• 제목/요약/키워드: drainage-area ratio method

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로지스틱 회귀분석모델을 활용한 평창군 진부 지역의 산사태 재해의 인명 위험 평가 (Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster in Jinbu Area Using Logistic Regression Model)

  • 라하누마 빈테 라시드 우르미;알-마문;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with risk assessment of life in a landslide-prone area by a GIS-based modeling method. Landslide susceptibility maps can provide a probability of landslide prone areas to mitigate or proper control this problems and to take any development plan and disaster management. A landslide inventory map of the study area was prepared based on past historical information and aerial photography analysis. A total of 550 landslides have been counted at the whole study area. The extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two different groups, 50% of the landslides were used for model calibration and the other were used for validation purpose. Eleven causative factors (continuous and thematic) such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in hazard analysis. The correlation between landslides and these factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. Eventually, a landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a logistic regression model based on entire events. Moreover, the landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract a success rate curve. Based on the results, logistic regression produced an 85.18% accuracy, so we believed that the model was reliable and acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis on the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, vulnerability scale were added for social thematic data layer. The study area predictive landslide affected pixels 2,000 and 5,000 were also calculated for making a probability table. In final calculation, the 2,000 predictive landslide affected pixels were assumed to run. The total population causalities were estimated as 7.75 person that was relatively close to the actual number published in Korean Annual Disaster Report, 2006.

베이지안 예측모델을 활용한 농업 및 인공 인프라의 산사태 재해 위험 평가 (Landslide Risk Assessment of Cropland and Man-made Infrastructures using Bayesian Predictive Model)

  • 알-마문;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

물수지분석 기법에 의한 논에서의 회귀율 조사분석 (Return flow analysis of paddy field by water balance method)

  • 정상옥;손성호
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2001
  • A water balance analysis was performed for a paddy field neighboring the Dongchang stream, downstream of the Unmun reservoir, which is constructed for the urban water supply. Daily rainfall data were collected and irrigation water flow rate, drainage flow rate, evaportranspiration, infiltration, and piezometeric head were measured in the field. The flow rates were continuously observed by water level logger during the growing season. The evaportranspiration and the infiltration were measured by N-type depletion meter and cylindrical infiltrometer, respectively. PVC pipes with 12mm diameter were used for piezometric head measurement. Total Irrigation and drainage flows were 3,608mm and 1,170mm in 1999, and 3,971mm and 1,548mm in 2000, respectively. The mean and range of the daily infiltration rate were 4.4mm/d and 3.4mm/d to 5.5mm/d in 1999 and 5.1mm/d and 4.1mm/d to 6.5mm/d in 2000, respectively. The net ground water flow including the change of soil water storage was 2,855mm in 1999 and 2,540mm in 2000. The evapotranspiration was 458.3mm in 1999 and 553.5mm in 2000. The range of daily evapotranspiration rate was from 1.6 to 8.7mm/d. The return flow ratio was about 32% in 1999 and 39% in 2000 and three year average was 35% including previous study in 1997. The amount of irrigation water was much higher than design standards or references in this study, This was caused by the inadequate water management practice in the area where water was oversupplied on farmers’ request rather than following sound water management principles.

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논토양 내 비소 불용화에 대한 안정화물질의 처리 효과 (Stabilization of Arsenic in Paddy Soils Using Stabilizers)

  • 강민우;오세진;김성철;이상수
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND: Soil contamination of As is a very sensitive environmental issue due to its adverse impact on human health and different characteristics with other heavy metals. With public awareness of As poisoning, there has been growing interest in developing guideline and remediation technologies for As-contaminated soil. The objective of this research was to evaluate the effectiveness of stabilizing amendments and soil dressing methods on the mobility of As in the contaminated rice paddy soils nearby mining area. METHODS AND RESULTS: Different amendments were mixed with surface and subsurface contaminated soils at a ratio of 3% (w/w) and monitored for five months. Three different extractants including 0.01M $CaCl_2$, TCLP, and PBET were used to examine As bioavailability in the soil and the concentration of As in rice grain was also measured with an inductively coupled plasma (ICP) spectroscopy. The results showed that all amendment treatments decreased As concentration compared to the control. Especially, coal mine drainage sludge (CMDS) treatment showed the highest efficiency of decreasing As concentration in the soil and rice grain. The values of Pearson correlation (r) between As concentrations in the soil and rice grain were 0.782, 0.753, and 0.678 for $CaCl_2$, TCLP, and PBET methods, respectively. Especially, $CaCl_2$ method was highly correlated between As concentrations of the soil and soil solution (r=0.719), followed by TCLP (r=0.706), PBET (r=0.561) methods. CONCLUSION: Stabilizing amendments can effectively reduce available As concentration in the soils as well as soil solution, and thereby potentially mitigating risks of crop contamination by As.

