• 제목/요약/키워드: drought criteria

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농업용 저수지 이수관리를 위한 저수율 가뭄단계기준 개선 (Improvement of Drought Operation Criteria in Agricultural Reservoirs)

  • 문영식;남원호;우승범;이희진;양미혜;이종서;하태현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2022
  • Currently, the operation rule of agricultural reservoirs in case of drought events follows the drought forecast warning standard of agricultural water supply. However, it is difficult to preemptively manage drought in individual reservoirs because drought forecasting standards are set according to average reservoir storage ratio such as 70%, 60%, 50%, and 40%. The equal standards based on average water level across the country could not reflect the actual drought situation in the region. In this study, we proposed the improvement of drought operation rule for agricultural reservoirs based on the percentile approach using past water level of each reservoir. The percentile approach is applied to monitor drought conditions and determine drought criteria in the U.S. Drought Monitoring (USDM). We applied the drought operation rule to reservoir storage rate in extreme 2017 spring drought year, the one of the most climatologically driest spring seasons over the 1961-2021 period of record. We counted frequency of each drought criteria which are existing and developed operation rules to compare drought operation rule determining the actual drought conditions during 2016-2017. As a result of comparing the current standard and the percentile standard with SPI6, the percentile standard showed severe-level when SPI6 showed severe drought condition, but the current standard fell short of the results. Results can be used to improve the drought operation criteria of drought events that better reflects the actual drought conditions in agricultural reservoirs.

GIS overlay analysis for hazard assessment of drought in Iran using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)

  • Asrari, Elham;Masoudi, Masoud;Hakimi, Somaye Sadat
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2012
  • The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a widely used drought index to provide good estimations of the intensity, magnitude and spatial extent of droughts. The objective of this study was to analyze the spatial pattern of drought by SPI index. In this paper, the patterns of drought hazard in Iran are evaluated according to the data of 40 weather stations during 1967-2009. The influenced zone of each station was specified by the Thiessen method. It was attempted to make a new model of drought hazard using GIS. Three criteria for drought were studied and considered to define areas of vulnerability. Drought hazard criteria used in the present model included: maximum severity of drought in the period, trend of drought, and the maximum number of sequential arid years. Each of the vulnerability indicators were mapped and these as well as a final hazard map were classified into 5 hazard classes of drought: one, slight, moderate, severe and very severe. The final drought vulnerability map was prepared by overlaying three criteria maps in a GIS, and the final hazard classes were defined on the basis of hazard scores, which were determined according to the means of the main indicators. The final vulnerability map shows that severe hazard areas (43% of the country) which are observed in the west and eastern parts of country are much more widespread than areas under other hazard classes. Overall, approximately half of the country was determined to be under severe and very severe hazard classes for drought.

AHP기법을 이용한 수요자 중심의 농업가뭄 영향 평가 기준 도출 연구 (A Study on the Derivation of the User-Oriented Agricultural Drought Assessment Criteria Using the AHP technique)

  • 이석주;송재도;장태일;설동문;손재권
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2018
  • Currently in the drought evaluation, which is a supplier-oriented standard that applies storage rates of reservoirs, evaluation for users that use agricultural water is not done. Therefore, this study established drought evaluation items for drought evaluation based on farmers' judgement, conducted a survey on farmers and experts, compared and analyzed weighted value between two groups, and then classified the evaluation standards per each evaluation item. The agricultural drought evaluation items are 5 major items of water supply lapse rate, agricultural weather, agricultural irrigation facility, crop and soil, and 12 subsections for regional characteristics and opinions of consumers that use water to be reflected. The result of analyzing weighted value of farmers and experts' major items shows that farmers is agricultural irrigation facility(0.219), water supply lapse rate(0.211), agricultural weather(0.204), crop(0.183) and soil(0.183). Experts is agricultural weather(0.297), agricultural irrigation facility(0.202), water supply lapse rate(0.189), crop(0.162) and soil(0.150), which displays difference between the two groups. The agricultural drought criteria standards are established based on precedent studies and cases, and grades of evaluation items are 1st grade(extreme stage), 2nd grade(warning stage), 3rd grade(alert stage) and 4th grade(attention stage). The above analysis per each consumer-oriented agricultural drought evaluation item and the analysis on the standards of evaluation grades are expected to be used as a basic resource for establishing agriculture drought policy and selecting drought area in the future.

농업가뭄 분석을 위한 농업가뭄평가.정보제공시스템 개발 (Development of Evaluation System for Agricultural Drought Management)

  • 박기욱;김진택;정병호
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2005
  • There are two ways to mitigate the drought. One is the structural measures such as storage of irrigation water, development of emergency wells, etc. The other one is the nonstructural measures such as water saving management by the early warning system. To precast and evaluate the drought, we need to develop the drought indices for agriculture. In the present drought preparedness plans of Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF), it is prescribed that the preparedness levels should be classified by considering the precipitation, reservoir storage, soil moisture in paddy and upland, and the growing status of crops. However there are not clear quantitative criteria for consistent judgment. This shows that we have not selected and utilized the proper drought index for agriculture and we did not have the information system to calculate the drought indices periodically and warn the outbreak of the drought. The objectives of the study are to develope of Agricultural Drought Evaluation System and to evaluate this indices for current agricultural status using the system.

