• 제목/요약/키워드: economic uncertainty

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노인직업능력개발을 위한 평생교육 프로그램 개발 방향 탐색 (Exploring Development Directions of Lifelong Educational Program for Cultivating Vocational Competence of Older Adult)

  • 김정민
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.728-739
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    • 2017
  • 이 연구는 노인계층의 재정적 자립과 지속적 사회생활을 통해 그들이 주체적 삶을 살도록 하기 위해서는 그들의 직업능력개발이 필요하다고 보고, 이를 지원하기 위한 직업능력개발 평생교육프로그램의 지향 방향을 제안하고자 하는 목적을 가지고 시행되었다. 이 연구에서는 노인계층의 직업능력개발 평생교육프로그램과 일자리 간 연계가, 노인들이 안정적인 일자확보와 더불어 고령화로 인한 사회적 문제 해결을 위해 중요하게 확인되어야 할 것으로 보고, 이에 대한 탐색을 통해 향후 프로그램이 지향해야 할 방향을 제시하고자 하였다. 분석결과, 노인의 일자리 기회가 비숙련직 중심으로 열려있으므로 표준화된 정규 편성된 프로그램과 연계되지 못하였고, 이는 프로그램의 전문성 및 지속성의 부족으로 인한 고용불안으로 이어졌다. 또한 노년층의 직업능력개발이 경제활동 목적 이상의 의미를 가진다는 것에 대한 사회적 합의가 부족하여, 직업능력개발 관련 프로그램들이 취업과 직접 연계되지 않고 있었다. 따라서 본 연구는 향후 노인의 신체적 사회적 문제를 공감할 수 있는 기회를 줄 연계프로그램을 확대하고, 노인직업능력개발을 위한 프로그램을 확대 및 표준화하여 프로그램의 전문성 및 지속성을 확보해야 한다고 보았다. 이를 통해 노인의 고용가능성을 향상시킬 수 있는 직업능력개발 평생교육프로그램을 관리 지원하여 교육기관과 일자리 간 연계가 이뤄지도록 해야 할 것이다.

기술개발 요인이 혁신성과에 미치는 영향에 대한 기술정책적 과제 (Technology Policy Issues on the Effect of Technology Development Factor on Innovation Performance)

  • 강석민;김태운
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.505-521
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 대구 성서 3차 산업단지의 중소기업들을 대상으로 기술개발요인이 기업의 혁신성과에 미치는 영향을 기업특성의 측면에서 실증적으로 분석하고, 기술정책 측면에서의 시사점을 제안하였다. 기술개발요인을 인력, 자금 등의 기반적 요인과 외부 협력 등의 활동적 요인으로 구분하여 독립변수로 사용하였다. 연구의 결과에 따르면, 타기업 및 대학/연구기관과의 활동적 요인은 혁신성과에 유의적으로 긍정적인 영향을 미치고 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 이러한 영향은 기업규모가 평균보다 큰 기업군을 연구대상으로 간주하였을 때 나타났다. 또한 평균보다 큰 기업규모를 보유한 기업은 불확실한 경영환경에서 활동적 요인이 기업의 혁신성과를 보다 향상시키는 중요한 역할을 제공하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과에 따라 기술개발정책은 인력, 장비 등 기반적 요인의 확충보다는 기업의 협력활동을 촉진시키는데 보다 초점을 두고 추진할 필요가 있으며, 정책 추진시 기업의 규모 등 특성에 따라 상이한 접근을 고려할 필요가 있다고 할 수 있다.

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기온효과를 고려한 건설업생산지수 예측모델 개발 (A Development of Construction Industry Production Index(CIPI) with Temperature Effects)

