• Title/Summary/Keyword: earthquake loss assessment

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Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city - structural aspects

  • Kappos, A.J.;Panagopoulos, G.K.;Sextos, A.G.;Papanikolaou, V.K.;Stylianidis, K.C.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.197-214
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    • 2010
  • The paper presents a methodology for developing earthquake damage and loss scenarios for urban areas, as well as its application to two cities located in Mediterranean countries, Grevena (in Greece) and D$\ddot{u}$zce (in Turkey), that were struck by strong earthquakes in the recent past. After compiling the building inventory in each city, fragility curves were derived using a hybrid approach previously developed by the authors, and a series of seismic scenarios were derived based on microzonation studies that were specifically conducted for each city (see companion paper by Pitilakis et al.). The results obtained in terms of damage estimates, required restoration times and the associated costs are presented in a GIS environment. It is deemed that both the results obtained, and the overall methodology and tools developed, contribute towards the enhancement of seismic safety in the Mediterranean area (as well as other earthquake-prone regions), while they constitute a useful pre-earthquake decision-making tool for local authorities.

Fragility assessment of RC-MRFs under concurrent vertical-horizontal seismic action effects

  • Farsangi, Ehsan Noroozinejad;Tasnimi, Abbas Ali;Mansouri, Babak
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.99-123
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    • 2015
  • In this study, structural vulnerability of reinforced concrete moment resisting frames (RC-MRFs) by considering the Iran-specific characteristics is investigated to manage the earthquake risk in terms of multicomponent seismic excitations. Low and medium rise RC-MRFs, which constitute approximately 80-90% of the total buildings stock in Iran, are focused in this fragility-based assessment. The seismic design of 3-12 story RC-MRFs are carried out according to the Iranian Code of Practice for Seismic Resistant Design of Buildings (Standard No. 2800), and the analytical models are formed accordingly in open source nonlinear platforms. Frame structures are categorized in three subclasses according to the specific characteristics of construction practice and the observed seismic performance after major earthquakes in Iran. Both far and near fields' ground motions have been considered in the fragility estimation. An optimal intensity measure (IM) called Sa, avg and beta probability distribution were used to obtain reliable fragility-based database for earthquake damage and loss estimation of RC buildings stock in urban areas of Iran. Nonlinear incremental dynamic analyses by means of lumped-parameter based structural models have been simulated and performed to extract the fragility curves. Approximate confidence bounds are developed to represent the epistemic uncertainties inherent in the fragility estimations. Consequently, it's shown that including vertical ground motion in the analysis is highly recommended for reliable seismic assessment of RC buildings.

A Study on the Development of Korean Inventory for the Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment -Based on Earthquake Damage Analysis (복합재난 손실 평가를 위한 한국형 인벤토리 구축 방안 연구 -지진재해 손실 평가를 중심으로)

  • Chai, Su-Seong;Shin, Su-mi;Suh, Dongjun
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1127-1134
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    • 2017
  • The main goal of this study is to develop the system of multi-hazard risk assessment tools based on major inventories and functions. As a first step, designing and building a Korean inventory of the loss assessment was performed due to earthquake disasters. We focused on the special features, taking account of the possibly conflicting features of the various conditions such as different type of formats, environmental differences, and collected data relevant to the use of proposed risk assessment system in terms of constructing the Korean inventory including buildings and population.

A Review and Analysis of Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment Tools and Applications (지진 재해 위험도 평가 분석 도구 사례 분석 연구)

  • Chai, Su-Seong;Suh, Dongjun
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.899-906
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    • 2018
  • In the entire process of disaster management, it is very significant to construct related information as well as perform quantitative assessment of damage losses with respect to minimizing the effect of disasters. Many countries have paid much attention not only to studying risk assessment methodologies including constructing inventories, hazard mapping, vulnerability assessment and direct/indirect damage loss estimation, but also to developing risk analysis tools investigated in this paper. We conducted comparison studies of representative earthquake damage risk analysis tools, and the result of this study is able to provide useful information to decision makers and researchers who can contribute to development of effective disaster management.

Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city: seismic hazard, geotechnical and lifeline aspects

  • Pitilakis, Kyriazis D.;Anastasiadis, Anastasios I.;Kakderi, Kalliopi G.;Manakou, Maria V.;Manou, Dimitra K.;Alexoudi, Maria N.;Fotopoulou, Stavroula D.;Argyroudis, Sotiris A.;Senetakis, Kostas G.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.207-232
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    • 2011
  • The development of reliable earthquake mitigation plans and seismic risk management procedures can only be based on the establishment of comprehensive earthquake hazard and loss scenarios. Two cities, Grevena (Greece) and D$\ddot{u}$zce (Turkey), were used as case studies in order to apply a comprehensive methodology for the vulnerability and loss assessment of lifelines. The methodology has the following distinctive phases: detailed inventory, identification of the typology of each component and system, evaluation of the probabilistic seismic hazard, geotechnical zonation, ground response analysis and estimation of the spatial distribution of seismic motion for different seismic scenarios, vulnerability analysis of the exposed elements at risk. Estimating adequate earthquake scenarios for different mean return periods, and selecting appropriate vulnerability functions, expected damages of the water and waste water systems in D$\ddot{u}$zce and of the roadway network and waste water system of Grevena are estimated and discussed; comparisons with observed earthquake damages are also made in the case of D$\ddot{u}$zce, proving the reliability and the efficiency of the proposed methodology. The results of the present study constitute a sound basis for the development of efficient loss scenarios for lifelines and infrastructure facilities in seismic prone areas. The first part of this paper, concerning the estimation of the seismic ground motions, has been utilized in the companion paper by Kappos et al. (2010) in the same journal.

Loss Estimation in Southeast Korea from a Scenario Earthquake using the Deterministic Method in HAZUS

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kang, Su-Young
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.02b
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2009
  • Strong ground motion attenuation relationship represents a comprehensive trend of ground shakings at sites with distances from the source, geology, local soil conditions, and others. It is necessary to develop an attenuation relationship with careful considerations of characteristics of the target area for reliable seismic hazard/risk assessments. In the study, observed ground motions from the January 2007 magnitude 4.9 Odaesan earthquake and the events occurring in the Gyeongsang provinces are compared with the previously proposed ground attenuation relationships in the Korean Peninsula to select most appropriate one. In the meantime, a few strong ground motion attenuation relationships are proposed and introduced in HAZUS, which have been designed for the Western United States and the Central and Eastern United States. The selected relationship from the ones for the Korean Peninsula has been compared with attenuation relationships available in HAZUS. Then, the attenuation relation for the Western United States proposed by Sadigh et al. (1997) for the Site Class B has been selected for this study. Reliability of the assessment will be improved by using an appropriate attenuation relation. It has been used for the earthquake loss estimation of the Gyeongju area located in southeast Korea using the deterministic method in HAZUS with a scenario earthquake (M=6.7). Our preliminary estimates show 15.6% damage of houses, shelter needs for about three thousands residents, and 75 life losses in the study area for the scenario events occurring at 2 A.M. Approximately 96% of hospitals will be in normal operation in 24 hours from the proposed event. Losses related to houses will be more than 114 million US dollars. Application of the improved methodology for loss estimation in Korea will help decision makers for planning disaster responses and hazard mitigation.

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A Methodology of Seismic Damage Assessment Using Capacity Spectrum Method (능력 스펙트럼법을 이용한 건물 지진 손실 평가 방법)

  • Byeon, Ji-Seok
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.9 no.3 s.43
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • This paper describes a new objective methodology of seismic building damage assessment which is called Advanced Component Method(ACM). ACM is a major attempt to replace the conventional loss estimation procedure, which is based on subjective measures and the opinions of experts, with one that objectively measures both earthquake intensity and the response ol buildings. First, response of typical buildings is obtained analytically by nonlinear seismic static analysis, push-over analyses. The spectral displacement Is used as a measure of earthquake intensity in order to use Capacity Spectrum Method and the damage functions for each building component, both structural and non-structural, are developed as a function of component deformation. Examples of components Include columns, beams, floors, partitions, glazing, etc. A repair/replacement cost model is developed that maps the physical damage to monetary damage for each component. Finally, building response, component damage functions, and cost model were combined probabilistically, using Wonte Carlo simulation techniques, to develop the final damage functions for each building type. Uncertainties in building response resulting from variability in material properties and load assumptions were incorporated in the Latin Hypercube sampling technique. The paper also presents and compares ACM and conventional building loss estimation based on historical damage data and reported loss data.

