• 제목/요약/키워드: earthquake loss assessment

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Feasibility Study of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Multi-unit NPP with Seismic Failure Correlation (다수기의 확률론적 지진안전성 평가를 위한 지진손상 상관계수의 적용)

  • Eem, Seunghyun;Kwag, Shinyoung;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2021
  • The 2011 East Japan Earthquake caused accidents at a number of nuclear power plants in Fukushima, highlighting the need for a study on the seismic safety of multiple NPP (Nuclear Power Plant) units. In the case of nuclear power plants built on a site that shows a similar seismic response, there is at least a correlation between the seismic damage of structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of nuclear power plants. In this study, a probabilistic seismic safety assessment was performed for the loss of essential power events of twin units. To derive an appropriate seismic damage correlation coefficient, a probabilistic seismic response analysis was performed. Using the external event mensuration system program, we analyzed the seismic fragility and seismic risk by composing a failure tree of multiple loss of essential power events. Additionally, a comparative analysis was performed considering the seismic damage correlation between SSCs as completely independent and completely dependent.

LPI-based Assessment of Liquefaction Potential on the West Coastal Region of Korea (액상화 가능 지수를 이용한 국내 서해안 지역의 액상화 평가)

  • Seo, Min-Woo;Sun, Chang-Guk;Oh, Myoung-Hak
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2009
  • Liquefaction is a significant threat to structures on loose saturated sandy soil deposits in the event of an earthquake, and can often cause catastrophic damage, economic loss, and loss of life. Nevertheless, the Korean peninsula has for a long time been recognized as a safe region with respect to the hazard of liquefaction, as the peninsula is located in a moderate seismicity region, and there have been no reports of liquefaction, with the exception of references in some historical documents. However, some earthquakes that have recently occurred in different parts of the world have led to liquefaction in non-plastic silty soils, a soil type that can be found in many of the western coastal areas of Korea. In this study, we first present procedures for evaluating the liquefaction potential, and calculate the liquefaction potential index (LPI) distribution at two western coastal sites using both piezocone penetration test (CPTu) data and standard penetration test (SPT) data. The LPI is computed by integrating liquefaction potential over a depth of 20m, and provides an estimate of liquefaction-related surface damage. In addition, we compared the LPI values obtained from CPTu and SPT, respectively. Our research found that the CRR values from CPTu were lower than those from the SPT, particularly in the range between 40 and 120 for the corrected tip resistance, (qc1N)CS, from the CPTu, or in the range of CRR less than 0.23, resulting in relatively high LPI values. Moreover, it was observed that the differences in the CRR between the two methods were relatively higher for soils with high fine contents.

Seismic vulnerability assessment of confined masonry wall buildings

  • Ranjbaran, Fariman;Hosseini, Mahmood
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.201-216
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    • 2014
  • In this paper the vulnerability of the confined masonry buildings is evaluated analytically. The proposed approach includes the nonlinear dynamic analysis of the two-story confined masonry buildings with common plan as a reference structure. In this approach the damage level is calculated based on the probability of exceedance of loss vs a specified ground motion in the form of fragility curves. The fragility curves of confined masonry wall buildings are presented in two levels of limit states corresponding to elastic and maximum strength versus PGA based on analytical method. In this regard the randomness of parameters indicating the characteristics of the building structure as well as ground motion is considered as likely uncertainties. In order to develop the analytical fragility curves the proposed analytical models of confined masonry walls in a previous investigation of the authors, are used to specify the damage indices and responses of the structure. In order to obtain damage indices a series of pushover analyses are performed, and to identify the seismic demand a series of nonlinear dynamic analysis are conducted. Finally by considering various mechanical and geometric parameters of masonry walls and numerous accelerograms, the fragility curves with assuming a log normal distribution of data are derived based on capacity and demand of building structures in a probabilistic approach.

Seismic fragility curves of single storey RC precast structures by comparing different Italian codes

  • Beilic, Dumitru;Casotto, Chiara;Nascimbene, Roberto;Cicola, Daniele;Rodrigues, Daniela
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.359-374
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    • 2017
  • The seismic events in Northern Italy, May 2012, have revealed the seismic vulnerability of typical Italian precast industrial buildings. The aim of this paper is to present a seismic fragility model for Italian RC precast buildings, to be used in earthquake loss estimation and seismic risk assessment by comparing two building typologies and three different codes: D.M. 3-03-1975, D.M. 16-01-1996 and current Italian building code that has been released in 2008. Based on geometric characteristics and design procedure applied, ten different building classes were identified. A Monte Carlo simulation was performed for each building class in order to generate the building stock used for the development of fragility curves trough analytical method. The probabilistic distributions of geometry were mainly obtained from data collected from 650 field surveys, while the material properties were deduced from the code in place at the time of construction or from expert opinion. The structures were modelled in 2D frameworks; since the past seismic events have identified the beam-column connection as the weakest element of precast buildings, two different modelling solutions were adopted to develop fragility curves: a simple model with post processing required to detect connection collapse and an innovative modelling solution able to reproduce the real behaviour of the connection during the analysis. Fragility curves were derived using both nonlinear static and dynamic analysis.

