• 제목/요약/키워드: dose-effect modeling

검색결과 30건 처리시간 0.023초

Risk Assessment for Noncarcinogenic Chemical Effects

  • Kodell Ralph L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.412-415
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    • 1994
  • The fundamental assumption that thresholds exist for noncarcinogenic toxic effects of chemicals is reviewed; this assumption forms the basis for the no-observed-effect level/ safety-factor (NOEL/SF) approach to risk assessment for such effects. The origin and evolution of the NOEL/SF approach are traced, and its limitations are discussed. The recently proposed use of dose-response modeling to estimate a benchmark dose as a replacement for the NOEL is explained. The possibility of expanding dose-response modeling of non carcinogenic effects to include the estimation of assumed thresholds is discussed. A new method for conversion of quantitative toxic responses to a probability scale for risk assessment via dose-response modeling is outlined.

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Propagation of radiation source uncertainties in spent fuel cask shielding calculations

  • Ebiwonjumi, Bamidele;Mai, Nhan Nguyen Trong;Lee, Hyun Chul;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.3073-3084
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    • 2022
  • The propagation of radiation source uncertainties in spent nuclear fuel (SNF) cask shielding calculations is presented in this paper. The uncertainty propagation employs the depletion and source term outputs of the deterministic code STREAM as input to the transport simulation of the Monte Carlo (MC) codes MCS and MCNP6. The uncertainties of dose rate coming from two sources: nuclear data and modeling parameters, are quantified. The nuclear data uncertainties are obtained from the stochastic sampling of the cross-section covariance and perturbed fission product yields. Uncertainties induced by perturbed modeling parameters consider the design parameters and operating conditions. Uncertainties coming from the two sources result in perturbed depleted nuclide inventories and radiation source terms which are then propagated to the dose rate on the cask surface. The uncertainty analysis results show that the neutron and secondary photon dose have uncertainties which are dominated by the cross section and modeling parameters, while the fission yields have relatively insignificant effect. Besides, the primary photon dose is mostly influenced by the fission yield and modeling parameters, while the cross-section data have a relatively negligible effect. Moreover, the neutron, secondary photon, and primary photon dose can have uncertainties up to about 13%, 14%, and 6%, respectively.

카드뮴 반응용량 곡선에서의 기준용량 평가를 위한 베이지안 분석연구 (Bayesian Analysis of Dose-Effect Relationship of Cadmium for Benchmark Dose Evaluation)

  • 이민제;최태련;김정선;우해동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.453-470
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 카드뮴의 반응-용량 모형에 대한 베이지안 분석을 실시하고 기준용량에 대한 추정값들을 유도하고 비교한다. 이를 위하여 독성물질에 대한 용량반응곡선에서 많이 활용되는 두 가지 모형을 사용하고, 카드뮴의 독성연구에 관련한 기존의 문헌으로 수집된 자료에 대한 성별, 연령, 인종, study code 등과 같은 소집단 간의 개별적 형질을 반영할 수 있는 베이지안 메타분석 관점에서의 모형분석을 실시한다. 이러한 두 가지 모형에 대한 베이지안 분석을 위하여 WinBUGS를 이용한 마르코프 연쇄 몬테칼로(Markov chain Monte Carlo; MCMC) 방법을 통하여 모수를 추정하고 이에 따른 다양한 기준용량들을 계산하고 비교해보았다. 베이지안 모형 적합뿐만 아니라 편차정보기준을 통해서 주어진 자료를 더 잘 설명하는 모형을 선택하는 베이지안 모형 선택을 고려하였고, 이를 실제 자료에 적용해본다.

