• Title/Summary/Keyword: drought year

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Security of Upland Irrigation Water through the Effective Storage Management of Irrigation Dams (관개용 댐의 효율적 저수관리를 통한 밭 관개 용수 확보)

  • Lee Joo-Yong;Kim Sun-Joo;Kim Phil-Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2006
  • In Korea, upland irrigation generally depends on the ground water or natural rainfall since irrigation water supplied from dams is mainly used for paddy irrigation, and only limited amount of irrigation water is supplied to the upland area. For the stable security of upland irrigation water, storage level of irrigation dams was simulated by the periods. A year was divided into 4 periods considering the irrigation characteristics. Through the periodical management of storage level, water utilization efficiency in irrigation dams could be enhanced and it makes available to secure extra available water from existing dams without new development of water resources. Two study areas, Seongju and Donghwa dam, were selected for this study. Runoff from the watersheds was simulated by the modified tank model and the irrigation water to upland crops was calculated by the Penman-Monteith method. The analyzed results showed that relatively sufficient extra available water could be secured for the main upland crops in Seongju area. In case of Donghwa area, water supply to non-irrigated upland was possible in normal years but extra water was necessary in drought years such as 1998 and 2001.

Monthly rainfall forecast of Bangladesh using autoregressive integrated moving average method

  • Mahmud, Ishtiak;Bari, Sheikh Hefzul;Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

A Study of Chunshin(薦新) Ceremony on Chosun Dynasty (조선시대 궁중의 천신(薦新) 의례에 관한 고찰)

  • 한복진
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.447-488
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    • 2002
  • The annals of the Chosun dynasty (朝鮮王朝實錄). on CD-ROM was studied to understand e ceremony and dietary culture of the Chosun dynasty. The Chunshin (薦新) ceremony. the service of offering the first food product of the year to ancestors, was begun in the Song dynasty in China and initiated in the Koryo dynasty in Korea. Chunshin ceremony as the national auspicious ceremony was settled through the 311 the Chosun dynasty. The offerings were graded and the Saongwon (司饔院) was in charge of the transportation of them. A king attended the ceremony in person at Jongmyo (宗廟) once in a while. but the Bongsangsi officials usually took charge of ceremony. Even though the harvest of crops had failed due to the drought. the quantity of the offering was not curtailed. Seven kinds of the new products It ere offered in the Koryo dynasty, twenty-seven kinds of them during the reign of king Sejong, and thirty-one kinds of the them during the reign of King Sungjong according to the Gukjooreeui (國朝五禮儀) (1474). The offerings were served on the utensils called Du (두(豆)), Byun (遼), and Jak (爵). Most of the of the offerings were dedicated by public officials and civilians. The meat products in particular were caught by the king on hunting trips, and offered by the king in Person.

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Analysis of Flood Control Effects of Heightening of Agricultural Reservoir Dam (농업용 저수지 증고에 따른 홍수조절효과 분석)

  • Lee, Gwan Jae;Park, Ki Wook;Jung, Young Hun;Jung, In Kyun;Jung, Kwang Wook;Jeon, Ji Hong;Lee, Ji Min;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2013
  • Annual average precipitation of Korea is 1,277 mm and around 2/3 of annual precipitation and 74 % of available water resources occurred during monsoon period. In recent years, many agricultural reservoirs have been heightened to increase flood control capacity, reduce flooding damage at downstream areas, and provide sustainable environmental flow during drought period. Thus in this study, the flood control effects of heightening of reservoir banks were simulated with HEC-ResSim and HEC-RAS models. These modes were applied to Bonghak reservoir and it was found that flood control effects were 3~4.5 % with 7 -m heightening. Also, with proper operation (1 m lower of full water level) of reservoir right before the monsoon period, flooding at downstream could be prevented even with design storm of 80 -year recurrence interval. As shown in this study, heightening of agricultural reservoir provides positive effects in flood control and flood damage reduction.

