• Title/Summary/Keyword: early warning system

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Predicting Raw Material Price Fluctuation Using Signal Approach: Application to Non-ferrous Metals (신호접근법을 이용한 비철금속 상품가격변동 예측모형 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2009
  • Recent raw material prices fluctuation has been unexpectedly high and that made Korean economic activities to be depressed. Because most raw material supply in Korea depends upon oversea imports, unexpected raw material price fluctuation affects Korean industrial economies through macroeconomic variables. So Korean government enforces some political measures such as demand management and the supply-security assurance as long-range policies, and reservation and general early warning system as short-range policies. In short-range policies, it is necessary to be expected short term fluctuation. Up to recently, there have been many researches and most of those researches use parametric methods or time series analyses. Because those methods and analyses often generate inadequate relations among variables, it is possible that some consistent variables are left out or the results are misunderstood. This study, therefore, is aim to mitigate those methodological problems and find the relatively appropriate model for economic explanation. So that, in this paper, by using non-parametric signal approach method mitigating some shortages of previous researches and forecasting properly short-range prices fluctuation of non-ferrous materials are presented empirically.

The Characteristics of Submarine Groundwater Discharge in the Coastal Area of Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 연안 해저지하수 유출특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Daesun;Jung, Hahn Chul
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_1
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    • pp.1589-1597
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    • 2021
  • Submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) in coastal areas is gaining importance as a major transport route that bring nutrients and trace metals into the ocean. This paper describes the analysis of the seasonal changes and spatiotemporal characteristicsthrough the modeling monthly SGD for 35 years from 1986 to 2020 for the Nakdong river basin. In this study, we extracted 210 watersheds and SGD estimation points using the SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) DEM (Digital Elevation Model). The average annual SGD of the Nakdong River basin was estimated to be 466.7 m2/yr from the FLDAS (Famine Early Warning Systems Network Land Data Assimilation System) recharge data of 10 km which is the highest resolution global model applicable to Korea. There was no significant time-series variation of SGD in the Nakdong river basin, but the concentrated period of SGD was expanded from summer to autumn. In addition, it was confirmed that there is a large amount of SGD regardless of the season in coastal area nearby large rivers, and the trend has slightly increased since the 1980s. The characteristics are considered to be related to the change in the major precipitation period in the study area, and spatially it is due to the high baseflow-groundwater in the vicinity of large rivers. This study is a precedentstudy that presents a modeling technique to explore the characteristics of SGD in Korea, and is expected to be useful as foundational information for coastal management and evaluating the impact of SGD to the ocean.

Improving R&D Project Selection and Evaluation Methods of the Steel Company

  • Chung, Ki-Dae;Jung, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 1998
  • Corporations are pursuing maximum returns from their R&D investment. They are also interested in sound measures to quantify returns. In fact, they use various measures and criteria for measuring returns from the R&D investment. But the fundamental problem is that there is no generic and widely acceptable measures and criteria. To make things more complicated, measures are very powerful and influential to the people in the corporations. Herbert Simon already indicated that people do many things but people usually do their best for the only tasks which are measured. Many researchers, like Chester(1995), are interested in R&D productivity measures and risks because what the company measures really influence R&D people and output. This article present design concepts of the R&D project selection and evaluation system in POSCO(Pohang Iron & Steel Company). This is an output extract from the 6-month joint activities with POSRI(POSCO Research Institute) researchers and POSCO R&D personnel. Process changes, new organizations and new selection and evaluation criteria are developed to improve R&D performance and to enhance technology management of the POSCO. This article covers new selection and evaluation criteria only. We would like to share our experience about how we redesign the selection and evaluation of R&D projects. We also bring insights how we seamlessly integrate 4 different project selection and evaluation steps as a whole. We hope that this case will give you a clue to improve your R&D management.

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Learning algorithm for flame pattern recognition (화재 패턴 인식을 위한 학습 알고리즘)

  • Kang, Suk Won;Lee, Soon Yi;Lee, Tae Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.521-525
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we introduce fire detection system and software learning algorithm that recognize fire patterns. Flame patterns means that periodical and consistent pattern about general conception of fire, and to process it with the definition. Learning algorithm for flame pattern recognition that we propose is the method which is faster and more exactly than existing algorithm. Also, we trying to elicit the method through experiment result and by applying it, we show the validity of an early fire warning system.

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A novel technology of Establishing Intelligent Power Information System based on Multi-Agent (멀티에이전트 기반의 지능형 전력 정보시스템 구축 기술)

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Sang-Tae;Yu, Nam-Cheol;Lee, Dong-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.06d
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    • pp.307-312
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    • 2008
  • 최근 전기 전력 도메인의 IT화 (전력 IT) 가 본격적으로 진행되면서 전기 데이터를 취득하기 위한 기기들 뿐만 아니라 전력 운영 환경이 변화를 도모하고 있다 본 논문에서는 이런 전력 IT 의 일환으로 개발된 지능형 전력 정보 모니터링 시스템 (K-WAMS)을 소개하고자 한다. 이 시스템은 이기종 분산 환경에서 전력 정보를 실시간으로 전송 받아 현재 전력계통의 상황을 직관적으로 판단할 수 있는 정보를 제공하여 광역 정전을 예방하고자 하는 조기경보시스템 (Early Warning System) 이다. 또한, 전력계통의 안정성 여부를 판단하는 지능형 에이전트의 구현을 통해 광역 정전을 예견하는 지수를 제공하고, 실시간 데이터 처리 및 이력 데이터 저장 에이전트들을 통해 현재 취득되고 있는 현장 데이터 모니터링 기능을 제공한다. K-WAMS 는 실시간으로 전송 처리되는 고속 대용량 데이터들의 처리 지연, 동적 환경으로 인한 네트워크의 부하문제를 해결하기 위해서 IPC Shared Memory 기법을 이용하였고, 동적 프로세스들의 작업 스케줄링을 관리하기 위한 IPC Message Queue 기법을 이용하였다. 또한 논리적 기능 기반으로 설계된 현재 중앙 급전소(GCC) 단위의 설계 모델은 향후 지역 급전소(RCC) 단위로 설치 될 경우 재사용 되어 개발 생산성을 향상시킬 것으로 예상된다.

