionnaire with 788 adolescent consumers attending middle and high school located in Ulsan. The results of this research were as follows: 1) The average level of the propensity for conspicuous consumption was a little high median point. This implies that consumer education is necessary for the adolescent consumer in order to reduce the level of conspicuous consumption. 2) The adolescent consumers' propensity for conspicuous consumption varies significantly according to the socio-economic variables such as sex, grade, the allowance interval, the amount of allowance, the mother's education and the subjective level of household consumption. 3) The propensity for conspicuous consumption is positively correlated with materialism and the consumption-oriented attitudes. The consumer experience is positively correlated with materialism and not significantly correlated with the propensity for conspicuous consumption and the consumption-oriented attitudes. Materialism is positively correlated with the consumption-oriented attitudes. 4) According to the results of the regression analysis examining the influences of variables affecting the propensity for conspicuous consumption, the relative importance of the variables are in the order of; materialism, the consumption-oriented attitudes, sex and the amount of allowance. These independent variables explains 49.3% of the total variance about the propensity for conspicuous consumption.

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유어낚시인구의 사회경제학적 특성과 출조빈도함수의 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Socio-economic Characteristics of the Angler Population and the Estimation of A Fishing Frequency Function)

  • 박철형
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.81-101
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    • 2005
  • This article is to estimate the fishing frequency function in Korean recreational fishery with respect to socio-economic characteristics of anglers. First, the study described the characteristics of the entire angler population on the view points of 9 socio-economic variables. And then, the study divided the total angler population into three groups of in-land, sea, and mixed angler populations in order to investigate the differences in their characteristics. The study could confirm the existence of differences in regions, size of regions, and educational levels between the in - land and the sea angler populations by testing heterogeneity in the frequency table. The fishing frequency function is estimated using Poisson regression model in order to accomodate the count data(non-negative discrete random variable) aspects of the fishing frequency. However, the model specification error is found due to overdispersion of data. The model exhibits the lack of goodness of fit. The negative binomial regression model is adopted to cure the overdispersion of the data as an alternative estimation methodology. Finally, the study can confirm overdispersion does not exist in the model any more and the goodness of fit improved significantly to the reasonable level. The results of estimation of fishing frequency population modeled by the negative binomial regression models are following. The three variables of region, sex, and education have effects on the decision making process of fishing frequency in the case of in-land recreation fishery. On the other hand, the three variables of sex, age, and marriage status do the same job in the case of sea angler population. Among the left-over variables, both income and use of Internet variables now affect on the process in mixed angler population. Finally, the results of whole angler population show that all of the previous variables are proven to be statistically significant due to the summation of data with all three sub-groups of angler population.

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기업가적 행동과 환경이 국가 경제성장에 미치는 영향 - 무역과 혁신의 조절효과를 중심으로 - (Impact of Entrepreneurial Behavior and Environment on Economic Growth based on Country Data - Focusing on Moderating Effect of Trade and Innovation -)

  • 이예림;김학민
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.41-59
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    • 2016
  • 한 국가의 기업가정신이 경제성장에 기여하는 영향요인으로 주목받고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구는 기업가정신을 기업가적 행동과 환경으로 세분화하여 이들이 국가의 경제성장에 미치는 영향에 대하여 분석하고자 하였다. 기존 연구에서는 기업가정신이라는 변수를 중심으로 경제성장과의 관계성을 분석하였다면, 본 연구에서는 기업가적 활동과 기업가적 환경이라는 변수를 이용하여 극가들의 경제성장에 미치는 영향을 설명하고자 하였다. 더 나아가, 무역과 혁신이 제시된 독렵변수들과 경제성과와의 관계에서 조절적 역할을 수행하는 지를 검증하고자 하였다. GEM의 Adult Population Survey(APS)와 National Expert Survey(NES), World bank에서 데이터를 수집하여 패널분석을 실시한 결과, 기업가적 행동과 기업가 환경요인은 모두 혹은 부분적으로 국가별 경제성장에 유의한 정의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 기회추구형 창업활동이 경제성장에 정의 영향을 주는 것으로 나타나 창업활동의 질적인 측면이 경제성장의 성과로 이어지는데 중요한 변수임을 도출하였다. 또한, 정부 창업 지원프로그램과 경제성장의 관계에 대하여 무역과 혁신이 유의하게 조절효과를 갖는 것을 확인하였으며, 본 연구 결과에 따른 시사점에 대하여 논의하였다.