Collapse Probability of a Low-rise Piloti-type Building Considering Domestic Seismic Hazard (국내 지진재해도를 고려한 저층 필로티 건물의 붕괴 확률)

  • Kim, Dae-Hwan;Kim, Taewan;Chu, Yurim
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.7_spc
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2016
  • The risk-based assessment, also called time-based assessment of structure is usually performed to provide seismic risk evaluation of a target structure for its entire life-cycle, e.g. 50 years. The prediction of collapse probability is the estimator in the risk-based assessment. While the risk-based assessment is the key in the performance-based earthquake engineering, its application is very limited because this evaluation method is very expensive in terms of simulation and computational efforts. So the evaluation database for many archetype structures usually serve as representative of the specific system. However, there is no such an assessment performed for building stocks in Korea. Consequently, the performance objective of current building code, KBC is not clear at least in a quantitative way. This shortcoming gives an unresolved issue to insurance industry, socio-economic impact, seismic safety policy in national and local governments. In this study, we evaluate the comprehensive seismic performance of an low-rise residential buildings with discontinuous structural walls, so called piloti-type structure which is commonly found in low-rise domestic building stocks. The collapse probability is obtained using the risk integral of a conditioned collapse capacity function and regression of current hazard curve. Based on this approach it is expected to provide a robust tool to seismic safety policy as well as seismic risk analysis such as Probable Maximum Loss (PML) commonly used in the insurance industry.

Displacement Charateristics of Caisson-Type Breakwater under Earthquake Loadings (지진하중을 받는 케이슨 방파제의 변위 특성분석)

  • Shin, Eun-Chul;Jeon, Jae-Ku;Lee, Joong-Hwa;Lee, Chung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.09a
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    • pp.1258-1270
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the earthquakes activities are more of frequency occurred in the country. In case of nomal or large magnitude earthquakes, which cause a rising number of life loss or widespread loss of property. It must be considered how to cope with the situperty of dpmage in the country ty account of ay earthquake. Consequently, the public works have currently ensured against a lot of risk about seismism not only on large scale structures but also relatively small structures. Therefore, in this study, in order to make the seismic stability safe, it has been evaluated by the seismic performance for caisson-type breakwater. The seismic response analyses have conducted on the caisson-type breaker under long-period, short-period and artificial seismic wave. The liquefaction potential of the foundation, which is caisson-type, is also estimated by using the simplified assessment method. Finally, the result of the numerical analysis by PENTAGON 2D finite element method(FEM) program are presented for 3 cases with time-history seismic analysis under the seismic load.

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Seismic fragility curves using pulse-like and spectrally equivalent ground-motion records

  • Surana, Mitesh
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2020
  • 4- and 8-storey reinforced-concrete frame buildings are analyzed under the suites of the near-fault pulse-like, and the corresponding spectrally equivalent far-fault ground-motion records. Seismic fragility curves for the slight, moderate, extensive, and complete damage states are developed, and the damage probability matrices, and the mean loss ratios corresponding to the Design Basis Earthquake and the Maximum Considered Earthquake hazard levels are compared, for the investigated buildings and sets of ground-motion records. It is observed that the spectrally equivalent far-fault ground-motion records result in comparable estimates of the fragility curve parameters, as that of the near-fault pulse-like ground-motion records. As a result, the derived damage probability matrices and mean loss ratios using two suites of ground-motion records differ only marginally (of the order of ~10%) for the investigated levels of seismic hazard, thus, implying the potential for application of the spectrally equivalent ground-motion records, for seismic fragility and risk assessment at the near-fault sites.