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농업가뭄인자 미계측 지역의 농업가뭄 추정을 위한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 활용성 평가 (Availability Assessment of Meteorological Drought Index for Agricultural Drought Estimation in Ungauged Area of Agricultural Drought Parameter)

  • 박민우;김선주;권형중;김필식;강승묵;이재혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권5호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2017
  • The object of this study was to assess availability of meteorological drought index for agricultural dorught estimation in ungauged area of agricultural drought parameters which are reservoir water level and soil moisture. The IADI (Integrated Agricultural Drought Index) and the SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), which are the criteria for determining agricultural drought and meteorological drought, were calculated and compared. For this purpose, the droughts that occurred in the Baeksan reservoir in Gimje and the Edong reservoir in Suwon were evaluated by using the IADI and SPI drought indecies. In addition, we compared and analyzed the depth of drought based on the two drought indices. Evaluations derived form the IADI and SPI showed that the standard precipitation index tended to indicate the occurrence of drought earlier than the integrated agricultural drought index. However, the integrated agricultural drought index was better than the standard precipitation index at evaluating the severity of drought during the period of irrigation. The relationship between these two drought indices seems to be useful for decision making in the case of drought, and it is considered that more studies are needed to examine the applicability of these drought indexes.

비상급수의 규모를 고려한 기상학적 가뭄 강도 수립 (Establishing meteorological drought severity considering the level of emergency water supply)

  • 이승민;왕원준;김동현;한희찬;김수전;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제56권10호
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    • pp.619-629
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화가 심화됨에 따라 가뭄으로 유발되는 피해가 증가하고 있다. 현재 국내의 가뭄 강도를 결정하기 위해 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)를 기준으로 분류를 수행하고 있다. 현재 국내에서는 최근 6개월 동안의 누적강수량을 기준(SPI-6)으로 관심, 주의, 경계, 심각의 기상학적 가뭄의 강도를 분류하고 있다. 그러나 강수량만을 기초자료로 활용하기 때문에 가뭄 강도를 분류하는 데 한계가 있다는 문제점이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 SPI에 따른 국내 기상학적 가뭄 예・경보 기준의 한계점을 극복하고자 국가가뭄정보포털(National Drought Information Portal, NDIP)에서 제공하는 비상급수 피해자료를 수집하여 가뭄의 강도를 분류하였다. 그리고 SPI의 인자인 강수량과 증발산량 산정에 사용되는 인자인 온도, 습도 등을 min-max 정규화로 지수화한 후 유전 알고리즘(Genetic Algorithm, GA) 기반으로 각 인자들에 대한 계수를 산정하였다. 비상급수에 따른 가뭄의 강도를 분류하여 종속변수로 활용하고, GA에 의한 각 기상인자들의 계수를 활용하여 새로운 가뭄 강도 분류 지수(Drought Severity Classification Index, DSCI)를 도출하고자 하였다. DSCI를 도출한 후 누적분포함수를 활용하여 분위별 경계를 강도 단계 분류 기준으로 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 DSCI를 활용하면 기존 SPI보다 가뭄 강도를 정확하게 분류할 수 있어, 재난 담당자들의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

소유역의 한발지표 정립 (Drought Index on Small Watersheds)

  • 김선주;여운식;이광야
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 1994
  • The calculation method for the Drought index based on the principal hydrological factors, such as precipitation, reservoir storage and river discharge, can estimate the duration and intensity of drought. It is not easy to establish an universal criteria o

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RCP 시나리오 기반 농업용 저수지의 내한능력 평가 (Assessment of Anti-Drought Capacity for Agricultural Reservoirs using RCP Scenarios)

  • 박나영;최진용;유승환;이상현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2013
  • Agriculture is affected directly by climate conditions and changes, and it is necessary to understand the impact of climate change on agricultural reservoirs which are the main water resources for paddy fields in Korea. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of climate change on the anti-drought capacity including water supply capability (WSC) and drought response ability (DRA) of agricultural reservoirs based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios of CanESM2 (The Second Generation Earth System Model) provided by CCCma (Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis). The WSC and DRA were estimated using frequency analysis and runs theory. The six reservoirs (Yooshin, Nogok, Kumsung, Songgok, Gapyung, Seoma) were selected considering geographical characteristics and design criteria of reservoir capacity. In case of Seoma reservoir, more than 10 year drought return period (DRP), the variation of the WSC was estimated larger than the others. In case of Yooshin reservior (2~5 DRP) DRC was decreased in 2025s under RCP8.5. These results could be utilized for agricultural reservoirs management and future design criteria considering climate change impacts on paddy irrigation.

수리시설물 및 농경지 가뭄대응능력 중심의 농업가뭄 취약성 평가 - 태안 지역을 중심으로 - (Assessment of Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Focus on Drought Response Capability in Irrigation Facilities and Paddy Fields)

  • 문영식;남원호;하태현;조영준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권5호
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2023
  • Due to recent climate change, the amount of rainfall during the summer season in South Korea has been decreasing, leading to an increase in areas affected by frequent droughts. Droughts have the characteristic of occurring over a wide area and being unpredictable in terms of their onset and end, necessitating proactive research to cope with them. In this study, we conducted an assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability in Taean-gun, Chungcheongnam-do, focusing on irrigation facilities and paddy fields. The assessment criteria were meteorological impact, drought occurrence status, supplementary water supply capacity, and drought response capability, with nine specific indicators selected. The drought response capability was analyzed by applying a scoring system as a key component of the agricultural drought vulnerability assessment, while the other indicators were quantified using an entropy weighting technique. The results of the assessment showed that Anmyeon-eup and Taean-eup were the safest areas, while Wonbuk-myeon, Nam-myeon, and Gonam-myeon were the most vulnerable. It is expected that the findings can be utilized to enhance understanding and proactive measures for coping with agricultural drought, and to determine the priority of drought response in different regions.