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도시 주부의 스트레스 인지수준 및 적응 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Level of Stress Recognition of Urban Housewife and the Method of Coping to Stress)

  • 장병옥;이정우
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 1986
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between the level of stress recognition of urban housewife and the method of coping, and to explore bow these factors are influenced by socio-demographic variables such as the age of housewife, level of education, status of employment, number of children, durations of marriage, types of family, religion and socio-economic status. The research was conducted on 431 housewives in Seoul in August, 1985. As for the measurement of the instrument, 48 item questionnaire made by investigator was used. The questionnaire was based upon modified and upplemented Holme & Rahe's SRRS and Bell's 18-item Questionnaire to be appropriate to Korean culture. Data were analyzed by percentage, frequency and mean, and verified significant difference by ANOVA and performed Spearman's correlation coefficient. The results of this study are as follows; 1) There is some similarity in distribution of the level of stress recognition of urban housewife. 2) the level of education and the durations of marriage have influence upon the level of stress recognition of urban housewife. In each area, there are differences among groups : age, level of education, durations of marriage, number of children and types of family in the area of education ; age, status of employment, and durations of marriage in the area of health; level of education, durations of marriage, number of children and socio-economic status in the area of finance; status of employment in the area of household work. 3) There are several methods in the method of coping to stress of housewife and the score of long-term coping method appears higher than that of short-term. 4) The level of education, number of children, religion and socio-economic status were variables to have influence on the method level of education, religion and socio- economic status were variables to have influence and in the long-term coping method level of education, number of children, religion, and socio-economic status were to have influence. 5) There is very low positive correlation between the level of stress recognition of urban housewife and the method of coping to stress( ρ=.10, P<.05). 6)In the relation between several variables in socio-demographic variables and the method to coping to stress, the lower the level of stress recognition there are negative correlation (ρ=-.28, P<.01) between religion and the method of coping and also negative correlation (ρ=-.16, P<.05) between number of children and the method of coping. There are positive correlation between socio-economic status and the method of coping.

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도시주부의 스트레스와 가정관리 행동유형과의 관계 (The Relationship of urban Homemaker's Stress and Home Management Behavioral patterns)

  • 이안나;신효식;우희정
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.137-153
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    • 1991
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationships between the homemaker's stress and their home management behavioral patterns in Money and Time focusing on the Morphogenic & Morphostatic. This research aimed to ' 1) Identify the overall tendency of homemaker's stress & home management behavioral patterns 2) Find out if socio-demographic variables(ie. age of homemakers, level of education, duration of marriage, umber of children, homemaker's employment, socioeconomic status) have significant effects on homemaker's stress and their home management behavioral patterns, 3)Identify the correlation between homemakers' stress and home management behavioral patterns. 4) Find out variables which have independently significant effect on home management behavioral patterns. For these purpose, this research conducted a survey by using questionnaire developed by former researchers. The subjects of this study are 500 homemakers living in Kwangju who have at least one child. The data analyzed occording to frequency, percentage, mean , one-way ANOVA, Duncan's multiple range test. Pearson's correlation and multiple regression. The main findings are as follows; 1) General tendency of the stress level percepted by the homemakers is relatively low 2) socio-demographic variables have significant effects on the stress of homemakers. Among them only homemaker's age. the number of children and socio-economic status have influe d on the stress of urban homemakers. In each area, there are differences among groups; homemaker's age, durations of marriage, number of children in the area of family; age, number of children, socio-economic status in th area of health; age. durations of marriage. number of children, socio-economic status in the area of finance; socio-economic status in the area of household work. 3) General tendency of homemakers behavioral patterns is some what morphostatic. 4)socio-demographic variables have significant effects on the behavioral patterns of home management, a)Homemaker's age, the level of education, socio-economic status is a variable to have influences on home management behavioral patterns of the Money. b)The age homemakers is a variable to have influences on home management behavioral patterns of the time. c)The age of homemakers, duration of marriage is a variable to have influences on the home management behavioral patters of the resources. 5)There are positive relationship between homemaker's stress and home management behavioral patterns . The higher level of stress , the more morphogenic home management behavioral patterns . 6)Influential variables related to management behavioral patterns are homemaker's age, the level of stress, socio-economic status.

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구조방정식모형(SEM)을 이용한 서울시 도로망과 사회.경제적 지표의 인과관계 변화분석 (An Analysis of the Changes in the Cause-and-Effect Relationships between Socio-Economic Indicators and the Road Network of Seoul Using Structural Equation Model)

  • 김정희
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.797-812
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 서울시를 대상으로 1977~2006년까지의 도로망 패턴이 인구 산업 토지이용 등의 사회 경제적 인자와 어떠한 인과관계가 있는지에 대해 분석해 보았다. 분석방법으로는 다수의 독립변수와 종속변수간의 인과성을 동시 추정할 수 있는 구조방정식모형을 사용하였다. 이에 사용되는 측정변수로는 인구 산업 지가 토지이용 도로관련 변수 등이 선정되었으며, 탐색적 인자분석을 실시하여 변수군을 분류하였다. 구조방정식모형을 통해 인과관계를 분석한 결과, 1980년대를 전 후로 모형의 구조가 변형되는 것으로 분석되었다. 1970년대와 1980년대에는 전반적으로 인구, 산업, 토지이용 등의 사회 경제적 지표가 도로망의 형성에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 산업의 발달이 도로망의 형성에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 1990년대에 들어와 도로가 사회 경제적 인자에 미치는 영향의 모형이 그 반대의 경우보다 인과관계를 설명하는데 더 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 이 시기에는 도로관련 인자가 지가형성과 산업발달에 가장 많은 영향을 미치며, 이러한 추세는 2006년에도 유사하게 나타났다.