  • 김석종;김현우;진경호;장한익
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2013
  • 1990년대 이후 국가경제에서 미치는 영향이 감소 추세에 들어선 건설업은 호황과 불황을 넘나들고 있다. 건설업의 경기변동이 심할수록 경기예측은 어려워지며, 불확실한 예측의 피해는 기업과 건설 종사자들이 직접적으로 받게 되므로 건설경기를 예측하는 것은 매우 어려우면서 중요한 일이다. 본 연구에서는 건설경기를 나타내는 지표 중 하나인 건설업생산지수를 GDP와 기온효과를 이용하여 실질소득과 야외활동이 많은 건설업의 특성에 따라 기온효과를 반영한 공급측면에서의 단기 건설 경기예측 모형을 제시하였다. 분석결과, 건설경기는 뚜렷한 기온효과가 있으며 GDP에도 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 과정을 통해 입증된 건설경기 예측모델을 기반으로 GDP예상증가율 3.5%와 2.4%일 때, 두 가지 시나리오로 2013년도 건설업생산지수를 예측하였다. 본 연구결과는 건설업의 경기를 판단하는 지표 중 하나로 활용 가능할 것이며, 향후 기후변화가 건설업에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구의 초석이 될 것이다.

동아시아 무역네트워크의 발전에 따른 스미트로닉스의 SCM 구축에 관한 사례연구 (A Case Study on the SCM Implementation of Sumitronics According to the Development of East Asian Trade Network)

  • 박철주;한능호
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제47권
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    • pp.299-318
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    • 2010
  • International trade environment is rapidly changing. Developing all economic activities included in the value chain of economy out of a particular country or region in the trends where globalization is spreading all over the world, 'a borderless world' has been created and become common throughout the world. Especially, in case of East Asian region, becoming the factory of the world, China has become a center of the world's economic activities in recent years; and the increase of regional investment among East Asian countries and trade expansion focused on China has been the factor of promoting the formulation of a regional trade network. SCM is an efficient way of adaptation to the complexity or uncertainty on the scene through the achievement of a sustainable competitive advantage by integrating the activities of improving the relationships in the supply chain. In this study, Sumitronics, a Japanese company, was studied as a case of the company who had implemented SCM effectively and efficiently utilizing the East Asian trade network. Not being engaged in the manufacturing processes in the headquarter, Sumitronics has implemented SCM which is capable of maximizing the responsiveness upon the requirements of customers by effective information sharing. In particular, the profits of the company have been maximized through SCM by its headquarter in Japan, which is capable of managing each base in East Asia as China and Southeast Asia, etc. Korean companies may also be able to create a new source of profit by dint of establishing SCM as such. The results of this case study has revealed that the implementation of an effective business model is the key of the successful implementation of SCM.

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부산시 물류창고업의 신뢰형성 수준과 연계의 공간적 특성 (Trust Building Level and Linkage's Spatial Characteristics on Logistics & Storage Industry in the City of Busan)

  • 성신제;이희열
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.454-476
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 부산시 물류창고업의 신뢰형성 수준과 연계의 공간적 특성 간의 관계를 밝히고자 하였으며, 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 신뢰형성 요인 중 '장기적 반복적 상호작용', '정보공유와 호혜성', '상호의존과 자산전용성'은 신뢰형성이 높은 수준인 미시적 신뢰, '근접성'과'불확실성'은 중간 수준인 중시적 신뢰, 그리고 '기업의 문화 및 규범과 공식적 제도'는 낮은 수준인 거시적 신뢰에 상대적으로 많은 영향을 미친다. 둘째, 거시적 신뢰, 중시적 신뢰, 미시적 신뢰 모두 공간적 근접성이 매우 큰 국지적 범위에서 대부분 형성되고, 신뢰형성 수준이 높을수록 연계의 공간적 범위는 국가적 범위, 국제적 범위로 확대된다. 셋째, 이러한 현상은 구매연계보다 판매연계에서, 제공하는 서비스 영역이 클수록, 수직적 연계보다 수평적 연계에서, 기업 간 관계가 발전할수록, 아웃소싱보다 공급사슬관리로 업무가 진행될 때 더욱 뚜렷하게 나타난다.

