• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic growth model

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Dynamic Interactive Relationships among Advertising Cost and Customer Types of Social Network Game (소셜네트워크게임에서 광고비와 고객 유형 변수간 동적 상호관계)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The objective of this study is to investigate the dynamic relationships among Advertising Cost (AD), Newly Registered Users(NRU), and Buying Users(BU) of Social Network Game(SNG). SNG is getting pervasive mainly due to the rapid growth of mobile game and Social Network Service(SNS). It would be helpful for marketing researchers interested in SNG and related practitioners to understand the changes in AD, NRU, and BU with time as well as the effects on one another in mutual and dynamic way. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - Necessary data were collected from Social Network Game(SNG) company. AD, NRU, and BU are endogenous variables, but new event such as launching (event) and holidays(holiday) are exogenous dummy variables. Vector Auto regression (VAR) model is generally used to examine and capture the dynamic relationships among endogenous variables. VAR model can easily capture dynamic and endogenous relationships among time-series variables. Vector Auto regression with Exogenous variables(VARX) is a model in which exogenous variables are added to VAR. To investigate this study, VARX is applied. Result - By estimating the VARX model, the author finds that the past periods' NRU affect negatively and significantly the present AD, and past periods' BU have a positive and significant impact on the increase of AD. In addition, the author shows that the past periods' AD and BU have a positive and significant effect on the increase of NRU, and the past periods' AD affect positively and significantly BU. While the impact of AD on NRU happens after 3 or 4 days (carryover effect), that of AD on BU comes about within just 1 or 2 days (immediate effect). The effect of BU on NRU can be considered as word of mouth (WOM effect). Therefore, SNG companies can obtain not only the growth of revenue but also the increase of NRU by increasing BU. Through those results, the author can also find that there are significant interactions between endogenous variables. Conclusion - This study intends to investigate endogenous and dynamic relationships between AD, NRU, and BU. They also give managerial implications to practitioners for SNS and SNG firms. Through this study, it is found that there exist significant interactions and dynamic relationships between those three endogenous variables. The results of this study can have meaningful implications for practitioners and researchers of SNG. This research is unique in that it deals with "actual" field data and intend to find "actual" relationships among variables unlike other related existing studies which intend to investigate psychological factors affecting the intention of game usage and the intention of purchasing game items. This study is also meaningful by showing that the increase of BU can be a good strategy for "killing birds with one stone" (i.e., revenue growth and NRU increase). Although there are some limitations related with future research topics, this research contributes to the current research on SNG marketing in the above mentioned ways.

Analysis of Effects of Multiple Environmental Factors on Early Life-history for Growth and Stress Accumulation Using a Dynamic-state-dependent Model (동적상태의존모델을 이용하여 복합적 환경영향이 어류의 초기 생활사에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Who-Seung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2019
  • Environmental changes can affect life-history traits, such as growth rate and reproduction, and organisms adapt on a given environmental condition to maximize ecological fitness. This study shows the effects of water temperature and dissolved oxygen level on early growth and accumulated damage in fish using a dynamic-state-dependent model. I have hypothesized that the level of foraging activity is related to growth and stress and so the optimal level can maximize reproductive success - ultimately, fitness. The critical temperature and dissolved oxygen (DO) is also defined as inducing the maximum growth rate at the level. So, the model predicts the highest growth rate at oxygen saturation and lower growth rate at lower or higher level of DO in water. Lower DO (i.e., hypoxia) causes slower growth rate through higher amount of accumulated stress whereas higher DO (i.e., hyperoxia) induces faster growth rate, but smaller body size. In addition, I show that there is lower impact when considering simple or independent environmental factors on environmental assessment. My findings suggest that multiple environmental factors as physiological ecology approach should be considered to improve impact assessment in environmental changes and a further study is needed to develop advanced assessment tools considering multiple environmental factors.

