• Title/Summary/Keyword: distribution parameter

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The Comparative Software Development Cost Model Considering the Change in the Shape Parameter of the Erlang Distribution (어랑분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 개발 비용모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.566-572
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    • 2016
  • Software Reliability implemented in software development is one of the most important issues. In finite failure NHPP software reliability models for software failure analysis, the hazard function that means a failure rate may have constant independently for failure time, non-increasing or non-decreasing pattern. In this study, software development cost analysis considering the variable shape parameter of Erlang distribution as the failure life distribution in the software product testing process was studied. The software failure model was applied finite failure Non-Homogeneous Poisson Procedure and the parameters approximation using maximum likelihood estimation was accompanied. Thus, this paper was presented comparative analysis by applying a software failure time data to the software, considering the shape parameter of Erlang distribution for development cost model analysis. When compared to the cost curve in accordance with the shape parameter, the model of smaller shape can be seen that the optimal software release time delay and more cost. Through this study, it is thought that it can serve as a preliminary information which can basically help the software developers to search for development cost according to software shape parameters.

Adaptive Model-Based Quantization Parameter Decision for Video Rate Control (비디오 비트율 제어를 위한 적응적 모델 기반의 양자화 변수 결정 방법)

  • Kim, Seon-Ki;Ho, Yo-Sung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4C
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2007
  • The rate control is an essential component in video coding to provide better quality under given coding constraints, such as channel capacity, frame rates, etc. In general, source data cannot be described as a single distribution in a video coding, hence it can cause an exhaustive approximation problem. It drops a coding efficiency under weak channel environments, such as mobile communications. In this paper, we design a new quantization parameter decision model that is based on a rate-distortion function of generalized Gaussian distribution. In order to adaptively express various source data distribution, we decide a shape parameter by observing a ratio of samples, which have a small value. For experiment, the proposed algorithm is implemented into H.264/AVC video codec, and its performance is compared with that of MPEG-2 TM5, H.263 TMN8 rate control algorithm. As shown in simulation results, the proposed algorithm provides an improved quality rather than previous algorithms and generates the number of bits closed to the target bits.

A study on MERS-CoV outbreak in Korea using Bayesian negative binomial branching processes (베이지안 음이항 분기과정을 이용한 한국 메르스 발생 연구)

  • Park, Yuha;Choi, Ilsu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2017
  • Branching processes which is used for epidemic dispersion as stochastic process model have advantages to estimate parameters by real data. We have to estimate both mean and dispersion parameter in order to use the negative binomial distribution as an offspring distribution on branching processes. In existing studies on biology and epidemiology, it is estimated using maximum-likelihood methods. However, for most of epidemic data, it is hard to get the best precision of maximum-likelihood estimator. We suggest a Bayesian inference that have good properties of statistics for small-sample. After estimating dispersion parameter we modelled the posterior distribution for 2015 Korea MERS cases. As the result, we found that the estimated dispersion parameter is relatively stable no matter how we assume prior distribution. We also computed extinction probabilities on branching processes using estimated dispersion parameters.

A numerical study of adjusted parameter estimation in normal inverse Gaussian distribution (Normal inverse Gaussian 분포에서 모수추정의 보정 방법 연구)

  • Yoon, Jeongyoen;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.741-752
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    • 2016
  • Numerous studies have shown that normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution adequately fits the empirical return distribution of financial securities. The estimation of parameters can also be done relatively easily, which makes the NIG distribution more useful in financial markets. The maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moments estimation are easy to implement; however, we may encounter a problem in practice when a relationship among the moments is violated. In this paper, we investigate this problem in the parameter estimation and try to find a simple solution through simulations. We examine the effect of our adjusted estimation method with real data: daily log returns of KOSPI, S&P500, FTSE and HANG SENG. We also checked the performance of our method by computing the value at risk of daily log return data. The results show that our method improves the stability of parameter estimation, while it retains a comparable performance in goodness-of-fit.