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산업용 천연가스 수요관리 프로그램 최적화를 위한 동태적 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 (A Study on the 'Extended' DSM Programs in Korean LNG Market)

  • 장한수;최기련
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.211-231
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    • 2002
  • This paper summarizes the results of a study that assess how a demand side management (DSM) system addresses key economic and environmental challenges facing in the Korean natural gas sector considering; ${\bullet}$ high discrepancies of seasonal consumption volume and of load factor in unmatured domestic LNG market, ${\bullet}$ unfavorable and volatile international LNG market, imposing with the contestable "take-or-pay" contract terms, ${\bullet}$ low profile of LNG and existence of market barriers against an optimal fuel mix status in the industrial energy sector. A particular focus of this study is to establish an 'extended' DSM system in the unmatured gas market, especially in industry sector, that could play a key role to assure an optimum fuel mix scheme. Under the concept of 'extended' DSM, a system dynamics modeling approach has been introduced to explore the option to maximize economic benefits in terms of the national energy system optimization, entailing different ways of commitments accounting for different DSM measures and time delay scenarios. The study concludes that policy options exist that can reduce inefficiencies in gas industry and end-use system at no net costs to national economy. The most scenarios find that, by the year 2015, it is possible to develop a substantial potential of increased industrial gas end-uses under more reliable and stable load patterns. Assessment of sensitivity analysis suggests that time delay factor, in formulating DSM scenarios, plays a key role to overcome various market barriers in domestic LNG market and provides a strong justification for the policy portfolios 'just in time' (time accurateness), which eventually contribute to establish an optimum fuel mix strategy. The study indicates also the needs of advanced studies based on SD approach to articulate uncertainty in unmatured energy market analysis, including gas.

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국내 외식 프랜차이즈 기업의 중국 시장진출 리스크와 회피전략 연구 (A Study on the Risks and Avoidance Strategies of Franchise Food Companies to Entry Chinese Market)

  • 장광희
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2019
  • The after China's reform and opening up, the country has been facing the era of material abundance based on its economic power. The Chinese food industry has been growing along with economic growth, high quality, and diversified customer needs. Also, as Chinese people have strong attachment to food, many food franchise companies have been also growing rapidly. As the Chinese government encourages and supports the field of food franchises, so that the quality and quantity of the Chinese restaurant industry have been improved largely. Meanwhile with the support of the Korean government to enter the overseas market, the number of Korean franchise companies are increasing to operate their business in China. Under the influence of Chinese food industrial climate, Korean companies are also in search of global market advancement to China. However, the risks in China are unexpectable, which means that the recent move of China is literally showing rugby action, criticism of operating businesses in China has been climbed up and the domestic SMEs are seriously considering whether to stay or leave. This study investigates the environmental risks of Chinese enterprises, in which the food franchise companies could experience, to manage any risks from entering the Chinese market with uncertainty. Through SWOT analysis and cases, strategies to avoid the risks are suggested for Korean companies to enter the Chinese markets. Therefore, this study researches in the current status of Chinese and Korean restaurants, explores any risks in China in terms of exports to China and market advance, develops strategies to avoid those risks, and provides essential suggestions for entering into Chinese market.

펜데믹 상황시 정부의 대응 정책 비교: 코로나-19, 사스, 메르스를 중심으로 (Comparison of Domestic and International Government Policies in Pandemic Circumstances and Crises: Based on COVID-19, SARS, MERS)

  • 김석만;박상용;이민우;강철웅
    • 대한물리의학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.123-141
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    • 2021
  • PURPOSE: Focusing on the factors that influence the infectious disease emergency response policy (approached by dividing the factors into health policy management and economic policies), both SARS and MERS cases were based on the legal system, manpower, and budget, but there has not been enough learning from the epidemic. This study focused on infectious disease emergency governance, which various studies have neglected despite its social and academic importance. METHODS: The research is based on an analysis of SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 and compares global policies. In this study, infectious disease emergency governance was divided into health policy management and economic factors. This study focused on planning and leadership before and after the outbreak of infectious diseases and how cooperation was achieved to monitor and respond to infectious diseases successfully. RESULTS and CONCLUSION: The limit of this study was that COVID-19 is a currently ongoing infectious disease with high uncertainty. Because it is an ongoing problem, only some data and statistics are reflected, and many limitations prevent a proper comparison under the same criteria as other infectious diseases. In addition, because continuous changes are expected, there is also room for infectious diseases to develop in a completely different pattern from the current situation, and continuous research must be accompanied in the future.