Determining Appropriate Bioeconomic Models for Stock Assessment of Aquatic Resources (수산자원량 추정을 위한 생물경제 모델의 적합성평가)

  • 표희동
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.75-98
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    • 2002
  • As a contribution to developing fishery stock assessment, optimum sustainable yield and its international standards such as MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY for six recommended fisheries are developed using bio-economic models. For selecting the appropriate model, five models - Schaefer, Schnute, Walters and Hilborn, Fox, and CY&P models are tested in effort and catch data of six species. Surprisingly all the models except the CY&P model failed to satisfy statistical standards such as goodness-of-fitness and reliability. Generally, the CY&P model holds good fitness and statistically significant level for all of six fisheries. However, the CY&P model for squid, where the intrinsic growth rate is high, could not explain MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY appropriately. This study makes a contribution to develop the modified model for the intrinsic growth rate of 1. The reformulated model represents the results reasonably even though the estimated equation has not good fitness. Although most of the CY&P models appear to have good fits and validated results for some cases, these models also seem to be quite sensitive to parameters which means a more stable model should be developed and data should carefully be handled. In particular biological and technical interactions such as multispecies, predator prey relationship, age structure and mortality should be taken into account. In addition, economic factors and fishing efforts such as price, cost, technical change and a reasonable function of fishing input should simultaneously be considered.

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Dynamic Causal Relationships between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth (에너지소비와 경제성장의 동태적 인과관계)

  • Mo, Soowon;Kim, Changbeom
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.327-346
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    • 2003
  • Unlike previous studies on the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, this paper analyses the dynamic causal relationship between these variables using the dynamic vector using Johansen's multiple cointegration procedure, dynamic vector error-correction model and impulse response function. The empirical results show that while the energy consumption to a shock in income responds positively, the income responds positively to the shocks in energy consumption in the first place and then the responses become negative. We also find that the impact of energy consumption shock on the income is short-lived and causes higher inflationary pressure.

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Model for Estimating CO2 Concentration in Package Headspace of Microbiologically Perishable Food

  • Lee, Dong-Sun;Kim, Hwan-Ki;An, Duck-Soon;Yam, Kit L.
    • Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.364-369
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    • 2011
  • Levels of carbon dioxide gas, a metabolite of microbial growth, have been reported to parallel the onset of microbial spoilage and may be used as a convenient index for a packaged food's shelf life. This study aimed to establish a kinetic model of $CO_2$ production from perishable food for the potential use for shelf life control in the food supply chain. Aerobic bacterial count and package $CO_2$ concentration were measured during the storage of seasoned pork meat at four temperatures (0, 5, 10 and $15^{\circ}C$), and their interrelationship was investigated to establish a mathematical model. The microbial growth at constant temperature was described by using model of Baranyi and Roberts. $CO_2$ production from the stored food could be explained by taking care of its yield and maintenance factors linked to the microbial growth. By establishing the temperature dependence of the microbial growth and $CO_2$ yield factor, $CO_2$ partial pressure or concentration in package headspace could be estimated to a limited extent, which is helpful for controlling the shelf life under constant and dynamic temperature conditions. Application and efficacy of the model needs to be improved with further refinement in the model.

BIOECONOMIC HARVESTING OF A SCHOOLING FISH SPECIES:A DYNAMIC REACTION MODEL

  • Pradhan, T.;Chaudhuri, K.S.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 1999
  • This paper develops a methematical model for growth and exploitation of a schooling fish species using a realistic catch-rate function and imposing a tax on the catch to control harvesting. Fishing effort is assumed to depend on the net revenue. The steady states of the system are determined and their local and global stabil-ity are discussed. Taking the tax as a control variable; the optimal harvest policy is formulated and solved as a control problem. The results are illustrated with the help of a numerical example.