지역별 강우분포를 고려한 블록포장지역의 유출계수 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Runoff Coefficient of Block Paved Area with Considering Regional Rainfall Distribution)

  • 강신권;김태균
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2008
  • 합리식은 배수시설을 설계하기 위한 기본방정식으로 이용되고 있으며, 유출계수, 강우강도와 유역면적의 함수이다. 본 연구에서는 조경공간의 배수시설설계에 이용되는 합리식의 유출계수를 블록포장지역을 대상으로 지역적 강우분포를 고려하여 산정하였다. 합리식의 유출계수는 강우강도와 유출량의 비로 나타낼 수 있다. 강우강도는 재현기간과 강우지속기간의 함수로, 강우의 특성상 지역에 따라 변한다. 따라서 합리식의 유출계수는 동일한 재현기간과 강우지속기간일지라도 지역에 따라 강우강도가 변하므로 지역에 따라 변한다. 또한, 강우강도와 유출량의 비는 강우량에 대한 손실량에 따라 결정되므로, 손실량을 산정하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 Horton의 침투법칙 중 종기침투능을 이용하였다. 블록포장지역의 침투는 줄눈을 통하여 발생하며, 줄눈은 시간이 지남에 따라 황사, 오염물질, 꽃가루 등에 의하여 공극이 메워지고, 답압 등에 의하여 다져질 것이므로, 침투능은 감소할 것이다. 시공연한이 다른 6개 지역의 블록포장지역을 대상으로 Horton의 종기침투능을 산정하여 시간이 지남에 따라 침투능이 감소하는 것을 확인하였고, 지역별 재현기간 10년에 대한 강우지속기간 10, 20 및 30분에 해당하는 강우강도를 선정하여, 합리식의 유출계수를 산정하였다. 본 연구의 결과로, 산정 된 블록포장지 역의 유출계수 범위는 재현기간 10년, 강우지속기간 10분의 경우 지역에 따라 $0.94{\sim}0.84$의 범위를 가진다.

필터 및 배수용 토목섬유의 장기적 성능 평가에 관한 연구 (Studie8 on Long-Term Performance Evaluation of Geotextiles -for Filter and Drainage-)

  • 권우남
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.130-139
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    • 1993
  • In order to evaluate the long-term permeability performace of the geotextiles, for five different combination of geotextiles and soils the long-term column test method The results obtained are as follows; 1.The gradient range of the initial stage of the long-term permeability curves varied with respect to the soil types, while that of the final stage varied according to the interaction of the soil/geotextile system. 2.The time required for a given soil/geotextile system to reach a interactive stable stage was measured ahout 100 hours for the standard sand and 150 to 600 hours for the silty content soils, respectively. 3.There were no differences between the plain woven geotextile and the non-geotextile in the long-term permeability performance. 4.As the silt content increased, the long-term performance of the geotextiles decreased, and the limiting silt content was about 15%. 5.The thickness and area density of the geotextiles did not influence on the variation of the seepage quantities. 6.The ayerage slope and the transition time of the long-time flow curve were calculated. 7.In order to evaluate the mechanism of soil/geotextile system more perfectly, the gradient ratio test or the hydraulic conductivity test is required.

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4차 하천에서의 GIUH의 유도 및 초기확률의 보정에 관한 연구 (Study on Derivation of Fourth-Order GIUH and Revision of Initial State Probability)