Insights from an OKMC simulation of dose rate effects on the irradiated microstructure of RPV model alloys

  • Jianyang Li;Chonghong Zhang;Ignacio Martin-Bragado;Yitao Yang;Tieshan Wang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.958-967
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    • 2023
  • This work studies the defect features in a dilute FeMnNi alloy by an Object Kinetic Monte Carlo (OKMC) model based on the "grey-alloy" method. The dose rate effect is studied at 573 K in a wide range of dose rates from 10-8 to 10-4 displacement per atom (dpa)/s and demonstrates that the density of defect clusters rises while the average size of defect clusters decreases with increasing dose rate. However, the dose-rate effect decreases with increasing irradiation dose. The model considered two realistic mechanisms for producing <100>-type self-interstitial atom (SIA) loops and gave reasonable production ratios compared with experimental results. Our simulation shows that the proportion of <100>-type SIA loops could change obviously with the dose rate, influencing hardening prediction for various dose rates irradiation. We also investigated ways to compensate for the dose rate effect. The simulation results verified that about a 100 K temperature shift at a high dose rate of 1×10-4 dpa/s could produce similar irradiation microstructures to a lower dose rate of 1×10-7 dpa/s irradiation, including matrix defects and deduced solute migration events. The work brings new insight into the OKMC modeling and the dose rate effect of the Fe-based alloys.

Ralstron 선원대체형 Ir-192 원추선원의 선량 전산화 모델링 (Dose Computation Modeling for Frustum Typed Ir-192 of Ralstron Source)

  • 최태진
    • 한국의학물리학회지:의학물리
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2001
  • 방사선의 에너지가 비교적 낮은 선원은 알짜선원의 방사능크기와 캡슐을 통과한 선량으로 나타내는 겉보기방사능크기로 구분할 필요가 있다. 저자는 국내 도입된 Ralstron 강내조사장치에 사용할 고선량률 Ir-192 선원을 고안제작하여 선원-캡슐간 필터효과를 조사하였다. 선원은 직경 1.5mm 와 높이 1.5mm 이고, 선원캡슐의 외경과 길이는 각각 3.0 mm 와 12.0mm로 원형과 동일한 외형을 하고 있다. 선원의 필터에 의한 선량감쇠는 66.3%로 나타났으며, 단위 방사능 강도에 의한 기준 출력선량은 선원 측방 1cm 거리에 도달되는 조직선량을 기준선량으로 규격화하였으며, 기준선량은 0.0013511cGy/mCi -sec (cGy/37MBq-sec) 로 나타났다. 선원하부는 스텐필터 두께의 영향으로 동일 거리의 측방 위치의 조직선량에 비해 약 52%의 선량감쇠를 보이고 있다. 그러나 선원하부 에서 측방 영역으로 갈수록 스텐 필터에 의한 선량감쇠효과가 줄어드는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 선원중심에서 상하 45도 대각선 방향의 선량을 비교한 바 상부 대각선 방향의 선량이 하부의 것에 비해 약 4% 크게 나타났으며, 이는 선원 상부의 캡슐용기의 모양을 경사지게 한 결과 필터효과가 상대적으로 적음을 알 수 있다. 선원과 케이블이 있는 선원축의 연결케이블과 근접한 20도이내의 영역에서는 필터효과의 변화가 커서 40%의 선량감쇠를 보였으나, 축에서 떨어질수록 균등한 동심원의 선량분포를 얻었다.

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발전기의 사고 시뮬레이션과 분석 (Fault Simulation and Analysis of Generator)

  • 박철원;오용택
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제62권3호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2013
  • Large generator of power plant is very important. In order to protect large generator from faults, digital protective relay or IED is required. However, all protective relays for generators of the domestic power plant are operated by foreign products. And now, for technological independence from foreign and improvement of import substitution effect, IEDs using domestic technology are being developed. To evaluate performance of developing next-generation power devices, the study of the dynamic characteristics of the power plant, generator system modeling, fault simulation and analysis, should be considered. Specially, To obtain IEEE Standards COMTRADE format for relay operation test, generator system modeling and fault simulation using PSCAD/EMTDC tools must be preceded. Until now, a complete modeling of generator internal windings and fault simulation techniques dose not exist. In this paper, for evaluation performance of relay elements of developing IED, the generator system modeling and various faults simulation using PSCAD/EMTDC tools were performed. And then, the various transient phenomena through obtained relaying signal of developed modeling were analyzed.