The provision of local public goods in water supply (지방노후상수도 관망교체 및 정수장 국비지원의 효율화 방안)

  • Kim, Hyun-A
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.205-217
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    • 2017
  • This paper tries to show the efficiency of water financing between central and local governments. From the year of 2017, the operation and maintenance costs for change water pipes has been provided by central government as block grants system(RDSA: Regional Development Special Account). Even though the water financing is responsible for local government, water drought and high production cost in poor area affects the quality of life nowadays. Then, fiscal transfer through block grant for water financing has been decided to invest regional SOC. The purpose of the paper sheds light on the function of the block grant for public provision by water financing. The firstly tried empirical results are based on the survey from local governments and ministry of environments. The point of the empirical analysis shows that the local governments does not have proper measurement for unexpected water leakage and termination until now. In a policy manner, the paper raises the issues about benefit principle for water users by the increase of tariffs. In order to do so, the paper investigates the relationship between the water provision and fiscal status of each local governments.

The Influence of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on Droughts in the East Asia Monsoon Region

  • Awan, Jehangir Ashraf;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.224-224
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    • 2015
  • The East Asia monsoon is one of the most complex atmospheric phenomena caused by Land-Sea thermal contrast. It plays essential role in fulfilling the water needs of the region but also poses stern consequences in terms of flooding and droughts. This study analyzed the influence of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA) on occurrence of droughts in the East Asia monsoon region ($20^{\circ}N-50^{\circ}N$, $103^{\circ}E-149^{\circ}E$). Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was employed to characterize the droughts over the region using 30-year (1978-2007) gridded rainfall dataset at $0.5^{\circ}$ grid resolution. Due to high variability in intensity and spatial extent of monsoon rainfall the East Asia monsoon region was divided into the homogeneous rainfall zones using cluster analysis method. Seven zones were delineated that showed unique rainfall regimes over the region. The influence of SSTA was assessed by using lagged-correlation between global gridded SSTA ($0.2^{\circ}$ grid resolution) and SPI of each zone. Sea regions with potential influence on droughts in different zones were identified based on significant positive and negative correlation between SSTA and SPI with a lag period of 3-month. The results showed that SSTA have the potential to be used as predictor variables for prediction of droughts with a reasonable lead time. The findings of this study will assist to improve the drought prediction over the region.

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Boryeong Dam Inflow Time Series Generation that Reflects Multi-year Drought (다년 가뭄현상을 반영한 보령댐 유입량 시계열 생성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gi Joo;Yoon, Hae Na;Seo, Seung Beom;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.20-20
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    • 2018
  • 다년동안 지속되는 가뭄현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 있지만, 우리나라에서는 지금까지 장기 가뭄보다 단기 가뭄에 초점을 맞춰 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 다년 가뭄을 반영하지 않고 댐의 저수용량을 평가할 경우, 저수용량이 과소평가될 수 있기 때문에 다년간의 가뭄을 반영한 시계열 모형을 통해 다양한 시나리오를 생성하고 분석해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 2015년부터 2017년까지 장기 가뭄이 발생한 보령댐의 1998년-2017년까지의 관측 월평균 유입량 자료를 바탕으로 Autoregressive Moving Average(ARMA)시계열 모형과 Hurst Coefficient를 추가하여 장기지속성을 반영하도록 개발된 시계열 모형인 Autoregressive Fractionally Integreated Moving Average(ARFIMA)를 사용하여 보령댐 500년 기간의 유입량 자료를 생성하였다. Hurst Coefficient는 Hurst가 제안한 Rescaled Range(R/S)방법 외에도 경험식, 이론식을 모두 사용하여 산정하였다. 생성된 자료가 관측 자료의 장기지속성을 잘 반영하는지에 대한 검증을 위해 관측자료의 누적유입량으로부터 선형 이동평균방법을 사용하여 가뭄기준을 산정하고, 생성한 유입량 자료가 장기가뭄을 반영하고 있는지 판단하였다. 그 결과 가뭄의 장기지속성을 잘 반영하는 시계열 모형을 선정하였으며, 향후 연구를 통해 미래 기후변화 시나리오를 반영한 장기가뭄 분석을 수행할 예정이다.