Nonlocal Peridynamic Models for Dynamic Brittle Fracture in Fiber-Reinforced Composites: Study on Asymmetrically Loading State (섬유강화 복합재의 동적 취성 파괴현상 규명을 위한 비국부 페리다이나믹스 해석법 개발: 비대칭 하중 연구)

  • Ha, Youn Doh;Cho, Seonho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a computational method for a homogenized peridynamics description of unidirectional fiber-reinforced composites is presented. For these materials, dynamic brittle fracture and damage are simulated with the proposed peridynamic model. Compared with observations from dynamic experiments by Coker et al.(2001), the peridynamic computational model can reproduce various characteristics of dynamic fracture and supersonic or intersonic crack growth in asymmetrically loaded unidirectional fiber-reinforced composite plates. Also we analyze the same model in the symmetric loading condition and figure out that the asymmetric loading leads to a much higher propagation speed. Consistent results have been reported in the experiments.

The Impact of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on Intra-Industry Trade: An Empirical Analysis Using a Panel Vector Autoregressive Model

  • Guofeng Zhao;Cheol-Ju Mun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the dynamic relationship between the variables impacted by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the level of intra-industry trade among member states, with the ultimate objective of deducing the short- and long-term effects of RCEP on trade. Design/methodology - This study focuses on tariffs, GDP growth rates, and the proportion of regional FDI to total FDI as research variables, and employs a panel vector autoregression model and GMM-style estimator to investigate the dynamic relationship between RCEP and intra-industry trade among member countries. Findings - The study finds that the level of intra-industry trade between member states is positively impacted by both tariffs and intra-regional FDI. The impulse response graph shows that tariffs and FDI within the region can promote intra-industry trade among member countries, with a quick response. However, the contribution rates of tariffs and intra-regional FDI are not particularly high at approximately 1.5% and 1.4%, respectively. In contrast, the contribution rate of GDP growth can reach around 8.5%. This implies that the influence of economic growth rate on intra-regional trade in industries is not only long-term but also more powerful than that of tariffs and intra-regional FDI. Originality/value - The originality of this study lies in providing a new approach to investigating the potential impact of RCEP while avoiding the limitations associated with the GTAP model. Additionally, this study addresses existing gaps within the research, further contributing to the research merit of the study.

Sources of Income Polarization in Korea: Globalization and Technological Innovation

  • Shin, Taeyoung
    • STI Policy Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2016
  • This study provides empirical evidences for the relationship between income inequality and economic growth, and relationship of income inequality with some of explanatory variables such as technological innovation, trade globalization, financial globalization and fiscal policy. We find out that income inequality has an adverse effect on economic growth, showing its dynamic features, for which we employed the polynomial distributed lags (PDL) model. The effect of income inequality on economic growth lasts over 9 years, and its dynamic effect peaks after 4 years. In addition, we also attempted to find out empirical evidences of sources of income inequality. The results show that income inequality is positively related to technological innovation, financial globalization, and fiscal policy; negatively related to the trade globalization. Many studies employ cross-country data, but it could have serious problems in collecting statistical data. Korean data is used over the time period of 1990-2015 in this study.

Analysis of Decoupling Phenomenon Between Economic Growth and GHG Emissions: Dynamic Panel Analysis of 63 Countries (1980~2014) (경제성장과 탄소배출량의 탈동조화 현상 분석: 63개국 동태패널분석(1980~2014년))

  • Lim, Hyungwoo;Jo, Ha-hyun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.497-526
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    • 2019
  • The importance of "decoupling" to maintain economic growth and reduce greenhouse gases is emerging as the world has been mandated to reduce greenhouse gases since the 2015 Paris Agreement. This study covered 63 countries from 1980 to 2014 and analyzed the main characteristics and causes of decoupling phenomenon between economic growth and carbon emissions. In this study, the degree of decoupling was measured every five years. The analysis found that the decoupling rate of OECD countries and countries with large incomes was high, and that the decoupling phenomenon has accelerated worldwide since the 2000s. However, the degree of decoupling was different depending on the national characteristics. According to the results of dynamic panel model, the growth rate of manufacturing and the proportion of exports hampered decoupling, while the proportion of human capital and renewable energy had a positive effect on decoupling. Also income had a inverse U-shape non-linear effect on decoupling.