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Development of Predictive Models for Subway Disaster Forecasting (지하철 재난 전조 예측 모델 개발)

  • Park, Mi Yun;Park, Wan Soon;Lee, Jeonghun;Kwon, and Se Gon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2017
  • In the previous research, the research on the development of subway disaster detection system that discovers the disaster early warning of the subway station disaster and the evacuation to the passengers based on the Internet of things. This paper as a follow-up study analyzes the sensor data installed in the station in real time to quickly detect the disaster. In particular, we developed a statistical methodology based on the Mahalanobis distance in consideration of the environment that varies depending on the installation location of the sensor during initial system construction.

Type Drive Analysis of Urban Water Security Factors

  • Gong, Li;Wang, Hong;Jin, Chunling;Lu, Lili;Ma, Menghan
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.784-794
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    • 2020
  • In order to effectively evaluate the urban water security, the study investigates a novel system to assess factors that impact urban water security and builds an urban water poverty evaluation index system. Based on the contribution rates of Resource, Access, Capacity, Use, and Environment, the study adopts the Water Poverty Index (WPI) model to evaluate the water poverty levels of 14 cities in Gansu during 2011-2018 and uses the least variance method to evaluate water poverty space drive types. The case study results show that the water poverty space drive types of 14 cites fall into four categories. The first category is the dual factor dominant type driven by environment and resources, which includes Lanzhou, Qingyang, Jiuquan, and Jiayuguan. The second category is the three-factor dominant type driven by Access, Use, and Capability, which includes Longnan, Linxia, and Gannan. The third category is the four-factor dominant type driven by Resource, Access, Capability, and Environment, which includes Jinchang, Pingliang, Wuwei, Baiyin, and Zhangye. The fourth category is the five-factor dominant type, which includes Tianshui and Dingxi. The driven types impacting the urban water security factors reflected by the WPI and its model are clear and accurate. The divisions of the urban water security level supply a reliable theoretical and numerical basis for an urban water security early warning mechanism.

Safety Ontology Modeling and Verification on MIS of Ship-Building and Repairing Enterprise

  • Wu, Yumei;Li, Zhen;Zhao, LanJie;Yu, Zhengwei;Miao, Hong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1360-1388
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    • 2021
  • Shipbuilding and repairing enterprise has the characteristics of many hazards and accidents. Therefore, the safety management ability of shipbuilding and repairing MIS (management information system) must be effectively guaranteed. The verification on safety management is the necessary measure to ensure and improve the safety management ability of MIS. Safety verification can not only increase the safety of MIS, but also make early warning of potential risks in management to avoid the accidents. Based on the authoritative standards in the field of safety in shipbuilding and repairing enterprise, this paper applied modeling and verification method based on ontology to safety verification of MIS, extracted the concepts and associations from related safety standards to construct axiom set to support safety verification on MIS of shipbuilding and repairing enterprise. Then, this paper developed the corresponding safety ontology modeling and verification tool-SOMVT. By the application and comparison of two examples, this paper effectively verified the safety of MIS to prove the modeling method and the SOMVT can improve the safety of MIS in a much more effective and stable way to traditional manual analysis.

A Study on the Development of Crisis Response System in the Shipping Industry (해운산업 위기대응 체계 구축 방안)

  • Sung-Hwa Park;Hanna Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.367-368
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    • 2022
  • The shipping industry is sensitive to the global economy. Therefore, when events such as the global economic crisis occur, shipping market freight rates react immediately, and the long-term stagnation of the industry has been repeated accordingly. In particular, Hanjin Shipping's bankruptcy is an incident in which the nation has become aware of the chronic problems of the Korean shipping industry. The government is making great efforts to rebuild the collapsed shipping industry and become a global leader country. In order for the Korean shipping industry to grow into a global leader, it is important to appropriately respond to the crisis. To this end, it is necessary to establish and operate a crisis response system for the shipping industry at the national level.

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Speed-up Techniques for High-Resolution Grid Data Processing in the Early Warning System for Agrometeorological Disaster (농업기상재해 조기경보시스템에서의 고해상도 격자형 자료의 처리 속도 향상 기법)

  • Park, J.H.;Shin, Y.S.;Kim, S.K.;Kang, W.S.;Han, Y.K.;Kim, J.H.;Kim, D.J.;Kim, S.O.;Shim, K.M.;Park, E.W.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to enhance the model's speed of estimating weather variables (e.g., minimum/maximum temperature, sunshine hour, PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model) based precipitation), which are applied to the Agrometeorological Early Warning System (http://www.agmet.kr). The current process of weather estimation is operated on high-performance multi-core CPUs that have 8 physical cores and 16 logical threads. Nonetheless, the server is not even dedicated to the handling of a single county, indicating that very high overhead is involved in calculating the 10 counties of the Seomjin River Basin. In order to reduce such overhead, several cache and parallelization techniques were used to measure the performance and to check the applicability. Results are as follows: (1) for simple calculations such as Growing Degree Days accumulation, the time required for Input and Output (I/O) is significantly greater than that for calculation, suggesting the need of a technique which reduces disk I/O bottlenecks; (2) when there are many I/O, it is advantageous to distribute them on several servers. However, each server must have a cache for input data so that it does not compete for the same resource; and (3) GPU-based parallel processing method is most suitable for models such as PRISM with large computation loads.