Current Status of an International Co-Operative Research Program, PARTRIDGE (Probabilistic Analysis as a Regulatory Tool for Risk-Informed Decision GuidancE) (국제공동연구 PARTRIDGE를 통한 확률론적 건전성 평가 기술 개발 현황)

  • Kim, Sun Hye;Park, Jung Soon;Kim, Jin Su;Lee, Jin Ho;Yun, Eun Sub;Yang, Jun Seog;Lee, Jae Gon;Park, Hong Sun;Oh, Young Jin;Kang, Sun Yeh;Yoon, Ki Seok;Park, Jai Hak
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 2013
  • A probabilistic assessment code, PRO-LOCA ver. 3.7 which was developed in an international co-operative research program, PARTRIDGE was evaluated by conducting sensitivity analysis. The effect of some variables such as simulation methods (adaptive sampling, iteration numbers, weld residual stress model), crack features(Poisson's arrival rate, maximum numbers of cracks, initial flaw size, fabrication flaws), operating and loading conditions(temperature, primary bending stress, earthquake strength and frequency), and inspection model(inspection intervals, detectable leak rate) on the failure probabilities of a surge line nozzle was investigated. The results of sensitivity analysis shows the remaining problems of the PRO-LOCA code such as the instability of adaptive sampling and unexpected trend of failure probabilities at an early stage.

Nonlinear semi-active/passive retrofit design evaluation using incremental dynamic analysis

  • Rodgers, Geoffrey W.;Chase, J. Geoffrey;Roland, Thomas;Macrae, Gregory A.;Zhou, Cong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2022
  • Older or damaged structures can require significant retrofit to ensure they perform well in subsequent earthquakes. Supplemental damping devices are used to achieve this goal, but increase base shear forces, foundation demand, and cost. Displacement reduction without increasing base shear is possible using novel semi-active and recently-created passive devices, which offer energy dissipation in selected quadrants of the force-displacement response. Combining these devices with large, strictly passive energy dissipation devices can offer greater, yet customized response reductions. Supplemental damping to reduce response without increasing base shear enables a net-zero base shear approach. This study evaluates this concept using two incremental dynamic analyses (IDAs) to show displacement reductions up to 40% without increasing base shear, more than would be achieved for either device alone, significantly reducing the risk of response exceeding the unaltered structural case. IDA results lead to direct calculation of reductions in risk and annualized economic cost for adding these devices using this net-zero concept, thus quantifying the trade-off. The overall device assessment and risk analysis method presented provides a generalizable proof-of-concept approach, and provides a framework for assessing the impact and economic cost-benefit of using modern supplemental energy dissipation devices.

A new methodology of the development of seismic fragility curves

  • Lee, Young-Joo;Moon, Do-Soo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.847-867
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    • 2014
  • There are continuous efforts to mitigate structural losses from earthquakes and manage risk through seismic risk assessment; seismic fragility curves are widely accepted as an essential tool of such efforts. Seismic fragility curves can be classified into four groups based on how they are derived: empirical, judgmental, analytical, and hybrid. Analytical fragility curves are the most widely used and can be further categorized into two subgroups, depending on whether an analytical function or simulation method is used. Although both methods have shown decent performances for many seismic fragility problems, they often oversimplify the given problems in reliability or structural analyses owing to their built-in assumptions. In this paper, a new method is proposed for the development of seismic fragility curves. Integration with sophisticated software packages for reliability analysis (FERUM) and structural analysis (ZEUS-NL) allows the new method to obtain more accurate seismic fragility curves for less computational cost. Because the proposed method performs reliability analysis using the first-order reliability method, it provides component probabilities as well as useful byproducts and allows further fragility analysis at the system level. The new method was applied to a numerical example of a 2D frame structure, and the results were compared with those by Monte Carlo simulation. The method was found to generate seismic fragility curves more accurately and efficiently. Also, the effect of system reliability analysis on the development of seismic fragility curves was investigated using the given numerical example and its necessity was discussed.

Development of Analytical Model to Predict the Inelastic Moment Capacity of Reinforced Concrete and Masonry Shear Wall (전단벽 구조물의 모멘트 저항능력에 관한 비탄성 해석모델개발)

  • 홍원기;이호범;변근주
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 1993
  • A rapid progress has been made over last decade in the state-of-the-art earthquake structura1 engineering towards a better understanding of both the earthqauke ground motion and structural response. These efforts seek to ensure that there will be no serious injury or loss of life in the event of earthquake, and that structures can be built at minimum cost. The design of structures in general, concrete structures in particular, to resist strong ground input motions is not a simple matter, and analytical models for such structures must be developed from a design perspective that accounts for the complexities of the structural responses. The primary obj ective of earthquake structural engineering research is to ensure the safety of structures by understanding and improving a design methodology. Ideally, this would require the development of an analytical model related to a design methodology that ensures a ductile performance. For the accurate assessment of the adequacy of analytically developed model, experiments conducted to study the inplane inelastic cyclic behavior of structures should verify the analytical approach. The fundamental goal of this paper is to present and demonstrate experimentally verified analytical methods that provide the adequate degree of safety and confidience in the behavior of reinforced concrete structural components. This study further attempts to extend the developed modeling techruque for use by practicing structural engineers for both the analysis and design.Plication of the relaxed diaphragm through left thoracotomy was done and result was excellent as seen on Fig. 5. Cause of eventration of the left hemidiaphragm was due to paralysis of the left phrenic nerve which was tested during thoracotomy.

Assessment of Fragility Curve for Earthquake in Railway Bridge (기존 철도교량의 지진에 대한 취약도 곡선 산정)

  • Kim, Dae-Ho;Sun, Chang-Ho;Kim, Ick-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the serious damage by earthquakes is increased around the world. SOC fo city is established to minimize the loss of lives and assets by earthquakes, which an objective standard is required. Generally, bridges damage by earthquakes occurred the inelastic hinge under the column. Nonlinear element model of inelastic hinge have been used to Bilinear model, but Takeda model for material characterization of concrete is a little. In this study, railway bridge was performed seismic fragility analysis for Takeda model and Bilinear model comparatively. This analysis shows that damage probability of Takeda model is larger than Bilinear model. And analysis of Takeda model in longitudinal direction and transverse direction are different. Therefore developed analysis for concrete column of bridge is expected to apply to material characterization.

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