경제적 지위 측정값으로의 주택자산의 적용 가능성과 한계: 수도권 지역의 아파트 거주자를 중심으로 (The Applicability and Limits of Housing Wealth as the Measure of Socioeconomic Status)

  • 이명진
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2007
  • 이 연구는 사회조사에서 개인의 경제적 지위 측정값으로 주택자산의 적용 가능성을 알아 보았다. 이를 위하여 주택자산을 수입이나 주관적 계층평가처럼 기존에 널리 사용되고 있는 경제적 지위 측정값들과 비교하였다. 아울러 이러한 경제적 지위 측정값들과 다른 사회적 변수와의 관계를 살펴봄으로써 기존 변수와 주택자산의 유용성을 비교해 보고자 한다. 이를 위하여 전국의 3,000여 가구를 대상으로 조사된 2005년 전국가족실태조사 중에서 수도권 아파트 거주자 자료와 국민은행의 아파트 시세 자료를 사용하였다. 자료의 제한점에도 불구하고, 이 연구는 몇 가지 시사점을 제시하고 있다. 첫째, 다른 경제적 지위 측정값들과 분포나 다른 변수와의 관계에서 아파트 자산은 상이한 결과를 보였다. 자료수집이라는 측면만을 고려하여 경제적 지위를 측정하는 것은 연구자의 의도와 다른 결과를 산출할 수도 있다는 점을 보여 주고 있다. 둘째, 불완전하지만 아파트 시세 같은 보다 객관적인 지표의 활용 가능성을 적극적으로 검토할 필요가 있다. 최근에 부동산 자산에서 계층별 격차가 더 커지고 있다는 점을 고려할 때, 보다 객관적인 자료가 사회조사에서 적용된다면, 연구자의 의도를 보다 정확하게 반영할 수 있는 한 가지 방법이 될 것이다.

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거시경제변수가 S&P 500 선물지수에 어떤 영향을 미치는가? (How Does Economic News Affect S&P 500 Index Futures?)

  • 소영일;고종문;최원근
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.341-357
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    • 1996
  • Some empirical studies have shown that asset prices respond to announcements of economic news, however, others also have found little evidence. This study assesses how market participants of the S&P 500 Index Futures reacted to the U.S. economic news announcements. For this purpose, using a GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model, we use several U.S. news variables, its each surprise component and interest rates. We find that some economic news variables affected significantly on the S&P 500 Index Futures. In other words, we find that weekend variable, lagged volatility, and surprise component of trade deficit increased level of volatility. However, interest rate, M1, unemployment announcements caused the variance of the S&P 500 Index Futures to reduce, and each of the surprise component of M1 and trade deficit increased it. The result suggests that resolution of uncertainty, through economic news announcement, while, in some cases, causes market participants to reduce their forecast of volatility, a large difference between the market's forecast and the realization of the series causes the volatility to increase.

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수입수산물의 경제적 민감도분석에 관한 연구 (An Analysis of the Economic Sensitivity of Imported Fishery Products)

  • 박철형;장영수
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.78-89
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    • 2008
  • This study is intended to analyse the economic sensitivity of imported fishery products due to decrease in or elimination of tariff rates through the progress of free trade. Forty-seven species of fishes were selected for this study on the basis of the HS Code. The substitution and price effects were calculated using the price elasticities of both domestic and imported demands for fishery products under the assumption of 5% decrease in a tariff rate. Seven main economic variables were extracted from the fishery industry which can mediate the substitution and price effects. A multiple regression analysis was conducted to obtain the influence weights of these main economic variables on both effects. The order of sensitivity of the fishes was calculated using these weights. The 47 fish species were classified into four groups according to their sensitivity based on the means and the standard deviations of their total scores on seven main economic considerations. Nine fish species such as squids, hair tails, shellfishes, and crabs belonged to the hyper-sensitive group, whereas 15 fishes such as eels, sea breams, and sea weeds belonged to the sensitive group. Twelve species including common sea basses, cods, and abalones were among the less-sensitive group, and 11 species including skate rays and mud fishes comprised the non-sensitive group.