장기 혈액투석 수혜자들의 생활경험에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Lived Experiences of Clients Receiving Long-Term Hemodialysis)

  • 신미자
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.444-453
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study was to construct a grounded theory as the basis for nursing intervention by describing and analysing the holistic lived experiences of clients receiving long-term hemodialysis. The subjects of this study were fifteen persons receiving regular hemodialysis regimen at artificial kindey treatment centers in two different university hospitals, and who were able to participate in conversation and were available for long and dup interviews. Eight of the subjects were male and seven were female and their ages ranged from 30's to 60's. The length of the hemodialysis experience ranged from two months to six years. The collection and analysis of data were done in accordance with the grounded theory methodology of Strauss & Corbin. The method to collect the data mainly depended. on long and deep interviews, participant observation and focused group interviews and the equipment used to collect data were a portable tape recorder and field notes. The study is summarized as follows : 1. The meaning of holistic lived experiences of clients receiving long -term hemodialysis was found to be uncertainty. which was identified as the core category. 2. The main categories following the core category were found to be shock, ambiguity, social support and quality of life. 3. Through the main category the type of behavior newly formed by clients receiving long-term hemodialysis was found to be as follows. That is to say, in the circumstances of shock caused by the identified fact and the ambiguity of hemodilysis they formed a quality of life based on social support, which was found to be a kind of chaotic phenomenon. 4. The lived experiences of clients receiving long-tern hemodialysis was found to include nine categories : emotional shock, feelings of isolation, burden, unclearness, dependency, help from others, coping strategies, maintenance of self-esteem and transitional life. 5. The intervening factors influencing each category are as follows : 1) The factors influencing 'emetional shock' were found to be set age, the level of knowledge received in advance, locus of control, the period of struggle against the disease before hemodialysis and whether any serious illness existed. 2) The factors influencing 'feelings of isolation' were found to be religion and the length of the hemodialysis experience. 3) The factors influencing 'burden' were found to be sex, economic situation, employment status and the length of the hemodialysis experience. 4) The factors influencing 'unclearness' were found to be sex, age, religion. economic situation, the length of the hemodiaysis experience, whether they had had a transfusion and whether there were any complications. 5) The factors influencing 'help from others' were found to be religion. economic situation, past experiences and whether family members lived together. 6) The factors influencing 'coping strategies' were foung to be age, level of education, experiences of illness and locus of control. 7) The factors influeruing 'maintenance of self-esteem' were found to be the length of the hemodialysis experience and self-actualization. 8) The factors influencing 'transitional life' were found to be age, religion, economic situation, employment status. locus of control. past experiences and whether there was a plan for a kidney transplant.

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수자원분야 예비타당성 조사 정책효과 분석 방향 (Preliminary Feasibility Study for Water Resources Policy Effect Analysis Direction)

  • 성연정;최승안;권현한;정영훈
    • 한국방재안전학회논문집
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2021
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 수자원 확보의 불확실성과 생태환경의 변화에 따라 안전성과 공공성을 고려한 수자원 분야에 대형 사업이 요구된다. 이러한 대형 사업가운데 예비타당성사업에 해당되는 사업은 국가예산낭비 예방의 목적으로 경제성분석과, 정책성분석, 지역균형발전 분석에 기반한 종합분석에 의하여 사업추진이 결정된다. 그러나 대부분 예비타당성분석에 의한 결과는 경제성분석에 크게 의존하는 경향을 보여 비수도권 지역에서는 예비타당성조사를 통과하지 못하는 경우가 있었다. 이러한 점을 보완하기 위해 한국개발연구원에서는 정책성분석의 비중을 높게 두는 수자원부문 사업의 예비타당성조사 표준지침을 수정하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존 수행된 예비타당성조사에 대한 사례를 분석하고 수자원부문 사업의 예비타당성조사에서 정책성분석의 방향을 제시하는 것이 목표이다. 이에 지난 2002년부터 2019년까지 18년간 수행된 수자원분야 예비타당성 사례조사를 수행하였고, 경제성분석에 포함되지 않는 편익항목을 이용하여 정책적효과 분석방안을 제시하였다.