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Selection of Turfgrass Species and Cultivars for Hydroseeding on Road Side Slope Areas (도로비탈면의 종자분사공법용 잔디종류의 선택)

  • 주영규
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 1995
  • Hydroseeding technique is a very popular method of revegetating slope areas through the control of soil erosion and stability by seeding grasses. This study was conducted to select turfgrass species and cultivars for hydroseeding. Experiment plots were established on various soil types and environmental conditions at Singar-Ansan high-way construction site. The investigation was designed in three cutting, one back-filling and other three spare sites with various seed mixtures. Results indicated that combinations of seed mixtures influenced seed germination and rates of surface cover. In a view of long term, vegetation shifts should be influenced by characters of slopes and micro-climate conditions. Hydroseeding did not show good results on rocky slope areas. Revegetation was only going on where there had soil. The combination of seed mixture with a higher rate of perennial ryegrass had relatively good revegetation with faster germination and seedling growth. Improved turf-type tall fescue Arid ⓡ and Falcon ⓡ seemed to have good environ-mental adaptation and drought tolerance. Wild or old type cultivars showed relatively slow green-up in spring and growth rates at the next year of seeding. For the harmonious landscaping with surrounding area, the combination of native grass mixture with cool-season grasses had good results. Slow and low revegetation rate at hack-filling site seemed to be caused by the poor development of capillary tubes in sub-soil. It was shown that a high correlation between seed germination and revegetation rate, and between three-month later coverage rate and final rate. The evaluation of coverage rate after three month seems to he acceptable to decide the accomplishment of hydroseeding results on rode side slopes.

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A study on Natural Disaster Prediction Using Multi-Class Decision Forest

  • Eom, Tae-Hyuk;Kim, Kyung-A
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a study was conducted to predict natural disasters in Afghanistan based on machine learning. Natural disasters need to be prepared not only in Korea but also in other vulnerable countries. Every year in Afghanistan, natural disasters(snow, earthquake, drought, flood) cause property and casualties. We decided to conduct research on this phenomenon because we thought that the damage would be small if we were to prepare for it. The Azure Machine Learning Studio used in the study has the advantage of being more visible and easier to use than other Machine Learning tools. Decision Forest is a model for classifying into decision tree types. Decision forest enables intuitive analysis as a model that is easy to analyze results and presents key variables and separation criteria. Also, since it is a nonparametric model, it is free to assume (normality, independence, equal dispersion) required by the statistical model. Finally, linear/non-linear relationships can be searched considering interactions between variables. Therefore, the study used decision forest. The study found that overall accuracy was 89 percent and average accuracy was 97 percent. Although the results of the experiment showed a little high accuracy, items with low natural disaster frequency were less accurate due to lack of learning. By learning and complementing more data, overall accuracy can be improved, and damage can be reduced by predicting natural disasters.

Estimation of the Inflow into Agricultural Reservoir during Drought Year : Focused on Naju Reservoir (가뭄년도 농업용저수지 유입량 추정 : 나주호를 중심으로)

  • Jeung, Minhyuk;Beom, Jina;Yoon, Kwangsik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.396-396
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화는 여러 수자원 문제를 야기하며, 특히 가뭄으로 인해 농업용 저수지의 물관리는 점점 중요해지고 있다. 여러 둑높이기 농업용 저수지 중 나주호는 수혜면적에 비해 유역면적이 작아 저수율관리에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 실제로 2017년과 2018년 가뭄이 발생함에 따라 저수율이 20 %까지 저하되었으며, 수혜구역내 간이 양수장, 양수 저류 등 가뭄대책이 시행되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 나주호의 저수율이 회복되지 않아 단수를 실시하는 등 물관리에 어려움을 겪었다. 이 연구에서는 저수지인 나주호를 대상으로 기상자료, 나주호의 저수율, 공급량 자료를 바탕으로 CAT 모형을 적용 가뭄년도의 유입량 변화를 추정하였다. 검보정의 경우 CAT 3.0 버전에 포함된 SCE-UA 최적화기법을 이용하였다. 그 결과, 2008년부터 2019년까지의 평균 연간 유입량은 6,549 만㎥으로 분석되었으며, 평균 연간 유출율은 48 %로 조사되었다. 하지만, 가뭄이 발생하였던 2017년도의 경우 평균 연간 유입량이 2,070 만㎥, 유출율은 27 %로 조사되었다.

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