Indirect assessment of internal irradiation from tritium decay on Lemna Minor duckweed

  • Ifayefunmi, O.S.;Mirseabasov, O.A.;Synzynys, B.I.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.1991-1999
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    • 2021
  • The response changes of the specific growth rate of Lemna minor duckweed was modeled using the logarithms of frond numbers on tritium activity concentration and gamma radiation dose from cobalt 60. The concept of average specific growth rate depends on the general exponential growth pattern, where toxicity is estimated based on the effect on the growth rate. One of the main questions of the effect of the radiation dose on duckweed is how to correlate the effect of beta radiation with the effect of any other radiation for modeling radiation on Lemna minor. Experimental data were extrapolated by utilizing the OECD guidelines. A linear relationship of absorbed dose and activity concentration was obtained for the average dependency growth rate of Lemna minor as D = (0.1257)·A0.585. The dose rate of gamma irradiation from 60Co increases with tritium activity dependence, on the specific growth rate of the Lemna minor duckweed. An increase in the tritium activity causes a decrease in the specific growth rate of the Lemna minor duckweed. It indicates that as the quantity of the beta radiation dose increase in Lemna minor duckweed, a higher quantity of gamma radiation will be required to cause the same effect in the specific growth rate of Lemna minor duckweed. The relation between the inhibition of the Lemna minor seedling growth and gamma and beta radiation dosage agrees roughly with that between the decrease of survival rate or fertility and dosage.

Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Modeling of a Direct Thrombin Inhibitor, Argatroban, in Rats

  • Park, Eun-Hye;Shin, Beom-Soo;Yun, Chi-Ho;Lee, Mann-Hyung;Yoo, Sun-Dong
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.373-379
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to develop a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model of a direct thrombin inhibitor, argatroban to predict the concentration-effect profiles in rats. Argatroban was i.v. injected to rats at 0. 2, 0.8 and 3.2 mg/kg doses (n = 4-5 per dose), and plasma drug levels were determined by a validated LC/MS/MS assay. The pharmacokinetics of argatroban was linear over the i.v. dose range studied. The thrombin time (TT) and the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) were measured in rat plasma and they were found to linearly increase with increasing the dose. A 2-compartment pharmacokinetic model linked with an indirect response pharmacodynamic model was successfully utilized to evaluate the drug concentration-response relationship.

M&S 기반 반도체소자의 펄스감마선 피해평가 시스템 구축 연구 (A Study on Implementation of a Transient Radiation Effects on Electronics(TREE) Assessment System Based on M&S)

  • 이남호;이승민
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제62권7호
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    • pp.969-973
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    • 2013
  • To simulate the effect of high dose-rate radiation on semiconductor devices, device modeling work has been performed especially in the area of photo-current generation by a PIN diode. The resultant analytical values were compared with experimental ones that were specially designed and performed to benchmark the simulation results. Initial results showed 27.85% error between the simulation and the experiment. The error can be further reduced by improvement both in simulation and in related experiments. The developed technique from the study can be applicable to radiation dosimetry and to analysis on the radiation effects in electronics.

림프종 환자에서 회귀모형을 이용한 vincristine의 약물 용량 예측 인자 및 부작용 모델 연구 (Pharmacodynamic Modeling of Vincristine in Lymphoma Patients)

  • 서정원;김동현;윤진상;김선화;최보윤;오정미;권광일
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to determine whether any pretreatment parameters were associated with pharmacological effect or toxicity parameters after vincristine administration and to describe a mathematical model, which explains the interpatient pharmacodynamic variability. The relationship between patient characteristics and vincristine dose and hematological toxicity were evaluated. 68 pediatric and adolescence patients and 107 adults with acute lymphoblastic leukemia were treated with vincristine $1.5mg/m^2/day$ IV and other anticancer drugs as scheduled. Complete blood counts and other blood test results were obtained. The input variables were age, gender, weight, lean body weight (LBW), height, body surface area, vincristine dose and total vincristine dose. The outcome measures were nadir values (white blood cells, absolute neutrophil counts, hemoglobin, and platelets); the absolute decrease, relative decrease, and survival fraction of blood cells. Polynomial regression analysis was carried out to determine the other significant covariates. The variability of $WBC_{nadir}$ was modeled with good precision and accuracy with a two-covariate model. This model should be validated and improved on with further clinical data. We believe that such pharmacodynamic modeling should be explored further to determine its performance and clinical relevance compared with modeling using pharmacokinetic parameter.