  • 함대헌;주진걸;전환돈;김중훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 3차 하천에 대하여 유도되었던 지형형태학적순간단위도(GIUH)를 4차 하천유역까지 확장하여 다양한 유역에 적용할 수 있도록 하였다. $2{\sim}4$차 하천에 대한 GIUH를 비교하였으며 유역의 지형매개변수가 동일할 경우 하천차수를 높게 가정할수록 단위도의 첨두유출량은 작아지고 첨두발생시간은 늦어지는 경향을 확인할 수 있었다. GIUH의 적용을 위해서는 면적비와 분기비 등 지형매개변수를 사용하여 초기확률을 산정하는데, 이때 지형매개변수가 가지는 오차 때문에 특정 유역에서 초기확률이 음수가 되는 문제가 발생하며 단위도의 전반부에서 유출량이 음의 값을 가지기도 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 ArcVeiw GIS 3.2를 사용하여 전체면적에 대한 직접유출면적의 비율로 초기확률을 계산하였다. 제안된 방법을 적용하여 상안미, 병천, 산계 등의 유역에서 $2{\sim}4$차 하천에 대한 순간단위도를 산정하여 본 결과, 위의 문제점을 해결할 수 있었다.

도시하천 소배수구역의 결측 강우량 산정 방법 비교 (Comparison of Estimation Methods for the Missing Rainfall data in a Urban Sub-drainage Area)

  • 김충수;김형섭
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.701-705
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    • 2006
  • 강우자료는 수문 모델링 작업에서 가장 기초적인 수문학적 입력자료로 시간과 공간에 따른 변동성이 크므로 규명하기 복잡한 수문현상 중의 하나이다. 산악지역이 많은 우리나라의 지형학적 특성과 태풍, 장마 및 특히, 최근의 게릴라성 집중호우 등으로 인하여 이러한 변동성이 더욱 커지고 있는 실정이다. 장기간 실측된 수문기상 기초 자료가 부족한 우리나라의 실정상 홍수예보 및 수공구조물 설계를 위해 정확한 강우량 자료의 취득이 선행돼야 한다. 따라서 적절한 장소에 수문관측소 설치 및 관리를 통해 양호한 강우량 자료를 획득해야 하지만, 현장 여건상 등의 이유로 미계측 및 결측, 이상자료가 발생하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 미계측 혹은 결측지점의 우량을 추정할 수 있는 방법을 비교, 분석하여 적절한 보정과정을 수행할 필요가 있다. 그간의 연구에서는 미계측 지점 혹은 산악지역에서의 점 강우량 보정방법에 대한 연구가 진행되었지만, 본 연구에서는 '도시홍수재해관리기술연구사업단'에서 운영 중인 도시하천 유역 특히 소배수구역에서의 결측 자료에 대해 여러 추정 방법을 비교, 분석하여 적절한 방안을 찾고자 한다. 이를 위하여 중랑천 유역의 3개 소배수 구역(월계1 배수구역, 군자 배수구역, 어린이대공원 배수구역)에 설치된 3개 우량관측소와 건설교통부 관할 우량관측소 2개소의 우량자료를 사용하였다. 본 연구에서는 결측치 보간을 위하여 널리 이용되고 있는 산술평균법(Arithmetic Average method), 역거리법(Reciprocal Distance Squared method), 거리고도비율법(Ratio of Distance and Elevation method), 인근관측소와의 관계식 이용, 크리깅방법(Simple Kriging method)을 비교, 검토 적용하였다. 중랑천 유역의 소배수구역을 대상으로 연중 발생하는 큰 호우사상에 대해 임의의 강우관측소를 결측지점으로 가정하고 주변의 강우관측소로부터 각각의 방법을 이용해 가중치들을 산정하여 결측지점의 강우량 값을 보정하고자 하였다. 또한 각각의 방법을 이용하여 얻어진 결과에 대해 실측값과 보정값의 오차정도를 평균절대오차법(Mean Absolute Error)과 제곱평균제곱근오차법(Root Mean Squared Error)에 의해 산정하여 보정 방법간의 효율성을 검토하고자 하였다.

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소양면 지역사회 환경기초조사 (A Basie Community Health Survey in Rural Korea (Soyang-Myun))