Estimation and Analysis of Wave Spectrum Parameter using HeMOSU-2 Observation Data (HeMOSU-2 관측 자료를 이용한 파랑 스펙트럼 매개변수 추정 및 분석)

  • Lee, Uk-Jae;Ko, Dong-Hui;Kim, Ji-Young;Cho, Hong-Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2021
  • In this study, wave spectrum data were calculated using the water surface elevation data observed at 5Hz intervals from the HeMOSU-2 meteorological tower installed on the west coast of Korea, and wave parameters were estimated using wave spectrum data. For all significant wave height ranges, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum and the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated based on the observed spectrum, and the distribution of each parameter was confirmed. As a result of the analysis, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum was calculated to be 1.27, which is very low compared to the previously proposed 3.3. And in the range of all significant wave heights, the distribution of the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) was shown as a combined distribution of probability mass function (PMF) and probability density function (PDF). In addition, the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated to be [0.245, -1.278], which are lower than the existing [0.300, -1.098], and the result of the linear correlation analysis between the two parameters was β = -3.86α.

Characteristics of Spread Parameter of the Extreme Wave Height Distribution around Korean Marginal Seas (한국 연안 극치 파고 분포의 확산모수 특성)

  • Jeong, Shin-Taek;Kim, Jeong-Dae;Ko, Dong-Hui;Kim, Tae-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.480-494
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    • 2009
  • Long term extreme wave data are essential for planning and designing coastal structures. Since the availability of the field data for the waters around Korean peninsula is limited to provide a reliable wave statistics, the wave climate information has been generated by means of long-term wave hindcasting using available meteorological data. KORDI(2005) has proposed extreme wave data at 106 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 2003. In this paper, extreme data sets of wave(KORDI, 2005) have been analyzed for best-fitting distribution functions, for which the spread parameter proposed by Goda(2004) is evaluated. The calculated values of the spread parameter are in good agreement with the values based on method of moment for parameter estimation. However, the spread parameter of extreme wave data has a representative value ranging from about 1.0 to 2.8 which is larger than some foreign coastal waters, it is necessary to review deep water design wave.

Parameter estimation for exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring (지수 분포를 따르는 점진 제1종 구간 중도절단표본에서 모수 추정)

  • Shin, Hye-Jung;Lee, Kwang-Ho;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduce a method of parameter estimation of progressive Type I interval censored sample and progressive type II censored sample. We propose a new parameter estimation method, that is converting the data which obtained by progressive type I interval censored, those data be used to estimate of the parameter in progressive type II censored sample. We used exponential distribution with unknown scale parameter, the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter calculates from the two methods. A simulation is conducted to compare two kinds of methods, it is found that the proposed method obtains a better estimate than progressive Type I interval censoring method in terms of mean square error.

A Study on the Reliability Attributes of the Software Reliability Model Following the Shape Parameter of Minimax Life Distribution (미니맥스 수명분포의 형상모수를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 신뢰속성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2018
  • This paper, following the shape parameters of the minimax distribution, describes the special form of the beta distribution, the Minimax distribution, as a function of the shape parameters for the software reliability model based on the non-homogeneous Poisson process. Characteristics and usefulness were discussed. As a result, the case of the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution than less than and greate in mean squared error is the smallest, in determination coefficient, appears to be high, the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution regard as an efficient model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model is estimated to be more than 95%, which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Through this study, software design and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient, and confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline.

A Study on Failure Characteristics and Reliability Prediction of the Rice Combine Harvester (콤바인 수확기(收穫機)의 고장특성(故障特性) 및 신뢰성(信賴性) 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Kim, H.K.;Chung, C.J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1986
  • This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

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Distribution of Zr(IV) Ion Species in Aqueous Solution (수용액(水溶液)에서 지르코늄이온의 농도분포(濃度分布))

  • Lee, Man-Seung;Lee, Hwa-Young
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2011
  • Zirconium is used in nuclear reactors as a structural material due to its excellent corrosion resistance and to low neutron crosssection. Variation in the distribution and solubility of Zr(IV) with solution pH was obtained. Distribution of Zr(IV) containing species in HCl and $HNO_3$ solution was analyzed by considering the complex formation of Zr(IV) species with the anion of the inorganic acid. Bromley interaction parameter between $ZrO^{2+}$ and nitrate ion was estimated by using the reported data on the solvent extraction of Zr(IV) by Cyanex272 from $HNO_3$ solution. This Bromley parameter can be utilized in calculating extraction isotherm of Zr(IV) and in predicting the separation factor between Zr(IV) and Hf(IV).