  • 최승렬
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.133-160
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    • 1973
  • 1. Introduction Community medicine with the concept of comprehensive medical care and an ideal medical care delivery system not only for an individual or family but for the whole community has emerged. In April 1970, the Presbyterian Medical Center started a hospital based community health service project in order to improve the health of the people in rural areas. Prior to commencing a comprehensive medical care system, a family survey was needed. The major objective of this survey was to obtain information concerning the people and their environment so as to be able to plan and implement a comprehensive medical care program in Soyang-Myun. 2. Survey Method An interview using a family record form was carried out for each household. This family record form was designed to get information about demography, family planning, environmental sanitation and vital statistics. Prior to beginning, the members of the survey team were trained in interviewing techniques for three days. The team consisted of a public health nurse, four nurse-aides, a sanitarian and four health extension workers who are working in our project, The survey was carried out during the period November 1971 to March 1972. 3. Project area 1) Population of Soyang-Myun was 11,668; male, 5,962 and female, 5,706. Sex ratio: 104.5. 2) Households : 1,858 3) Family size: The average household consisted of 6.3 persons. 4) Educational level of householder a. Illiterate 13% b. No schooling but able to read 10% c. Preschool children 19% d. Primary school 47% e. Middle school 7% f. High school 3% g. College or University 1% 5) Occupational distribution of householders a. Farmer 67% b. Laborer 13% c. Office worker 4% d. Merchant 4% e. Industrial worker 2% f. Unemployed 8% g. Miscellaneous 2% 6) Religious affiliation a. No religion 74% b. Buddhist 12% c. Protestant 10% d. Catholic 4% 4. Survey results Living Environment : a. Home ownership 95% b. Kinds of roofing Straw-thatched house 84% Tile-roofed house 10% Slate-roofed house 5% Other 1% c. Floor space Less than 6 pyong 10% 6-10 pyong 53% 11-15 pyong 24% 16-20 pyong 9% More than 20 pyong 4% d. Radio ownership 80% Environmental Sanitation : a. the source of drinking water public well 49% private well 30% drainage water 9% steam water 8% well pump 3% water distribution system 1% b. Distance between well and toilet more than 16meters 38% 6-10 meter 31% 11-15 meters 14% Less than 6 meters 17% c. The status of well management Bad 72% Fair 26% Good 2% d. General sanitary state of house Bad 37% Fair 51% Good 12% e. House drainage system had no house drainage. 77% Family Planning : a. 24% of the people have used contraceptives, but 12% ceased to use them. 76% have never used contraceptives. b. used methods 1oop 68% oral pill 16% vasectomy 4% condom 1% tubal ligation 1% two or more methods 10% Maternal Health : a. The number of conceptions of housewives under 50 years of age. 11 times 26% 6 times 11% 5 times 11% 4 times 9% b. The place of delivery own house 88% hospital 1% others 11% Treatment of general sickness : a. The place of treatment Soyang Health Center 31% Hospital (private or otherwise) 26% Pharmacy 14% Herb medicine 5% Private care 5% No treatment 12% Miscellaneous 7% b. Usual causes of diseases Unknown 46% Tuberculosis 29% Neuralgia 8% CVA 3% Bronchitis 3% Others 11%

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시스템 탄력성을 고려한 빗물저류조 운영수위 결정 (Determination of operating offline detention reservoir considering system resilience)

  • 이의훈;이용식;정동휘;주진걸;김중훈
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제17권10호
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2016
  • 최근 도시 지역에서 엄청난 집중 호우의 빈도가 높아지고 불투수면적의 비율이 증가하면서 침수 발생 횟수 및 침수로 인한 피해가 급증하고 있다. 대부분의 지방자치단체에서는 도시의 침수를 방어하기 위해 빗물펌프장 설치, 우수관거 개량, 빗물저류조 설치 등의 구조적인 대책을 마련하고 있으나 치수시설의 포화로 치수대책의 효과가 줄어들고 있다. 이를 보완하기 위해 다양한 홍수 예보 및 내배수시설 운영 등과 같은 비구조적인 대책이 마련되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 구조적인 대책의 한계점을 보완하기 위해 현행 빗물저류조 운영방법이 아닌 새롭게 제시된 빗물저류조 운영방법의 펌프정지수위를 결정하였다. 새롭게 제시된 빗물저류조 운영에서 펌프정지수위 결정을 위해 Huff 분포에 의해 생성한 총 48개의 강우를 생성하였다. 먼저 생성된 강우를 빈도, 분위 및 지속시간 별로 구분하였다. 생성된 강우를 적용하여 실시한 강우-유출 모의를 토대로 평균 탄력성을 산정하고 1.2 m에서 1.5 m의 범위를 결정하였다. 결정된 범위에서 하수도 시설 기준에 의한 안전율 1.25를 고려하여 최종적으로 1.2 m를 적정 펌프정지수위로 결정하였다.